The contest is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win at 38%. Home and away win chances sit at 34% and 28% respectively, leaving a 28% draw probability. The expected total of 2.8 goals points to a modestly high-scoring affair, yet the most likely total is 2 goals, a 25% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.1% probability, and that is the only scoreline to be named.
Norrby IF, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 1.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Landskrona BoIS, on the road against a weaker opponent, scores 1.0 and concedes 2.0 on average. The recent form shows Norrby coming off a 0-1 loss while Landskrona remain unbeaten in their last five, ending with a 1-1 draw.
The model’s selections are: Under 7.5 (99.2%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.7%, edge 5%), Under 6.5 (97.6%, edge 7%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.3%, edge 4%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.7%, edge 7%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.1%, edge 5%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.8%, edge 3%), and Away under 3.5 goals (94.2%, edge 5%).
Norrby IF| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.20 | 1.33 | 1.50 | 1.36 | 0.94 | 1.31 |
| vs Stronger (11) | 1.36 | 1.45 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.14 | 1.29 |
| vs Similar (19) | 1.11 | 1.26 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 0.78 | 1.33 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 20% (-5pp vs league) | |||||
Landskrona BoIS| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.27 | 1.33 | 1.43 | 1.29 | 1.12 | 1.38 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 3.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 1.35 | 1.19 | 1.50 | 1.17 | 1.21 | 1.21 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (-2pp vs league) | |||||
| Landskrona BoIS goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 7.1% | 13% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| 2 | 5.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Norrby IF
Landskrona BoIS
Norrby IF| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 8.7 | 8.5 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 24.4 | 24.6 | 24.2 |
| vs Stronger (21) | 10.0 | 11.2 | 8.8 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 25.9 | 25.8 | 26.0 |
| vs Similar (29) | 7.9 | 6.8 | 9.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 23.5 | 23.6 | 23.3 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 42% | 38% | 46% | 30% | 29% | 31% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| % under line | 58% | 62% | 54% | 70% | 71% | 69% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Landskrona BoIS| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.3 | 10.5 | 10.0 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 25.7 | 27.0 | 24.1 |
| vs Stronger (1) | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (44) | 10.5 | 11.0 | 9.9 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 26.3 | 27.0 | 25.3 |
| vs Weaker (5) | 8.5 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | - | 17.0 |
| % over line | 53% | 55% | 50% | 18% | 22% | 15% | 67% | 75% | 57% |
| % under line | 47% | 45% | 50% | 82% | 78% | 85% | 33% | 25% | 43% |
Norrby IF| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.57 | 0.53 | 0.64 | 0.43 | 0.50 | 0.62 |
| vs Stronger (11) | 0.64 | 0.82 | 0.75 | 1.00 | 0.57 | 0.71 |
| vs Similar (19) | 0.53 | 0.37 | 0.60 | 0.20 | 0.44 | 0.56 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+31pp vs league) | |||||
Landskrona BoIS| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.67 | 0.70 | 0.93 | 0.64 | 0.44 | 0.75 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 3.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 0.73 | 0.58 | 1.00 | 0.58 | 0.50 | 0.57 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+15pp vs league) | |||||
Norrby IF| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.63 | 0.80 | 0.86 | 0.93 | 0.44 | 0.69 |
| vs Stronger (11) | 0.73 | 0.64 | 1.00 | 0.75 | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| vs Similar (19) | 0.58 | 0.89 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.78 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+11pp vs league) | |||||
Landskrona BoIS| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.60 | 0.63 | 0.50 | 0.64 | 0.69 | 0.62 |
| vs Stronger (1) | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 0.62 | 0.62 | 0.50 | 0.58 | 0.71 | 0.64 |
| vs Weaker (3) | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+31pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 | 99.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 2.5 HT goals | 98.3% | 1.01 | 1.02 | 1.01 | - | - | - | +5.8% |
| Home under 2.5 HT goals | 97.6% | 1.01 | 1.02 | 1.01 | - | - | - | +4.1% |
| Under 6.5 | 97.6% | 1.02 | 1.03 | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | +3.1% |
| Away under 2.5 2H goals | 96.3% | 1.04 | 1.05 | 1.03 | - | - | - | +6.7% |
| Home under 3.5 goals | 95.1% | 1.04 | 1.04 | 1.04 | 1.03 | - | - | +3.9% |
| Home under 2.5 2H goals | 95.0% | 1.03 | 1.04 | 1.02 | - | - | - | +4.6% |
| Away under 3.5 goals | 94.2% | 1.04 | 1.06 | 1.05 | 1.04 | 1.01 | - | +4.0% |
| Under 5.5 | 93.5% | 1.04 | 1.07 | 1.06 | 1.05 | 1.03 | 1.02 | +4.3% |
| Under 5.5 cards | 91.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 2.5 HT goals | 88.9% | 1.11 | 1.13 | 1.12 | 1.12 | 1.12 | 1.11 | +5.9% |
| Away under 1.5 HT goals | 88.9% | 1.13 | 1.14 | 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.11 | - | +6.5% |
| Home under 1.5 HT goals | 87.7% | 1.10 | 1.11 | 1.11 | 1.11 | 1.09 | - | +3.7% |
| Over 19.5 fouls | 87.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 11.5 corners | 85.7% | 1.29 | 1.35 | 1.30 | 1.22 | - | - | +14.9% |
| Away under 1.5 2H goals | 85.4% | 1.22 | 1.25 | 1.21 | 1.21 | 1.20 | - | +9.5% |
| Under 4.5 | 84.8% | 1.16 | 1.19 | 1.18 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.17 | +4.5% |
| Home under 2.5 goals | 84.3% | 1.15 | 1.18 | 1.17 | 1.16 | 1.15 | 1.14 | +3.7% |
| Away +2 handicap | 83.9% | 1.12 | 1.14 | 1.11 | - | - | - | +6.4% |
| Away under 2.5 goals | 82.4% | 1.19 | 1.22 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.18 | 1.18 | +4.2% |
| Under 4.5 cards | 82.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 1.5 2H goals | 81.5% | 1.19 | 1.21 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | +3.5% |
| Home +2 handicap | 81.5% | 1.16 | 1.18 | 1.15 | 1.14 | - | - | +3.5% |
| Under 2.5 2H goals | 80.4% | 1.24 | 1.29 | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.23 | 1.23 | +6.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 78.1% | 1.19 | 1.22 | 1.21 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.19 | -0.1% |
| Over 0.5 2H goals | 77.6% | 1.17 | 1.20 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.17 | 1.15 | -1.2% |
| Under 10.5 corners | 77.5% | 1.51 | 1.57 | 1.54 | 1.53 | 1.47 | 1.43 | +16.3% |
| Away over 0.5 goals | 76.3% | 1.20 | 1.21 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.20 | -1.0% |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 76.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home over 0.5 goals | 74.3% | 1.24 | 1.26 | 1.26 | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.23 | -0.6% |
| Home or Away | 72.4% | 1.27 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.28 | -0.8% |
| Over 0.5 HT goals | 70.7% | 1.29 | 1.34 | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.30 | 1.30 | -1.0% |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 18/09/22 | A | 3-2 | |
| 02/05/22 | H | 0-0 |
Norrby IF| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 26/08/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 23/08/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 15/08/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 10/08/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 31/07/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 26/07/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 20/07/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 28/06/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 21/06/26 | H | 0-0 |
Landskrona BoIS| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 24/08/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 20/08/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 14/08/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 08/08/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 01/08/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 28/07/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 18/07/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 28/06/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 22/06/26 | A | 2-3 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | IFK Norrkoping | 21 | 47 | 71% | 2.2 | 41 | 13 | +28 | 2.6 | 76% | 48% | 24% | 10.2 | 50% | 3.5 | 60% | 27.8 | 100% | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 55% |
| 2 | Falkenbergs FF | 21 | 38 | 52% | 1.8 | 41 | 30 | +11 | 3.4 | 90% | 71% | 43% | 9.0 | 40% | 1.8 | 10% | 20.3 | 67% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 50% |
| 3 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 21 | 37 | 52% | 1.8 | 38 | 27 | +11 | 3.1 | 81% | 71% | 43% | 7.8 | 36% | 3.9 | 64% | 30.8 | 100% | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 47% |
| 4 | Ostersunds FK | 21 | 35 | 43% | 1.7 | 30 | 23 | +7 | 2.5 | 76% | 38% | 24% | 8.5 | 40% | 3.2 | 50% | 25.7 | 100% | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 53% |
| 5 | Osters IF | 21 | 33 | 48% | 1.6 | 32 | 30 | +2 | 3.0 | 71% | 62% | 38% | 11.8 | 89% | 2.9 | 33% | 24.5 | 100% | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 50% |
| 6 | United Nordic | 21 | 32 | 38% | 1.5 | 32 | 30 | +2 | 3.0 | 86% | 48% | 38% | 10.1 | 62% | 2.9 | 38% | 29.8 | 100% | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 49% |
| 7 | Landskrona BoIS | 21 | 31 | 38% | 1.5 | 27 | 22 | +5 | 2.3 | 71% | 38% | 19% | 9.8 | 38% | 3.5 | 38% | 28.2 | 75% | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 57% |
| 8 | Oddevold | 21 | 29 | 33% | 1.4 | 34 | 31 | +3 | 3.1 | 76% | 62% | 48% | 10.1 | 50% | 2.4 | 22% | 25.4 | 100% | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 50% |
| 9 | Sandviken | 21 | 27 | 33% | 1.3 | 34 | 31 | +3 | 3.1 | 76% | 62% | 38% | 9.6 | 33% | 2.4 | 11% | 23.0 | 67% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 55% |
| 10 | Helsingborg | 21 | 26 | 33% | 1.2 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 3.6 | 95% | 67% | 48% | 9.2 | 60% | 5.0 | 83% | 26.0 | 100% | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 44% |
| 11 | Ljungskile SK | 21 | 24 | 29% | 1.1 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 2.6 | 62% | 48% | 38% | 10.2 | 60% | 3.9 | 55% | 26.6 | 100% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 50% |
| 12 | Norrby IF | 21 | 23 | 19% | 1.1 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 2.5 | 76% | 43% | 33% | 7.3 | 33% | 2.3 | 33% | 21.5 | 50% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 44% |
| 13 | IFK Varnamo | 21 | 22 | 29% | 1.0 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 3.0 | 71% | 57% | 43% | 8.4 | 30% | 3.1 | 30% | 24.3 | 67% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 53% |
| 14 | IK brage | 21 | 21 | 24% | 1.0 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 3.7 | 81% | 76% | 52% | 8.7 | 33% | 4.0 | 60% | 27.3 | 100% | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 48% |
| 15 | Orebro SK | 21 | 20 | 19% | 1.0 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 2.6 | 71% | 48% | 29% | 9.2 | 44% | 3.2 | 44% | 23.3 | 67% | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 50% |
| 16 | GIF Sundsvall | 21 | 13 | 19% | 0.6 | 15 | 44 | -29 | 2.8 | 67% | 57% | 33% | 9.8 | 67% | 2.6 | 22% | 20.5 | 50% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 41% |