Niki Volos are tipped to win, with a 52% chance of taking the points at home. The match is expected to see about 2.3 goals, most likely a 1-0 scoreline for the hosts, which carries a 14.2% probability. The home side has been prolific in front of their own goal, averaging two goals scored and only 0.4 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, while Nestos Chrisoupolis have struggled away, scoring just 0.87 and conceding 1.2 on average. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.2%), Under 6.5 (99.1%), Under 5.5 (97.2%), Away under 2.5 goals (95.5%), Home +2 handicap (94.0%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.7%), and Under 4.5 (92.1%). The home win probability sits at 52%, the draw at 29%, and the away win at 19%. Both teams have been unbeaten in their last five, with Niki Volos ending 0-0 against Panionios and Nestos Chrisoupolis winning 1-0 over Apollon Pontou.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Niki Volos win
52.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Nestos Chrisoupolis win
18.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Niki Volos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
0.63
1.94
0.38
1.29
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
1.71
0.64
2.00
0.40
1.38
0.92
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Nestos Chrisoupolis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.93
1.12
0.69
0.93
1.21
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.07
0.93
1.21
0.64
0.93
1.21
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Niki Volos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
67.2%
Under 1.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
39.4%
Under 2.5
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
19.3%
Under 3.5
80.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
43.2%
No
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.2%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.0%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
Niki Volos goals ↓
Nestos Chrisoupolis goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
7.0%
3.2%
0.8%
0.2%
1
14%
13%
4.7%
1.2%
0.2%
2
11%
8.9%
3.5%
0.9%
0.2%
3
5.6%
4.4%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
4
2.1%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Niki Volos goals (down), columns = Nestos Chrisoupolis goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Panionios
2.08
Niki Volos
2.00
Larisa
1.80
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.71
Marko
1.67
PAOK II
1.64
Kallithea
1.61
Ellas Syros
1.61
Asteras Tripolis II
1.54
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.43
Pyrgos 1968
1.41
Zakynthos
1.41
Panthrakikos
1.41
Panserraikos
1.36
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.29
Apollon Pontou
1.18
Niki Volos is 0.57 points better than Nestos Chrisoupolis in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Niki Volos
1.92
PAOK II
1.57
Larisa
1.48
Panionios
1.46
Ellas Syros
1.43
Asteras Tripolis II
1.21
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.17
Pyrgos 1968
1.16
Zakynthos
1.16
Panthrakikos
1.16
Kallithea
1.14
Marko
1.12
Panserraikos
1.12
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.08
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.07
Apollon Pontou
0.97
Niki Volos is 0.85 goals better than Nestos Chrisoupolis in terms of goals scored per game (1.92 vs 1.07).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Niki Volos
0.50
Panionios
0.54
Marko
0.71
Anagennisi Karditsas
0.75
Kallithea
0.79
Ellas Syros
0.86
Larisa
0.89
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.93
PAOK II
1.11
Asteras Tripolis II
1.12
Pyrgos 1968
1.13
Zakynthos
1.13
Panthrakikos
1.13
Panserraikos
1.17
Apollon Pontou
1.35
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.58
Niki Volos is 0.43 goals better than Nestos Chrisoupolis in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 0.93).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Niki Volos or Draw
81.3%
Avg Implied -
52%
29%
19%
covers Niki Volos + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Niki Volos or Nestos Chrisoupolis
71.1%
Avg Implied -
52%
29%
19%
covers Niki Volos + Nestos Chrisoupolis
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Nestos Chrisoupolis
47.6%
Avg Implied -
52%
29%
19%
covers Draw + Nestos Chrisoupolis
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Niki Volos over/under 0.5
Over
77.2%
Under
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niki Volos over/under 1.5
Over
43.4%
Under
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niki Volos over/under 2.5
Over
18.5%
Under
81.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niki Volos over/under 3.5
Over
6.3%
Under
93.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 0.5
Over
54.4%
Under
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 1.5
Over
18.6%
Under
81.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 2.5
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 3.5
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Niki Volos, so a minus line means Niki Volos give that many goals of a start and Nestos Chrisoupolis receive them. At -1, Niki Volos must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Niki Volos win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Niki Volos)
Niki Volos -2
11.0%
Draw -2
16.4%
Nestos Chrisoupolis +2
72.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Niki Volos)
Niki Volos -1
27.4%
Draw -1
25.0%
Nestos Chrisoupolis +1
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Niki Volos)
Niki Volos +1
81.3%
Draw +1
12.7%
Nestos Chrisoupolis -1
6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Niki Volos)
Niki Volos +2
94.0%
Draw +2
4.6%
Nestos Chrisoupolis -2
1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Niki Volos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.20
0.94
0.12
0.71
0.29
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.86
0.21
0.93
0.13
0.77
0.31
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
80% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Nestos Chrisoupolis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.27
0.44
0.12
0.43
0.43
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.46
0.25
0.50
0.07
0.43
0.43
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
77% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Niki Volos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Niki Volos over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niki Volos over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niki Volos over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Niki Volos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.43
1.00
0.25
0.57
0.64
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.86
0.43
1.07
0.27
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Nestos Chrisoupolis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.69
0.56
0.50
0.79
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.61
0.68
0.71
0.57
0.50
0.79
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Niki Volos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Niki Volos over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niki Volos over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niki Volos over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAN (27)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
PI (21)
€5m
KAL (27)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
MAR (27)
€5m
AK (25)
€4m
OPI (22)
€4m
ATI (23)
€4m
NC (23)
€3m
ES (20)
€3m
AP (16)
€2m
Niki Volos's squad is €2m more valuable than Nestos Chrisoupolis's (€6m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAN (13)
€3m
PAN (11)
€2m
PI (9)
€2m
MAR (11)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
OPI (9)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
AK (7)
€1m
NC (9)
€1m
ES (9)
€1m
ATI (6)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Niki Volos and Nestos Chrisoupolis have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NV (6)
€1m
PI (4)
€1m
ATI (7)
€1m
PAN (3)
€1m
AK (6)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
NC (5)
€1m
AP (4)
€1m
ES (3)
€1m
MAR (4)
€0m
OPI (3)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
Niki Volos and Nestos Chrisoupolis have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (14)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
LAR (13)
€2m
MAR (12)
€2m
PI (8)
€2m
OPI (10)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
AK (12)
€2m
NC (9)
€1m
ATI (10)
€1m
ES (8)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Niki Volos's defence is €1m more valuable than Nestos Chrisoupolis's (€3m vs €1m).
Greece: Super League 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 2 stats & trends →