PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Newtown AFC vs Denbigh Town Prediction & Stats

Date: 05/09/2026
Time: 13:30
Newtown AFC
Newtown AFC
Vs
72%
16%
12%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Denbigh Town
Denbigh Town
Wales: FAW Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Newtown AFC are clear favourites, the model assigning a 72% chance to a home win and 16% to a draw, with only 12% for Denbigh Town. The prediction rests on Newtown’s strong home form, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.62 conceded against stronger opposition, while Denbigh, playing away against a weaker side, averages 1.33 scored and 3.5 conceded. The expected total is 4.2 goals, with the most likely total being 6 + at 25%. The single most probable scoreline is 2-1, with an 8.1% probability. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97%, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.3%, Home +2 handicap at 95.2%, Home over 0.5 goals at 95.0% with a 6% edge, Under 7.5 at 93.4%, Over 1.5 at 92.9% with a 6% edge, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 91.7%. Newtown’s recent 2-game winning run and a 1-0 win over Bala Town contrast with Denbigh’s recent loss, reinforcing the home advantage.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newtown AFC win
72.2%
Avg Implied 63.7% · @ 1.42
Edge
+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Dafabet
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Draw
15.6%
Avg Implied 19.9% · @ 4.56
Edge
-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.75
Dafabet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.60
Superbet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Denbigh Town win
12.2%
Avg Implied 16.4% · @ 5.53
Edge
-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
6.00
Dafabet
5.80
Marathonbet
5.70
Superbet
5.50
1xBet
5.49

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Newtown AFCNewtown AFC

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L12L06L12L32W30W50W11D40W10WA·HOL28/03H·MOL03/04A·HOL08/04H·LLA11/04A·RUT18/04A·GRE02/08H·PEN08/08H·GUI15/08H·LLA28/08A·BAL31/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.532.001.561.501.50
vs Stronger (18)1.721.332.001.621.501.10
vs Similar (9)1.221.781.671.330.332.67
vs Weaker (3)3.672.003.002.005.002.00
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Denbigh Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Denbigh TownDenbigh Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-603L11D10W06L42W12L12L23L22D13LA·RHY27/03H·HOL31/03H·PEN03/04A·CAE18/04A·BUC01/08H·BAN08/08A·RUT14/08H·POR21/08A·PEN28/08H·RHY31/08
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.532.231.541.691.532.65
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.612.061.571.861.642.18
vs Weaker (12)1.422.501.501.501.333.50
Clean sheet %7% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Newtown AFC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%2%05%114%218%319%416%525%6+
The model estimates around 4.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
92.9%
@ 1.07+7.8%
Under 1.5
7.1%
@ 6.15-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Under
1xBet
7.00
Superbet
5.30
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
79.4%
@ 1.37+13.0%
Under 2.5
20.6%
@ 2.71-13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.37
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Under
Bet365
2.75
Superbet
2.70
Marathonbet
2.70
1xBet
2.69
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
61.0%
@ 1.96+14.1%
Under 3.5
39.0%
@ 1.73-14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.97
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.97
Betano
1.91
Under
Superbet
1.75
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Betano
1.70
Both teams to score
Yes
68.0%
@ 1.51+7.2%
No
32.0%
@ 2.34-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
1xBet
1.49
No
1xBet
2.39
Superbet
2.35
Marathonbet
2.29

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.1%@ 8.17+2.9%
3-1
8.1%@ 10.00+3.9%
2-0
6.5%@ 8.67+1.7%
3-0
6.5%@ 10.67+2.5%
4-1
6.0%@ 15.00+3.2%
1-1
6.0%@ 9.33+1.4%
2-2
5.0%@ 13.00+1.8%
3-2
5.0%@ 17.00+2.5%
Newtown AFC goals ↓
Denbigh Town goals →
01234
02.0%1.3%1.1%0.5%0.1%
13.8%6.0%3.4%1.4%0.4%
26.5%8.1%5.0%2.1%0.6%
36.5%8.1%5.0%2.1%0.6%
44.9%6.0%3.7%1.5%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Newtown AFC goals (down), columns = Denbigh Town goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Swansea University
2.60
Pontypridd Town
2.60
Newtown AFC
2.60
Brickfield Rangers
2.50
Bala Town
2.40
Aberystwyth Town
2.40
Mold Alexandra
2.17
Bangor City 1876 FC
2.00
Caersws
2.00
Porthmadog
1.83
Treowen Stars
1.80
Carmarthen Town
1.67
Baglan Dragons
1.67
Ynyshir Albions
1.60
Guilsfield
1.50
Rhyl
1.40
Caerphilly Athletic
1.40
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.33
Llanuwchllyn
1.20
Newport City
1.20
Afan Lido
1.17
Caerau (Ely)
1.17
Cardiff Draconians
1.00
Holyhead Hotspur
0.80
Ruthin Town
0.67
Buckley Town
0.67
Denbigh Town
0.67
Pontardawe Town
0.60
llanelli AFC
0.33
Penrhyncoch
0.20
Llantwit Major
0.00
Gresford Athletic
0.00
Newtown AFC is 1.93 points better than Denbigh Town in terms of average points per game (2.60 vs 0.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Swansea University
3.60
Pontypridd Town
3.20
Aberystwyth Town
3.20
Brickfield Rangers
2.83
Newtown AFC
2.80
Treowen Stars
2.60
Carmarthen Town
2.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
2.33
Caerau (Ely)
2.17
Bala Town
2.00
Trethomas Bluebirds
2.00
Mold Alexandra
2.00
Guilsfield
2.00
Caersws
2.00
Afan Lido
1.83
Porthmadog
1.83
Denbigh Town
1.83
Rhyl
1.80
Newport City
1.80
Holyhead Hotspur
1.40
Cardiff Draconians
1.25
Buckley Town
1.17
llanelli AFC
1.00
Llanuwchllyn
1.00
Pontardawe Town
1.00
Ruthin Town
1.00
Baglan Dragons
0.83
Ynyshir Albions
0.80
Penrhyncoch
0.60
Caerphilly Athletic
0.60
Llantwit Major
0.25
Gresford Athletic
0.00
Newtown AFC is 0.97 goals better than Denbigh Town in terms of goals scored per game (2.80 vs 1.83).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Newtown AFC
0.20
Ynyshir Albions
0.60
Brickfield Rangers
0.67
Bala Town
0.80
Baglan Dragons
0.83
Swansea University
1.00
Mold Alexandra
1.00
Aberystwyth Town
1.00
Newport City
1.00
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.33
Caerphilly Athletic
1.40
Caersws
1.40
Porthmadog
1.50
Guilsfield
1.50
Rhyl
1.60
Cardiff Draconians
1.75
Treowen Stars
1.80
Holyhead Hotspur
1.80
Pontardawe Town
1.80
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.83
Buckley Town
1.83
Pontypridd Town
2.00
Afan Lido
2.17
Ruthin Town
2.17
Carmarthen Town
2.33
Denbigh Town
2.33
Gresford Athletic
2.80
Caerau (Ely)
2.83
llanelli AFC
3.00
Llanuwchllyn
3.00
Penrhyncoch
3.20
Llantwit Major
3.50
Newtown AFC is 2.13 goals better than Denbigh Town in terms of goals conceded per game (0.20 vs 2.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Newtown AFC or Draw
87.8%
Avg Implied 83.4% · @ 1.10
Edge
+4.4%
72%
16%
12%
covers Newtown AFC + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Newtown AFC or Denbigh Town
84.4%
Avg Implied 80.1% · @ 1.14
Edge
+4.3%
72%
16%
12%
covers Newtown AFC + Denbigh Town
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Draw or Denbigh Town
27.8%
Avg Implied 36.5% · @ 2.51
Edge
-8.7%
72%
16%
12%
covers Draw + Denbigh Town
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.80
Marathonbet
2.55
Superbet
2.50
1xBet
2.43
Bet365
2.40

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Newtown AFC over/under 0.5
Over
95.0%
@ 1.03+6.8%
Under
5.0%
@ 7.70-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.03
Under
1xBet
7.70
Newtown AFC over/under 1.5
Over
79.9%
@ 1.35+12.5%
Under
20.1%
@ 2.80-12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Under
Superbet
2.80
1xBet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.80
Newtown AFC over/under 2.5
Over
57.4%
@ 2.11+13.9%
Under
42.6%
@ 1.63-13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.14
Marathonbet
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Under
Superbet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.60
Newtown AFC over/under 3.5
Over
35.0%
@ 3.75+10.8%
Under
65.0%
@ 1.20-10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.90
Superbet
3.60
Under
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Denbigh Town over/under 0.5
Over
71.1%
@ 1.38+5.2%
Under
28.9%
@ 2.67-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.37
Under
1xBet
2.71
Superbet
2.62
Denbigh Town over/under 1.5
Over
35.2%
@ 2.85+3.2%
Under
64.8%
@ 1.34-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.93
Superbet
2.82
1xBet
2.80
Under
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Denbigh Town over/under 2.5
Over
12.9%
@ 6.40-1.3%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.06+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.40
Superbet
6.40
Under
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.05
Denbigh Town over/under 3.5
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Newtown AFC, so a minus line means Newtown AFC give that many goals of a start and Denbigh Town receive them. At -1, Newtown AFC must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Newtown AFC win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Newtown AFC)
Newtown AFC -2
34.1%
@ 3.34+7.8%
Draw -2
19.4%
@ 4.30-1.1%
Denbigh Town +2
46.5%
@ 1.65-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.34
Draw
Marathonbet
4.30
Away
Marathonbet
1.65
Handicap -1 (Newtown AFC)
Newtown AFC -1
53.5%
@ 2.04+9.8%
Draw -1
18.7%
@ 3.83-4.4%
Denbigh Town +1
27.8%
@ 2.67-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.07
Betfair
2.00
Draw
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.66
Away
Betfair
2.80
Marathonbet
2.55
Handicap +1 (Newtown AFC)
Newtown AFC +1
87.8%
Draw +1
7.5%
Denbigh Town -1
4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Newtown AFC)
Newtown AFC +2
95.2%
Draw +2
3.3%
Denbigh Town -2
1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Newtown AFCNewtown AFC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L00D05L01L11D20W30W11D10W00DA·HOL28/03H·MOL03/04A·HOL08/04H·LLA11/04A·RUT18/04A·GRE02/08H·PEN08/08H·GUI15/08H·LLA28/08A·BAL31/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.700.880.690.710.71
vs Stronger (18)0.890.561.000.750.800.40
vs Similar (9)0.331.000.500.500.002.00
vs Weaker (3)1.670.671.501.002.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Denbigh Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Denbigh TownDenbigh Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W10W03L31W00D00D01L01L12LA·RHY27/03H·HOL31/03H·PEN03/04A·CAE18/04A·BUC01/08H·BAN08/08A·RUT14/08H·POR21/08A·PEN28/08H·RHY31/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.200.770.690.531.59
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.671.000.710.860.641.09
vs Weaker (12)0.581.500.830.500.332.50
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Newtown AFC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.7%
@ 1.17-1.8%
Under 0.5
23.3%
@ 4.27+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Under
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Superbet
3.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
46.3%
@ 1.98+0.1%
Under 1.5
53.7%
@ 1.70-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
Betfair
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Betano
1.95
Under
Betfair
1.75
Superbet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Betano
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.8%
@ 3.85-3.0%
Under 2.5
79.2%
@ 1.20+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.80
Superbet
3.75
Under
1xBet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.18

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Newtown AFC over/under 0.5 HT
Over
62.0%
@ 1.41-2.5%
Under
38.0%
@ 2.56+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.43
Superbet
1.39
Under
Superbet
2.62
1xBet
2.50
Newtown AFC over/under 1.5 HT
Over
23.0%
Under
77.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newtown AFC over/under 2.5 HT
Over
8.9%
Under
91.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Denbigh Town over/under 0.5 HT
Over
37.2%
@ 2.31-2.3%
Under
62.8%
@ 1.51+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.35
1xBet
2.27
Under
1xBet
1.52
Superbet
1.50
Denbigh Town over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.3%
Under
91.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Denbigh Town over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Newtown AFCNewtown AFC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L12L01L11D21W10W20W00D30W10WA·HOL28/03H·MOL03/04A·HOL08/04H·LLA11/04A·RUT18/04A·GRE02/08H·PEN08/08H·GUI15/08H·LLA28/08A·BAL31/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.831.120.880.790.79
vs Stronger (18)0.830.781.000.880.700.70
vs Similar (9)0.890.781.170.830.330.67
vs Weaker (3)2.001.331.501.003.002.00
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Denbigh Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Denbigh TownDenbigh Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L00D03L11D12L12L22D21W01LA·RHY27/03H·HOL31/03H·PEN03/04A·CAE18/04A·BUC01/08H·BAN08/08A·RUT14/08H·POR21/08A·PEN28/08H·RHY31/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.030.771.001.001.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.941.060.861.001.001.09
vs Weaker (12)0.831.000.671.001.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Newtown AFC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
83.9%
@ 1.09+0.2%
Under 0.5
16.1%
@ 5.60-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
Under
1xBet
6.10
Superbet
5.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
52.3%
@ 1.58-5.5%
Under 1.5
47.7%
@ 2.16+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.59
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Under
Superbet
2.17
1xBet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.16
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
29.2%
@ 2.75-3.9%
Under 2.5
70.8%
@ 1.36+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.75
Superbet
2.75
1xBet
2.75
Under
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Superbet
1.36

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Newtown AFC over/under 0.5 2H
Over
70.1%
@ 1.27-1.5%
Under
29.9%
@ 3.20+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.27
Under
1xBet
3.20
Newtown AFC over/under 1.5 2H
Over
34.6%
@ 2.32-5.0%
Under
65.4%
@ 1.52+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.32
Under
Superbet
1.52
Newtown AFC over/under 2.5 2H
Over
13.2%
Under
86.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Denbigh Town over/under 0.5 2H
Over
44.5%
@ 1.95-2.5%
Under
55.5%
@ 1.73+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.97
1xBet
1.92
Under
1xBet
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Denbigh Town over/under 1.5 2H
Over
12.7%
Under
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Denbigh Town over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.0%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.0%-------
Away under 3.5 goals96.3%-------
Home +2 handicap95.2%-------
Home over 0.5 goals95.0%1.03
1xBet
1.03
----+6.8%
Under 7.593.4%-------
Over 1.592.9%1.07
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
---+7.8%
Away under 1.5 HT goals91.7%-------
Home under 2.5 HT goals91.1%-------
Home or Draw87.8%1.10
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.08
+4.4%
Home +1 handicap87.8%-------
Away under 1.5 2H goals87.3%-------
Away under 2.5 goals87.1%1.06
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.05
---+1.3%
Home under 2.5 2H goals86.8%-------
Under 6.586.4%-------
Home or Away84.4%1.14
Betfair
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
+4.3%
Over 0.5 2H goals83.9%1.09
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
---+0.2%
Home over 1.5 goals79.9%1.35
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Superbet
1.34
--+12.5%
Over 2.579.4%1.37
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.37
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
-+13.0%
Under 2.5 HT goals79.2%1.20
1xBet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.18
--+3.0%
Home under 1.5 HT goals77.0%-------
Over 0.5 HT goals76.7%1.17
1xBet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.17
---1.8%
Under 5.574.8%1.10
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
----7.8%
Home win72.2%1.42
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Dafabet
1.44
Superbet
1.44
+8.5%
Away over 0.5 goals71.1%1.38
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.37
---+5.2%
Under 2.5 2H goals70.8%1.36
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Superbet
1.36
--+3.9%
Home over 0.5 2H goals70.1%1.27
1xBet
1.27
-----1.5%

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (12)
€1m
NC (4)
€0m
AT (2)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (4)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (2)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
NC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (6)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
NA wins
0
Draws
1
DT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Newtown AFC vs Denbigh Town · H/A from NA
DateH/AGameScore
24/01/26ADenbigh Town Vs NA1-0
27/09/25HNA Vs Denbigh Town4-2

Newtown AFCNewtown AFC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26ABala Town Vs NA0-1
28/08/26HNA Vs Llanuwchllyn4-0
15/08/26HNA Vs Guilsfield1-1
08/08/26HNA Vs Penrhyncoch5-0
02/08/26AGresford Athletic Vs NA0-3
18/04/26ARuthin Town Vs NA2-3
11/04/26HNA Vs Llandudno1-2
08/04/26AHolywell Vs NA6-0
03/04/26HNA Vs Mold Alexandra1-2
28/03/26AHolyhead Hotspur Vs NA2-0

Denbigh TownDenbigh Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26HDT Vs Rhyl1-3
28/08/26APenrhyncoch Vs DT2-2
21/08/26HDT Vs Porthmadog2-3
14/08/26ARuthin Town Vs DT2-1
08/08/26HDT Vs Bangor City 1876 FC1-2
01/08/26ABuckley Town Vs DT2-4
18/04/26ACaersws Vs DT6-0
03/04/26HDT Vs Penrhyncoch1-0
31/03/26HDT Vs Holyhead Hotspur1-1
27/03/26ARhyl Vs DT3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Newtown AFC
Newtown AFC
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW1.36
HomeLLWDW1.38
AwayLLWWW1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%38%42%
AVG goals3.183.542.79
Over 1.5 %86%96%75%
Over 2.5 %64%73%54%
Over 3.5 %36%46%25%
Scored1.581.921.21
Conceded1.601.621.58
BTTS52%62%42%
Clean Sheet20%19%21%
Corners---
Cards---
Denbigh Town
Denbigh Town
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL1.34
HomeDWLLL1.62
AwayLLWLD1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%50%27%
AVG goals3.643.293.96
Over 1.5 %88%83%92%
Over 2.5 %76%71%81%
Over 3.5 %52%42%62%
Scored1.861.881.85
Conceded1.781.422.12
BTTS72%71%73%
Clean Sheet12%17%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brickfield RangersBrickfield Rangers615
83%
2.5
174+13
3.5
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.7
-
2Swansea UniversitySwansea University513
80%
2.6
185+13
4.6
100%
100%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.0
-
3Newtown AFCNewtown AFC513
80%
2.6
141+13
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.2
-
4Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town513
80%
2.6
1610+6
5.2
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.22.0
-
5Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra613
67%
2.2
126+6
3.0
67%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
-
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town512
80%
2.4
165+11
4.2
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.21.0
-
7Bangor City 1876 FCBangor City 1876 FC612
67%
2.0
148+6
3.7
100%
100%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.3
-
8Bala TownBala Town512
80%
2.4
104+6
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.8
-
9PorthmadogPorthmadog611
50%
1.8
119+2
3.3
83%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
10CaerswsCaersws510
60%
2.0
107+3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.4
-
11Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town610
50%
1.7
1514+1
4.8
100%
100%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.52.3
-
12Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons610
50%
1.7
55+0
1.7
33%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.8
-
13Treowen StarsTreowen Stars59
60%
1.8
139+4
4.4
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.8
-
14GuilsfieldGuilsfield69
33%
1.5
129+3
3.5
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.5
-
15Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds68
33%
1.3
1211+1
3.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.8
-
16Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions58
40%
1.6
43+1
1.4
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.6
-
17RhylRhyl57
40%
1.4
98+1
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
18Afan LidoAfan Lido67
33%
1.2
1113-2
4.0
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.2
-
19Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)67
33%
1.2
1317-4
5.0
100%
83%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.22.8
-
20Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic57
40%
1.4
37-4
2.0
60%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
21Newport CityNewport City56
40%
1.2
95+4
2.8
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
22LlanuwchllynLlanuwchllyn56
40%
1.2
515-10
4.0
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
23Holyhead HotspurHolyhead Hotspur54
20%
0.8
79-2
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
24Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
25Denbigh TownDenbigh Town64
17%
0.7
1114-3
4.2
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.3
-
26Buckley TownBuckley Town64
17%
0.7
711-4
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
27Ruthin TownRuthin Town64
17%
0.7
613-7
3.2
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
28Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town53
20%
0.6
59-4
2.8
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
29llanelli AFCllanelli AFC62
0%
0.3
618-12
4.0
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
30PenrhyncochPenrhyncoch51
0%
0.2
316-13
3.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.2
-
31Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major40
0%
0.0
114-13
3.8
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.23.5
-
32Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic50
0%
0.0
014-14
2.8
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.8
-
Wales: FAW Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: FAW Championship stats & trends →

← all matches