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Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Result & Analysis

Date: 14/12/2024
Time: 17:30
Final 2-1
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Vs
39%
28%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Referee: S Barrott

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nottingham Forest win✓ Hit
38.8%
Avg Implied 35.3% · @ 2.71
Edge
+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.7%
Avg Implied 30.0% · @ 3.19
Edge
-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa win✗ Miss
33.5%
Avg Implied 34.7% · @ 2.76
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D10W31W30W13L03L10W03L32WH·FUL28/09A·CHE06/10H·CRY21/10A·LEI25/10H·WES02/11H·NEW10/11A·ARS23/11H·IPS30/11A·MAN04/12A·MAN07/12
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.401.271.131.331.67
vs Stronger (7)0.571.860.672.000.501.75
vs Similar (22)1.551.271.420.921.701.70
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L14L01L02L22D00D03L31W10W32WH·CRY30/10A·TOT03/11A·CLU06/11A·LIV09/11H·CRY23/11H·JUV27/11A·CHE01/12H·BRE04/12H·SOU07/12A·RB 10/12
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.571.691.311.291.86
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.501.00--
vs Similar (21)1.331.901.701.601.002.18
vs Weaker (7)2.290.712.250.752.330.67
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.8%
Under 1.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.6%
@ 2.10+7.0%
Under 2.5
47.4%
@ 1.76-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.4%
Under 3.5
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.5%
No
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
2-1 ✓
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.8%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
7.1%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
5.8%
Nottingham Forest goals ↓
Aston Villa goals →
01234
07.4%7.1%5.5%2.4%0.8%
17.8%13%8.0%3.5%1.2%
26.5%8.7%5.8%2.6%0.9%
33.1%4.2%2.8%1.2%0.4%
41.1%1.5%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nottingham Forest goals (down), columns = Aston Villa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Nottingham Forest is 0.03 points worse than Aston Villa in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 1.74).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa are level in goals scored per game (both 1.53).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Nottingham Forest is 0.13 goals better than Aston Villa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.34).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Nottingham Forest is 9.4 percentage points worse than Aston Villa in terms of average possession (41% vs 50%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

For 5.1 · Against 6.7 · Total 11.8

🚩 Corners

170352887184511676663116581015991713121411A·MANA·MANH·IPSA·ARSH·NEWH·WESA·LEIH·CRYA·CHEH·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

9024213231113252336242645247596A·MANA·MANH·IPSA·ARSH·NEWH·WESA·LEIH·CRYA·CHEH·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 11.3 · Total 20.7

⚠️ Fouls

2601310157516110136799169121112111523222111191625212326A·MANA·MANH·IPSA·ARSH·NEWH·WESA·LEIH·CRYA·CHEH·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Aston VillaAston Villa

For 7.3 · Against 3.5 · Total 10.8

🚩 Corners

1607514110543331019232469712151576111151016A·RB H·SOUH·BREA·CHEH·JUVH·CRYA·LIVA·CLUA·TOTH·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

13021132222333234227634446536213A·RB H·SOUH·BREA·CHEH·JUVH·CRYA·LIVA·CLUA·TOTH·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 13.9 · Total 25.7

⚠️ Fouls

3307121815111562113141011151112121414121419332627272126242826A·RB H·SOUH·BREA·CHEH·JUVH·CRYA·LIVA·CLUA·TOTH·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.510.74.43.94.921.821.522.1
vs Stronger (10)11.312.010.85.42.57.319.318.020.2
vs Similar (38)10.510.410.54.24.24.122.322.122.5
vs Weaker (2)9.56.013.03.03.03.025.023.027.0
% over line63%64%62%64%62%67%55%48%62%
% under line37%36%38%36%38%33%45%52%38%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.49.64.95.04.923.824.023.7
vs Stronger (4)8.08.57.54.04.53.520.221.519.0
vs Similar (33)10.510.910.14.94.65.323.423.323.4
vs Weaker (13)9.510.08.85.26.04.226.226.326.2
% over line50%56%43%72%77%67%71%80%61%
% under line50%44%57%28%23%33%29%20%39%
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
13.0
Bournemouth
11.8
Southampton
11.5
Manchester United
11.5
Brentford
11.0
Newcastle
11.0
Manchester City
10.9
Ipswich
10.8
Everton
10.7
Fulham
10.6
Nottingham Forest
10.5
Liverpool
10.5
Wolves
10.3
Chelsea
10.3
Crystal Palace
10.3
Aston Villa
10.2
West Ham
10.0
Brighton
9.8
Leicester
9.8
Arsenal
9.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Chelsea
5.3
Aston Villa
5.2
Wolves
4.9
Southampton
4.7
Brighton
4.7
Bournemouth
4.7
Newcastle
4.7
Tottenham
4.7
Nottingham Forest
4.5
Liverpool
4.4
Leicester
4.3
Brentford
4.2
Crystal Palace
4.2
West Ham
4.2
Manchester United
4.1
Arsenal
4.1
Fulham
4.0
Ipswich
3.8
Everton
3.5
Manchester City
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.8
Aston Villa
23.7
Wolves
23.6
Chelsea
23.6
Bournemouth
23.4
Newcastle
23.1
Ipswich
23.1
Crystal Palace
23.0
Southampton
22.9
Brighton
22.2
Liverpool
22.0
Arsenal
22.0
Nottingham Forest
21.7
Everton
21.6
Leicester
21.4
West Ham
21.0
Fulham
20.8
Manchester United
20.4
Brentford
20.3
Manchester City
17.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.7%
Under 9.5
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.7%
Under 3.5
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
31.2%
Under 21.5
68.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D11D10W10W01L00D02L11DH·FUL28/09A·CHE06/10H·CRY21/10A·LEI25/10H·WES02/11H·NEW10/11A·ARS23/11H·IPS30/11A·MAN04/12A·MAN07/12
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.670.670.400.600.93
vs Stronger (7)0.140.710.330.670.000.75
vs Similar (22)0.770.680.750.330.801.10
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W00D01L12L00D02L30W10W11DH·CRY30/10A·TOT03/11A·CLU06/11A·LIV09/11H·CRY23/11H·JUV27/11A·CHE01/12H·BRE04/12H·SOU07/12A·RB 10/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.700.750.690.640.71
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (21)0.760.861.000.800.550.91
vs Weaker (7)0.710.430.500.751.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D10W20W20W03L02L10W01L21WH·FUL28/09A·CHE06/10H·CRY21/10A·LEI25/10H·WES02/11H·NEW10/11A·ARS23/11H·IPS30/11A·MAN04/12A·MAN07/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.600.730.730.73
vs Stronger (7)0.431.140.331.330.501.00
vs Similar (22)0.770.590.670.580.900.60
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L04L01L01L10W00D01L01L00D21WH·CRY30/10A·TOT03/11A·CLU06/11A·LIV09/11H·CRY23/11H·JUV27/11A·CHE01/12H·BRE04/12H·SOU07/12A·RB 10/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.870.940.620.641.14
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.501.00--
vs Similar (21)0.571.050.700.800.451.27
vs Weaker (7)1.570.291.750.001.330.67
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls91.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards83.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls82.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.577.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards70.7%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Nottingham Forest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chris Wood42%
Morgan Gibbs-White18%
Callum Hudson-Odoi14%
Ramón Sosa13%
Nikola Milenković12%
Anthony Elanga12%
Jota Silva11%
Ryan Yates10%
Taiwo Awoniyi6%
Ola Aina5%
Murillo5%
Elliot Anderson5%
Neco Williams3%
Matz Sels0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Nicolás Domínguez0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Álex Moreno0%
Morato0%
Danilo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Morgan Gibbs-White32%
Ryan Yates31%
Nicolás Domínguez28%
Elliot Anderson26%
Ibrahim Sangaré24%
Neco Williams23%
Morato21%
Jota Silva16%
Álex Moreno16%
Murillo15%
Harry Toffolo14%
Ola Aina14%
Willy Boly11%
Nikola Milenković10%
James Ward-Prowse10%
Matz Sels10%
Ramón Sosa9%
Callum Hudson-Odoi6%
Chris Wood2%
Anthony Elanga2%
Taiwo Awoniyi0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Danilo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anthony Elanga23%
Morgan Gibbs-White21%
Elliot Anderson14%
Ibrahim Sangaré12%
James Ward-Prowse10%
Neco Williams8%
Chris Wood8%
Callum Hudson-Odoi6%
Jota Silva5%
Álex Moreno5%
Nikola Milenković5%
Ramón Sosa4%
Ola Aina3%
Nicolás Domínguez3%
Ryan Yates3%
Matz Sels0%
Taiwo Awoniyi0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Morato0%
Danilo0%
Murillo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Chris Wood25%
Morgan Gibbs-White24%
Elliot Anderson7%
Anthony Elanga7%
Ryan Yates5%
Neco Williams5%
Ramón Sosa4%
Taiwo Awoniyi3%
Callum Hudson-Odoi3%
Jota Silva3%
Nicolás Domínguez3%
Ola Aina0%
Nikola Milenković0%
Matz Sels0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Álex Moreno0%
Morato0%
Danilo0%
Murillo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jhon Durán41%
Ollie Watkins30%
Marco Asensio24%
Morgan Rogers22%
Donyell Malen18%
Marcus Rashford18%
Amadou Onana15%
Ross Barkley14%
Youri Tielemans9%
Jacob Ramsey9%
John McGinn8%
Ezri Konsa6%
Leon Bailey5%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Ian Maatsen4%
Matty Cash3%
Boubacar Kamara2%
Robin Olsen0%
Lucas Digne0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Pau Torres0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Diego Carlos29%
Morgan Rogers22%
Matty Cash21%
Axel Disasi20%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace20%
Jhon Durán17%
John McGinn16%
Tyrone Mings14%
Ross Barkley14%
Lucas Digne13%
Lamare Bogarde12%
Boubacar Kamara12%
Amadou Onana12%
Leon Bailey11%
Marco Asensio10%
Youri Tielemans9%
Emiliano Martínez9%
Pau Torres9%
Jacob Ramsey7%
Ian Maatsen7%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Ezri Konsa4%
Ollie Watkins4%
Donyell Malen0%
Robin Olsen0%
Marcus Rashford0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ollie Watkins24%
Marcus Rashford24%
Morgan Rogers20%
Youri Tielemans19%
John McGinn12%
Lucas Digne11%
Leon Bailey11%
Jacob Ramsey9%
Pau Torres6%
Marco Asensio5%
Ian Maatsen4%
Ross Barkley3%
Matty Cash3%
Donyell Malen0%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Jhon Durán0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jhon Durán28%
Marco Asensio24%
Marcus Rashford24%
Ollie Watkins19%
Morgan Rogers17%
Donyell Malen12%
Youri Tielemans9%
Jacob Ramsey4%
Leon Bailey3%
Ian Maatsen2%
John McGinn2%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Ross Barkley0%
Lucas Digne0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Matty Cash0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Pau Torres0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Nottingham Forest's squad is €15m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€551m vs €536m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Nottingham Forest's attack is €44m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€263m vs €220m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Nottingham Forest's midfield is €108m less valuable than Aston Villa's (€52m vs €160m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Nottingham Forest's defence is €79m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€236m vs €156m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
NFO wins
1
Draws
2
AVL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa · H/A from NFO
DateH/AGameScore
24/02/24AAston Villa Vs NFO4-2
05/11/23HNFO Vs Aston Villa2-0
08/04/23AAston Villa Vs NFO2-0
10/10/22HNFO Vs Aston Villa1-1

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/12/24AManchester United Vs NFO2-3
04/12/24AManchester City Vs NFO3-0
30/11/24HNFO Vs Ipswich1-0
23/11/24AArsenal Vs NFO3-0
10/11/24HNFO Vs Newcastle1-3
02/11/24HNFO Vs West Ham3-0
25/10/24ALeicester Vs NFO1-3
21/10/24HNFO Vs Crystal Palace1-0
06/10/24AChelsea Vs NFO1-1
28/09/24HNFO Vs Fulham0-1

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/12/24ARB Leipzig Vs AVL2-3
07/12/24HAVL Vs Southampton1-0
04/12/24HAVL Vs Brentford3-1
01/12/24AChelsea Vs AVL3-0
27/11/24HAVL Vs Juventus0-0
23/11/24HAVL Vs Crystal Palace2-2
09/11/24ALiverpool Vs AVL2-0
06/11/24AClub Brugge KV Vs AVL1-0
03/11/24ATottenham Vs AVL4-1
30/10/24HAVL Vs Crystal Palace1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
England: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLW1.12
HomeLWWLW1.12
AwayDWLLW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%27%29%
AVG goals2.862.693.04
Over 1.5 %82%81%83%
Over 2.5 %50%42%58%
Over 3.5 %36%31%42%
Scored1.261.311.21
Conceded1.601.381.83
BTTS60%62%58%
Clean Sheet16%19%12%
Corners10.5910.5210.67
Cards4.454.044.88
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW1.56
HomeLDDWW1.69
AwayLLLLW1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%46%42%
AVG goals3.223.353.08
Over 1.5 %84%85%83%
Over 2.5 %66%65%67%
Over 3.5 %46%54%38%
Scored1.661.851.46
Conceded1.561.501.62
BTTS60%65%54%
Clean Sheet24%27%21%
Corners10.0210.449.57
Cards5.125.165.09

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LiverpoolLiverpool3884
66%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
89%
63%
45%
10.4
58%
3.9
55%
21.1
47%
980
5182012602.31.1
58%
2ArsenalArsenal3874
53%
1.9
6934+35
2.7
76%
45%
32%
9.7
55%
4.0
58%
21.2
47%
1406
6082905081.80.9
57%
3Manchester CityManchester City3871
55%
1.9
7244+28
3.1
84%
61%
39%
9.9
55%
3.9
58%
17.7
18%
1326
6351605311.91.2
61%
4ChelseaChelsea3869
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
76%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
5.2
79%
23.5
68%
1407
6142785141.71.1
57%
5NewcastleNewcastle3866
53%
1.7
6847+21
3.0
82%
61%
34%
11.1
66%
4.4
61%
22.6
61%
568
2341242101.81.2
51%
6Aston VillaAston Villa3866
50%
1.7
5851+7
2.9
84%
63%
32%
10.6
61%
4.7
79%
24.1
66%
536
2201601561.51.3
50%
7Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3865
50%
1.7
5846+12
2.7
71%
50%
26%
10.6
55%
5.0
76%
21.7
55%
551
263522361.51.2
41%
8BrightonBrighton3861
42%
1.6
6659+7
3.3
89%
71%
45%
9.8
63%
4.3
66%
22.8
55%
620
1901802491.71.6
53%
9BournemouthBournemouth3856
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.7
76%
55%
32%
10.9
63%
5.1
74%
24.3
82%
573
2851061821.51.2
49%
10BrentfordBrentford3856
42%
1.5
6657+9
3.2
84%
61%
39%
11.1
68%
3.8
53%
18.0
18%
565
2281282091.71.5
48%
11FulhamFulham3854
39%
1.4
5454+0
2.8
84%
58%
32%
9.9
55%
3.9
61%
21.1
50%
329
178281231.41.4
53%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3853
34%
1.4
5151+0
2.7
79%
45%
29%
10.2
55%
4.2
61%
22.0
58%
505
229931821.31.3
43%
13EvertonEverton3848
29%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
66%
37%
29%
10.2
58%
3.4
42%
21.4
50%
459
1741621231.11.2
41%
14West HamWest Ham3843
29%
1.1
4662-16
2.8
84%
50%
29%
9.6
53%
3.6
50%
22.4
53%
274
84481411.21.6
48%
15Manchester UnitedManchester United3842
29%
1.1
4454-10
2.6
76%
50%
24%
10.0
53%
4.2
66%
21.0
50%
929
4322362611.21.4
54%
16WolvesWolves3842
32%
1.1
5469-15
3.2
87%
66%
32%
9.7
58%
4.2
61%
24.3
76%
273
79791161.41.8
-
17TottenhamTottenham3838
29%
1.0
6465-1
3.4
82%
63%
45%
11.8
76%
4.2
55%
24.7
82%
920
2502823881.71.7
55%
18LeicesterLeicester3825
16%
0.7
3380-47
3.0
92%
61%
34%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.7
47%
69
2013360.92.1
45%
19IpswichIpswich3822
11%
0.6
3682-46
3.1
84%
58%
39%
10.4
71%
4.1
55%
22.2
50%
280
13066850.92.2
40%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3812
5%
0.3
2686-60
2.9
79%
61%
42%
10.5
66%
3.9
53%
23.5
61%
205
7253790.72.3
48%
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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