This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Helsingborg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.40
1.86
0.79
1.19
1.94
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
3.50
-
-
0.25
3.50
vs Similar (25)
1.72
1.12
1.86
0.79
1.55
1.55
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Norrby IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.6%
Under 1.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.9%
Under 2.5
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.6%
Under 3.5
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.2%
No
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.0%
1-0
5.8%
0-0
5.6%
0-2
5.5%
Norrby IF goals ↓
Helsingborg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.6%
6.0%
5.5%
2.9%
1.1%
1
5.8%
12%
8.5%
4.4%
1.7%
2
5.3%
8.3%
6.5%
3.4%
1.3%
3
2.7%
4.2%
3.3%
1.7%
0.7%
4
1.0%
1.6%
1.3%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Norrby IF goals (down), columns = Helsingborg goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.24
Falkenbergs FF
1.81
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.76
Ostersunds FK
1.67
Osters IF
1.57
United Nordic
1.52
Landskrona BoIS
1.48
Oddevold
1.38
Sandviken
1.29
Helsingborg
1.24
Ljungskile SK
1.14
Norrby IF
1.10
IFK Varnamo
1.05
IK brage
1.00
Orebro SK
0.95
GIF Sundsvall
0.62
Norrby IF is 0.14 points worse than Helsingborg in terms of average points per game (1.10 vs 1.24).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Falkenbergs FF
1.95
IFK Norrkoping
1.95
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.81
IK brage
1.67
Sandviken
1.62
Oddevold
1.62
Helsingborg
1.62
United Nordic
1.52
Osters IF
1.52
Ostersunds FK
1.43
Ljungskile SK
1.29
Landskrona BoIS
1.29
Norrby IF
1.19
IFK Varnamo
1.19
Orebro SK
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.71
Norrby IF is 0.43 goals worse than Helsingborg in terms of goals scored per game (1.19 vs 1.62).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.62
Landskrona BoIS
1.05
Ostersunds FK
1.10
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.29
Norrby IF
1.33
Ljungskile SK
1.33
United Nordic
1.43
Osters IF
1.43
Falkenbergs FF
1.43
Sandviken
1.48
Oddevold
1.48
Orebro SK
1.57
IFK Varnamo
1.81
Helsingborg
1.95
IK brage
2.00
GIF Sundsvall
2.10
Norrby IF is 0.62 goals better than Helsingborg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.95).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
57%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ostersunds FK
53%
Osters IF
50%
Orebro SK
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Ljungskile SK
50%
Oddevold
50%
United Nordic
49%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
44%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
Norrby IF is 0.5 percentage points worse than Helsingborg in terms of average possession (44% vs 44%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Norrby IF
For 3.1 · Against 3.8 · Total 6.9
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.3
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 12.0 · Total 25.2
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Helsingborg
For 5.4 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.6
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.6
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 12.7 · Total 25.4
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Norrby IF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (37)
9.5
9.6
9.4
2.7
3.0
2.4
24.3
24.2
24.5
vs Stronger (17)
11.0
11.2
10.8
2.9
3.1
2.8
25.2
25.8
24.8
vs Similar (20)
8.5
8.4
8.6
2.5
2.9
2.2
23.8
23.3
24.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
50%
36%
43%
50%
37%
64%
64%
64%
% under line
57%
50%
64%
57%
50%
63%
36%
36%
36%
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Helsingborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
10.0
8.6
1.5
1.0
1.9
23.8
22.3
24.5
vs Stronger (8)
8.0
8.0
-
1.2
3.3
0.0
23.0
23.0
-
vs Similar (41)
9.2
11.0
8.6
1.6
0.7
2.5
23.9
22.0
24.5
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
44%
33%
50%
26%
17%
35%
56%
50%
58%
% under line
56%
67%
50%
74%
83%
65%
44%
50%
42%
This opponent (Norrby IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Osters IF
11.9
IFK Norrkoping
11.6
IFK Varnamo
11.3
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.7
Helsingborg
10.4
Landskrona BoIS
10.3
GIF Sundsvall
10.2
Orebro SK
10.2
IK brage
10.1
Sandviken
10.0
Ostersunds FK
9.7
Norrby IF
9.5
Oddevold
9.4
Falkenbergs FF
9.1
Ljungskile SK
9.0
United Nordic
7.5
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ljungskile SK
4.7
United Nordic
4.5
Norrby IF
4.3
Osters IF
4.3
IFK Norrkoping
4.2
Landskrona BoIS
4.1
Helsingborg
4.1
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.9
Orebro SK
3.9
Ostersunds FK
3.8
IK brage
3.6
Sandviken
3.4
IFK Varnamo
3.3
GIF Sundsvall
3.2
Falkenbergs FF
3.0
Oddevold
2.9
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
United Nordic
29.5
Ljungskile SK
28.0
IFK Norrkoping
26.6
Varbergs BoIS FC
26.6
Osters IF
25.7
Ostersunds FK
25.1
Norrby IF
24.3
Helsingborg
24.1
Landskrona BoIS
24.0
Orebro SK
23.9
IK brage
23.8
Sandviken
23.5
Falkenbergs FF
23.3
IFK Varnamo
22.8
Oddevold
21.1
GIF Sundsvall
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
40.9%
Under 9.5
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
52.9%
Under 3.5
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
74.5%
Under 21.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Norrby IF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.70
0.64
0.50
0.44
0.88
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
1.08
0.71
0.71
0.33
1.50
vs Similar (17)
0.53
0.41
0.57
0.29
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Helsingborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.64
0.29
0.56
0.81
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.75
-
-
0.00
1.75
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.40
0.64
0.29
0.82
0.55
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Norrby IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Norrby IF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norrby IF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norrby IF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsingborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsingborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsingborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Norrby IF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.93
0.79
0.71
0.75
1.12
vs Stronger (13)
1.00
1.00
0.86
0.57
1.17
1.50
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.88
0.71
0.86
0.50
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Helsingborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.83
1.21
0.50
0.62
1.12
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.75
-
-
0.25
1.75
vs Similar (25)
1.00
0.72
1.21
0.50
0.73
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Norrby IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Norrby IF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norrby IF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Norrby IF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsingborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsingborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsingborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 5.5 cards
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Helsingborg · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrian Svanback36%
Wilhelm Loeper29%
Oscar Aga21%
Marcus Gudmann20%
Ervin GigoviÄ9%
Max Svensson7%
Jon Birkfeldt0%
Johan Brattberg0%
Samuel Asoma0%
Wilhelm Nilsson0%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen0%
Simon Bengtsson0%
Lukas Kjellnas0%
William Westerlund0%
Benjamin Orn0%
Adam Akimey0%
Casper Ljung Hofvendahl0%
Alvin Nordin0%
Ture GÃķrefÃĪlt0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Wilhelm Nilsson42%
Adrian Svanback27%
Simon Bengtsson25%
Ture GÃķrefÃĪlt25%
Johan Brattberg15%
Samuel Asoma14%
Jon Birkfeldt11%
Marcus Gudmann10%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen8%
Adam Akimey8%
Lukas Kjellnas8%
Benjamin Orn8%
Max Svensson7%
Oscar Aga0%
Wilhelm Loeper0%
Ervin GigoviÄ0%
William Westerlund0%
Casper Ljung Hofvendahl0%
Alvin Nordin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Wilhelm Loeper21%
Lukas Kjellnas15%
Jon Birkfeldt11%
Marcus Gudmann10%
Ervin GigoviÄ9%
Adam Akimey8%
Oscar Aga0%
Max Svensson0%
Johan Brattberg0%
Samuel Asoma0%
Wilhelm Nilsson0%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen0%
Simon Bengtsson0%
William Westerlund0%
Adrian Svanback0%
Benjamin Orn0%
Casper Ljung Hofvendahl0%
Alvin Nordin0%
Ture GÃķrefÃĪlt0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Wilhelm Loeper29%
Adrian Svanback18%
Oscar Aga14%
Marcus Gudmann0%
Jon Birkfeldt0%
Max Svensson0%
Johan Brattberg0%
Samuel Asoma0%
Wilhelm Nilsson0%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen0%
Ervin GigoviÄ0%
Simon Bengtsson0%
Lukas Kjellnas0%
William Westerlund0%
Benjamin Orn0%
Adam Akimey0%
Casper Ljung Hofvendahl0%
Alvin Nordin0%
Ture GÃķrefÃĪlt0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
Norrby IF's squad is €4m less valuable than Helsingborg's (€3m vs €7m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
Norrby IF and Helsingborg have a similar attack value (both €1m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
Norrby IF's midfield is €2m less valuable than Helsingborg's (€0m vs €2m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
Norrby IF's defence is €1m less valuable than Helsingborg's (€1m vs €2m).
Sweden: Superettan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
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IFK Norrkoping
Falkenbergs FF
Varbergs BoIS FC
Ostersunds FK
Osters IF
United Nordic
Landskrona BoIS
Oddevold
Sandviken
Ljungskile SK
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
Orebro SK
GIF Sundsvall