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Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea Result & Analysis

Date: 25/05/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 0-1
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Vs
28%
28%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Chelsea
Chelsea
England: Premier League
Referee: A Taylor

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nottingham Forest win✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied 27.9% · @ 3.44
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.9%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.78
Edge
+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chelsea win✓ Hit
43.8%
Avg Implied 46.6% · @ 2.06
Edge
-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W12L01L21W02L02L11D22D21WA·BRI29/03H·MAN01/04A·AST05/04H·EVE12/04A·TOT21/04H·MAN27/04H·BRE01/05A·CRY05/05H·LEI11/05A·WES18/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.231.470.801.731.67
vs Stronger (5)0.401.200.500.750.003.00
vs Similar (23)1.831.261.800.901.851.54
vs Weaker (2)2.001.002.000.002.002.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelseaChelsea

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W22D12L21W10W41W31W10W02L10WA·LEG10/04H·IPS13/04H·LEG17/04A·FUL20/04H·EVE26/04A·DJU01/05H·LIV04/05H·DJU08/05A·NEW11/05H·MAN16/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.032.120.751.071.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.001.601.750.750.502.17
vs Weaker (20)1.950.752.250.751.500.75
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.2%
Under 1.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.4%
@ 1.68-6.4%
Under 2.5
49.6%
@ 2.21+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.4%
Under 3.5
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.2%
No
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
1-2
9.1%
0-1 ✓
9.0%
0-0
8.0%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
Nottingham Forest goals ↓
Chelsea goals →
01234
08.0%9.0%7.8%3.9%1.5%
16.8%13%9.1%4.6%1.7%
24.7%7.1%5.4%2.7%1.0%
31.8%2.8%2.1%1.1%0.4%
40.5%0.8%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nottingham Forest goals (down), columns = Chelsea goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Nottingham Forest is 0.11 points worse than Chelsea in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 1.82).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Nottingham Forest is 0.16 goals worse than Chelsea in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.68).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Nottingham Forest is 0.08 goals worse than Chelsea in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.13).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Nottingham Forest is 16.3 percentage points worse than Chelsea in terms of average possession (41% vs 57%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

For 3.3 · Against 6.4 · Total 9.7

🚩 Corners

1507844474526171744310361581198888139A·WESH·LEIA·CRYH·BREH·MANA·TOTH·EVEA·ASTH·MANA·IPS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.7

🟨 Cards

110363383352341322131196118553442A·WESH·LEIA·CRYH·BREH·MANA·TOTH·EVEA·ASTH·MANA·IPS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 10.1 · Total 20.8

⚠️ Fouls

24071411111591012108121191315751213421222422182322221717A·WESH·LEIA·CRYH·BREH·MANA·TOTH·EVEA·ASTH·MANA·IPS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ChelseaChelsea

For 6.8 · Against 3.7 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

19072827336431024623154869101097121051914H·MANA·NEWH·DJUH·LIVA·DJUH·EVEA·FULH·LEGH·IPSA·LEG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

70163411222131222317724304244H·MANA·NEWH·DJUH·LIVA·DJUH·EVEA·FULH·LEGH·IPSA·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.1 · Against 10.8 · Total 19.9

⚠️ Fouls

250101413952010118101111913961175724222521182222151812H·MANA·NEWH·DJUH·LIVA·DJUH·EVEA·FULH·LEGH·IPSA·LEG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.110.74.33.74.821.421.321.4
vs Stronger (10)9.89.310.54.83.37.019.119.019.2
vs Similar (38)10.610.410.74.34.14.622.022.221.8
vs Weaker (2)---0.00.00.0---
% over line53%50%57%66%64%68%56%50%61%
% under line47%50%43%34%36%32%44%50%39%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelseaChelsea

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.89.34.33.94.622.121.422.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (19)9.49.49.35.76.25.325.124.825.3
vs Weaker (31)9.710.19.43.42.84.120.419.721.1
% over line52%52%52%58%52%64%59%52%65%
% under line48%48%48%42%48%36%41%48%35%
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
11.5
Bournemouth
11.2
Brentford
10.9
Newcastle
10.9
Everton
10.5
Nottingham Forest
10.5
Ipswich
10.5
Liverpool
10.4
Southampton
10.4
Fulham
10.4
Aston Villa
10.2
Crystal Palace
10.2
Manchester City
10.1
West Ham
10.0
Manchester United
9.8
Brighton
9.8
Leicester
9.7
Chelsea
9.7
Wolves
9.6
Arsenal
9.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.9
Chelsea
4.7
Nottingham Forest
4.6
Aston Villa
4.5
Brighton
4.4
Manchester United
4.4
Wolves
4.3
Newcastle
4.2
Crystal Palace
4.2
Tottenham
4.1
Southampton
4.1
Arsenal
4.0
Liverpool
4.0
Fulham
4.0
Leicester
3.9
Brentford
3.9
Ipswich
3.9
West Ham
3.8
Manchester City
3.8
Everton
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Wolves
24.1
Bournemouth
24.1
Tottenham
23.8
Southampton
23.6
Aston Villa
23.2
Brighton
22.9
Ipswich
22.6
Newcastle
22.4
West Ham
22.2
Crystal Palace
22.0
Chelsea
21.8
Everton
21.6
Nottingham Forest
21.6
Leicester
21.6
Manchester United
21.6
Arsenal
21.1
Liverpool
21.1
Fulham
21.0
Brentford
18.9
Manchester City
17.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.2%
Under 9.5
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
52.3%
Under 3.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
56.3%
Under 21.5
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W02L00D20W01L01L00D11D10WA·BRI29/03H·MAN01/04A·AST05/04H·EVE12/04A·TOT21/04H·MAN27/04H·BRE01/05A·CRY05/05H·LEI11/05A·WES18/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.500.730.201.000.80
vs Stronger (5)0.200.600.250.250.002.00
vs Similar (23)0.960.480.900.201.000.69
vs Weaker (2)1.500.501.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelseaChelsea

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L11D01L10W20W10W10W01L00DA·LEG10/04H·IPS13/04H·LEG17/04A·FUL20/04H·EVE26/04A·DJU01/05H·LIV04/05H·DJU08/05A·NEW11/05H·MAN16/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.470.940.380.430.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.500.600.500.000.501.00
vs Weaker (20)0.800.401.080.500.380.25
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D10W01L01L01L01L11D11D11DA·BRI29/03H·MAN01/04A·AST05/04H·EVE12/04A·TOT21/04H·MAN27/04H·BRE01/05A·CRY05/05H·LEI11/05A·WES18/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.730.730.600.730.87
vs Stronger (5)0.200.600.250.500.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.870.780.900.700.850.85
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelseaChelsea

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W20W01L20W00D21W21W00D01L10WA·LEG10/04H·IPS13/04H·LEG17/04A·FUL20/04H·EVE26/04A·DJU01/05H·LIV04/05H·DJU08/05A·NEW11/05H·MAN16/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.571.190.380.640.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.501.001.250.750.001.17
vs Weaker (20)1.150.351.170.251.120.50
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards81.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.576.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls75.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards72.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls72.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.6%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Nottingham Forest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chris Wood42%
Morgan Gibbs-White18%
Callum Hudson-Odoi14%
Ramón Sosa13%
Nikola Milenković12%
Anthony Elanga12%
Jota Silva11%
Ryan Yates10%
Taiwo Awoniyi6%
Ola Aina5%
Murillo5%
Elliot Anderson5%
Neco Williams3%
Matz Sels0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Nicolás Domínguez0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Álex Moreno0%
Morato0%
Danilo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Morgan Gibbs-White32%
Ryan Yates31%
Nicolás Domínguez28%
Elliot Anderson26%
Ibrahim Sangaré24%
Neco Williams23%
Morato21%
Jota Silva16%
Álex Moreno16%
Murillo15%
Harry Toffolo14%
Ola Aina14%
Willy Boly11%
Nikola Milenković10%
James Ward-Prowse10%
Matz Sels10%
Ramón Sosa9%
Callum Hudson-Odoi6%
Chris Wood2%
Anthony Elanga2%
Taiwo Awoniyi0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Danilo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anthony Elanga23%
Morgan Gibbs-White21%
Elliot Anderson14%
Ibrahim Sangaré12%
James Ward-Prowse10%
Neco Williams8%
Chris Wood8%
Callum Hudson-Odoi6%
Jota Silva5%
Álex Moreno5%
Nikola Milenković5%
Ramón Sosa4%
Ola Aina3%
Nicolás Domínguez3%
Ryan Yates3%
Matz Sels0%
Taiwo Awoniyi0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Morato0%
Danilo0%
Murillo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Chris Wood25%
Morgan Gibbs-White24%
Elliot Anderson7%
Anthony Elanga7%
Ryan Yates5%
Neco Williams5%
Ramón Sosa4%
Taiwo Awoniyi3%
Callum Hudson-Odoi3%
Jota Silva3%
Nicolás Domínguez3%
Ola Aina0%
Nikola Milenković0%
Matz Sels0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Álex Moreno0%
Morato0%
Danilo0%
Murillo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nicolas Jackson32%
Christopher Nkunku26%
Cole Palmer24%
Marc Guiu21%
João Félix20%
Mykhaylo Mudryk20%
Noni Madueke20%
Enzo Fernández17%
Marc Cucurella15%
Pedro Neto13%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall13%
Jadon Sancho12%
Axel Disasi12%
Renato Veiga11%
Tyrique George8%
Tosin Adarabioyo8%
Reece James7%
Levi Colwill5%
Moisés Caicedo4%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Malo Gusto0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Wesley Fofana50%
Moisés Caicedo29%
Benoît Badiashile25%
Levi Colwill24%
Nicolas Jackson24%
Roméo Lavia22%
Renato Veiga22%
Marc Cucurella21%
João Félix20%
Enzo Fernández20%
Tosin Adarabioyo19%
Pedro Neto18%
Axel Disasi18%
Cole Palmer17%
Cesare Casadei17%
Robert Sánchez15%
Trevoh Chalobah11%
Malo Gusto10%
Filip Jørgensen9%
Josh Acheampong8%
Jadon Sancho7%
Noni Madueke7%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall6%
Christopher Nkunku5%
Tyrique George4%
Reece James4%
Mykhaylo Mudryk0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Marc Guiu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Enzo Fernández24%
Mykhaylo Mudryk20%
Pedro Neto18%
Cole Palmer17%
Jadon Sancho17%
Tyrique George17%
Nicolas Jackson15%
Axel Disasi12%
João Félix10%
Noni Madueke10%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall10%
Christopher Nkunku10%
Reece James7%
Moisés Caicedo7%
Marc Cucurella6%
Roméo Lavia6%
Renato Veiga6%
Trevoh Chalobah5%
Malo Gusto5%
Tosin Adarabioyo3%
Levi Colwill3%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Marc Guiu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marc Guiu36%
João Félix35%
Cole Palmer28%
Nicolas Jackson26%
Noni Madueke22%
Christopher Nkunku21%
Carney Chukwuemeka20%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall10%
Pedro Neto9%
Enzo Fernández9%
Mykhaylo Mudryk7%
Axel Disasi6%
Marc Cucurella4%
Tyrique George4%
Tosin Adarabioyo3%
Levi Colwill3%
Malo Gusto2%
Jadon Sancho0%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Reece James0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Moisés Caicedo0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Renato Veiga0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Nottingham Forest's squad is €856m less valuable than Chelsea's (€551m vs €1407m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Nottingham Forest's attack is €351m less valuable than Chelsea's (€263m vs €614m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Nottingham Forest's midfield is €226m less valuable than Chelsea's (€52m vs €278m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Nottingham Forest's defence is €279m less valuable than Chelsea's (€236m vs €514m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
NFO wins
3
Draws
1
CHE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea · H/A from NFO
DateH/AGameScore
06/10/24AChelsea Vs NFO1-1
11/05/24HNFO Vs Chelsea2-3
02/09/23AChelsea Vs NFO0-1
13/05/23AChelsea Vs NFO2-2
01/01/23HNFO Vs Chelsea1-1

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/05/25AWest Ham Vs NFO1-2
11/05/25HNFO Vs Leicester2-2
05/05/25ACrystal Palace Vs NFO1-1
01/05/25HNFO Vs Brentford0-2
27/04/25HNFO Vs Manchester City0-2
21/04/25ATottenham Vs NFO1-2
12/04/25HNFO Vs Everton0-1
05/04/25AAston Villa Vs NFO2-1
01/04/25HNFO Vs Manchester United1-0
29/03/25ABrighton Vs NFO0-0

ChelseaChelsea

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/25HCHE Vs Manchester United1-0
11/05/25ANewcastle Vs CHE2-0
08/05/25HCHE Vs Djurgardens IF1-0
04/05/25HCHE Vs Liverpool3-1
01/05/25ADjurgardens IF Vs CHE1-4
26/04/25HCHE Vs Everton1-0
20/04/25AFulham Vs CHE1-2
17/04/25HCHE Vs Legia Warszawa1-2
13/04/25HCHE Vs Ipswich2-2
10/04/25ALegia Warszawa Vs CHE0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDW1.58
HomeWLLLD1.52
AwayDLWDW1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%40%48%
AVG goals2.782.403.16
Over 1.5 %78%68%88%
Over 2.5 %50%32%68%
Over 3.5 %30%24%36%
Scored1.481.361.60
Conceded1.301.041.56
BTTS52%44%60%
Clean Sheet30%36%24%
Corners10.4010.1410.65
Cards4.734.235.22
Chelsea
Chelsea
England: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW2.02
HomeLWWWW2.44
AwayDWWWL1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%76%48%
AVG goals3.123.362.88
Over 1.5 %80%76%84%
Over 2.5 %64%68%60%
Over 3.5 %34%44%24%
Scored2.102.561.64
Conceded1.020.801.24
BTTS56%56%56%
Clean Sheet34%44%24%
Corners9.599.839.35
Cards4.734.225.27

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LiverpoolLiverpool3884
66%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
89%
63%
45%
10.4
58%
3.9
55%
21.1
47%
980
5182012602.31.1
58%
2ArsenalArsenal3874
53%
1.9
6934+35
2.7
76%
45%
32%
9.7
55%
4.0
58%
21.2
47%
1406
6082905081.80.9
57%
3Manchester CityManchester City3871
55%
1.9
7244+28
3.1
84%
61%
39%
9.9
55%
3.9
58%
17.7
18%
1326
6351605311.91.2
61%
4ChelseaChelsea3869
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
76%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
5.2
79%
23.5
68%
1407
6142785141.71.1
57%
5NewcastleNewcastle3866
53%
1.7
6847+21
3.0
82%
61%
34%
11.1
66%
4.4
61%
22.6
61%
568
2341242101.81.2
51%
6Aston VillaAston Villa3866
50%
1.7
5851+7
2.9
84%
63%
32%
10.6
61%
4.7
79%
24.1
66%
536
2201601561.51.3
50%
7Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3865
50%
1.7
5846+12
2.7
71%
50%
26%
10.6
55%
5.0
76%
21.7
55%
551
263522361.51.2
41%
8BrightonBrighton3861
42%
1.6
6659+7
3.3
89%
71%
45%
9.8
63%
4.3
66%
22.8
55%
620
1901802491.71.6
53%
9BournemouthBournemouth3856
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.7
76%
55%
32%
10.9
63%
5.1
74%
24.3
82%
573
2851061821.51.2
49%
10BrentfordBrentford3856
42%
1.5
6657+9
3.2
84%
61%
39%
11.1
68%
3.8
53%
18.0
18%
565
2281282091.71.5
48%
11FulhamFulham3854
39%
1.4
5454+0
2.8
84%
58%
32%
9.9
55%
3.9
61%
21.1
50%
329
178281231.41.4
53%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3853
34%
1.4
5151+0
2.7
79%
45%
29%
10.2
55%
4.2
61%
22.0
58%
505
229931821.31.3
43%
13EvertonEverton3848
29%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
66%
37%
29%
10.2
58%
3.4
42%
21.4
50%
459
1741621231.11.2
41%
14West HamWest Ham3843
29%
1.1
4662-16
2.8
84%
50%
29%
9.6
53%
3.6
50%
22.4
53%
274
84481411.21.6
48%
15Manchester UnitedManchester United3842
29%
1.1
4454-10
2.6
76%
50%
24%
10.0
53%
4.2
66%
21.0
50%
929
4322362611.21.4
54%
16WolvesWolves3842
32%
1.1
5469-15
3.2
87%
66%
32%
9.7
58%
4.2
61%
24.3
76%
273
79791161.41.8
-
17TottenhamTottenham3838
29%
1.0
6465-1
3.4
82%
63%
45%
11.8
76%
4.2
55%
24.7
82%
920
2502823881.71.7
55%
18LeicesterLeicester3825
16%
0.7
3380-47
3.0
92%
61%
34%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.7
47%
69
2013360.92.1
45%
19IpswichIpswich3822
11%
0.6
3682-46
3.1
84%
58%
39%
10.4
71%
4.1
55%
22.2
50%
280
13066850.92.2
40%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3812
5%
0.3
2686-60
2.9
79%
61%
42%
10.5
66%
3.9
53%
23.5
61%
205
7253790.72.3
48%
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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