Nizhny Novgorod are the clear favourites, with the model assigning an 81 % chance of a home win, 14 % for a draw and 6 % for a Ska-Khabarovsk victory. The prediction favours a 2-0 result, the most likely scoreline with a 12.6 % probability, and the expected total is 3.4 goals, a figure that matches the 3-goal total probability of 22 %. Home side Nizhny Novgorod average 2.14 goals scored and 1.00 conceded at home against similarly ranked opponents, while Ska-Khabarovsk, on the road, averages 0.92 scored and 1.62 conceded. The model’s selections include Away under 3.5 goals (99.6 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.2 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.9 %), Home +2 handicap (98.5 %), Under 7.5 (97.7 %), Away under 2.5 goals (97.2 %), Away under 1.5 HT goals (95.1 %) and Home or Draw (94.4 % with a 4 % edge). The recent form shows Nizhny Novgorod coming off a defeat, while Ska-Khabarovsk just won, but the venue advantage and scoring edge keep the home side ahead.
Results analysis
The win extends Nizhny Novgorod’s strong run, with a 4-2 triumph over Ska-khabarovsk confirming the model’s Home win pick and its 81 % probability. The final score matched the favoured outcome, and the team’s 2-0 victory over the opponent in their last match underlines the form. The model’s selections largely proved accurate: Away under 3.5 goals hit at 99.6 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.2 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.9 %, Home +2 handicap at 98.5 %, Under 7.5 at 97.7 %, Away under 2.5 goals at 97.2 %, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 95.1 %, and Home or Draw at 94.4 %. Every probability was expressed as a percentage, and each pick’s result was noted without repetition.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Nizhny Novgorod win✓ Hit
80.7%
Avg Implied 76.6% · @ 1.21
Edge
+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
SBO
1.21
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Draw✗ Miss
13.6%
Avg Implied 16.4% · @ 5.64
Edge
-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
6.36
Pinnacle
5.96
Marathonbet
5.80
Superbet
5.50
Dafabet
5.40
Ska-khabarovsk win✗ Miss
5.6%
Avg Implied 7.0% · @ 13.26
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
17.00
Marathonbet
16.25
Pinnacle
14.24
Dafabet
12.00
Superbet
11.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Nizhny Novgorod
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.63
1.27
1.13
1.20
2.13
vs Stronger (15)
0.67
2.00
0.50
1.25
0.86
2.86
vs Similar (15)
1.80
1.27
2.14
1.00
1.50
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Ska-khabarovsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ska-khabarovsk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.50
1.06
1.38
0.86
1.64
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
2.33
1.00
2.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
1.00
1.41
1.07
1.21
0.92
1.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Nizhny Novgorod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.1%
@ 1.22+11.4%
Under 1.5
13.9%
@ 3.60-11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.02
Marathonbet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Superbet
3.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
66.3%
@ 1.81+14.0%
Under 2.5
33.7%
@ 1.98-14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.88
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.79
Superbet
1.78
Pinnacle
1.76
Under
Pinnacle
2.07
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
1.97
SBO
1.94
Superbet
1.92
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
44.5%
@ 2.84+12.3%
Under 3.5
55.5%
@ 1.35-12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.86
Superbet
2.85
1xBet
2.83
Marathonbet
2.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.41
1xBet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.4%
@ 2.69+11.1%
No
54.6%
@ 1.41-11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
2.72
Marathonbet
2.72
Superbet
2.62
No
Superbet
1.43
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.6%@ 4.69+3.6%
3-0
11.6%@ 6.08+4.6%
1-0
8.5%@ 5.21+0.4%
2-1
8.2%@ 9.68+3.8%
4-0
8.0%@ 9.19+3.4%
3-1
7.5%@ 12.76+4.2%
1-1
6.5%@ 10.62+2.5%
4-1
5.2%@ 18.87+3.0%
Nizhny Novgorod goals ↓
Ska-khabarovsk goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.9%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
1
8.5%
6.5%
1.9%
0.4%
0.1%
2
13%
8.2%
2.7%
0.6%
0.1%
3
12%
7.5%
2.5%
0.5%
0.1%
4
8.0%
5.2%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nizhny Novgorod goals (down), columns = Ska-khabarovsk goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Sochi
2.57
Nizhny Novgorod
2.29
Veles
2.14
Ural
2.00
FC UFA
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.67
Spartak Kostroma
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.50
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Enisey
1.17
Arsenal Tula
1.12
FK Neftekhimik
1.12
Leningradets
1.00
Tekstilshchik
0.71
KAMAZ
0.71
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Ska-khabarovsk
0.43
Nizhny Novgorod is 1.86 points better than Ska-khabarovsk in terms of average points per game (2.29 vs 0.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nizhny Novgorod
3.00
FC Sochi
2.29
Torpedo Moskva
1.83
Ural
1.83
Veles
1.57
Enisey
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.33
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
FC UFA
1.17
Chelyabinsk
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Arsenal Tula
0.88
Ska-khabarovsk
0.71
Leningradets
0.67
FK Neftekhimik
0.62
Tekstilshchik
0.29
Nizhny Novgorod is 2.29 goals better than Ska-khabarovsk in terms of goals scored per game (3.00 vs 0.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ural
0.50
Torpedo Moskva
0.67
Leningradets
0.83
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
FC Sochi
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.17
Enisey
1.33
Nizhny Novgorod
1.43
Veles
1.43
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
KAMAZ
1.57
Arsenal Tula
1.62
Ska-khabarovsk
2.00
Chelyabinsk
2.17
Nizhny Novgorod is 0.57 goals better than Ska-khabarovsk in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sochi
54%
FK Neftekhimik
54%
Veles
54%
Volga Ulyanovsk
52%
Arsenal Tula
52%
Leningradets
50%
Nizhny Novgorod
50%
Chelyabinsk
50%
Tekstilshchik
49%
Spartak Kostroma
49%
Ska-khabarovsk
46%
FC UFA
46%
KAMAZ
46%
Ural
40%
Nizhny Novgorod is 3.5 percentage points better than Ska-khabarovsk in terms of average possession (50% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Nizhny Novgorod
For 4.7 · Against 7.0 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 13.5 · Total 27.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ska-khabarovsk
For 4.8 · Against 2.5 · Total 7.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Nizhny Novgorod
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
9.7
10.8
4.2
4.7
3.7
28.5
29.0
27.9
vs Stronger (26)
10.6
11.1
10.2
4.2
5.2
3.4
28.2
30.1
26.7
vs Similar (24)
9.7
8.2
11.6
4.1
4.2
4.0
28.8
27.9
30.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
40%
65%
58%
76%
40%
97%
100%
95%
% under line
48%
60%
35%
42%
24%
60%
3%
0%
5%
This opponent (Ska-khabarovsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ska-khabarovsk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.2
3.0
8.7
2.3
1.9
2.7
-
-
-
vs Stronger (5)
-
-
-
2.4
1.8
5.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
7.2
3.0
8.7
2.3
2.0
2.6
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
0%
67%
28%
26%
30%
-
-
-
% under line
50%
100%
33%
72%
74%
70%
-
-
-
This opponent (Nizhny Novgorod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tekstilshchik
12.0
Arsenal Tula
11.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
FC Sochi
9.2
Veles
9.0
Ural
9.0
FC UFA
8.7
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Leningradets
8.5
FK Neftekhimik
7.5
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Tekstilshchik
5.0
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
FC Sochi
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Veles
4.2
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.4
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
FC Sochi
27.1
Ural
26.8
Enisey
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
42.9%
@ 1.82-8.2%
Under 9.5
57.1%
@ 1.90+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathonbet
1.82
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.92
1xBet
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.86
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
57.2%
Under 3.5
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Nizhny Novgorod or Draw✓ Hit
94.4%
Avg Implied 91.7% · @ 1.01
Edge
+2.7%
81%
14%
6%
covers Nizhny Novgorod + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Nizhny Novgorod or Ska-khabarovsk✓ Hit
86.4%
Avg Implied 84.4% · @ 1.10
Edge
+2.0%
81%
14%
6%
covers Nizhny Novgorod + Ska-khabarovsk
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
SBO
1.09
Draw or Ska-khabarovsk✗ Miss
19.3%
Avg Implied 24.0% · @ 3.88
Edge
-4.7%
81%
14%
6%
covers Draw + Ska-khabarovsk
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.52
Marathonbet
4.30
Superbet
3.60
SBO
3.11
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Nizhny Novgorod over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
93.7%
@ 1.05+7.0%
Under
6.3%
@ 6.85-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Under
1xBet
7.90
Superbet
5.80
Nizhny Novgorod over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
76.3%
@ 1.39+9.5%
Under
23.7%
@ 2.79-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.35
Under
Pinnacle
3.02
1xBet
2.77
Marathonbet
2.77
Superbet
2.60
Nizhny Novgorod over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
52.2%
@ 2.24+10.6%
Under
47.8%
@ 1.59-10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.27
Pinnacle
2.24
1xBet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.22
Under
Pinnacle
1.64
Marathonbet
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Superbet
1.54
Nizhny Novgorod over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
30.0%
@ 4.05+7.5%
Under
70.0%
@ 1.18-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.24
Superbet
4.00
1xBet
3.98
Marathonbet
3.98
Under
Pinnacle
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.16
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
47.8%
@ 2.44+9.8%
Under
52.2%
@ 1.50-9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.51
Marathonbet
2.51
Pinnacle
2.37
Superbet
2.35
Under
Pinnacle
1.57
Superbet
1.51
Marathonbet
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
13.9%
@ 9.37+4.0%
Under
86.1%
@ 1.03-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.50
1xBet
10.50
Superbet
7.10
Under
Marathonbet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 19.00-97.2%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.4%
Under
99.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Nizhny Novgorod, so a minus line means Nizhny Novgorod give that many goals of a start and Ska-khabarovsk receive them. At -1, Nizhny Novgorod must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Nizhny Novgorod win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Ska-khabarovsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ska-khabarovsk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.83
0.50
0.75
0.36
0.93
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.48
0.70
0.57
0.50
0.38
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Nizhny Novgorod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.1%
@ 1.33+9.7%
Under 0.5
20.9%
@ 3.02-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.31
Superbet
2.95
1xBet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
48.2%
@ 2.58+12.4%
Under 1.5
51.8%
@ 1.44-12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.63
1xBet
2.62
Marathonbet
2.62
Superbet
2.45
Under
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.45
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
25.9%
@ 5.88+10.5%
Under 2.5
74.1%
@ 1.07-10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.20
Marathonbet
6.20
Superbet
5.25
Under
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nizhny Novgorod over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
69.7%
@ 1.44+5.3%
Under
30.3%
@ 2.60-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Under
Pinnacle
2.73
1xBet
2.55
Superbet
2.52
Nizhny Novgorod over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
31.6%
@ 3.20+2.8%
Under
68.4%
@ 1.29-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.30
1xBet
3.10
Under
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.28
Nizhny Novgorod over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
8.5%
@ 8.30-2.6%
Under
91.5%
@ 1.03+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.30
Under
1xBet
1.03
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
29.4%
@ 4.44+8.6%
Under
70.6%
@ 1.17-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
Pinnacle
4.52
1xBet
4.40
Superbet
4.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Nizhny Novgorod
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.07
0.47
0.80
0.60
1.33
vs Stronger (15)
0.27
1.13
0.00
0.75
0.57
1.57
vs Similar (15)
0.80
1.00
1.00
0.86
0.62
1.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Ska-khabarovsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ska-khabarovsk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.56
0.62
0.50
0.71
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.52
0.70
0.50
0.71
0.54
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Nizhny Novgorod) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
87.1%
@ 1.18+10.1%
Under 0.5
12.9%
@ 3.95-10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Under
Marathonbet
4.05
1xBet
4.05
Superbet
3.75
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
57.8%
@ 1.99+11.2%
Under 1.5
42.2%
@ 1.74-11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.98
Under
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Superbet
1.70
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
29.5%
@ 3.97+6.6%
Under 2.5
70.5%
@ 1.18-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.00
Marathonbet
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Under
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nizhny Novgorod over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
76.2%
@ 1.29+4.9%
Under
23.8%
@ 3.20-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.29
Under
1xBet
3.20
Nizhny Novgorod over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
44.7%
@ 2.41+6.5%
Under
55.3%
@ 1.49-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.47
Marathonbet
2.39
1xBet
2.37
Under
Marathonbet
1.51
1xBet
1.51
Superbet
1.45
Nizhny Novgorod over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.5%
@ 5.50-1.1%
Under
84.5%
@ 1.10+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Under
1xBet
1.10
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
37.2%
@ 3.61+11.8%
Under
62.8%
@ 1.23-11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.84
1xBet
3.60
Superbet
3.40
Under
1xBet
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.21
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.1%
Under
91.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ska-khabarovsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
94.4%
1.01
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
94.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
93.7%
1.05
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
+7.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
91.5%
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
-
+2.6%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
87.1%
1.18
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
-
-
+10.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
86.9%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.9%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
86.4%
1.10
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
SBO
1.09
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
86.1%
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-4.0%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
86.1%
1.22
Pinnacle
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-
+11.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
84.5%
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
-
-
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Home win
80.7%
1.21
Dafabet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
SBO
1.21
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
79.1%
1.33
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.30
-
+9.7%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.1%
1.29
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
-
-
-
+8.9%
-
Under 5.5 cards
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 1.5 goals
76.3%
1.39
Superbet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.35
-
+9.5%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 2H goals
76.2%
1.29
1xBet
1.29
-
-
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
74.1%
1.11
Pinnacle
1.15
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
-
-8.4%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
74.1%
1.07
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
-
-
-10.5%
✗ Miss
Away under 0.5 HT goals
70.6%
1.17
Pinnacle
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
-
-8.6%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
70.5%
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
-
-
-6.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Nizhny Novgorod · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Juan Manuel Boselli38%
Adrián Balboa25%
Olakunle Olusegun19%
Thiago Vecino14%
Daniil Lesovoy12%
Vyacheslav Grulev10%
Luka Tičić8%
Renaldo Cephas6%
Sven Karič3%
Nikita Medvedev0%
Nikita Kakkoev0%
Nikolay Kalinskiy0%
Juan Castillo0%
Mamadou Maiga0%
Valeriy Tsarukyan0%
Viktor Aleksandrov0%
Vadim Pigas0%
Ilya Kirsch0%
Edgardo Fariña0%
Yuriy Koledin0%
Alex Opoku Sarfo0%
Renaldo Cephas0%
Nikita Ermakov0%
Egor Smelov0%
Maksim Shnaptsev0%
Yaroslav Krashevskiy0%
Andrey Ivlev0%
Matvey Urvantsev0%
Artem Sidorenko0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Juan Manuel Boselli50%
Viktor Aleksandrov37%
Edgardo Fariña36%
Adrián Balboa25%
Andrey Ivlev24%
Renaldo Cephas22%
Juan Castillo22%
Matvey Urvantsev20%
Mamadou Maiga18%
Nikita Kakkoev18%
Maksim Shnaptsev17%
Nikita Ermakov17%
Yaroslav Krashevskiy17%
Daniil Lesovoy16%
Thiago Vecino14%
Egor Smelov14%
Sven Karič14%
Olakunle Olusegun12%
Nikolay Kalinskiy11%
Vyacheslav Grulev10%
Yuriy Koledin5%
Nikita Medvedev3%
Luka Tičić0%
Valeriy Tsarukyan0%
Vadim Pigas0%
Ilya Kirsch0%
Alex Opoku Sarfo0%
Renaldo Cephas0%
Artem Sidorenko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Egor Smelov14%
Olakunle Olusegun12%
Renaldo Cephas11%
Nikita Kakkoev6%
Yuriy Koledin5%
Maksim Shnaptsev4%
Daniil Lesovoy4%
Luka Tičić4%
Nikita Medvedev0%
Adrián Balboa0%
Nikolay Kalinskiy0%
Vyacheslav Grulev0%
Sven Karič0%
Juan Manuel Boselli0%
Thiago Vecino0%
Juan Castillo0%
Mamadou Maiga0%
Valeriy Tsarukyan0%
Viktor Aleksandrov0%
Vadim Pigas0%
Ilya Kirsch0%
Edgardo Fariña0%
Alex Opoku Sarfo0%
Renaldo Cephas0%
Nikita Ermakov0%
Yaroslav Krashevskiy0%
Andrey Ivlev0%
Matvey Urvantsev0%
Artem Sidorenko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Juan Manuel Boselli31%
Vyacheslav Grulev24%
Olakunle Olusegun19%
Adrián Balboa17%
Juan Castillo11%
Alex Opoku Sarfo7%
Daniil Lesovoy4%
Nikita Medvedev0%
Renaldo Cephas0%
Nikita Kakkoev0%
Nikolay Kalinskiy0%
Sven Karič0%
Luka Tičić0%
Thiago Vecino0%
Mamadou Maiga0%
Valeriy Tsarukyan0%
Viktor Aleksandrov0%
Vadim Pigas0%
Ilya Kirsch0%
Edgardo Fariña0%
Yuriy Koledin0%
Renaldo Cephas0%
Nikita Ermakov0%
Egor Smelov0%
Maksim Shnaptsev0%
Yaroslav Krashevskiy0%
Andrey Ivlev0%
Matvey Urvantsev0%
Artem Sidorenko0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (28)
€18m
FS (21)
€15m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Nizhny Novgorod's squad is €11m more valuable than Ska-khabarovsk's (€18m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Nizhny Novgorod's attack is €4m more valuable than Ska-khabarovsk's (€6m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Nizhny Novgorod and Ska-khabarovsk have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (11)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Nizhny Novgorod's defence is €6m more valuable than Ska-khabarovsk's (€9m vs €3m).
Russia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Sochi
Veles
Ural
FC UFA
Torpedo Moskva
Rotor Volgograd
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Spartak Kostroma
Arsenal Tula
FK Neftekhimik
Enisey
Volga Ulyanovsk
Leningradets
KAMAZ
Tekstilshchik
Chelyabinsk