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Niva vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 Result & Analysis

Date: 29/06/2024
Time: 12:00
Final 0-0
Niva
Niva
Vs
49%
23%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Niva’s recent surge, highlighted by a 6-0 win over Osipovichy, fuels optimism for a home victory, the model’s pick. The figures suggest a high-scoring affair, with an expected 3.5 goals and a 22% chance of exactly three goals. The most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 9.9% probability. Niva’s home form shows they average 1.62 goals scored and 1.88 conceded against similarly ranked opposition, while Molodechno-DYuSSh 4, on a four-game winning streak, averages 1.33 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on the road. Home win probability stands at 49%, draw at 23%, and away win at 28%. The model’s selection, Over 1.5, carries an 87.5% chance. These figures paint a picture of a match where both sides are likely to find the net, yet Niva’s home advantage and recent form give them the edge.

Results analysis

The unexpected 0-0 draw shocked fans, as the pre-match favourite, Niva, had been tipped to win with a 49% probability. The model’s call was therefore wrong, and the final result was a stalemate. The suggested pick, Over 1.5, missed its mark, with an 87.5% chance that was not realised. Niva, coming off a win, had been on a strong run, while Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 had been on a four-game winning streak. The match ended in a goalless draw, leaving the model’s predictions unfulfilled.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Niva win✗ Miss
48.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
23.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 win✗ Miss
27.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NivaNiva

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-753W00D21W33D31W71W11D40W31W31WA·ORS21/04H·SLO27/04A·ABF04/05H·BUM11/05A·BEL18/05H·TOR26/05A·VOL03/06A·FC 09/06H·ML 16/06A·BAR23/06
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
3.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.201.602.141.362.251.81
vs Stronger (2)3.003.503.001.003.006.00
vs Similar (20)1.801.651.621.881.921.50
vs Weaker (8)3.001.002.800.603.331.67
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D21W10W20W32W32W12L50W20W30WA·LOK21/04H·DIN28/04A·LID03/05H·ORS10/05A·SLO18/05H·ABF24/05A·BUM02/06H·BEL08/06A·TOR14/06H·VOL23/06
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.502.400.931.532.07
vs Stronger (1)2.004.00--2.004.00
vs Similar (24)1.921.582.501.171.332.00
vs Weaker (5)2.200.602.000.002.501.50
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Niva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%119%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
87.5%
Under 1.5
12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
68.2%
Under 2.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.6%
Under 3.5
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
68.2%
No
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
2-0
6.1%
1-0
5.1%
3-2
4.6%
Niva goals ↓
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 goals →
01234
03.9%3.6%3.3%1.7%0.6%
15.1%9.9%6.7%3.4%1.3%
26.1%9.1%6.8%3.4%1.3%
34.1%6.1%4.6%2.3%0.9%
42.1%3.1%2.3%1.1%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Niva goals (down), columns = Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.24
Belshina
2.18
ML Vitebsk
2.15
Niva
2.06
Volna
1.94
Dinamo Minsk II
1.53
Lida
1.53
BATE II
1.44
Bumprom
1.41
Orsha
1.32
Ostrovets FC
1.26
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.03
Baranovichi
1.00
ABFF U17
0.97
Shakhtyor Petrikov
0.91
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.85
Slonim
0.76
Torpedo BelAZ II
0.62
Niva is 0.18 points worse than Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 in terms of average points per game (2.06 vs 2.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Belshina
2.47
ML Vitebsk
2.21
Niva
2.15
Volna
2.06
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.82
Dinamo Minsk II
1.59
Bumprom
1.47
Lida
1.41
Orsha
1.35
BATE II
1.35
Ostrovets FC
1.29
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.24
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.06
Torpedo BelAZ II
1.00
Shakhtyor Petrikov
0.97
ABFF U17
0.91
Baranovichi
0.88
Slonim
0.76
Niva is 0.32 goals better than Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 in terms of goals scored per game (2.15 vs 1.82).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.76
ML Vitebsk
0.79
Niva
1.00
Bumprom
1.09
Dinamo Minsk II
1.15
Lida
1.18
Belshina
1.24
Volna
1.26
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.47
Orsha
1.50
ABFF U17
1.53
BATE II
1.59
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.62
Ostrovets FC
1.68
Baranovichi
1.76
Shakhtyor Petrikov
1.79
Slonim
1.91
Torpedo BelAZ II
2.68
Niva is 0.24 goals worse than Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.76).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NivaNiva

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W00D11D12L01L40W00D10W20W30WA·ORS21/04H·SLO27/04A·ABF04/05H·BUM11/05A·BEL18/05H·TOR26/05A·VOL03/06A·FC 09/06H·ML 16/06A·BAR23/06
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.771.140.640.690.88
vs Stronger (2)1.001.002.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (20)0.600.850.751.000.500.75
vs Weaker (8)1.620.501.600.201.671.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D00D00D10W11D01L30W20W20WA·LOK21/04H·DIN28/04A·LID03/05H·ORS10/05A·SLO18/05H·ABF24/05A·BUM02/06H·BEL08/06A·TOR14/06H·VOL23/06
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.731.000.400.801.07
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (24)0.920.791.080.500.751.08
vs Weaker (5)0.800.200.670.001.000.50
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Niva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Niva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NivaNiva

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W00D10W21W30W31W11D30W11D01LA·ORS21/04H·SLO27/04A·ABF04/05H·BUM11/05A·BEL18/05H·TOR26/05A·VOL03/06A·FC 09/06H·ML 16/06A·BAR23/06
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.831.000.711.560.94
vs Stronger (2)2.002.501.001.003.004.00
vs Similar (20)1.200.800.880.881.420.75
vs Weaker (8)1.380.501.200.401.670.67
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W10W20W22D21W11D20W00D10WA·LOK21/04H·DIN28/04A·LID03/05H·ORS10/05A·SLO18/05H·ABF24/05A·BUM02/06H·BEL08/06A·TOR14/06H·VOL23/06
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.771.400.530.731.00
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (24)1.000.791.420.670.580.92
vs Weaker (5)1.400.401.330.001.501.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Niva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Niva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
BAR (21)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
Niva and Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
BAR (8)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
NIV (5)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
Niva and Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
Niva and Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
BAR (9)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
Niva and Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
NIV wins
1
Draws
0
M4 wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Niva vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 · H/A from NIV
DateH/AGameScore
05/11/23AMolodechno-DYuSSh 4 Vs NIV1-2
02/07/23HNIV Vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 41-1

NivaNiva

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/06/24ABaranovichi Vs NIV1-3
16/06/24HNIV Vs ML Vitebsk3-1
09/06/24AFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk Vs NIV0-4
03/06/24AVolna Vs NIV1-1
26/05/24HNIV Vs Torpedo BelAZ II7-1
18/05/24ABelshina Vs NIV1-3
11/05/24HNIV Vs Bumprom3-3
04/05/24AABFF U17 Vs NIV1-2
27/04/24HNIV Vs Slonim0-0
21/04/24AOrsha Vs NIV3-5

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/06/24HM4 Vs Volna3-0
14/06/24ATorpedo BelAZ II Vs M40-2
08/06/24HM4 Vs Belshina5-0
02/06/24ABumprom Vs M42-1
24/05/24HM4 Vs ABFF U173-2
18/05/24ASlonim Vs M42-3
10/05/24HM4 Vs Orsha2-0
03/05/24ALida Vs M40-1
28/04/24HM4 Vs Dinamo Minsk II2-1
21/04/24ALokomotiv Gomel Vs M41-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Niva
Niva
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW1.55
HomeLDDWW1.24
AwayWWDWW1.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %45%33%57%
AVG goals3.773.813.74
Over 1.5 %86%86%87%
Over 2.5 %70%71%70%
Over 3.5 %50%52%48%
Scored1.951.862.04
Conceded1.821.951.70
BTTS73%71%74%
Clean Sheet14%10%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.70
HomeWWWWW2.04
AwayDWWLW1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%64%36%
AVG goals3.163.163.16
Over 1.5 %88%84%92%
Over 2.5 %66%76%56%
Over 3.5 %36%40%32%
Scored1.762.161.36
Conceded1.401.001.80
BTTS56%56%56%
Clean Sheet34%44%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 43476
68%
2.2
6226+36
2.6
71%
44%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.80.8
-
2BelshinaBelshina3474
68%
2.2
8442+42
3.7
88%
68%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.51.2
-
3ML VitebskML Vitebsk3473
68%
2.1
7527+48
3.0
71%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6352.20.8
-
4NivaNiva3470
62%
2.1
7334+39
3.1
71%
56%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.11.0
-
5VolnaVolna3466
62%
1.9
7043+27
3.3
94%
74%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.11.3
-
6Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II3452
44%
1.5
5439+15
2.7
76%
59%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0111.61.1
-
7LidaLida3452
44%
1.5
4840+8
2.6
68%
41%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.41.2
-
8BATE IIBATE II3449
41%
1.4
4654-8
2.9
76%
56%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.6
-
9BumpromBumprom3448
38%
1.4
5037+13
2.6
62%
56%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.1
-
10OrshaOrsha3445
32%
1.3
4651-5
2.9
82%
38%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.5
-
11Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC3443
35%
1.3
4457-13
3.0
76%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.7
-
12Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel3435
24%
1.0
4250-8
2.7
88%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
13BaranovichiBaranovichi3434
26%
1.0
3060-30
2.6
74%
56%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.8
-
14ABFF U17ABFF U173433
26%
1.0
3152-21
2.4
74%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
15Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov3431
26%
0.9
3361-28
2.8
68%
53%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
16FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk3429
21%
0.9
3655-19
2.7
65%
41%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
17SlonimSlonim3426
18%
0.8
2665-39
2.7
65%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.9
-
18Torpedo BelAZ IITorpedo BelAZ II3421
18%
0.6
3491-57
3.7
85%
65%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.7
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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