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Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Result & Analysis

Date: 05/11/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 2-0
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Vs
32%
30%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Referee: J Gillett

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nottingham Forest win✓ Hit
31.9%
Avg Implied 24.6% · @ 3.91
Edge
+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.9%
Avg Implied 25.7% · @ 3.75
Edge
+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa win✗ Miss
38.1%
Avg Implied 49.7% · @ 1.94
Edge
-11.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L21W23L10W11D02L11D00D22D03LA·ARS12/08H·SHE18/08A·MAN26/08A·CHE02/09H·BUR18/09A·MAN23/09H·BRE01/10A·CRY07/10H·LUT21/10A·LIV29/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.631.571.210.812.00
vs Stronger (8)1.001.621.000.501.002.00
vs Similar (21)1.191.621.641.270.702.00
vs Weaker (1)2.002.002.002.00--
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-603L31W23L10W61W10W11D41W41W31WA·LIV03/09H·CRY16/09A·LEG21/09A·CHE24/09H·BRI30/09H·ZRI05/10A·WOL08/10H·WES22/10A·AZ 26/10H·LUT29/10
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.130.872.710.431.621.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)2.000.952.700.501.221.44
vs Weaker (11)2.360.732.750.252.141.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.2%
Under 1.5
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.0%
@ 1.75-10.8%
Under 2.5
56.0%
@ 2.12+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.9%
Under 3.5
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.8%
No
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-0
10.0%
0-1
9.9%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-0 ✓
5.8%
Nottingham Forest goals ↓
Aston Villa goals →
01234
010%9.9%7.2%3.1%1.0%
18.8%14%8.3%3.6%1.1%
25.8%7.5%4.8%2.0%0.7%
32.2%2.9%1.8%0.8%0.3%
40.6%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nottingham Forest goals (down), columns = Aston Villa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Nottingham Forest is 0.84 points worse than Aston Villa in terms of average points per game (0.95 vs 1.79).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Nottingham Forest is 0.71 goals worse than Aston Villa in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Nottingham Forest is 0.16 goals worse than Aston Villa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.76 vs 1.61).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Nottingham Forest is 13.0 percentage points worse than Aston Villa in terms of average possession (40% vs 53%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

For 3.8 · Against 6.8 · Total 10.6

🚩 Corners

14038427311166548311673811610121298141311A·LIVH·LUTA·CRYH·BREA·MANH·BURA·CHEA·MANH·SHEA·ARS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.5

🟨 Cards

11032312274244354232253141167954A·LIVH·LUTA·CRYH·BREA·MANH·BURA·CHEA·MANH·SHEA·ARS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 9.6 · Total 20.9

⚠️ Fouls

26013912111276101751610910111359121222231916222619241424A·LIVH·LUTA·CRYH·BREA·MANH·BURA·CHEA·MANH·SHEA·ARS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Aston VillaAston Villa

For 6.2 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

16064148710215131153342371051512154166610H·LUTA·AZ H·WESA·WOLH·ZRIH·BRIA·CHEA·LEGH·CRYA·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

803223123224432235315515485581H·LUTA·AZ H·WESA·WOLH·ZRIH·BRIA·CHEA·LEGH·CRYA·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 13.2 · Total 24.6

⚠️ Fouls

400111012129159191291921119111613971221242428214020272219H·LUTA·AZ H·WESA·WOLH·ZRIH·BRIA·CHEA·LEGH·CRYA·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.88.810.74.24.63.922.222.921.7
vs Stronger (12)10.08.810.63.93.24.221.522.221.1
vs Similar (37)9.88.910.74.34.93.722.523.021.9
vs Weaker (1)6.06.0-3.03.0-23.023.0-
% over line54%43%63%64%70%59%60%65%56%
% under line46%57%37%36%30%41%40%35%44%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.510.34.34.24.423.922.924.9
vs Stronger (4)10.28.012.53.22.54.020.215.025.5
vs Similar (31)9.88.910.74.74.54.924.624.624.6
vs Weaker (15)10.011.19.03.73.93.623.521.425.2
% over line58%48%68%58%60%56%66%52%80%
% under line42%52%32%42%40%44%34%48%20%
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Manchester United
11.5
Newcastle
11.1
Bournemouth
11.1
Everton
10.8
Tottenham
10.7
West Ham
10.7
Sheffield United
10.5
Luton
10.4
Burnley
10.2
Wolves
10.2
Fulham
10.2
Liverpool
10.1
Arsenal
10.1
Aston Villa
9.9
Brentford
9.8
Nottingham Forest
9.8
Chelsea
9.8
Crystal Palace
9.7
Brighton
9.7
Manchester City
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Wolves
4.6
Chelsea
4.6
Brighton
4.5
Tottenham
4.4
Aston Villa
4.3
Crystal Palace
4.3
Burnley
4.2
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Sheffield United
4.2
Newcastle
4.2
Everton
4.0
Manchester City
4.0
Manchester United
3.9
Luton
3.8
Fulham
3.8
Arsenal
3.8
Brentford
3.5
Bournemouth
3.4
Liverpool
3.2
West Ham
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.4
Aston Villa
23.9
Chelsea
23.4
Wolves
23.2
Brighton
23.1
Tottenham
22.8
Newcastle
22.7
Luton
22.7
Nottingham Forest
22.2
Fulham
21.9
Arsenal
21.1
Bournemouth
21.1
Burnley
21.0
Everton
20.9
Brentford
20.8
Liverpool
20.7
Manchester City
20.4
Sheffield United
20.3
Manchester United
20.0
West Ham
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
63.6%
Under 9.5
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.7%
Under 3.5
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
26.0%
Under 21.5
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W21W00D01L02L00D00D00D02LA·ARS12/08H·SHE18/08A·MAN26/08A·CHE02/09H·BUR18/09A·MAN23/09H·BRE01/10A·CRY07/10H·LUT21/10A·LIV29/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.700.710.570.380.81
vs Stronger (8)0.250.880.500.500.171.00
vs Similar (21)0.670.670.820.640.500.70
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D22D00D30W00D00D10W20W10WA·LIV03/09H·CRY16/09A·LEG21/09A·CHE24/09H·BRI30/09H·ZRI05/10A·WOL08/10H·WES22/10A·AZ 26/10H·LUT29/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.371.140.070.880.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.890.371.100.100.670.67
vs Weaker (11)1.180.361.250.001.140.57
Clean sheet %73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D02L10W10W00D11D00D22D01LA·ARS12/08H·SHE18/08A·MAN26/08A·CHE02/09H·BUR18/09A·MAN23/09H·BRE01/10A·CRY07/10H·LUT21/10A·LIV29/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.930.860.640.441.19
vs Stronger (8)0.750.750.500.000.831.00
vs Similar (21)0.520.950.820.640.201.30
vs Weaker (1)2.002.002.002.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L31W01L10W31W10W11D31W21W21WA·LIV03/09H·CRY16/09A·LEG21/09A·CHE24/09H·BRI30/09H·ZRI05/10A·WOL08/10H·WES22/10A·AZ 26/10H·LUT29/10
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.501.570.360.750.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.110.581.600.400.560.78
vs Weaker (11)1.180.361.500.251.000.43
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls93.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards87.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls85.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.577.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards75.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners74.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls74.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.2%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Nottingham Forest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chris Wood32%
Taiwo Awoniyi30%
Callum Hudson-Odoi24%
Anthony Elanga14%
Morgan Gibbs-White14%
Willy Boly10%
Nicolás Domínguez8%
Danilo7%
Orel Mangala5%
Moussa Niakhaté5%
Ola Aina5%
Harry Toffolo4%
Ryan Yates3%
Serge Aurier0%
Divock Origi0%
Felipe0%
Odysseas Vlachodimos0%
Joe Worrall0%
Gonzalo Montiel0%
Matz Sels0%
Cheikhou Kouyaté0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Nuno Tavares0%
Scott McKenna0%
Matt Turner0%
Brennan Johnson0%
Neco Williams0%
Andrew Omobamidele0%
Giovanni Reyna0%
Rodrigo Ribeiro0%
Murillo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Felipe57%
Gonzalo Montiel36%
Ibrahim Sangaré35%
Orel Mangala30%
Nuno Tavares25%
Morgan Gibbs-White24%
Moussa Niakhaté19%
Andrew Omobamidele18%
Ryan Yates17%
Serge Aurier17%
Cheikhou Kouyaté17%
Murillo16%
Nicolás Domínguez15%
Neco Williams15%
Danilo14%
Ola Aina14%
Harry Toffolo13%
Matt Turner12%
Taiwo Awoniyi10%
Willy Boly10%
Matz Sels6%
Divock Origi5%
Anthony Elanga3%
Odysseas Vlachodimos0%
Joe Worrall0%
Callum Hudson-Odoi0%
Chris Wood0%
Scott McKenna0%
Brennan Johnson0%
Giovanni Reyna0%
Rodrigo Ribeiro0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Morgan Gibbs-White24%
Anthony Elanga19%
Taiwo Awoniyi15%
Gonzalo Montiel14%
Giovanni Reyna11%
Harry Toffolo9%
Serge Aurier8%
Nicolás Domínguez8%
Danilo7%
Murillo6%
Divock Origi5%
Willy Boly5%
Ola Aina5%
Neco Williams4%
Callum Hudson-Odoi3%
Chris Wood3%
Ryan Yates3%
Felipe0%
Odysseas Vlachodimos0%
Joe Worrall0%
Matz Sels0%
Cheikhou Kouyaté0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Orel Mangala0%
Moussa Niakhaté0%
Nuno Tavares0%
Scott McKenna0%
Matt Turner0%
Brennan Johnson0%
Andrew Omobamidele0%
Rodrigo Ribeiro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Chris Wood26%
Taiwo Awoniyi20%
Callum Hudson-Odoi17%
Anthony Elanga17%
Giovanni Reyna11%
Danilo7%
Morgan Gibbs-White5%
Orel Mangala5%
Nicolás Domínguez4%
Ryan Yates3%
Serge Aurier0%
Divock Origi0%
Felipe0%
Odysseas Vlachodimos0%
Joe Worrall0%
Gonzalo Montiel0%
Ola Aina0%
Matz Sels0%
Cheikhou Kouyaté0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Moussa Niakhaté0%
Nuno Tavares0%
Scott McKenna0%
Matt Turner0%
Brennan Johnson0%
Neco Williams0%
Andrew Omobamidele0%
Rodrigo Ribeiro0%
Murillo0%
Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ollie Watkins41%
Leon Bailey29%
Jhon Durán20%
Morgan Rogers19%
John McGinn18%
Moussa Diaby18%
Douglas Luiz16%
Álex Moreno12%
Nicolò Zaniolo9%
Leander Dendoncker8%
Matty Cash7%
Youri Tielemans7%
Jacob Ramsey5%
Pau Torres5%
Lucas Digne4%
Diego Carlos3%
Ezri Konsa2%
Clément Lenglet0%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Calum Chambers0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Tim Iroegbunam0%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden0%
Omari Kellyman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicolò Zaniolo31%
Morgan Rogers31%
Douglas Luiz31%
Boubacar Kamara27%
Matty Cash24%
Jhon Durán23%
John McGinn22%
Lucas Digne20%
Clément Lenglet18%
Emiliano Martínez14%
Ezri Konsa13%
Leon Bailey12%
Calum Chambers12%
Ollie Watkins12%
Youri Tielemans12%
Diego Carlos11%
Jacob Ramsey11%
Moussa Diaby8%
Álex Moreno8%
Tim Iroegbunam7%
Pau Torres3%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden0%
Omari Kellyman0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Leon Bailey27%
Ollie Watkins20%
Omari Kellyman20%
Moussa Diaby18%
Douglas Luiz16%
Youri Tielemans16%
John McGinn14%
Calum Chambers12%
Lucas Digne9%
Matty Cash7%
Morgan Rogers6%
Jacob Ramsey5%
Clément Lenglet5%
Boubacar Kamara4%
Diego Carlos3%
Pau Torres3%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Nicolò Zaniolo0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jhon Durán0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Álex Moreno0%
Tim Iroegbunam0%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ollie Watkins41%
Moussa Diaby12%
Nicolò Zaniolo9%
Jhon Durán9%
Douglas Luiz8%
Leon Bailey6%
John McGinn6%
Jacob Ramsey5%
Matty Cash5%
Álex Moreno4%
Diego Carlos3%
Youri Tielemans2%
Clément Lenglet0%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Lucas Digne0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Calum Chambers0%
Morgan Rogers0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Pau Torres0%
Tim Iroegbunam0%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden0%
Omari Kellyman0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Nottingham Forest's squad is €15m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€551m vs €536m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Nottingham Forest's attack is €44m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€263m vs €220m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Nottingham Forest's midfield is €108m less valuable than Aston Villa's (€52m vs €160m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Nottingham Forest's defence is €79m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€236m vs €156m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
NFO wins
1
Draws
1
AVL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa · H/A from NFO
DateH/AGameScore
08/04/23AAston Villa Vs NFO2-0
10/10/22HNFO Vs Aston Villa1-1

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/23ALiverpool Vs NFO3-0
21/10/23HNFO Vs Luton2-2
07/10/23ACrystal Palace Vs NFO0-0
01/10/23HNFO Vs Brentford1-1
23/09/23AManchester City Vs NFO2-0
18/09/23HNFO Vs Burnley1-1
02/09/23AChelsea Vs NFO0-1
26/08/23AManchester United Vs NFO3-2
18/08/23HNFO Vs Sheffield United2-1
12/08/23AArsenal Vs NFO2-1

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/23HAVL Vs Luton3-1
26/10/23AAZ Alkmaar Vs AVL1-4
22/10/23HAVL Vs West Ham4-1
08/10/23AWolves Vs AVL1-1
05/10/23HAVL Vs Zrinjski1-0
30/09/23HAVL Vs Brighton6-1
24/09/23AChelsea Vs AVL0-1
21/09/23ALegia Warszawa Vs AVL3-2
16/09/23HAVL Vs Crystal Palace3-1
03/09/23ALiverpool Vs AVL3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
England: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDDL0.98
HomeWWDDD1.57
AwayLWLDL0.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%39%7%
AVG goals2.682.702.67
Over 1.5 %78%78%78%
Over 2.5 %44%39%48%
Over 3.5 %30%30%30%
Scored0.981.430.59
Conceded1.701.262.07
BTTS52%65%41%
Clean Sheet20%26%15%
Corners9.808.7810.67
Cards4.204.573.89
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW1.84
HomeWWWWW2.24
AwayLLWDW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%72%40%
AVG goals2.943.162.72
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %56%64%48%
Over 3.5 %34%40%28%
Scored1.782.201.36
Conceded1.160.961.36
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet34%40%28%
Corners9.889.4810.28
Cards4.304.164.44

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City3891
74%
2.4
9634+62
3.4
84%
63%
47%
10.9
61%
3.8
50%
18.6
26%
1326
6351605312.50.9
66%
2ArsenalArsenal3889
74%
2.3
9129+62
3.2
79%
63%
42%
9.7
50%
3.8
53%
21.0
42%
1406
6082905082.40.8
59%
3LiverpoolLiverpool3882
63%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
92%
66%
47%
11.6
71%
4.3
53%
22.5
53%
980
5182012602.31.1
61%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3868
53%
1.8
7661+15
3.6
87%
71%
58%
10.4
58%
5.0
74%
23.6
66%
536
2201601562.01.6
53%
5TottenhamTottenham3866
53%
1.7
7461+13
3.6
97%
79%
45%
12.4
76%
5.1
74%
25.1
87%
920
2502823881.91.6
62%
6ChelseaChelsea3863
47%
1.7
7763+14
3.7
89%
71%
55%
10.4
58%
5.4
95%
23.9
63%
1407
6142785142.01.7
58%
7NewcastleNewcastle3860
47%
1.6
8562+23
3.9
84%
71%
61%
10.2
53%
4.6
63%
22.8
58%
568
2341242102.21.6
52%
8Manchester UnitedManchester United3860
47%
1.6
5758-1
3.0
79%
63%
34%
13.3
79%
4.4
68%
19.7
32%
929
4322362611.51.5
51%
9West HamWest Ham3852
37%
1.4
6074-14
3.5
95%
68%
53%
10.4
53%
3.9
61%
21.0
47%
274
84481411.61.9
41%
10Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3849
34%
1.3
5758-1
3.0
82%
55%
42%
9.9
58%
3.9
61%
23.6
63%
505
229931821.51.5
42%
11BrightonBrighton3848
32%
1.3
5562-7
3.1
87%
61%
39%
9.8
55%
5.0
76%
23.0
63%
620
1901802491.41.6
60%
12EvertonEverton3848
34%
1.3
4051-11
2.4
74%
42%
21%
11.1
61%
3.8
45%
21.8
55%
459
1741621231.11.3
40%
13BournemouthBournemouth3848
34%
1.3
5467-13
3.2
89%
71%
42%
11.8
74%
4.3
71%
23.7
63%
573
2851061821.41.8
45%
14FulhamFulham3847
34%
1.2
5561-6
3.1
79%
63%
39%
10.6
50%
3.8
47%
20.2
39%
329
178281231.41.6
50%
15WolvesWolves3846
34%
1.2
5065-15
3.0
84%
63%
29%
10.1
53%
4.9
76%
23.6
68%
273
79791161.31.7
-
16BrentfordBrentford3839
26%
1.0
5665-9
3.2
82%
66%
42%
10.6
63%
4.3
63%
21.5
50%
565
2281282091.51.7
45%
17Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3836
24%
0.9
4967-18
3.1
87%
55%
39%
10.4
63%
4.2
61%
21.3
53%
551
263522361.31.8
40%
18LutonLuton3826
16%
0.7
5285-33
3.6
89%
71%
45%
11.3
71%
3.8
53%
24.0
61%
29
134121.42.2
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3824
13%
0.6
4178-37
3.1
92%
61%
37%
10.9
66%
4.3
66%
20.9
39%
115
708371.12.1
47%
20Sheffield UnitedSheffield United3816
8%
0.4
35104-69
3.7
89%
71%
55%
10.9
61%
4.0
50%
19.8
39%
110
2932490.92.7
35%
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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