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Nottingham Forest vs Brentford Result & Analysis

Date: 01/05/2025
Time: 19:30
Final 0-2
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Vs
44%
26%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Brentford
Brentford
England: Premier League
Referee: D England
Match preview & prediction

Nottingham Forest are tipped to win, with a 44% chance of victory, 26% for a draw and 29% for a Brentford win. The model projects an average of three goals, but the most likely total is two, with a 24% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 12.4% chance. Forest, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened side, have scored an average of two goals per match while conceding only 0.8. Brentford, on the road, have managed 1.58 goals and allowed 1.17. The suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 87.6%, Under 25.5 fouls at 86.2%, Over 1.5 at 80.5%, Under 4.5 cards at 75.2%, Under 23.5 fouls at 75.0% and Over 8.5 corners at 70.9%. The model’s selection for the match outcome is a home win.

Results analysis

The upset was clear: Nottingham Forest’s home form, a draw after a 2-2 stalemate with Liverpool, had suggested a chance to stay in the lead, yet the match finished 0-2 in favour of Brentford, their fifth-match unbeaten run continuing. The model had favoured a home win with a 44% probability, but that call was wrong. Among the model’s selections, Under 25.5 fouls (86.2%) and Over 8.5 corners (70.9%) hit, while Under 5.5 cards (87.6%) and Under 4.5 cards (75.2%) missed. Under 23.5 fouls (75.0%) also hit, and Over 1.5 (80.5%) was correct. The final score of 0-2 confirmed the away victory.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nottingham Forest win✗ Miss
44.1%
Avg Implied 41.6% · @ 2.31
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.54
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brentford win✓ Hit
29.5%
Avg Implied 31.3% · @ 3.07
Edge
-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D10W42W00D10W12L01L21W02LH·ARS26/02H·IPS03/03H·MAN08/03A·IPS15/03A·BRI29/03H·MAN01/04A·AST05/04H·EVE12/04A·TOT21/04H·MAN27/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.271.600.731.731.80
vs Stronger (6)0.331.500.500.750.003.00
vs Similar (22)2.001.232.000.802.001.58
vs Weaker (2)2.001.002.000.002.002.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L10W40W11D01L21W12L00D11D42WH·TOT02/02A·WES15/02A·LEI21/02H·EVE26/02H·AST08/03A·BOU15/03A·NEW02/04H·CHE06/04A·ARS12/04H·BRI19/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.501.811.751.501.21
vs Stronger (6)0.831.670.751.751.001.50
vs Similar (22)2.001.502.501.901.581.17
vs Weaker (2)0.501.000.501.00--
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.5%
Under 1.5
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.6%
@ 1.73+1.3%
Under 2.5
43.4%
@ 2.14-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.2%
Under 3.5
65.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.0%
No
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.0%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.0%
0-1
5.7%
Nottingham Forest goals ↓
Brentford goals →
01234
06.3%5.7%4.5%2.0%0.6%
17.5%12%7.4%3.2%1.1%
27.0%9.2%6.0%2.6%0.9%
33.9%5.1%3.3%1.4%0.5%
41.6%2.1%1.4%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nottingham Forest goals (down), columns = Brentford goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Nottingham Forest is 0.24 points better than Brentford in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 1.47).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Nottingham Forest is 0.21 goals worse than Brentford in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.74).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Nottingham Forest is 0.29 goals better than Brentford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Nottingham Forest is 7.4 percentage points worse than Brentford in terms of average possession (41% vs 48%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

For 3.0 · Against 6.8 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

140261717443103632311674888881395141312H·MANA·TOTH·EVEA·ASTH·MANA·IPSH·MANH·ARSA·NEWA·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

50234132213113211415534425250H·MANA·TOTH·EVEA·ASTH·MANA·IPSH·MANH·ARSA·NEWA·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 10.3 · Total 20.7

⚠️ Fouls

2701081211913157512134971017131181318232222171716272421H·MANA·TOTH·EVEA·ASTH·MANA·IPSH·MANH·ARSA·NEWA·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrentfordBrentford

For 4.6 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.8

🚩 Corners

18048513365434652565291031218997117111113H·BRIA·ARSH·CHEA·NEWA·BOUH·ASTH·EVEA·LEIA·WESH·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

70343113113222141117442343421H·BRIA·ARSH·CHEA·NEWA·BOUH·ASTH·EVEA·LEIA·WESH·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.7 · Against 9.7 · Total 18.4

⚠️ Fouls

240711971212121271310536101013104111816242420159202315H·BRIA·ARSH·CHEA·NEWA·BOUH·ASTH·EVEA·LEIA·WESH·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.310.53.83.24.421.521.221.8
vs Stronger (10)9.89.310.54.83.37.019.119.019.2
vs Similar (37)10.510.710.33.83.44.222.122.022.1
vs Weaker (3)13.0-13.01.00.01.527.0-27.0
% over line56%59%52%60%56%64%56%45%65%
% under line44%41%48%40%44%36%44%55%35%
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.110.311.83.43.53.219.017.720.2
vs Stronger (10)12.19.614.63.83.24.416.717.016.4
vs Similar (35)10.710.610.93.64.13.119.517.921.3
vs Weaker (5)13.0-13.00.60.01.522.0-22.0
% over line67%57%77%50%50%50%27%17%36%
% under line33%43%23%50%50%50%73%83%64%
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
11.7
Bournemouth
11.4
Brentford
11.1
Ipswich
10.8
Liverpool
10.8
Newcastle
10.7
Everton
10.7
Fulham
10.6
Nottingham Forest
10.5
Southampton
10.2
Crystal Palace
10.2
Manchester United
10.2
Aston Villa
10.1
Brighton
10.1
Manchester City
10.1
Leicester
9.9
Chelsea
9.8
West Ham
9.8
Wolves
9.7
Arsenal
9.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.8
Chelsea
4.7
Brighton
4.6
Aston Villa
4.4
Wolves
4.4
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Manchester United
4.2
Tottenham
4.2
Newcastle
4.1
Southampton
4.1
Arsenal
4.0
Crystal Palace
4.0
Liverpool
4.0
Fulham
4.0
Leicester
3.9
West Ham
3.8
Ipswich
3.8
Manchester City
3.7
Brentford
3.7
Everton
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Wolves
24.2
Bournemouth
24.0
Tottenham
23.8
Southampton
23.6
Aston Villa
23.0
Brighton
22.8
Ipswich
22.7
Newcastle
22.6
Crystal Palace
22.0
West Ham
22.0
Nottingham Forest
21.8
Chelsea
21.8
Leicester
21.5
Everton
21.5
Arsenal
21.2
Manchester United
21.1
Liverpool
20.9
Fulham
20.8
Brentford
18.7
Manchester City
17.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.9%
Under 9.5
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.2%
Under 3.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
40.3%
Under 21.5
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D30W00D10W02L00D20W01LH·ARS26/02H·IPS03/03H·MAN08/03A·IPS15/03A·BRI29/03H·MAN01/04A·AST05/04H·EVE12/04A·TOT21/04H·MAN27/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.500.800.071.000.93
vs Stronger (6)0.170.670.250.250.001.50
vs Similar (22)1.050.451.000.001.080.83
vs Weaker (2)1.500.501.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W30W10W00D11D01L00D00D11DH·TOT02/02A·WES15/02A·LEI21/02H·EVE26/02H·AST08/03A·BOU15/03A·NEW02/04H·CHE06/04A·ARS12/04H·BRI19/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.671.000.750.570.57
vs Stronger (6)0.170.330.250.250.000.50
vs Similar (22)1.000.821.401.100.670.58
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.500.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D10W12L00D00D10W01L01L01LH·ARS26/02H·IPS03/03H·MAN08/03A·IPS15/03A·BRI29/03H·MAN01/04A·AST05/04H·EVE12/04A·TOT21/04H·MAN27/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.770.800.670.730.87
vs Stronger (6)0.170.830.250.500.001.50
vs Similar (22)0.950.771.000.800.920.75
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D10W01L01L10W11D00D11D31WH·TOT02/02A·WES15/02A·LEI21/02H·EVE26/02H·AST08/03A·BOU15/03A·NEW02/04H·CHE06/04A·ARS12/04H·BRI19/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.830.811.000.930.64
vs Stronger (6)0.671.330.501.501.001.00
vs Similar (22)1.000.681.100.800.920.58
vs Weaker (2)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards87.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls86.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.580.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards75.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls75.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners70.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Nottingham Forest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chris Wood42%
Morgan Gibbs-White18%
Callum Hudson-Odoi14%
Ramón Sosa13%
Nikola Milenković12%
Anthony Elanga12%
Jota Silva11%
Ryan Yates10%
Taiwo Awoniyi6%
Ola Aina5%
Murillo5%
Elliot Anderson5%
Neco Williams3%
Matz Sels0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Nicolás Domínguez0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Álex Moreno0%
Morato0%
Danilo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Morgan Gibbs-White32%
Ryan Yates31%
Nicolás Domínguez28%
Elliot Anderson26%
Ibrahim Sangaré24%
Neco Williams23%
Morato21%
Jota Silva16%
Álex Moreno16%
Murillo15%
Harry Toffolo14%
Ola Aina14%
Willy Boly11%
Nikola Milenković10%
James Ward-Prowse10%
Matz Sels10%
Ramón Sosa9%
Callum Hudson-Odoi6%
Chris Wood2%
Anthony Elanga2%
Taiwo Awoniyi0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Danilo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anthony Elanga23%
Morgan Gibbs-White21%
Elliot Anderson14%
Ibrahim Sangaré12%
James Ward-Prowse10%
Neco Williams8%
Chris Wood8%
Callum Hudson-Odoi6%
Jota Silva5%
Álex Moreno5%
Nikola Milenković5%
Ramón Sosa4%
Ola Aina3%
Nicolás Domínguez3%
Ryan Yates3%
Matz Sels0%
Taiwo Awoniyi0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Morato0%
Danilo0%
Murillo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Chris Wood25%
Morgan Gibbs-White24%
Elliot Anderson7%
Anthony Elanga7%
Ryan Yates5%
Neco Williams5%
Ramón Sosa4%
Taiwo Awoniyi3%
Callum Hudson-Odoi3%
Jota Silva3%
Nicolás Domínguez3%
Ola Aina0%
Nikola Milenković0%
Matz Sels0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Álex Moreno0%
Morato0%
Danilo0%
Murillo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Brentford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yoane Wissa46%
Bryan Mbeumo38%
Kevin Schade21%
Christian Nørgaard17%
Fabio Carvalho12%
Ethan Pinnock9%
Mikkel Damsgaard7%
Nathan Collins5%
Keane Lewis-Potter5%
Vitaly Janelt3%
Kristoffer Ajer0%
Mads Roerslev0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Ben Mee0%
Rico Henry0%
Mark Flekken0%
Sepp van den Berg0%
Mathias Jensen0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Edmond-Paris Maghoma0%
Igor Thiago0%
Yehor Yarmolyuk0%
Michael Kayode0%
Jayden Meghoma0%
Kim Ji-Soo0%
Ryan Trevitt0%
Gustavo Nunes0%
Yunus Konak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Christian Nørgaard26%
Kristoffer Ajer20%
Keane Lewis-Potter19%
Ben Mee18%
Yehor Yarmolyuk17%
Michael Kayode17%
Nathan Collins14%
Yoane Wissa13%
Mads Roerslev9%
Ethan Pinnock9%
Vitaly Janelt9%
Sepp van den Berg9%
Mathias Jensen7%
Bryan Mbeumo7%
Kevin Schade7%
Mikkel Damsgaard5%
Fabio Carvalho4%
Mark Flekken3%
Frank Onyeka0%
Rico Henry0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Edmond-Paris Maghoma0%
Igor Thiago0%
Jayden Meghoma0%
Kim Ji-Soo0%
Ryan Trevitt0%
Gustavo Nunes0%
Yunus Konak0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bryan Mbeumo19%
Mikkel Damsgaard19%
Christian Nørgaard11%
Yoane Wissa10%
Mads Roerslev9%
Vitaly Janelt9%
Fabio Carvalho8%
Michael Kayode8%
Mathias Jensen7%
Nathan Collins7%
Keane Lewis-Potter7%
Kevin Schade7%
Mark Flekken5%
Kristoffer Ajer0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Ben Mee0%
Rico Henry0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Sepp van den Berg0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Edmond-Paris Maghoma0%
Igor Thiago0%
Yehor Yarmolyuk0%
Jayden Meghoma0%
Kim Ji-Soo0%
Ryan Trevitt0%
Gustavo Nunes0%
Yunus Konak0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yoane Wissa28%
Bryan Mbeumo26%
Kevin Schade16%
Ethan Pinnock9%
Mikkel Damsgaard2%
Kristoffer Ajer0%
Mads Roerslev0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Ben Mee0%
Rico Henry0%
Nathan Collins0%
Vitaly Janelt0%
Mark Flekken0%
Christian Nørgaard0%
Sepp van den Berg0%
Mathias Jensen0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Keane Lewis-Potter0%
Fabio Carvalho0%
Edmond-Paris Maghoma0%
Igor Thiago0%
Yehor Yarmolyuk0%
Michael Kayode0%
Jayden Meghoma0%
Kim Ji-Soo0%
Ryan Trevitt0%
Gustavo Nunes0%
Yunus Konak0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Nottingham Forest's squad is €15m less valuable than Brentford's (€551m vs €565m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Nottingham Forest's attack is €35m more valuable than Brentford's (€263m vs €228m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Nottingham Forest's midfield is €76m less valuable than Brentford's (€52m vs €128m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Nottingham Forest's defence is €26m more valuable than Brentford's (€236m vs €209m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
1
NFO wins
3
Draws
3
BRE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nottingham Forest vs Brentford · H/A from NFO
DateH/AGameScore
21/12/24ABrentford Vs NFO0-2
20/01/24ABrentford Vs NFO3-2
01/10/23HNFO Vs Brentford1-1
29/04/23ABrentford Vs NFO2-1
05/11/22HNFO Vs Brentford2-2
20/03/21ABrentford Vs NFO1-1
12/12/20HNFO Vs Brentford1-3

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/25HNFO Vs Manchester City0-2
21/04/25ATottenham Vs NFO1-2
12/04/25HNFO Vs Everton0-1
05/04/25AAston Villa Vs NFO2-1
01/04/25HNFO Vs Manchester United1-0
29/03/25ABrighton Vs NFO0-0
15/03/25AIpswich Vs NFO2-4
08/03/25HNFO Vs Manchester City1-0
03/03/25HNFO Vs Ipswich1-1
26/02/25HNFO Vs Arsenal0-0

BrentfordBrentford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/25HBRE Vs Brighton4-2
12/04/25AArsenal Vs BRE1-1
06/04/25HBRE Vs Chelsea0-0
02/04/25ANewcastle Vs BRE2-1
15/03/25ABournemouth Vs BRE1-2
08/03/25HBRE Vs Aston Villa0-1
26/02/25HBRE Vs Everton1-1
21/02/25ALeicester Vs BRE0-4
15/02/25AWest Ham Vs BRE0-1
02/02/25HBRE Vs Tottenham0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWL1.58
HomeDWWLL1.64
AwayLWDLW1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%44%44%
AVG goals2.742.403.08
Over 1.5 %76%68%84%
Over 2.5 %48%32%64%
Over 3.5 %30%24%36%
Scored1.481.441.52
Conceded1.260.961.56
BTTS52%48%56%
Clean Sheet30%36%24%
Corners10.4010.3210.48
Cards4.273.684.83
Brentford
Brentford
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDDW1.34
HomeLDLDW1.50
AwayWWWLD1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%38%33%
AVG goals3.083.232.92
Over 1.5 %80%81%79%
Over 2.5 %60%50%71%
Over 3.5 %38%46%29%
Scored1.621.731.50
Conceded1.461.501.42
BTTS66%65%67%
Clean Sheet20%15%25%
Corners11.0710.3511.82
Cards3.733.913.55

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LiverpoolLiverpool3884
66%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
89%
63%
45%
10.4
58%
3.9
55%
21.1
47%
980
5182012602.31.1
58%
2ArsenalArsenal3874
53%
1.9
6934+35
2.7
76%
45%
32%
9.7
55%
4.0
58%
21.2
47%
1406
6082905081.80.9
57%
3Manchester CityManchester City3871
55%
1.9
7244+28
3.1
84%
61%
39%
9.9
55%
3.9
58%
17.7
18%
1326
6351605311.91.2
61%
4ChelseaChelsea3869
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
76%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
5.2
79%
23.5
68%
1407
6142785141.71.1
57%
5NewcastleNewcastle3866
53%
1.7
6847+21
3.0
82%
61%
34%
11.1
66%
4.4
61%
22.6
61%
568
2341242101.81.2
51%
6Aston VillaAston Villa3866
50%
1.7
5851+7
2.9
84%
63%
32%
10.6
61%
4.7
79%
24.1
66%
536
2201601561.51.3
50%
7Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3865
50%
1.7
5846+12
2.7
71%
50%
26%
10.6
55%
5.0
76%
21.7
55%
551
263522361.51.2
41%
8BrightonBrighton3861
42%
1.6
6659+7
3.3
89%
71%
45%
9.8
63%
4.3
66%
22.8
55%
620
1901802491.71.6
53%
9BournemouthBournemouth3856
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.7
76%
55%
32%
10.9
63%
5.1
74%
24.3
82%
573
2851061821.51.2
49%
10BrentfordBrentford3856
42%
1.5
6657+9
3.2
84%
61%
39%
11.1
68%
3.8
53%
18.0
18%
565
2281282091.71.5
48%
11FulhamFulham3854
39%
1.4
5454+0
2.8
84%
58%
32%
9.9
55%
3.9
61%
21.1
50%
329
178281231.41.4
53%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3853
34%
1.4
5151+0
2.7
79%
45%
29%
10.2
55%
4.2
61%
22.0
58%
505
229931821.31.3
43%
13EvertonEverton3848
29%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
66%
37%
29%
10.2
58%
3.4
42%
21.4
50%
459
1741621231.11.2
41%
14West HamWest Ham3843
29%
1.1
4662-16
2.8
84%
50%
29%
9.6
53%
3.6
50%
22.4
53%
274
84481411.21.6
48%
15Manchester UnitedManchester United3842
29%
1.1
4454-10
2.6
76%
50%
24%
10.0
53%
4.2
66%
21.0
50%
929
4322362611.21.4
54%
16WolvesWolves3842
32%
1.1
5469-15
3.2
87%
66%
32%
9.7
58%
4.2
61%
24.3
76%
273
79791161.41.8
-
17TottenhamTottenham3838
29%
1.0
6465-1
3.4
82%
63%
45%
11.8
76%
4.2
55%
24.7
82%
920
2502823881.71.7
55%
18LeicesterLeicester3825
16%
0.7
3380-47
3.0
92%
61%
34%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.7
47%
69
2013360.92.1
45%
19IpswichIpswich3822
11%
0.6
3682-46
3.1
84%
58%
39%
10.4
71%
4.1
55%
22.2
50%
280
13066850.92.2
40%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3812
5%
0.3
2686-60
2.9
79%
61%
42%
10.5
66%
3.9
53%
23.5
61%
205
7253790.72.3
48%
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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