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Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions Result & Analysis

Date: 28/08/2026
Time: 18:30
Final 0-1
Newport City
Newport City
Vs
37%
29%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ynyshir Albions
Ynyshir Albions
Wales: FAW Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Newport City’s recent 0-1 loss to Baglan Dragons leaves them looking to rebound, while Ynyshir Albions also come off a defeat, 1-2 to Caerphilly Athletic. The model’s most convincing edge is the Home win probability of 37%, comfortably higher than the draw at 29% and the away win at 34%. With an expected 2.6 goals, the average total leans toward a 2-goal game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.7%. Newport’s home form shows they average 1.62 goals scored and 1.62 conceded against stronger opposition, whereas Ynyshir’s away numbers are stark: zero goals scored and 2.67 conceded against weaker sides. The suggested picks include Under 7.5 at 99.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.4%, Under 6.5 at 98.1%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.8%, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.9%, Home under 3.5 goals at 95.1% with an 8% edge, and Under 5.5 at 94.8% with a 5% edge.

Results analysis

The upset came early, as the pre-match favourite, Home win, with a 37% probability, failed to deliver. Newport City, after two straight defeats, lost 0-1 to Ynyshir Albions, who came off a win. The model’s call was wrong. The final score of 0-1 matched the actual result, confirming the away victory. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 (99.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.9%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.3%), Under 6.5 (98.1%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.9%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.1%), and Under 5.5 (94.8%). Each probability was expressed as a percentage, and every pick’s outcome was noted.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newport City win✗ Miss
37.5%
Avg Implied 53.8% · @ 1.69
Edge
-16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.73
Dafabet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.68
Draw✗ Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied 23.6% · @ 3.85
Edge
+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.92
Marathonbet
3.92
Dafabet
3.90
Pinnacle
3.88
Superbet
3.85
Ynyshir Albions win✓ Hit
33.9%
Avg Implied 22.6% · @ 4.03
Edge
+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.26
Marathonbet
4.25
Betfair
4.20
Dafabet
4.10
Superbet
4.00

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Newport CityNewport City

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L04L23L10W04L05L41W12L40W01LA·TRE09/03A·YNY14/03H·TRE20/03A·CAR28/03A·AMM03/04H·TRE18/04A·LLA31/07H·CAR08/08A·PON15/08H·BAG21/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.771.311.691.361.86
vs Stronger (27)1.481.631.501.571.461.69
vs Similar (3)0.003.000.002.500.004.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Ynyshir Albions) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W40W00D14L22D02L00D10W11D12LA·CWM06/03H·NEW14/03A·CAR21/03A·CAR24/03H·TRE28/03A·CAE04/04H·ABE18/04H·CAR01/08A·CAE07/08A·CAE22/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.871.001.500.942.19
vs Stronger (6)0.671.831.002.000.501.75
vs Similar (18)1.171.780.891.331.442.22
vs Weaker (6)0.672.171.331.670.002.67
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Newport City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%016%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.3%
@ 1.15-3.4%
Under 1.5
24.7%
@ 4.23+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Under
Marathonbet
4.35
1xBet
4.35
Superbet
4.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.2%
@ 1.61-8.0%
Under 2.5
50.8%
@ 2.15+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.61
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Under
Pinnacle
2.21
Marathonbet
2.17
1xBet
2.17
Bet365
2.15
Superbet
2.15
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.3%
@ 2.49-9.3%
Under 3.5
72.7%
@ 1.44+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.50
1xBet
2.49
Marathonbet
2.49
Pinnacle
2.48
Under
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.9%
@ 1.60-2.3%
No
45.1%
@ 2.15+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.63
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
No
1xBet
2.17
Superbet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.13

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%@ 7.00+7.7%
1-0
8.4%@ 8.00+3.2%
2-1
8.4%@ 7.83+3.1%
0-0
8.4%@ 13.00+5.2%
1-2
8.0%@ 13.00+4.7%
0-1 ✓
7.9%@ 12.33+4.5%
2-0
6.6%@ 8.50+1.7%
0-2
5.9%@ 21.00+3.9%
Newport City goals ↓
Ynyshir Albions goals →
01234
08.4%7.9%5.9%2.5%0.8%
18.4%14%8.0%3.4%1.1%
26.6%8.4%5.4%2.3%0.7%
33.0%3.8%2.5%1.0%0.3%
41.0%1.3%0.8%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Newport City goals (down), columns = Ynyshir Albions goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Swansea University
2.60
Pontypridd Town
2.60
Newtown AFC
2.60
Brickfield Rangers
2.50
Bala Town
2.40
Aberystwyth Town
2.40
Mold Alexandra
2.17
Bangor City 1876 FC
2.00
Caersws
2.00
Porthmadog
1.83
Treowen Stars
1.80
Carmarthen Town
1.67
Baglan Dragons
1.67
Ynyshir Albions
1.60
Guilsfield
1.50
Rhyl
1.40
Caerphilly Athletic
1.40
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.33
Llanuwchllyn
1.20
Newport City
1.20
Afan Lido
1.17
Caerau (Ely)
1.17
Cardiff Draconians
1.00
Holyhead Hotspur
0.80
Ruthin Town
0.67
Buckley Town
0.67
Denbigh Town
0.67
Pontardawe Town
0.60
llanelli AFC
0.33
Penrhyncoch
0.20
Llantwit Major
0.00
Gresford Athletic
0.00
Newport City is 0.40 points worse than Ynyshir Albions in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.60).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Swansea University
3.60
Pontypridd Town
3.20
Aberystwyth Town
3.20
Brickfield Rangers
2.83
Newtown AFC
2.80
Treowen Stars
2.60
Carmarthen Town
2.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
2.33
Caerau (Ely)
2.17
Bala Town
2.00
Trethomas Bluebirds
2.00
Mold Alexandra
2.00
Guilsfield
2.00
Caersws
2.00
Afan Lido
1.83
Porthmadog
1.83
Denbigh Town
1.83
Rhyl
1.80
Newport City
1.80
Holyhead Hotspur
1.40
Cardiff Draconians
1.25
Buckley Town
1.17
llanelli AFC
1.00
Llanuwchllyn
1.00
Pontardawe Town
1.00
Ruthin Town
1.00
Baglan Dragons
0.83
Ynyshir Albions
0.80
Penrhyncoch
0.60
Caerphilly Athletic
0.60
Llantwit Major
0.25
Gresford Athletic
0.00
Newport City is 1.00 goals better than Ynyshir Albions in terms of goals scored per game (1.80 vs 0.80).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Newtown AFC
0.20
Ynyshir Albions
0.60
Brickfield Rangers
0.67
Bala Town
0.80
Baglan Dragons
0.83
Swansea University
1.00
Mold Alexandra
1.00
Aberystwyth Town
1.00
Newport City
1.00
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.33
Caerphilly Athletic
1.40
Caersws
1.40
Porthmadog
1.50
Guilsfield
1.50
Rhyl
1.60
Cardiff Draconians
1.75
Treowen Stars
1.80
Holyhead Hotspur
1.80
Pontardawe Town
1.80
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.83
Buckley Town
1.83
Pontypridd Town
2.00
Afan Lido
2.17
Ruthin Town
2.17
Carmarthen Town
2.33
Denbigh Town
2.33
Gresford Athletic
2.80
Caerau (Ely)
2.83
llanelli AFC
3.00
Llanuwchllyn
3.00
Penrhyncoch
3.20
Llantwit Major
3.50
Newport City is 0.40 goals worse than Ynyshir Albions in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.60).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Newport City or Draw✗ Miss
66.1%
Avg Implied 77.5% · @ 1.18
Edge
-11.4%
37%
29%
34%
covers Newport City + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
Newport City or Ynyshir Albions✓ Hit
71.4%
Avg Implied 76.5% · @ 1.20
Edge
-5.1%
37%
29%
34%
covers Newport City + Ynyshir Albions
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Draw or Ynyshir Albions✓ Hit
62.5%
Avg Implied 46.0% · @ 1.99
Edge
+16.5%
37%
29%
34%
covers Draw + Ynyshir Albions
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.10
Marathonbet
2.04
1xBet
2.03
Superbet
1.95
Bet365
1.91

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Newport City over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
74.3%
@ 1.09-8.8%
Under
25.7%
@ 5.38+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Under
1xBet
5.90
Superbet
4.85
Newport City over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
39.4%
@ 1.64-17.2%
Under
60.6%
@ 2.13+17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.64
Marathonbet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.17
Marathonbet
2.14
1xBet
2.14
Superbet
2.07
Newport City over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.7%
@ 3.06-14.1%
Under
84.3%
@ 1.30+14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.20
Superbet
2.92
Under
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.29
Newport City over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.9%
@ 7.00-8.1%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.05+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Under
1xBet
1.05
Ynyshir Albions over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.2%
@ 1.38+6.0%
Under
27.8%
@ 2.71-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.40
1xBet
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Under
Pinnacle
2.74
1xBet
2.71
Superbet
2.67
Ynyshir Albions over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
36.7%
@ 2.88+5.0%
Under
63.3%
@ 1.34-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.93
1xBet
2.93
Superbet
2.77
Under
Superbet
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Ynyshir Albions over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.9%
@ 6.60+0.1%
Under
86.1%
@ 1.05-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Superbet
6.20
Under
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Ynyshir Albions over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.1%
Under
95.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Newport City, so a minus line means Newport City give that many goals of a start and Ynyshir Albions receive them. At -1, Newport City must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Newport City win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Newport City)Actual: Ynyshir Albions
Newport City -2
6.4%
@ 5.40-10.0%
Draw -2
11.3%
@ 5.00-6.4%
Ynyshir Albions +2
82.2%
@ 1.35+16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.40
Draw
Marathonbet
5.00
Away
Marathonbet
1.35
Handicap -1 (Newport City)Actual: Ynyshir Albions
Newport City -1
17.8%
@ 2.77-14.0%
Draw -1
19.7%
@ 3.59-4.8%
Ynyshir Albions +1
62.5%
@ 2.02+18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.80
Marathonbet
2.74
Draw
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.58
Away
Marathonbet
2.04
Betfair
2.00
Handicap +1 (Newport City)Actual: Draw
Newport City +1
66.1%
Draw +1
18.5%
Ynyshir Albions -1
15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Newport City)Actual: Newport City
Newport City +2
84.6%
Draw +2
10.1%
Ynyshir Albions -2
5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Newport CityNewport City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L11D00D02L03L31W02L20W00DA·TRE09/03A·YNY14/03H·TRE20/03A·CAR28/03A·AMM03/04H·TRE18/04A·LLA31/07H·CAR08/08A·PON15/08H·BAG21/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.620.750.710.71
vs Stronger (27)0.740.630.710.640.770.62
vs Similar (3)0.001.670.001.500.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Ynyshir Albions) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W00D01L21W01L00D00D00D01LA·CWM06/03H·NEW14/03A·CAR21/03A·CAR24/03H·TRE28/03A·CAE04/04H·ABE18/04H·CAR01/08A·CAE07/08A·CAE22/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.970.640.640.251.25
vs Stronger (6)0.330.831.001.000.000.75
vs Similar (18)0.500.940.560.440.441.44
vs Weaker (6)0.331.170.671.000.001.33
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Newport City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
67.3%
@ 1.26-4.8%
Under 0.5
32.7%
@ 3.28+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Under
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.34
Betfair
3.30
Superbet
3.15
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.0%
@ 2.33-5.1%
Under 1.5
66.0%
@ 1.50+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.40
Marathonbet
2.34
1xBet
2.34
Pinnacle
2.34
Superbet
2.32
Under
Pinnacle
1.53
Superbet
1.52
Betfair
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.9%
@ 5.22-7.6%
Under 2.5
90.1%
@ 1.11+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.30
Superbet
4.85
Under
1xBet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.10

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Newport City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
50.2%
@ 1.62-6.6%
Under
49.8%
@ 2.13+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.63
Superbet
1.63
Pinnacle
1.61
Under
Pinnacle
2.19
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.09
Newport City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.2%
@ 3.90-8.4%
Under
84.8%
@ 1.20+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.90
Under
1xBet
1.20
Newport City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 9.10-7.2%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.03+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
Under
1xBet
1.03
Ynyshir Albions over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
36.7%
@ 2.32-2.8%
Under
63.3%
@ 1.52+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.36
1xBet
2.30
Superbet
2.30
Under
Superbet
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Ynyshir Albions over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.1%
@ 7.30-4.5%
Under
91.9%
@ 1.06+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.30
Under
1xBet
1.06
Ynyshir Albions over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.1%
@ 11.00-7.3%
Under
98.9%
@ 1.01+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Newport CityNewport City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L12L10W02L02L10W10W20W01LA·TRE09/03A·YNY14/03H·TRE20/03A·CAR28/03A·AMM03/04H·TRE18/04A·LLA31/07H·CAR08/08A·PON15/08H·BAG21/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.030.690.940.641.14
vs Stronger (27)0.741.000.790.930.691.08
vs Similar (3)0.001.330.001.000.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Ynyshir Albions) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W20W00D13L01L01L00D10W11D11DA·CWM06/03H·NEW14/03A·CAR21/03A·CAR24/03H·TRE28/03A·CAE04/04H·ABE18/04H·CAR01/08A·CAE07/08A·CAE22/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.900.360.860.690.94
vs Stronger (6)0.331.000.001.000.501.00
vs Similar (18)0.670.830.330.891.000.78
vs Weaker (6)0.331.000.670.670.001.33
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Newport City) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.1%
@ 1.16-0.1%
Under 0.5
20.9%
@ 4.38+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Under
1xBet
4.60
Superbet
4.15
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
41.5%
@ 1.84-8.6%
Under 1.5
58.5%
@ 1.85+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.4%
@ 3.52-9.4%
Under 2.5
83.6%
@ 1.23+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.60
Superbet
3.45
Under
1xBet
1.23
Superbet
1.22

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Newport City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
60.1%
@ 1.45-2.9%
Under
39.9%
@ 2.46+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.45
Superbet
1.44
Under
Superbet
2.50
1xBet
2.43
Newport City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
21.9%
@ 3.00-8.4%
Under
78.1%
@ 1.30+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.00
Under
1xBet
1.30
Newport City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.8%
@ 7.30-6.9%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.06+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.30
Under
1xBet
1.06
Ynyshir Albions over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
43.1%
@ 1.96-4.0%
Under
56.9%
@ 1.75+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.97
Superbet
1.95
Under
Superbet
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Ynyshir Albions over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.3%
@ 5.25-5.2%
Under
87.7%
@ 1.11+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.25
Under
1xBet
1.11
Ynyshir Albions over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 11.00-6.7%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.9%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+7.3%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals98.3%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+6.7%✓ Hit
Under 6.598.1%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals97.1%1.03
1xBet
1.03
----+7.2%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals95.9%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals95.1%1.05
1xBet
1.05
----+8.1%✓ Hit
Under 5.594.8%1.03
1xBet
1.03
----+5.1%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals94.2%1.06
1xBet
1.06
----+6.9%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals91.9%1.06
1xBet
1.06
----+4.5%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals90.1%1.11
1xBet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.10
--+7.6%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals87.7%1.11
1xBet
1.11
----+5.2%✓ Hit
Under 4.587.2%1.14
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
--+7.6%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals86.1%1.05
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
----0.1%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals84.8%1.20
1xBet
1.20
----+8.4%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap84.6%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals84.3%1.30
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.29
---+14.1%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals83.6%1.23
1xBet
1.23
Superbet
1.22
---+9.4%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap82.2%1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
----+16.4%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals79.1%1.16
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.15
----0.1%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals78.1%1.30
1xBet
1.30
----+8.4%✓ Hit
Over 1.575.3%1.15
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
---3.4%✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals74.3%1.09
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
----8.8%✗ Miss
Under 3.572.7%1.44
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
-+9.3%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals72.2%1.38
Pinnacle
1.40
1xBet
1.37
Superbet
1.37
--+6.0%✓ Hit
Home or Away71.4%1.20
Betano
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.17
-5.1%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (12)
€1m
NC (4)
€0m
AT (2)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (4)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (2)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
NC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (6)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
NC wins
1
Draws
1
YA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Newport City vs Ynyshir Albions · H/A from NC
DateH/AGameScore
14/03/26AYnyshir Albions Vs NC4-0
22/08/25HNC Vs Ynyshir Albions1-1

Newport CityNewport City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26HNC Vs Baglan Dragons0-1
15/08/26APontardawe Town Vs NC0-4
08/08/26HNC Vs Carmarthen Town1-2
31/07/26Allanelli AFC Vs NC1-4
18/04/26HNC Vs Trefelin0-5
03/04/26AAmmanford AFC Vs NC4-0
28/03/26ACardiff Draconians Vs NC0-1
20/03/26HNC Vs Treowen Stars2-3
14/03/26AYnyshir Albions Vs NC4-0
09/03/26ATrethomas Bluebirds Vs NC1-0

Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26ACaerphilly Athletic Vs YA2-1
07/08/26ACaerau (Ely) Vs YA1-1
01/08/26HYA Vs Cardiff Draconians1-0
18/04/26HYA Vs Aberystwyth Town0-0
04/04/26ACaerau (Ely) Vs YA2-0
28/03/26HYA Vs Trethomas Bluebirds2-2
24/03/26ACardiff Draconians Vs YA4-1
21/03/26ACarmarthen Town Vs YA0-0
14/03/26HYA Vs Newport City4-0
06/03/26ACwmbran Celtic Vs YA1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Newport City
Newport City
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL1.56
HomeLLLLL1.46
AwayLWLWW1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%38%50%
AVG goals2.922.882.96
Over 1.5 %74%77%71%
Over 2.5 %54%62%46%
Over 3.5 %32%27%38%
Scored1.561.541.58
Conceded1.361.351.38
BTTS52%65%38%
Clean Sheet30%23%38%
Corners---
Cards---
Ynyshir Albions
Ynyshir Albions
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWDL0.88
HomeDWDDW1.24
AwayDLLDL0.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%32%12%
AVG goals3.002.723.28
Over 1.5 %80%68%92%
Over 2.5 %56%52%60%
Over 3.5 %38%36%40%
Scored1.021.120.92
Conceded1.981.602.36
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet22%36%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brickfield RangersBrickfield Rangers615
83%
2.5
174+13
3.5
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.7
-
2Swansea UniversitySwansea University513
80%
2.6
185+13
4.6
100%
100%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.0
-
3Newtown AFCNewtown AFC513
80%
2.6
141+13
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.2
-
4Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town513
80%
2.6
1610+6
5.2
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.22.0
-
5Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra613
67%
2.2
126+6
3.0
67%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
-
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town512
80%
2.4
165+11
4.2
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.21.0
-
7Bangor City 1876 FCBangor City 1876 FC612
67%
2.0
148+6
3.7
100%
100%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.3
-
8Bala TownBala Town512
80%
2.4
104+6
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.8
-
9PorthmadogPorthmadog611
50%
1.8
119+2
3.3
83%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
10CaerswsCaersws510
60%
2.0
107+3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.4
-
11Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town610
50%
1.7
1514+1
4.8
100%
100%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.52.3
-
12Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons610
50%
1.7
55+0
1.7
33%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.8
-
13Treowen StarsTreowen Stars59
60%
1.8
139+4
4.4
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.8
-
14GuilsfieldGuilsfield69
33%
1.5
129+3
3.5
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.5
-
15Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds68
33%
1.3
1211+1
3.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.8
-
16Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions58
40%
1.6
43+1
1.4
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.6
-
17RhylRhyl57
40%
1.4
98+1
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
18Afan LidoAfan Lido67
33%
1.2
1113-2
4.0
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.2
-
19Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)67
33%
1.2
1317-4
5.0
100%
83%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.22.8
-
20Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic57
40%
1.4
37-4
2.0
60%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
21Newport CityNewport City56
40%
1.2
95+4
2.8
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
22LlanuwchllynLlanuwchllyn56
40%
1.2
515-10
4.0
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
23Holyhead HotspurHolyhead Hotspur54
20%
0.8
79-2
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
24Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
25Denbigh TownDenbigh Town64
17%
0.7
1114-3
4.2
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.3
-
26Buckley TownBuckley Town64
17%
0.7
711-4
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
27Ruthin TownRuthin Town64
17%
0.7
613-7
3.2
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
28Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town53
20%
0.6
59-4
2.8
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
29llanelli AFCllanelli AFC62
0%
0.3
618-12
4.0
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
30PenrhyncochPenrhyncoch51
0%
0.2
316-13
3.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.2
-
31Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major40
0%
0.0
114-13
3.8
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.23.5
-
32Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic50
0%
0.0
014-14
2.8
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.8
-
Wales: FAW Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: FAW Championship stats & trends →

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