Norrby IF is expected to emerge victorious in this Superettan matchup against Sandviken, with the model predicting a home win. The recent form of both teams has been inconsistent, with Norrby IF coming off a defeat and Sandviken also suffering a loss in their last outing. Norrby IF has struggled to score at home, averaging 1.25 goals per match against stronger opponents, while also conceding at a similar rate. In contrast, Sandviken has performed well away from home, scoring an average of 2.5 goals against weaker opponents and conceding just 0.5 goals.
The model suggests a total of 2.9 goals on average, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, occurring 12.6% of the time. The model's selection is the home win, with a probability of 45%. The suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals, occurring 79.3% of the time, Over 21.5 fouls, occurring 76% of the time, and Under 3.5 cards, occurring 74.5% of the time. Norrby IF has a 45% chance of winning, a 27% chance of drawing, and a 28% chance of losing.
Results analysis
The 1-1 draw stunned fans, as the pre-match favourite, Home win, was wrong; the model’s call was incorrect. Norrby IF, fresh from a draw, and Sandviken, also coming off a draw, finished level, extending their recent streaks of mixed results. The model had predicted a 45% chance of a home win, a 27% draw and a 28% away win, but the match ended in a stalemate. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 7.5 (99.1%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.1%), Under 6.5 (97.2%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.2%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.2%) and Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.5%). The total goals were 2, matching the most likely scoreline of 1-1.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Norrby IF win✗ Miss
45.3%
Avg Implied 39.6% · @ 2.32
Edge
+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.41
10Bet
2.40
1xBet
2.36
Unibet
2.35
Dafabet
2.34
Draw✓ Hit
26.7%
Avg Implied 26.5% · @ 3.47
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.70
10Bet
3.65
BetVictor
3.60
Pinnacle
3.59
Dafabet
3.50
Sandviken win✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied 33.9% · @ 2.71
Edge
-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.82
Dafabet
2.80
Superbet
2.77
1xBet
2.76
BetVictor
2.75
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Norrby IF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.37
1.64
1.29
0.94
1.44
vs Stronger (12)
1.50
1.58
2.00
1.40
1.14
1.71
vs Similar (18)
1.11
1.22
1.44
1.22
0.78
1.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandviken) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sandviken
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.47
2.20
1.47
1.07
1.47
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
3.00
2.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.61
1.43
2.21
1.36
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Norrby IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.3%
@ 1.17-0.0%
Under 1.5
20.7%
@ 4.51+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Betano
1.19
888Sport
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Under
Betfair
5.00
Pinnacle
4.79
10Bet
4.75
BetVictor
4.60
Superbet
4.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.9%
@ 1.60-3.8%
Under 2.5
45.1%
@ 2.27+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.63
Bet365
1.62
888Sport
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
Under
Betfair
2.45
10Bet
2.38
Pinnacle
2.30
Betano
2.27
Marathonbet
2.25
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.6%
@ 2.44-5.5%
Under 3.5
67.4%
@ 1.50+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.56
Bet365
2.50
888Sport
2.50
Unibet
2.45
Betfair
2.45
Under
10Bet
1.55
Betfair
1.53
Betano
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Superbet
1.52
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.5%
@ 1.49-3.6%
No
41.5%
@ 2.44+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.53
Betfair
1.50
888Sport
1.50
Betano
1.50
William Hil
1.50
No
Betfair
2.55
10Bet
2.50
Superbet
2.45
BetVictor
2.45
1xBet
2.44
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.6%@ 6.70+5.9%
2-1
9.3%@ 8.66+4.2%
1-0
8.0%@ 10.17+3.7%
2-0
7.5%@ 12.52+3.9%
1-2
7.1%@ 9.32+2.4%
0-0
6.8%@ 13.04+3.4%
0-1
5.9%@ 11.01+1.8%
2-2
5.8%@ 10.33+1.5%
Norrby IF goals ↓
Sandviken goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.8%
5.9%
4.4%
1.8%
0.6%
1
8.0%
13%
7.1%
3.0%
0.9%
2
7.5%
9.3%
5.8%
2.4%
0.8%
3
4.1%
5.1%
3.2%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.7%
2.1%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Norrby IF goals (down), columns = Sandviken goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.24
Falkenbergs FF
1.81
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.76
Ostersunds FK
1.67
Osters IF
1.57
United Nordic
1.52
Landskrona BoIS
1.48
Oddevold
1.38
Sandviken
1.29
Helsingborg
1.24
Ljungskile SK
1.14
Norrby IF
1.10
IFK Varnamo
1.05
IK brage
1.00
Orebro SK
0.95
GIF Sundsvall
0.62
Norrby IF is 0.19 points worse than Sandviken in terms of average points per game (1.10 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Falkenbergs FF
1.95
IFK Norrkoping
1.95
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.81
IK brage
1.67
Sandviken
1.62
Oddevold
1.62
Helsingborg
1.62
United Nordic
1.52
Osters IF
1.52
Ostersunds FK
1.43
Ljungskile SK
1.29
Landskrona BoIS
1.29
Norrby IF
1.19
IFK Varnamo
1.19
Orebro SK
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.71
Norrby IF is 0.43 goals worse than Sandviken in terms of goals scored per game (1.19 vs 1.62).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.62
Landskrona BoIS
1.05
Ostersunds FK
1.10
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.29
Norrby IF
1.33
Ljungskile SK
1.33
United Nordic
1.43
Osters IF
1.43
Falkenbergs FF
1.43
Sandviken
1.48
Oddevold
1.48
Orebro SK
1.57
IFK Varnamo
1.81
Helsingborg
1.95
IK brage
2.00
GIF Sundsvall
2.10
Norrby IF is 0.14 goals better than Sandviken in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.48).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
57%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ostersunds FK
53%
Osters IF
50%
Orebro SK
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Ljungskile SK
50%
Oddevold
50%
United Nordic
49%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
44%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
Norrby IF is 11.1 percentage points worse than Sandviken in terms of average possession (44% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Norrby IF
For 3.6 · Against 3.5 · Total 7.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 10.8 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sandviken
For 4.9 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 8.4 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Norrby IF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
8.7
9.3
2.2
2.1
2.2
24.1
23.8
24.5
vs Stronger (21)
10.5
11.2
9.8
2.6
3.1
2.2
25.2
25.8
24.8
vs Similar (29)
8.1
7.3
8.9
1.9
1.5
2.2
23.5
22.5
24.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
45%
43%
47%
32%
33%
31%
62%
60%
64%
% under line
55%
57%
53%
68%
67%
69%
38%
40%
36%
This opponent (Sandviken) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sandviken
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.6
9.2
1.2
1.4
1.0
22.9
21.8
24.7
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
9.7
10.1
9.2
1.2
1.3
1.0
22.3
20.5
24.7
vs Weaker (2)
16.0
16.0
-
2.5
5.0
0.0
32.0
32.0
-
% over line
38%
33%
44%
12%
17%
8%
67%
44%
100%
% under line
62%
67%
56%
88%
83%
92%
33%
56%
0%
This opponent (Norrby IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Osters IF
11.8
IFK Norrkoping
11.5
IFK Varnamo
11.0
Helsingborg
10.4
Landskrona BoIS
10.3
IK brage
10.3
Ljungskile SK
10.2
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.1
GIF Sundsvall
10.0
Sandviken
9.9
Oddevold
9.5
Ostersunds FK
9.4
Orebro SK
9.4
United Nordic
9.1
Norrby IF
9.0
Falkenbergs FF
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
IFK Norrkoping
4.2
Helsingborg
4.1
Landskrona BoIS
4.0
Osters IF
3.9
Ljungskile SK
3.8
Norrby IF
3.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.7
Orebro SK
3.7
IK brage
3.6
Ostersunds FK
3.4
IFK Varnamo
3.3
Sandviken
3.3
GIF Sundsvall
3.0
Oddevold
2.9
United Nordic
2.7
Falkenbergs FF
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
United Nordic
29.8
IFK Norrkoping
27.0
Ljungskile SK
26.6
Varbergs BoIS FC
26.6
Osters IF
25.2
Ostersunds FK
25.1
Norrby IF
24.3
Helsingborg
24.2
IK brage
24.1
Landskrona BoIS
23.9
Orebro SK
23.7
Sandviken
23.5
Falkenbergs FF
23.3
IFK Varnamo
22.8
Oddevold
21.4
GIF Sundsvall
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
31.3%
@ 1.93-16.7%
Under 9.5
68.7%
@ 1.78+16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.05
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.92
Pinnacle
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.84
Betano
1.82
Superbet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
25.5%
Under 3.5
74.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
76.0%
Under 21.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Norrby IF or Draw✓ Hit
71.9%
Avg Implied 66.1% · @ 1.41
Edge
+5.8%
45%
27%
28%
covers Norrby IF + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Norrby IF or Sandviken✗ Miss
73.3%
Avg Implied 73.6% · @ 1.27
Edge
-0.3%
45%
27%
28%
covers Norrby IF + Sandviken
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Draw or Sandviken✓ Hit
54.7%
Avg Implied 60.3% · @ 1.55
Edge
-5.6%
45%
27%
28%
covers Draw + Sandviken
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.60
Betfair
1.57
888Sport
1.57
William Hil
1.57
10Bet
1.55
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Norrby IF over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.5%
@ 1.18+1.9%
Under
19.5%
@ 4.33-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.20
Betano
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Norrby IF over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
48.5%
@ 1.94+0.6%
Under
51.5%
@ 1.79-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
1xBet
1.97
888Sport
1.95
BetVictor
1.95
Under
Betano
1.82
Pinnacle
1.81
Superbet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Norrby IF over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
22.5%
@ 3.97-0.8%
Under
77.5%
@ 1.21+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.23
BetVictor
4.10
1xBet
4.05
Marathonbet
4.05
888Sport
4.00
Under
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Norrby IF over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.3%
@ 9.02-2.1%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.05+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
10.00
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
9.10
Betfair
8.50
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
888Sport
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Sandviken over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.3%
@ 1.22-4.5%
Under
28.7%
@ 3.82+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
Superbet
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.05
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.95
BetVictor
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Sandviken over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
35.4%
@ 2.14-8.1%
Under
64.6%
@ 1.65+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.16
1xBet
2.16
888Sport
2.15
Under
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
1xBet
1.65
Sandviken over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.1%
@ 4.63-7.0%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.16+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
888Sport
4.80
BetVictor
4.80
Marathonbet
4.70
1xBet
4.70
Under
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
888Sport
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Sandviken over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 10.81-5.0%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.04+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
888Sport
12.00
Betfair
9.50
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Norrby IF, so a minus line means Norrby IF give that many goals of a start and Sandviken receive them. At -1, Norrby IF must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Norrby IF win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Norrby IF)Actual: Sandviken
Norrby IF -2
10.1%
@ 8.93-0.0%
Draw -2
14.0%
@ 6.64+0.5%
Sandviken +2
75.9%
@ 1.18-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
8.70
10Bet
8.00
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
6.80
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Away
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Handicap -1 (Norrby IF)Actual: Sandviken
Norrby IF -1
24.1%
@ 4.31+3.4%
Draw -1
21.1%
@ 4.28+0.2%
Sandviken +1
54.7%
@ 1.54-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
10Bet
4.20
Away
10Bet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.54
Betfair
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Handicap +1 (Norrby IF)Actual: Norrby IF
Norrby IF +1
71.9%
@ 1.42+8.5%
Draw +1
15.9%
@ 4.64-3.5%
Sandviken -1
12.2%
@ 5.23-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.60
10Bet
4.33
Away
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.20
10Bet
5.00
Handicap +2 (Norrby IF)Actual: Norrby IF
Norrby IF +2
87.8%
@ 1.11+9.8%
Draw +2
8.2%
@ 6.67-4.8%
Sandviken -2
4.0%
@ 9.65-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
6.30
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Norrby IF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.53
0.64
0.43
0.44
0.62
vs Stronger (12)
0.58
0.83
0.80
0.80
0.43
0.86
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.33
0.56
0.22
0.44
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandviken) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sandviken
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.83
1.27
0.80
0.40
0.87
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.82
0.82
1.21
0.79
0.43
0.86
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Norrby IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
70.3%
@ 1.27-2.4%
Under 0.5
29.7%
@ 3.40+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.50
William Hil
3.50
10Bet
3.45
BetVictor
3.40
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.7%
@ 2.31-7.4%
Under 1.5
67.3%
@ 1.55+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.41
Bet365
2.38
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.34
Marathonbet
2.34
Under
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.57
Betfair
1.57
William Hil
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.4%
@ 5.34-5.9%
Under 2.5
88.6%
@ 1.12+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.75
Bet365
5.50
William Hil
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Norrby IF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
48.9%
@ 1.81-2.4%
Under
51.1%
@ 1.91+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
10Bet
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Under
1xBet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.93
10Bet
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Betano
1.87
Norrby IF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.5%
@ 5.20-4.3%
Under
86.5%
@ 1.13+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.50
1xBet
5.50
10Bet
5.00
Betano
4.80
Under
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
Norrby IF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 12.38-4.8%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.02+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
9.75
Under
10Bet
1.02
Betano
1.02
Sandviken over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.1%
@ 1.91-6.3%
Under
57.9%
@ 1.79+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.98
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
Superbet
1.92
10Bet
1.85
Under
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Betano
1.75
Sandviken over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 5.59-6.1%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.11+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.20
1xBet
5.50
Betano
5.40
10Bet
5.25
Under
1xBet
1.13
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.09
Sandviken over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 13.75-4.9%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Norrby IF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.83
1.00
0.86
0.50
0.81
vs Stronger (12)
0.92
0.75
1.20
0.60
0.71
0.86
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.89
0.89
1.00
0.33
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandviken) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sandviken
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.63
0.93
0.67
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.79
0.61
1.00
0.57
0.57
0.64
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Norrby IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.3%
@ 1.16-2.9%
Under 0.5
22.7%
@ 4.67+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.65
Superbet
4.60
William Hil
4.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
45.7%
@ 1.79-6.0%
Under 1.5
54.3%
@ 1.92+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.81
Bet365
1.80
William Hil
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Under
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
Superbet
1.92
William Hil
1.91
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.3%
@ 3.40-8.8%
Under 2.5
81.7%
@ 1.26+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.50
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.44
Marathonbet
3.44
Superbet
3.40
Under
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Norrby IF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
53.2%
@ 1.56-6.1%
Under
46.8%
@ 2.27+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Betano
1.55
Under
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.27
Superbet
2.25
Norrby IF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.6%
@ 3.62-6.9%
Under
81.4%
@ 1.24+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.82
1xBet
3.60
Betano
3.45
Under
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
Norrby IF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.5%
@ 7.60-7.7%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.05+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.05
Sandviken over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
47.5%
@ 1.64-9.0%
Under
52.5%
@ 2.12+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Betano
1.62
Under
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.12
Superbet
2.10
Sandviken over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.6%
@ 4.08-9.0%
Under
86.4%
@ 1.19+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.10
Betano
3.85
Under
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Sandviken over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 8.50-7.9%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.04+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.04
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.2%
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.0%
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
-
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.2%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.5%
1.05
Betano
1.05
-
-
-
-
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
92.8%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Betfair
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Bet365
1.06
BetVictor
1.04
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
91.7%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
888Sport
1.05
1xBet
1.02
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.5%
1.11
1xBet
1.13
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.09
-
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.6%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.11
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
87.8%
1.11
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-
-
+9.8%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
87.0%
1.36
Pinnacle
1.51
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.23
+18.9%
-
Away under 2.5 goals
86.9%
1.16
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
888Sport
1.17
Bet365
1.17
+7.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.5%
1.13
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.4%
1.19
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
-
-
+9.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
83.5%
1.18
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.19
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.7%
1.26
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
+8.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.4%
1.24
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
-
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
80.5%
1.18
888Sport
1.20
Betano
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.3%
1.17
10Bet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Betano
1.19
888Sport
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-0.0%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
79.2%
1.48
Pinnacle
1.53
Superbet
1.52
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
+17.0%
-
Home under 2.5 goals
77.5%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.3%
1.16
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
-2.9%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
75.9%
1.18
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
-
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5 cards
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.3%
1.27
William Hil
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.27
-0.3%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
71.9%
1.41
Betano
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
71.9%
1.42
10Bet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
-
-
+8.5%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
71.3%
1.22
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
Superbet
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
-4.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.3%
1.27
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
-2.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Sandviken
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christian Wagner67%
Linus Tagesson33%
Johan Arvidsson0%
Kasper Harletun0%
Mohammed Mahammed Yousef0%
Alan Carleton0%
Liam Vabö0%
Viggo van der Laan0%
Mohammed Sadat Abubakari0%
Adam Kiani0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kasper Harletun33%
Christian Wagner33%
Liam Vabö33%
Adam Kiani33%
Johan Arvidsson0%
Linus Tagesson0%
Mohammed Mahammed Yousef0%
Alan Carleton0%
Viggo van der Laan0%
Mohammed Sadat Abubakari0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Linus Tagesson67%
Johan Arvidsson0%
Kasper Harletun0%
Christian Wagner0%
Mohammed Mahammed Yousef0%
Alan Carleton0%
Liam Vabö0%
Viggo van der Laan0%
Mohammed Sadat Abubakari0%
Adam Kiani0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Johan Arvidsson33%
Linus Tagesson0%
Kasper Harletun0%
Christian Wagner0%
Mohammed Mahammed Yousef0%
Alan Carleton0%
Liam Vabö0%
Viggo van der Laan0%
Mohammed Sadat Abubakari0%
Adam Kiani0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
Norrby IF's squad is €2m less valuable than Sandviken's (€3m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
Norrby IF and Sandviken have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
Norrby IF and Sandviken have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
Norrby IF and Sandviken have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Sweden: Superettan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
IFK Norrkoping
Falkenbergs FF
Varbergs BoIS FC
Ostersunds FK
Osters IF
United Nordic
Landskrona BoIS
Oddevold
Helsingborg
Ljungskile SK
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
Orebro SK
GIF Sundsvall