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Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn Result & Analysis

Date: 28/08/2026
Time: 18:45
Final 4-0
Newtown AFC
Newtown AFC
Vs
81%
12%
7%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Llanuwchllyn
Llanuwchllyn
Wales: FAW Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Newtown AFC are the clear favourites, with the model giving them an 81% chance of victory, a 12% chance of a draw and only a 7% chance for Llanuwchllyn to win. The predicted result is a home win, and the model favours a 3-1 scoreline, which carries an 8.1% probability. The expected total of 4.4 goals points to a high-scoring affair, and the most likely total is 6 + goals, with a 28% chance. Newtown’s home form shows they average 1.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded against stronger opposition, while Llanuwchllyn’s away form is stronger, averaging 2.0 goals scored and only 1.0 conceded against weaker teams. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.8%), Home +2 handicap (97.4%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.4%), Home over 0.5 goals (96.5% with a 7% edge), Over 1.5 (93.9% with a 10% edge), Away under 1.5 HT goals (93.2%) and Home or Draw (92.6% with a 9% edge).

Results analysis

Newtown AFC extended their unbeaten run, beating Llanuwchllyn 4-0 to secure a home win, the very result the model predicted. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was chosen with an 81% probability and proved correct. The model’s selections largely hit: Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.5%) and Away under 3.5 goals (97.8%) both came through, as did Home +2 handicap (97.4%), Home over 0.5 goals (96.5%), Over 1.5 (93.9%), Home or Draw (92.6%) and Home +1 handicap (92.6%). Even the edge-heavy picks such as Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.4%) and the 7% edge on Home +2 were fulfilled. The match finished 4-0, confirming the model’s accurate forecast.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newtown AFC win✓ Hit
80.6%
Avg Implied 67.7% · @ 1.34
Edge
+12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.39
Dafabet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Bet365
1.33
Draw✗ Miss
12.0%
Avg Implied 17.5% · @ 5.20
Edge
-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.63
1xBet
5.45
Marathonbet
5.45
Dafabet
5.40
Superbet
5.15
Llanuwchllyn win✗ Miss
7.4%
Avg Implied 14.8% · @ 6.12
Edge
-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.75
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Dafabet
6.00

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Newtown AFCNewtown AFC

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L61W02L12L06L12L32W30W50W11DH·BUC20/03H·RHY24/03A·HOL28/03H·MOL03/04A·HOL08/04H·LLA11/04A·RUT18/04A·GRE02/08H·PEN08/08H·GUI15/08
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.631.881.621.431.64
vs Stronger (18)1.611.391.751.751.501.10
vs Similar (9)1.112.001.671.330.003.33
vs Weaker (3)3.672.003.002.005.002.00
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Llanuwchllyn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LlanuwchllynLlanuwchllyn

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-721W00D30W17L15L21W05LA·PEN21/09H·NEW19/10H·SWA16/11A·DEN14/12A·BRI01/08H·BUC08/08A·BAN15/08
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.292.711.670.331.004.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.403.602.500.500.675.67
vs Weaker (2)1.000.500.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %29% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Newtown AFC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%2%05%112%217%319%417%528%6+
The model estimates around 4.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
93.9%
@ 1.07+8.6%
Under 1.5
6.1%
@ 6.22-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Under
1xBet
7.00
Superbet
5.45
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
81.6%
@ 1.33+13.4%
Under 2.5
18.4%
@ 2.87-13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Under
Marathonbet
2.97
1xBet
2.97
Superbet
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.3%
@ 1.89+15.5%
Under 3.5
35.7%
@ 1.80-15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.92
Pinnacle
1.91
1xBet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.88
Betano
1.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Superbet
1.78
Betano
1.75
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.2%
@ 1.54+3.6%
No
36.8%
@ 2.27-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.56
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
No
1xBet
2.29
Superbet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.24

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-1
8.1%@ 9.67+3.8%
3-0
7.7%@ 9.33+3.2%
2-1
7.2%@ 8.50+2.3%
2-0
6.9%@ 8.00+1.7%
4-1
6.8%@ 14.00+3.8%
4-0 ✓
6.5%@ 13.00+3.3%
1-1
4.7%@ 10.00+0.5%
5-1
4.6%@ 24.33+2.9%
Newtown AFC goals ↓
Llanuwchllyn goals →
01234
01.7%0.9%0.7%0.2%0.1%
13.7%4.7%2.3%0.8%0.2%
26.9%7.2%3.8%1.3%0.3%
37.7%8.1%4.3%1.5%0.4%
46.5%6.8%3.6%1.3%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Newtown AFC goals (down), columns = Llanuwchllyn goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Swansea University
2.60
Pontypridd Town
2.60
Newtown AFC
2.60
Brickfield Rangers
2.50
Bala Town
2.40
Aberystwyth Town
2.40
Mold Alexandra
2.17
Bangor City 1876 FC
2.00
Caersws
2.00
Porthmadog
1.83
Treowen Stars
1.80
Carmarthen Town
1.67
Baglan Dragons
1.67
Ynyshir Albions
1.60
Guilsfield
1.50
Rhyl
1.40
Caerphilly Athletic
1.40
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.33
Llanuwchllyn
1.20
Newport City
1.20
Afan Lido
1.17
Caerau (Ely)
1.17
Cardiff Draconians
1.00
Holyhead Hotspur
0.80
Ruthin Town
0.67
Buckley Town
0.67
Denbigh Town
0.67
Pontardawe Town
0.60
llanelli AFC
0.33
Penrhyncoch
0.20
Llantwit Major
0.00
Gresford Athletic
0.00
Newtown AFC is 1.40 points better than Llanuwchllyn in terms of average points per game (2.60 vs 1.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Swansea University
3.60
Pontypridd Town
3.20
Aberystwyth Town
3.20
Brickfield Rangers
2.83
Newtown AFC
2.80
Treowen Stars
2.60
Carmarthen Town
2.50
Bangor City 1876 FC
2.33
Caerau (Ely)
2.17
Bala Town
2.00
Trethomas Bluebirds
2.00
Mold Alexandra
2.00
Guilsfield
2.00
Caersws
2.00
Afan Lido
1.83
Porthmadog
1.83
Denbigh Town
1.83
Rhyl
1.80
Newport City
1.80
Holyhead Hotspur
1.40
Cardiff Draconians
1.25
Buckley Town
1.17
llanelli AFC
1.00
Llanuwchllyn
1.00
Pontardawe Town
1.00
Ruthin Town
1.00
Baglan Dragons
0.83
Ynyshir Albions
0.80
Penrhyncoch
0.60
Caerphilly Athletic
0.60
Llantwit Major
0.25
Gresford Athletic
0.00
Newtown AFC is 1.80 goals better than Llanuwchllyn in terms of goals scored per game (2.80 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Newtown AFC
0.20
Ynyshir Albions
0.60
Brickfield Rangers
0.67
Bala Town
0.80
Baglan Dragons
0.83
Swansea University
1.00
Mold Alexandra
1.00
Aberystwyth Town
1.00
Newport City
1.00
Bangor City 1876 FC
1.33
Caerphilly Athletic
1.40
Caersws
1.40
Porthmadog
1.50
Guilsfield
1.50
Rhyl
1.60
Cardiff Draconians
1.75
Treowen Stars
1.80
Holyhead Hotspur
1.80
Pontardawe Town
1.80
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.83
Buckley Town
1.83
Pontypridd Town
2.00
Afan Lido
2.17
Ruthin Town
2.17
Carmarthen Town
2.33
Denbigh Town
2.33
Gresford Athletic
2.80
Caerau (Ely)
2.83
llanelli AFC
3.00
Llanuwchllyn
3.00
Penrhyncoch
3.20
Llantwit Major
3.50
Newtown AFC is 2.80 goals better than Llanuwchllyn in terms of goals conceded per game (0.20 vs 3.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Newtown AFC or Draw✓ Hit
92.6%
Avg Implied 85.6% · @ 1.07
Edge
+6.9%
81%
12%
7%
covers Newtown AFC + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Newtown AFC or Llanuwchllyn✓ Hit
88.0%
Avg Implied 82.8% · @ 1.11
Edge
+5.2%
81%
12%
7%
covers Newtown AFC + Llanuwchllyn
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Draw or Llanuwchllyn✗ Miss
19.4%
Avg Implied 31.6% · @ 2.91
Edge
-12.2%
81%
12%
7%
covers Draw + Llanuwchllyn
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.25
1xBet
3.04
Marathonbet
3.04
Bet365
2.88
Superbet
2.70

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Newtown AFC over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
96.5%
@ 1.03+6.4%
Under
3.5%
@ 9.40-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.03
Under
1xBet
9.40
Newtown AFC over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
84.9%
@ 1.31+15.4%
Under
15.1%
@ 3.00-15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.35
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Under
1xBet
3.20
Superbet
2.95
Marathonbet
2.84
Newtown AFC over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
65.3%
@ 1.98+18.4%
Under
34.7%
@ 1.74-18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.98
Marathonbet
1.92
Under
Marathonbet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.77
Superbet
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Newtown AFC over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
43.3%
@ 3.42+16.8%
Under
56.7%
@ 1.24-16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.50
Superbet
3.35
Under
1xBet
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Llanuwchllyn over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
65.0%
@ 1.43+0.9%
Under
35.0%
@ 2.55-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.46
Superbet
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.59
Superbet
2.55
1xBet
2.50
Llanuwchllyn over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
28.2%
@ 2.96-2.6%
Under
71.8%
@ 1.32+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.22
Superbet
2.92
1xBet
2.75
Under
1xBet
1.38
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.28
Llanuwchllyn over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.0%
@ 6.95-4.1%
Under
91.0%
@ 1.04+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.20
Superbet
6.70
Under
1xBet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Llanuwchllyn over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Newtown AFC, so a minus line means Newtown AFC give that many goals of a start and Llanuwchllyn receive them. At -1, Newtown AFC must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Newtown AFC win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Newtown AFC)Actual: Newtown AFC
Newtown AFC -2
44.5%
@ 3.02+14.8%
Draw -2
19.5%
@ 4.25-1.6%
Llanuwchllyn +2
36.0%
@ 1.82-13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.04
Betfair
3.00
Draw
Marathonbet
4.30
Betfair
4.20
Away
Betfair
1.83
Marathonbet
1.81
Handicap -1 (Newtown AFC)Actual: Newtown AFC
Newtown AFC -1
64.0%
@ 1.85+16.1%
Draw -1
16.6%
@ 3.80-6.7%
Llanuwchllyn +1
19.4%
@ 3.07-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.87
Betfair
1.83
Draw
Marathonbet
3.85
Betfair
3.75
Away
Betfair
3.10
Marathonbet
3.04
Handicap +1 (Newtown AFC)Actual: Newtown AFC
Newtown AFC +1
92.6%
Draw +1
4.9%
Llanuwchllyn -1
2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Newtown AFC)Actual: Newtown AFC
Newtown AFC +2
97.4%
Draw +2
1.9%
Llanuwchllyn -2
0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Newtown AFCNewtown AFC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L30W01L00D05L01L11D20W30W11DH·BUC20/03H·RHY24/03A·HOL28/03H·MOL03/04A·HOL08/04H·LLA11/04A·RUT18/04A·GRE02/08H·PEN08/08H·GUI15/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.730.810.690.710.79
vs Stronger (18)0.830.560.880.750.800.40
vs Similar (9)0.331.110.500.500.002.33
vs Weaker (3)1.670.671.501.002.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Llanuwchllyn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LlanuwchllynLlanuwchllyn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D00D04L02L00D03LA·PEN21/09H·NEW19/10H·SWA16/11A·DEN14/12A·BRI01/08H·BUC08/08A·BAN15/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.291.290.000.000.502.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.001.800.000.000.003.00
vs Weaker (2)1.000.000.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Newtown AFC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.2%
@ 1.16-0.6%
Under 0.5
21.8%
@ 4.33+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Under
Betfair
4.80
1xBet
4.30
Superbet
3.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
50.9%
@ 1.93+3.2%
Under 1.5
49.1%
@ 1.75-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.96
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Betano
1.91
Under
Betfair
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
Superbet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
24.3%
@ 3.83+0.4%
Under 2.5
75.7%
@ 1.20-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.80
Superbet
3.70
Under
1xBet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.19

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Newtown AFC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
54.3%
@ 1.38-11.7%
Under
45.7%
@ 2.67+11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.38
Superbet
1.37
Under
Superbet
2.67
1xBet
2.66
Newtown AFC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
28.2%
@ 2.74-5.0%
Under
71.8%
@ 1.36+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.74
Under
1xBet
1.36
Newtown AFC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.0%
@ 6.50-5.2%
Under
91.0%
@ 1.08+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Under
1xBet
1.08
Llanuwchllyn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
37.4%
@ 2.40-0.8%
Under
62.6%
@ 1.48+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.50
Superbet
2.37
1xBet
2.34
Under
Superbet
1.49
1xBet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.47
Llanuwchllyn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.9%
@ 7.85-1.9%
Under
90.1%
@ 1.05+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.85
Under
1xBet
1.05
Llanuwchllyn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 11.00-6.9%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Newtown AFCNewtown AFC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D31W01L12L01L11D21W10W20W00DH·BUC20/03H·RHY24/03A·HOL28/03H·MOL03/04A·HOL08/04H·LLA11/04A·RUT18/04A·GRE02/08H·PEN08/08H·GUI15/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.901.060.940.710.86
vs Stronger (18)0.780.830.881.000.700.70
vs Similar (9)0.780.891.170.830.001.00
vs Weaker (3)2.001.331.501.003.002.00
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Llanuwchllyn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LlanuwchllynLlanuwchllyn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D30W13L13L21W02LA·PEN21/09H·NEW19/10H·SWA16/11A·DEN14/12A·BRI01/08H·BUC08/08A·BAN15/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.431.670.330.502.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.401.802.500.500.672.67
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %29% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Newtown AFC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
82.4%
@ 1.08-1.6%
Under 0.5
17.6%
@ 5.67+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Under
1xBet
6.10
Superbet
5.25
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
56.9%
@ 1.54-2.3%
Under 1.5
43.1%
@ 2.23+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.56
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Under
Marathonbet
2.24
1xBet
2.24
Superbet
2.22
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
33.0%
@ 2.70-0.7%
Under 2.5
67.0%
@ 1.37+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.71
1xBet
2.71
Superbet
2.67
Under
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
Superbet
1.37

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Newtown AFC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
62.3%
@ 1.27-9.9%
Under
37.7%
@ 3.30+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.27
Under
1xBet
3.30
Newtown AFC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
38.6%
@ 2.23-2.5%
Under
61.4%
@ 1.55+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.24
Superbet
2.22
Under
Superbet
1.56
1xBet
1.55
Newtown AFC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
15.2%
@ 4.70-4.3%
Under
84.8%
@ 1.14+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.70
Under
1xBet
1.14
Llanuwchllyn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
41.0%
@ 2.03-4.4%
Under
59.0%
@ 1.69+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.04
Superbet
2.02
Under
Superbet
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Llanuwchllyn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.1%
@ 5.85+0.3%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.10-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.85
Under
1xBet
1.10
Llanuwchllyn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 11.00-5.8%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.01+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.5%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+6.9%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals97.8%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap97.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.4%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+5.8%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals96.5%1.03
1xBet
1.03
----+6.4%✓ Hit
Over 1.593.9%1.07
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
---+8.6%✓ Hit
Home or Draw92.6%1.07
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.04
+6.9%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap92.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.592.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals91.0%1.04
1xBet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
---+4.1%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals91.0%1.08
1xBet
1.08
----+5.2%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals90.1%1.05
1xBet
1.05
----+1.9%✓ Hit
Home or Away88.0%1.11
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.08
+5.2%✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals84.9%1.31
Marathonbet
1.35
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
--+15.4%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals84.8%1.14
1xBet
1.14
----+4.3%✗ Miss
Under 6.584.3%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals83.9%1.10
1xBet
1.10
-----0.3%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals82.4%1.08
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.08
----1.6%✓ Hit
Over 2.581.6%1.33
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
-+13.4%✓ Hit
Home win80.6%1.34
Betano
1.39
Dafabet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Bet365
1.33
+12.8%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals78.2%1.16
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.14
---0.6%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals75.7%1.20
1xBet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.19
---0.4%✓ Hit
Under 5.571.8%1.11
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
----10.4%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals71.8%1.36
1xBet
1.36
----+5.0%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals71.8%1.32
1xBet
1.38
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.28
--+2.6%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (12)
€1m
NC (4)
€0m
AT (2)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (4)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (2)
€0m
LA (2)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
NC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BT (6)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
NA wins
1
Draws
0
LLA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Newtown AFC vs Llanuwchllyn · H/A from NA
DateH/AGameScore
19/10/24ALlanuwchllyn Vs NA0-0

Newtown AFCNewtown AFC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26HNA Vs Guilsfield1-1
08/08/26HNA Vs Penrhyncoch5-0
02/08/26AGresford Athletic Vs NA0-3
18/04/26ARuthin Town Vs NA2-3
11/04/26HNA Vs Llandudno1-2
08/04/26AHolywell Vs NA6-0
03/04/26HNA Vs Mold Alexandra1-2
28/03/26AHolyhead Hotspur Vs NA2-0
24/03/26HNA Vs Rhyl6-1
20/03/26HNA Vs Buckley Town0-2

LlanuwchllynLlanuwchllyn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26ABangor City 1876 FC Vs LLA5-0
08/08/26HLLA Vs Buckley Town2-1
01/08/26ABrickfield Rangers Vs LLA5-1
14/12/24ADenbigh Town Vs LLA7-1
16/11/24HLLA Vs Swansea University3-0
19/10/24HLLA Vs Newtown AFC0-0
21/09/24APenmaenmawr Phoenix Vs LLA1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Newtown AFC
Newtown AFC
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWD1.24
HomeWLLWD1.27
AwayWLLWW1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%35%38%
AVG goals3.203.502.88
Over 1.5 %88%96%79%
Over 2.5 %66%73%58%
Over 3.5 %34%42%25%
Scored1.501.771.21
Conceded1.701.731.67
BTTS54%62%46%
Clean Sheet16%15%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Llanuwchllyn
Llanuwchllyn
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWL1.43
HomeDWW2.33
AwayWLLL0.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %43%67%25%
AVG goals4.002.005.50
Over 1.5 %86%67%100%
Over 2.5 %86%67%100%
Over 3.5 %43%0%75%
Scored1.291.671.00
Conceded2.710.334.50
BTTS57%33%75%
Clean Sheet29%67%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brickfield RangersBrickfield Rangers615
83%
2.5
174+13
3.5
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.7
-
2Swansea UniversitySwansea University513
80%
2.6
185+13
4.6
100%
100%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.0
-
3Newtown AFCNewtown AFC513
80%
2.6
141+13
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.2
-
4Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town513
80%
2.6
1610+6
5.2
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.22.0
-
5Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra613
67%
2.2
126+6
3.0
67%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
-
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town512
80%
2.4
165+11
4.2
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.21.0
-
7Bangor City 1876 FCBangor City 1876 FC612
67%
2.0
148+6
3.7
100%
100%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.3
-
8Bala TownBala Town512
80%
2.4
104+6
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.8
-
9PorthmadogPorthmadog611
50%
1.8
119+2
3.3
83%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
10CaerswsCaersws510
60%
2.0
107+3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.4
-
11Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town610
50%
1.7
1514+1
4.8
100%
100%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.52.3
-
12Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons610
50%
1.7
55+0
1.7
33%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.8
-
13Treowen StarsTreowen Stars59
60%
1.8
139+4
4.4
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.8
-
14GuilsfieldGuilsfield69
33%
1.5
129+3
3.5
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.5
-
15Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds68
33%
1.3
1211+1
3.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.8
-
16Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions58
40%
1.6
43+1
1.4
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.6
-
17RhylRhyl57
40%
1.4
98+1
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
18Afan LidoAfan Lido67
33%
1.2
1113-2
4.0
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.2
-
19Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)67
33%
1.2
1317-4
5.0
100%
83%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.22.8
-
20Caerphilly AthleticCaerphilly Athletic57
40%
1.4
37-4
2.0
60%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
21Newport CityNewport City56
40%
1.2
95+4
2.8
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
22LlanuwchllynLlanuwchllyn56
40%
1.2
515-10
4.0
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
23Holyhead HotspurHolyhead Hotspur54
20%
0.8
79-2
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
24Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians44
25%
1.0
57-2
3.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
25Denbigh TownDenbigh Town64
17%
0.7
1114-3
4.2
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.3
-
26Buckley TownBuckley Town64
17%
0.7
711-4
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
27Ruthin TownRuthin Town64
17%
0.7
613-7
3.2
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
28Pontardawe TownPontardawe Town53
20%
0.6
59-4
2.8
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
29llanelli AFCllanelli AFC62
0%
0.3
618-12
4.0
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
30PenrhyncochPenrhyncoch51
0%
0.2
316-13
3.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.2
-
31Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major40
0%
0.0
114-13
3.8
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.23.5
-
32Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic50
0%
0.0
014-14
2.8
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.8
-
Wales: FAW Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: FAW Championship stats & trends →

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