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Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Result & Analysis

Date: 12/04/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Vs
36%
30%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Referee: M Salisbury

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nottingham Forest win✗ Miss
36.5%
Avg Implied 40.1% · @ 2.35
Edge
-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.0%
Avg Implied 28.4% · @ 3.32
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa win✗ Miss
33.5%
Avg Implied 31.5% · @ 2.99
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L12L12L22D01L00D21W30W11DA·FEN19/02H·LIV22/02H·FEN26/02A·BRI01/03A·MAN04/03H·FC 12/03H·FUL15/03A·FC 19/03A·TOT22/03A·FC 09/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.101.000.851.591.29
vs Stronger (6)1.171.000.331.002.001.00
vs Similar (24)1.381.121.200.801.501.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W13L11D02L14L10W13L20W20W31WH·BRI11/02H·NEW14/02H·LEE21/02A·WOL27/02H·CHE04/03A·LIL12/03A·MAN15/03H·LIL19/03H·WES22/03A·BOL09/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.201.671.071.671.33
vs Stronger (2)1.502.502.001.001.004.00
vs Similar (22)1.771.141.821.181.731.09
vs Weaker (6)1.331.001.000.671.671.33
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.3%
Under 1.5
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.0%
@ 1.87-6.4%
Under 2.5
56.0%
@ 1.90+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.9%
Under 3.5
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.9%
No
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.3%
0-0
10.0%
1-0
9.6%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.2%
Nottingham Forest goals ↓
Aston Villa goals →
01234
010%9.1%6.2%2.4%0.7%
19.6%14%7.7%3.1%0.9%
26.8%8.1%4.8%1.9%0.6%
32.8%3.4%2.0%0.8%0.2%
40.9%1.1%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nottingham Forest goals (down), columns = Aston Villa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Chelsea
1.37
Fulham
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Nottingham Forest is 0.55 points worse than Aston Villa in terms of average points per game (1.16 vs 1.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Everton
1.24
Fulham
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Nottingham Forest is 0.21 goals worse than Aston Villa in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.47).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Nottingham Forest is 0.05 goals worse than Aston Villa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 1.29).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Nottingham Forest is 7.3 percentage points worse than Aston Villa in terms of average possession (46% vs 53%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

For 5.5 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

160253131145472164453721037161599788913A·FC A·TOTA·FC H·FULH·FC A·MANA·BRIH·FENH·LIVA·FEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

60121242314131251365144125A·FC A·TOTA·FC H·FULH·FC A·MANA·BRIH·FENH·LIVA·FEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.1 · Total 22.6

⚠️ Fouls

380114131316228109136101312128139141015263818221625202224A·FC A·TOTA·FC H·FULH·FC A·MANA·BRIH·FENH·LIVA·FEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Aston VillaAston Villa

For 5.0 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

12034665566233857265757121012511591112A·BOLH·WESH·LILA·MANA·LILH·CHEA·WOLH·LEEH·NEWH·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

601211123232331433233125256565A·BOLH·WESH·LILA·MANA·LILH·CHEA·WOLH·LEEH·NEWH·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 12.0 · Total 22.2

⚠️ Fouls

340151937710510121110919131116111091534101715231932272124A·BOLH·WESH·LILA·MANA·LILH·CHEA·WOLH·LEEH·NEWH·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.410.13.83.14.523.221.724.5
vs Stronger (10)10.110.210.02.93.32.220.923.317.2
vs Similar (40)10.310.510.14.13.04.923.821.225.8
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line58%65%52%54%43%63%62%52%70%
% under line42%35%48%46%57%37%38%48%30%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.89.34.03.64.523.523.223.7
vs Stronger (3)7.78.56.04.03.55.023.021.027.0
vs Similar (36)9.910.39.74.13.74.421.921.622.2
vs Weaker (11)8.58.78.43.93.34.628.628.229.2
% over line60%67%54%56%50%62%64%62%65%
% under line40%33%46%44%50%38%36%38%35%
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.5
West Ham
10.7
Fulham
10.5
Bournemouth
10.5
Liverpool
10.4
Nottingham Forest
10.2
Chelsea
9.9
Tottenham
9.8
Brentford
9.7
Manchester United
9.6
Aston Villa
9.5
Everton
9.5
Brighton
9.4
Manchester City
9.4
Burnley
9.4
Arsenal
9.3
Leeds
9.2
Wolves
9.1
Sunderland
9.0
Crystal Palace
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.6
Bournemouth
4.6
Manchester United
4.3
Tottenham
4.2
Brighton
4.2
Sunderland
4.1
Newcastle
4.1
Aston Villa
4.0
Crystal Palace
3.9
Nottingham Forest
3.8
Wolves
3.8
Brentford
3.8
Manchester City
3.8
West Ham
3.6
Everton
3.6
Fulham
3.5
Liverpool
3.5
Arsenal
3.3
Leeds
3.3
Burnley
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Wolves
23.9
Bournemouth
23.7
Aston Villa
23.5
Nottingham Forest
23.2
West Ham
22.5
Tottenham
22.5
Chelsea
22.4
Brighton
22.3
Sunderland
22.1
Arsenal
22.1
Leeds
21.9
Everton
21.9
Newcastle
21.5
Manchester United
21.5
Crystal Palace
20.8
Manchester City
20.7
Liverpool
20.7
Burnley
20.7
Brentford
19.7
Fulham
19.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.7%
Under 9.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.9%
Under 3.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
43.9%
Under 21.5
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D01L12L01L00D00D10W10W11DA·FEN19/02H·LIV22/02H·FEN26/02A·BRI01/03A·MAN04/03H·FC 12/03H·FUL15/03A·FC 19/03A·TOT22/03A·FC 09/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.570.460.310.470.76
vs Stronger (6)0.330.330.000.000.670.67
vs Similar (24)0.500.620.600.400.430.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W01L00D12L00D00D00D10W10WH·BRI11/02H·NEW14/02H·LEE21/02A·WOL27/02H·CHE04/03A·LIL12/03A·MAN15/03H·LIL19/03H·WES22/03A·BOL09/04
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.430.670.400.670.47
vs Stronger (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (22)0.680.550.640.550.730.55
vs Weaker (6)0.670.170.670.000.670.33
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L11D00D21W01L00D11D20W00DA·FEN19/02H·LIV22/02H·FEN26/02A·BRI01/03A·MAN04/03H·FC 12/03H·FUL15/03A·FC 19/03A·TOT22/03A·FC 09/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.530.540.541.120.53
vs Stronger (6)0.830.670.331.001.330.33
vs Similar (24)0.880.500.600.401.070.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W03L10W02L02L10W13L20W10W21WH·BRI11/02H·NEW14/02H·LEE21/02A·WOL27/02H·CHE04/03A·LIL12/03A·MAN15/03H·LIL19/03H·WES22/03A·BOL09/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.771.000.671.000.87
vs Stronger (2)1.002.501.001.001.004.00
vs Similar (22)1.090.591.180.641.000.55
vs Weaker (6)0.670.830.330.671.001.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls84.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards80.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.577.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards74.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls71.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.571.3%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Nottingham Forest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Morgan Gibbs-White30%
Igor Jesus25%
Chris Wood20%
Taiwo Awoniyi17%
Arnaud Kalimuendo14%
Lorenzo Lucca11%
Nicolò Savona10%
Callum Hudson-Odoi9%
Elliot Anderson8%
Ryan Yates6%
Dan Ndoye5%
Murillo5%
Nicolás Domínguez5%
Ibrahim Sangaré5%
James McAtee4%
Neco Williams4%
Morato3%
Omari Hutchinson2%
Nikola Milenković2%
Oleksandr Zinchenko0%
Ola Aina0%
Matz Sels0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Douglas Luiz0%
John Victor0%
Dilane Bakwa0%
Luca Netz0%
Zach Abbott0%
Jair0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Morato24%
Elliot Anderson22%
Douglas Luiz21%
Murillo18%
Nicolò Savona15%
Ryan Yates14%
Ibrahim Sangaré14%
Neco Williams13%
Nicolás Domínguez12%
Ola Aina12%
Igor Jesus12%
Nikola Milenković11%
Taiwo Awoniyi11%
John Victor11%
Lorenzo Lucca11%
Zach Abbott10%
Morgan Gibbs-White8%
Omari Hutchinson7%
Jair7%
Dan Ndoye5%
Matz Sels5%
Dilane Bakwa4%
James McAtee4%
Oleksandr Zinchenko0%
Callum Hudson-Odoi0%
Chris Wood0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Arnaud Kalimuendo0%
Luca Netz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Omari Hutchinson15%
Morgan Gibbs-White13%
Igor Jesus10%
Callum Hudson-Odoi9%
Ryan Yates9%
Dilane Bakwa8%
Elliot Anderson8%
James McAtee8%
Douglas Luiz7%
Neco Williams6%
Taiwo Awoniyi6%
Nicolò Savona5%
Ibrahim Sangaré5%
Ola Aina4%
Dan Ndoye3%
Nicolás Domínguez2%
Nikola Milenković2%
Oleksandr Zinchenko0%
Matz Sels0%
Chris Wood0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Morato0%
John Victor0%
Arnaud Kalimuendo0%
Luca Netz0%
Lorenzo Lucca0%
Zach Abbott0%
Jair0%
Murillo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Morgan Gibbs-White19%
Callum Hudson-Odoi16%
Igor Jesus12%
Dan Ndoye11%
Oleksandr Zinchenko10%
Chris Wood10%
Nicolás Domínguez10%
Ryan Yates9%
Elliot Anderson8%
Arnaud Kalimuendo7%
Neco Williams6%
James McAtee4%
Nikola Milenković2%
Ola Aina0%
Matz Sels0%
Taiwo Awoniyi0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Douglas Luiz0%
Morato0%
John Victor0%
Dilane Bakwa0%
Luca Netz0%
Nicolò Savona0%
Lorenzo Lucca0%
Omari Hutchinson0%
Zach Abbott0%
Jair0%
Murillo0%
Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jamaldeen Jimoh33%
Ollie Watkins27%
Emiliano Buendía20%
Morgan Rogers20%
Tammy Abraham19%
John McGinn18%
Donyell Malen17%
Ross Barkley13%
Harvey Elliott11%
Evann Guessand10%
Matty Cash6%
Youri Tielemans6%
Leon Bailey5%
Amadou Onana5%
Douglas Luiz5%
Tyrone Mings5%
Ezri Konsa4%
Boubacar Kamara4%
Jadon Sancho3%
Ian Maatsen2%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Lucas Digne0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matty Cash24%
Marco Bizot21%
Boubacar Kamara19%
John McGinn18%
Emiliano Buendía17%
Morgan Rogers16%
Lamare Bogarde16%
Douglas Luiz15%
Lucas Digne14%
Andrés García12%
Amadou Onana11%
Evann Guessand10%
Ollie Watkins7%
Victor Lindelöf7%
Emiliano Martínez7%
Ian Maatsen7%
Youri Tielemans6%
Leon Bailey5%
Tyrone Mings5%
Ross Barkley4%
Pau Torres3%
Ezri Konsa2%
Jadon Sancho0%
Donyell Malen0%
Harvey Elliott0%
Tammy Abraham0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
George Hemmings0%
Alysson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Morgan Rogers20%
Youri Tielemans17%
Emiliano Buendía17%
Lucas Digne16%
John McGinn16%
Boubacar Kamara15%
Ollie Watkins9%
Matty Cash8%
Jadon Sancho8%
Donyell Malen7%
Tammy Abraham6%
Leon Bailey5%
Douglas Luiz5%
Evann Guessand5%
Ross Barkley4%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Emiliano Martínez2%
Ian Maatsen2%
Harvey Elliott0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jamaldeen Jimoh33%
Morgan Rogers24%
Ollie Watkins24%
Emiliano Buendía13%
Harvey Elliott11%
Donyell Malen10%
Evann Guessand10%
Youri Tielemans6%
Ross Barkley4%
Amadou Onana3%
Jadon Sancho3%
John McGinn2%
Ian Maatsen2%
Matty Cash2%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Leon Bailey0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Lucas Digne0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Tammy Abraham0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Douglas Luiz0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Nottingham Forest's squad is €15m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€551m vs €536m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Nottingham Forest's attack is €44m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€263m vs €220m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Nottingham Forest's midfield is €108m less valuable than Aston Villa's (€52m vs €160m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Nottingham Forest's defence is €79m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€236m vs €156m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
2
NFO wins
1
Draws
4
AVL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa · H/A from NFO
DateH/AGameScore
03/01/26AAston Villa Vs NFO3-1
05/04/25AAston Villa Vs NFO2-1
14/12/24HNFO Vs Aston Villa2-1
24/02/24AAston Villa Vs NFO4-2
05/11/23HNFO Vs Aston Villa2-0
08/04/23AAston Villa Vs NFO2-0
10/10/22HNFO Vs Aston Villa1-1

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/04/26AFC Porto Vs NFO1-1
22/03/26ATottenham Vs NFO0-3
19/03/26AFC Midtjylland Vs NFO1-2
15/03/26HNFO Vs Fulham0-0
12/03/26HNFO Vs FC Midtjylland0-1
04/03/26AManchester City Vs NFO2-2
01/03/26ABrighton Vs NFO2-1
26/02/26HNFO Vs Fenerbahçe1-2
22/02/26HNFO Vs Liverpool0-1
19/02/26AFenerbahçe Vs NFO0-3

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/04/26ABologna Vs AVL1-3
22/03/26HAVL Vs West Ham2-0
19/03/26HAVL Vs Lille2-0
15/03/26AManchester United Vs AVL3-1
12/03/26ALille Vs AVL0-1
04/03/26HAVL Vs Chelsea1-4
27/02/26AWolves Vs AVL2-0
21/02/26HAVL Vs Leeds1-1
14/02/26HAVL Vs Newcastle1-3
11/02/26HAVL Vs Brighton1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWD1.18
HomeDLLLD1.04
AwayLDWWD1.30
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%26%33%
AVG goals2.582.392.74
Over 1.5 %78%70%85%
Over 2.5 %56%52%59%
Over 3.5 %24%26%22%
Scored1.261.171.33
Conceded1.321.221.41
BTTS46%35%56%
Clean Sheet26%30%22%
Corners10.2410.4310.07
Cards3.843.094.48
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.94
HomeLDLWW2.21
AwayDLWLW1.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%71%50%
AVG goals2.482.422.54
Over 1.5 %72%67%77%
Over 2.5 %46%46%46%
Over 3.5 %22%25%19%
Scored1.401.541.27
Conceded1.080.881.27
BTTS48%42%54%
Clean Sheet36%46%27%
Corners9.509.759.27
Cards4.043.584.46

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArsenalArsenal3885
68%
2.2
7127+44
2.6
71%
53%
24%
9.1
42%
3.2
47%
21.3
47%
1406
6082905081.90.7
56%
2Manchester CityManchester City3878
61%
2.1
7735+42
2.9
87%
63%
21%
10.3
58%
3.9
63%
20.9
42%
1326
6351605312.00.9
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3871
53%
1.9
6950+19
3.1
84%
63%
37%
9.7
53%
3.8
58%
21.2
47%
929
4322362611.81.3
52%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3865
50%
1.7
5649+7
2.8
74%
53%
29%
10.2
68%
3.9
61%
23.0
63%
536
2201601561.51.3
53%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3860
45%
1.6
6353+10
3.1
84%
61%
29%
10.5
55%
3.6
50%
20.7
37%
980
5182012601.71.4
59%
6BournemouthBournemouth3857
34%
1.5
5854+4
2.9
76%
55%
42%
10.9
63%
4.3
63%
22.5
53%
573
2851061821.51.4
50%
7SunderlandSunderland3854
37%
1.4
4248-6
2.4
71%
45%
18%
9.0
45%
4.1
55%
22.1
58%
392
1571101251.11.3
45%
8BrightonBrighton3853
37%
1.4
5246+6
2.6
82%
50%
18%
9.7
58%
4.3
63%
22.0
55%
620
1901802491.41.2
53%
9BrentfordBrentford3853
37%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
82%
53%
37%
10.2
63%
3.7
53%
19.6
34%
565
2281282091.41.4
47%
10ChelseaChelsea3852
37%
1.4
5852+6
2.9
87%
66%
32%
10.4
68%
4.7
71%
23.4
68%
1407
6142785141.51.4
57%
11FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
4751-4
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.8
58%
20.8
39%
329
178281231.21.3
51%
12NewcastleNewcastle3849
37%
1.3
5355-2
2.8
76%
63%
34%
11.0
61%
4.2
61%
22.1
53%
568
2341242101.41.4
52%
13EvertonEverton3849
34%
1.3
4750-3
2.6
76%
45%
21%
9.4
42%
3.7
47%
21.7
58%
459
1741621231.21.3
44%
14LeedsLeeds3847
29%
1.2
4956-7
2.8
74%
55%
37%
9.5
53%
3.4
42%
21.7
47%
427
166981631.31.5
46%
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4151-10
2.4
71%
55%
21%
9.4
47%
3.7
63%
20.2
37%
505
229931821.11.3
45%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3844
29%
1.2
4851-3
2.6
82%
53%
26%
10.1
58%
3.3
42%
22.2
53%
551
263522361.31.3
46%
17TottenhamTottenham3841
26%
1.1
4857-9
2.8
82%
63%
26%
10.2
50%
4.7
71%
22.3
58%
920
2502823881.31.5
50%
18West HamWest Ham3839
26%
1.0
4665-19
2.9
87%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.8
55%
21.7
47%
274
84481411.21.7
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3822
11%
0.6
3875-37
3.0
84%
50%
39%
9.6
53%
2.9
39%
19.5
37%
115
708371.02.0
42%
20WolvesWolves3820
8%
0.5
2768-41
2.5
79%
45%
24%
9.4
58%
3.8
58%
23.8
66%
273
79791160.71.8
-
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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