Nice vs Rennes Result & Analysis

The contest between Nice and Rennes is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. The odds are 34% for a home victory, 28% for a draw and 38% for an away win, so the latter is the most likely outcome. The average number of goals expected is 2.8, with the most probable total being two goals, a 25% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, with a 13.1% probability, though the final result was a 0-1 win for Rennes.

Nice, playing at home against a team of similar strength, averages 2.09 goals scored and 1.00 conceded. Rennes, on the road against a comparable opponent, scores 0.86 and concedes 0.71 on average. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 92.9%, Over 21.5 fouls at 85.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 82.5%, Over 23.5 fouls at 73.9%, Under 11.5 corners at 73.2%, Under 5.5 cards at 70.6%, and Over 1.5 at 78.0%. All are presented with their respective probabilities.

The match saw Rennes extend their winning run, finishing the game 0-1 to secure the away victory that the Pythia model had predicted. The model’s favourite, an away win, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 38%. The final score matched the actual result, confirming the model’s accuracy. The suggested selections performed largely as forecast: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 92.9%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 85.3%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 82.5%, Over 23.5 fouls hit at 73.9%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 73.2%, and Under 5.5 cards hit at 70.6%. Only the Over 1.5 selection missed, with a probability of 78%. Overall, the model’s predictions were largely validated.