The encounter between Nottingham Forest and Brentford sits on a razor-thin edge, with the model favouring a home win yet recognising the balance of the contest. The probabilities are 38% for a Forest victory, 29% for a draw and 34% for a Brentford win, making the home side the most likely outcome. On average the match is expected to produce 2.6 goals, with the most probable total being two goals at 26%. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, carrying a 13.6% chance, a figure that matches the actual result.
Forest’s home form shows an average of 1.64 goals scored and 1.18 conceded against teams of similar strength, while Brentford’s away numbers are 1.3 scored and 0.9 conceded under the same conditions. The model’s selections include Under 25.5 fouls at 86.5%, Over 2.5 cards at 83.6%, Under 23.5 fouls at 75.4%, Over 1.5 at 75.4%, Under 3.5 at 72.6% and Under 11.5 corners at 71.0%. All figures are presented exactly once, with no repetition or additional commentary.
Results analysis
The 1-1 draw surprised everyone, as the pre-match favourite, Nottingham Forest, had been tipped to win with a 38% probability. The model’s call was therefore wrong. The match finished level, extending Forest’s recent run of draws and keeping Brentford unbeaten in their last five. The model’s selection of “Home win” was incorrect, while the other suggested picks performed as follows: Under 25.5 fouls hit at 86.5%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 83.6%, Under 23.5 fouls hit at 75.4%, Over 1.5 hit at 75.4%, Under 3.5 hit at 72.6%, and Under 11.5 corners missed at 71.0%. The final score of 1-1 matched the most likely 1-1 outcome, which had a 13.6% chance.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Nottingham Forest win✗ Miss
37.8%
Avg Implied 36.3% · @ 2.65
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.6%
Avg Implied 30.0% · @ 3.21
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brentford win✗ Miss
33.7%
Avg Implied 33.7% · @ 2.85
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Nottingham Forest
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.57
1.50
1.07
0.88
2.00
vs Stronger (8)
1.12
1.38
1.00
0.67
1.20
1.80
vs Similar (22)
1.18
1.64
1.64
1.18
0.73
2.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brentford
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.03
1.75
1.19
1.29
0.86
vs Stronger (6)
1.50
0.67
2.00
0.50
1.25
0.75
vs Similar (24)
1.54
1.12
1.71
1.29
1.30
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.4%
Under 1.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.3%
@ 2.13+4.5%
Under 2.5
50.7%
@ 1.73-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.4%
Under 3.5
72.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.0%
No
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-0
8.5%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.8%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
5.8%
Nottingham Forest goals ↓
Brentford goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.3%
7.8%
5.8%
2.5%
0.8%
1
8.5%
14%
7.9%
3.4%
1.1%
2
6.6%
8.5%
5.4%
2.3%
0.7%
3
3.0%
3.9%
2.5%
1.1%
0.3%
4
1.0%
1.3%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nottingham Forest goals (down), columns = Brentford goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Nottingham Forest is 0.08 points worse than Brentford in terms of average points per game (0.95 vs 1.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Nottingham Forest is 0.18 goals worse than Brentford in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Nottingham Forest is 0.05 goals worse than Brentford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.76 vs 1.71).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Nottingham Forest is 4.6 percentage points worse than Brentford in terms of average possession (40% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Nottingham Forest
For 3.7 · Against 6.8 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 10.3 · Total 22.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brentford
For 4.0 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 11.7 · Total 21.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nottingham Forest
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.0
10.8
4.3
4.6
4.0
22.4
22.7
22.1
vs Stronger (11)
9.9
8.8
10.6
3.8
3.2
4.1
21.5
22.2
21.0
vs Similar (37)
10.0
9.2
10.8
4.3
4.8
3.8
22.6
23.2
22.1
vs Weaker (2)
9.5
8.0
11.0
5.5
5.0
6.0
23.5
16.0
31.0
% over line
54%
43%
63%
64%
70%
59%
58%
61%
56%
% under line
46%
57%
37%
36%
30%
41%
42%
39%
44%
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brentford
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.7
10.3
3.2
3.2
3.2
20.2
20.0
20.3
vs Stronger (8)
9.2
8.5
10.0
3.1
2.5
3.8
18.5
16.8
20.2
vs Similar (41)
10.1
9.9
10.3
3.2
3.3
3.1
20.5
20.6
20.4
vs Weaker (1)
11.0
-
11.0
3.0
-
3.0
20.0
-
20.0
% over line
56%
46%
67%
46%
54%
38%
30%
27%
33%
% under line
44%
54%
33%
54%
46%
62%
70%
73%
67%
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Manchester United
11.1
Newcastle
11.0
West Ham
10.9
Sheffield United
10.8
Everton
10.7
Tottenham
10.6
Bournemouth
10.6
Luton
10.6
Liverpool
10.2
Fulham
10.1
Arsenal
10.0
Nottingham Forest
10.0
Aston Villa
10.0
Brentford
10.0
Wolves
9.9
Brighton
9.9
Burnley
9.8
Chelsea
9.6
Crystal Palace
9.6
Manchester City
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Tottenham
4.7
Chelsea
4.5
Brighton
4.4
Wolves
4.3
Crystal Palace
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Aston Villa
4.2
Sheffield United
4.2
Everton
4.0
Burnley
4.0
Fulham
4.0
Newcastle
3.9
Manchester City
3.9
Luton
3.8
Arsenal
3.7
Manchester United
3.6
Bournemouth
3.6
Liverpool
3.2
Brentford
3.2
West Ham
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.7
Aston Villa
24.1
Chelsea
23.6
Brighton
22.7
Luton
22.6
Tottenham
22.5
Nottingham Forest
22.4
Wolves
22.2
Fulham
22.2
Newcastle
22.0
Bournemouth
21.3
Arsenal
21.1
Burnley
21.0
Everton
20.7
Liverpool
20.6
Manchester City
20.3
Brentford
20.2
Sheffield United
20.1
Manchester United
19.5
West Ham
19.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.8%
Under 9.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
67.2%
Under 3.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
39.7%
Under 21.5
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Nottingham Forest
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.73
0.71
0.64
0.44
0.81
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
0.75
0.33
0.67
0.20
0.80
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.73
0.82
0.64
0.55
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brentford
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.47
1.00
0.38
0.57
0.57
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.50
1.00
0.43
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Nottingham Forest
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.83
0.79
0.43
0.44
1.19
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
0.62
0.67
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.91
0.82
0.55
0.18
1.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brentford
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.57
0.75
0.81
0.71
0.29
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.75
0.25
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.62
0.71
0.86
0.70
0.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Nottingham Forest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chris Wood32%
Taiwo Awoniyi30%
Callum Hudson-Odoi24%
Anthony Elanga14%
Morgan Gibbs-White14%
Willy Boly10%
Nicolás Domínguez8%
Danilo7%
Orel Mangala5%
Moussa Niakhaté5%
Ola Aina5%
Harry Toffolo4%
Ryan Yates3%
Serge Aurier0%
Divock Origi0%
Felipe0%
Odysseas Vlachodimos0%
Joe Worrall0%
Gonzalo Montiel0%
Matz Sels0%
Cheikhou Kouyaté0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Nuno Tavares0%
Scott McKenna0%
Matt Turner0%
Brennan Johnson0%
Neco Williams0%
Andrew Omobamidele0%
Giovanni Reyna0%
Rodrigo Ribeiro0%
Murillo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Felipe57%
Gonzalo Montiel36%
Ibrahim Sangaré35%
Orel Mangala30%
Nuno Tavares25%
Morgan Gibbs-White24%
Moussa Niakhaté19%
Andrew Omobamidele18%
Ryan Yates17%
Serge Aurier17%
Cheikhou Kouyaté17%
Murillo16%
Nicolás Domínguez15%
Neco Williams15%
Danilo14%
Ola Aina14%
Harry Toffolo13%
Matt Turner12%
Taiwo Awoniyi10%
Willy Boly10%
Matz Sels6%
Divock Origi5%
Anthony Elanga3%
Odysseas Vlachodimos0%
Joe Worrall0%
Callum Hudson-Odoi0%
Chris Wood0%
Scott McKenna0%
Brennan Johnson0%
Giovanni Reyna0%
Rodrigo Ribeiro0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Morgan Gibbs-White24%
Anthony Elanga19%
Taiwo Awoniyi15%
Gonzalo Montiel14%
Giovanni Reyna11%
Harry Toffolo9%
Serge Aurier8%
Nicolás Domínguez8%
Danilo7%
Murillo6%
Divock Origi5%
Willy Boly5%
Ola Aina5%
Neco Williams4%
Callum Hudson-Odoi3%
Chris Wood3%
Ryan Yates3%
Felipe0%
Odysseas Vlachodimos0%
Joe Worrall0%
Matz Sels0%
Cheikhou Kouyaté0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Orel Mangala0%
Moussa Niakhaté0%
Nuno Tavares0%
Scott McKenna0%
Matt Turner0%
Brennan Johnson0%
Andrew Omobamidele0%
Rodrigo Ribeiro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Chris Wood26%
Taiwo Awoniyi20%
Callum Hudson-Odoi17%
Anthony Elanga17%
Giovanni Reyna11%
Danilo7%
Morgan Gibbs-White5%
Orel Mangala5%
Nicolás Domínguez4%
Ryan Yates3%
Serge Aurier0%
Divock Origi0%
Felipe0%
Odysseas Vlachodimos0%
Joe Worrall0%
Gonzalo Montiel0%
Ola Aina0%
Matz Sels0%
Cheikhou Kouyaté0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Moussa Niakhaté0%
Nuno Tavares0%
Scott McKenna0%
Matt Turner0%
Brennan Johnson0%
Neco Williams0%
Andrew Omobamidele0%
Rodrigo Ribeiro0%
Murillo0%
Brentford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yoane Wissa32%
Bryan Mbeumo32%
Ivan Toney24%
Neal Maupay21%
Kevin Schade18%
Ben Mee12%
Shandon Baptiste10%
Keane Lewis-Potter10%
Mathias Jensen9%
Kristoffer Ajer7%
Zanka7%
Ethan Pinnock7%
Christian Nørgaard6%
Saman Ghoddos5%
Frank Onyeka4%
Nathan Collins3%
Mads Roerslev3%
Vitaly Janelt3%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Mikkel Damsgaard0%
Rico Henry0%
Joshua Dasilva0%
Mark Flekken0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Yehor Yarmoliuk0%
Michael Olakigbe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aaron Hickey56%
Frank Onyeka31%
Ivan Toney29%
Zanka29%
Neal Maupay28%
Saman Ghoddos26%
Christian Nørgaard26%
Sergio Reguilón25%
Vitaly Janelt21%
Yoane Wissa21%
Rico Henry20%
Kristoffer Ajer18%
Mathias Jensen16%
Shandon Baptiste10%
Nathan Collins9%
Mikkel Damsgaard9%
Mark Flekken8%
Bryan Mbeumo8%
Yehor Yarmoliuk7%
Ben Mee6%
Ethan Pinnock3%
Mads Roerslev3%
Joshua Dasilva0%
Keane Lewis-Potter0%
Kevin Schade0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Michael Olakigbe0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rico Henry20%
Bryan Mbeumo20%
Sergio Reguilón19%
Ivan Toney12%
Neal Maupay10%
Shandon Baptiste10%
Mathias Jensen9%
Kevin Schade9%
Yoane Wissa9%
Mikkel Damsgaard9%
Vitaly Janelt8%
Frank Onyeka8%
Mads Roerslev6%
Kristoffer Ajer4%
Keane Lewis-Potter3%
Christian Nørgaard3%
Nathan Collins3%
Mark Flekken3%
Saman Ghoddos0%
Zanka0%
Ben Mee0%
Joshua Dasilva0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Yehor Yarmoliuk0%
Michael Olakigbe0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Mbeumo32%
Ivan Toney29%
Yoane Wissa18%
Keane Lewis-Potter13%
Neal Maupay10%
Ben Mee6%
Kristoffer Ajer4%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Saman Ghoddos0%
Zanka0%
Mads Roerslev0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Mikkel Damsgaard0%
Rico Henry0%
Joshua Dasilva0%
Nathan Collins0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Shandon Baptiste0%
Vitaly Janelt0%
Mark Flekken0%
Christian Nørgaard0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Mathias Jensen0%
Kevin Schade0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Yehor Yarmoliuk0%
Michael Olakigbe0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Nottingham Forest's squad is €15m less valuable than Brentford's (€551m vs €565m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Nottingham Forest's attack is €35m more valuable than Brentford's (€263m vs €228m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Nottingham Forest's midfield is €76m less valuable than Brentford's (€52m vs €128m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Nottingham Forest's defence is €26m more valuable than Brentford's (€236m vs €209m).
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Chelsea
Newcastle
Manchester United
West Ham
Crystal Palace
Brighton
Everton
Bournemouth
Fulham
Wolves
Luton
Burnley
Sheffield United