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Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea Prediction & Stats

Date: 28/11/2026
Time: 15:00
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Vs
27%
28%
45%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Chelsea
Chelsea
England: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Chelsea’s recent three-game winning streak and their high-scoring away form make them the clear favourite, as the model picks an away win. The match is expected to produce 2.6 goals on average, with the most likely total of two goals. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 13.7% chance. Nottingham Forest, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages only 0.33 goals scored and 0.33 conceded, while Chelsea, away against a weaker side, scores 2.29 and concedes 1.57. The probabilities for the match outcome are 29% for a home win, 29% for a draw, and 43% for an away win. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Under 6.5 (98.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.8%), Under 5.5 (95.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.2%), Home under 2.5 goals (88.4%), Under 4.5 (87.5%) and Away +2 handicap (87.3%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nottingham Forest win
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chelsea win
45.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W10W31W04L11D23L11D01L02L22DA·SUN24/04H·AST30/04A·CHE04/05A·AST07/05H·NEW10/05A·MAN17/05H·BOU24/05H·LEE22/08H·LEE25/08A·LIV29/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.070.940.751.931.43
vs Stronger (7)1.291.000.330.332.001.50
vs Similar (23)1.431.091.080.851.901.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelseaChelsea

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L10W13L11D01L21W12L32W20W43WA·BRI21/04H·LEE26/04H·NOT04/05A·LIV09/05H·MAN16/05H·TOT19/05A·SUN24/05A·FUL24/08H·LUT27/08H·BRI30/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.571.621.311.931.86
vs Stronger (2)1.004.000.003.002.005.00
vs Similar (12)1.251.671.001.671.501.67
vs Weaker (16)2.251.192.220.892.291.57
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.1%
Under 1.5
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
50.4%
Under 2.5
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
28.3%
Under 3.5
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
54.9%
No
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
8.1%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
6.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
Nottingham Forest goals ↓
Chelsea goals →
01234
08.0%9.3%8.1%4.1%1.6%
16.6%13%9.3%4.8%1.8%
24.5%6.9%5.3%2.7%1.1%
31.7%2.6%2.0%1.0%0.4%
40.5%0.8%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nottingham Forest goals (down), columns = Chelsea goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Ipswich
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
Hull
0.98
Coventry
0.97
Nottingham Forest is 0.21 points worse than Chelsea in terms of average points per game (1.16 vs 1.37).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
Ipswich
1.19
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Hull
0.99
Coventry
0.98
Nottingham Forest is 0.26 goals worse than Chelsea in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.53).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
Ipswich
1.58
Hull
1.91
Coventry
1.93
Nottingham Forest is 0.03 goals better than Chelsea in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 1.37).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
Nottingham Forest is 11.2 percentage points worse than Chelsea in terms of average possession (46% vs 57%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

For 4.0 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.4

🚩 Corners

1305332326367213611057638559133911129A·LIVH·LEEH·LEEH·BOUA·MANH·NEWA·ASTA·CHEH·ASTA·SUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

70244321111222131526732322417A·LIVH·LEEH·LEEH·BOUA·MANH·NEWA·ASTA·CHEH·ASTA·SUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 11.6 · Total 23.2

⚠️ Fouls

290101315111514117511161112131012711151323262918162725221828A·LIVH·LEEH·LEEH·BOUA·MANH·NEWA·ASTA·CHEH·ASTA·SUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ChelseaChelsea

For 5.4 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

14047934677344425101645611121014787111011H·BRIH·LUTA·FULA·SUNH·TOTH·MANA·LIVH·NOTH·LEEA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

7013132234331423134114155746472H·BRIH·LUTA·FULA·SUNH·TOTH·MANA·LIVH·NOTH·LEEA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 13.1 · Total 24.8

⚠️ Fouls

34061211671218151118151317171210141361518171933292834222721H·BRIH·LUTA·FULA·SUNH·TOTH·MANA·LIVH·NOTH·LEEA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.78.910.42.92.23.523.122.024.2
vs Stronger (10)9.210.28.22.72.03.820.622.219.0
vs Similar (40)9.88.610.92.92.33.423.721.925.4
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line49%45%52%38%25%50%63%55%71%
% under line51%55%48%62%75%50%37%45%29%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelseaChelsea

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.611.49.83.43.43.421.922.121.8
vs Stronger (2)8.512.05.00.50.01.019.518.021.0
vs Similar (22)10.311.39.23.93.84.024.323.325.3
vs Weaker (26)11.111.410.83.23.33.220.021.318.7
% over line68%75%60%52%58%46%48%60%35%
% under line32%25%40%48%42%54%52%40%65%
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.1
Bournemouth
10.7
Fulham
10.5
Hull
10.3
Manchester City
10.3
Liverpool
10.2
Tottenham
10.1
Chelsea
10.0
Ipswich
10.0
Brentford
9.9
Brighton
9.7
Nottingham Forest
9.7
Manchester United
9.6
Coventry
9.6
Leeds
9.5
Everton
9.3
Aston Villa
9.3
Sunderland
9.1
Arsenal
9.0
Crystal Palace
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.5
Tottenham
4.5
Chelsea
4.4
Newcastle
4.3
Ipswich
4.3
Hull
4.2
Sunderland
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Brighton
4.0
Aston Villa
3.8
Coventry
3.7
Everton
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Crystal Palace
3.7
Brentford
3.7
Liverpool
3.6
Fulham
3.6
Arsenal
3.5
Leeds
3.5
Nottingham Forest
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Ipswich
23.9
Aston Villa
23.6
Nottingham Forest
23.4
Bournemouth
23.2
Tottenham
22.9
Chelsea
22.7
Sunderland
22.7
Leeds
22.1
Brighton
22.1
Arsenal
22.1
Newcastle
21.8
Everton
21.6
Manchester United
21.5
Liverpool
21.4
Coventry
21.4
Crystal Palace
21.3
Hull
21.1
Manchester City
21.0
Fulham
20.0
Brentford
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
47.6%
Under 9.5
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
53.8%
Under 3.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
53.7%
Under 21.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Nottingham Forest or Draw
58.1%
Avg Implied -
27%
28%
45%
covers Nottingham Forest + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest or Chelsea
71.5%
Avg Implied -
27%
28%
45%
covers Nottingham Forest + Chelsea
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Chelsea
70.4%
Avg Implied -
27%
28%
45%
covers Draw + Chelsea
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5
Over
69.0%
Under
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5
Over
32.7%
Under
67.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5
Over
11.5%
Under
88.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 3.5
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5
Over
76.2%
Under
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5
Over
42.1%
Under
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5
Over
17.6%
Under
82.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 3.5
Over
5.8%
Under
94.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Nottingham Forest, so a minus line means Nottingham Forest give that many goals of a start and Chelsea receive them. At -1, Nottingham Forest must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Nottingham Forest win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Nottingham Forest)
Nottingham Forest -2
4.0%
Draw -2
8.6%
Chelsea +2
87.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Nottingham Forest)
Nottingham Forest -1
12.5%
Draw -1
17.0%
Chelsea +1
70.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Nottingham Forest)
Nottingham Forest +1
58.1%
Draw +1
21.1%
Chelsea -1
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Nottingham Forest)
Nottingham Forest +2
79.2%
Draw +2
12.9%
Chelsea -2
7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W00D20W01L00D01L10W00D00D10WA·SUN24/04H·AST30/04A·CHE04/05A·AST07/05H·NEW10/05A·MAN17/05H·BOU24/05H·LEE22/08H·LEE25/08A·LIV29/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.400.380.251.000.57
vs Stronger (7)0.710.290.330.001.000.50
vs Similar (23)0.650.430.380.311.000.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelseaChelsea

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W02L11D00D10W01L21W00D31WA·BRI21/04H·LEE26/04H·NOT04/05A·LIV09/05H·MAN16/05H·TOT19/05A·SUN24/05A·FUL24/08H·LUT27/08H·BRI30/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.700.690.561.000.86
vs Stronger (2)0.502.000.002.001.002.00
vs Similar (12)0.750.750.670.500.831.00
vs Weaker (16)0.940.500.780.441.140.57
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W11D03L11D22D01L01L02L12LA·SUN24/04H·AST30/04A·CHE04/05A·AST07/05H·NEW10/05A·MAN17/05H·BOU24/05H·LEE22/08H·LEE25/08A·LIV29/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.670.560.500.930.86
vs Stronger (7)0.570.710.000.331.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.780.650.690.540.900.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelseaChelsea

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D11D00D01L11D11D11D20W12LA·BRI21/04H·LEE26/04H·NOT04/05A·LIV09/05H·MAN16/05H·TOT19/05A·SUN24/05A·FUL24/08H·LUT27/08H·BRI30/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.870.940.750.931.00
vs Stronger (2)0.502.000.001.001.003.00
vs Similar (12)0.500.920.331.170.670.67
vs Weaker (16)1.310.691.440.441.141.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.5%-------
Under 6.598.3%-------
Home under 3.5 goals96.9%-------
Under 5.595.0%-------
Away under 3.5 goals94.2%-------
Home under 2.5 goals88.5%-------
Under 4.587.6%-------
Away +2 handicap87.5%-------
Away under 2.5 goals82.4%-------
Under 5.5 cards80.7%-------
Home +2 handicap79.2%-------
Under 25.5 fouls77.0%-------
Away over 0.5 goals76.2%-------
Over 1.576.1%-------
Under 11.5 corners75.3%-------
Over 2.5 cards74.0%-------
Under 3.571.7%-------
Home or Away71.5%-------
Draw or Away70.4%-------
Away +1 handicap70.4%-------
Over 19.5 fouls70.1%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Nottingham Forest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dan Ndoye33%
Xaver Schlager0%
Ola Aina0%
Nikola Milenković0%
Matz Sels0%
Igor Jesus0%
Neco Williams0%
Luca Netz0%
Jair0%
Murillo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ola Aina67%
Jair67%
Xaver Schlager33%
Igor Jesus33%
Murillo33%
Nikola Milenković0%
Matz Sels0%
Dan Ndoye0%
Neco Williams0%
Luca Netz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Xaver Schlager0%
Ola Aina0%
Nikola Milenković0%
Matz Sels0%
Igor Jesus0%
Dan Ndoye0%
Neco Williams0%
Luca Netz0%
Jair0%
Murillo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dan Ndoye33%
Xaver Schlager0%
Ola Aina0%
Nikola Milenković0%
Matz Sels0%
Igor Jesus0%
Neco Williams0%
Luca Netz0%
Jair0%
Murillo0%
Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Pedro67%
Cole Palmer67%
Pedro Neto33%
Morgan Rogers33%
Roméo Lavia33%
Reece James0%
Maxence Lacroix0%
Malo Gusto0%
Pep Chavarría0%
Jorrel Hato0%
Josh Acheampong0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Reece James33%
Roméo Lavia33%
Pedro Neto0%
João Pedro0%
Morgan Rogers0%
Maxence Lacroix0%
Cole Palmer0%
Malo Gusto0%
Pep Chavarría0%
Jorrel Hato0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
João Pedro67%
Morgan Rogers33%
Maxence Lacroix33%
Cole Palmer33%
Malo Gusto33%
Jorrel Hato33%
Pedro Neto0%
Reece James0%
Pep Chavarría0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
João Pedro67%
Cole Palmer67%
Pedro Neto0%
Morgan Rogers0%
Reece James0%
Maxence Lacroix0%
Malo Gusto0%
Pep Chavarría0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Jorrel Hato0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
HUL (27)
€105m
Nottingham Forest's squad is €856m less valuable than Chelsea's (€551m vs €1407m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
HUL (7)
€22m
Nottingham Forest's attack is €351m less valuable than Chelsea's (€263m vs €614m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
IPS (7)
€66m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
HUL (8)
€31m
FUL (3)
€28m
Nottingham Forest's midfield is €226m less valuable than Chelsea's (€52m vs €278m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
HUL (12)
€52m
Nottingham Forest's defence is €279m less valuable than Chelsea's (€236m vs €514m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
NFO wins
3
Draws
3
CHE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea · H/A from NFO
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/26AChelsea Vs NFO1-3
18/10/25HNFO Vs Chelsea0-3
25/05/25HNFO Vs Chelsea0-1
06/10/24AChelsea Vs NFO1-1
11/05/24HNFO Vs Chelsea2-3
02/09/23AChelsea Vs NFO0-1
13/05/23AChelsea Vs NFO2-2
01/01/23HNFO Vs Chelsea1-1

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26ALiverpool Vs NFO2-2
25/08/26HNFO Vs Leeds0-2
22/08/26HNFO Vs Leeds0-1
24/05/26HNFO Vs Bournemouth1-1
17/05/26AManchester United Vs NFO3-2
10/05/26HNFO Vs Newcastle1-1
07/05/26AAston Villa Vs NFO4-0
04/05/26AChelsea Vs NFO1-3
30/04/26HNFO Vs Aston Villa1-0
24/04/26ASunderland Vs NFO0-5

ChelseaChelsea

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HCHE Vs Brighton4-3
27/08/26HCHE Vs Luton2-0
24/08/26AFulham Vs CHE2-3
24/05/26ASunderland Vs CHE2-1
19/05/26HCHE Vs Tottenham2-1
16/05/26HCHE Vs Manchester City0-1
09/05/26ALiverpool Vs CHE1-1
04/05/26HCHE Vs Nottingham Forest1-3
26/04/26HCHE Vs Leeds1-0
21/04/26ABrighton Vs CHE3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLD1.34
HomeWDDLL1.28
AwayWWLLD1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%32%40%
AVG goals2.562.123.00
Over 1.5 %76%68%84%
Over 2.5 %52%36%68%
Over 3.5 %26%16%36%
Scored1.361.161.56
Conceded1.200.961.44
BTTS42%36%48%
Clean Sheet32%36%28%
Corners9.669.0810.24
Cards3.502.924.08
Chelsea
Chelsea
England: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.52
HomeLLWWW1.54
AwayLLDLW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%46%42%
AVG goals3.303.003.58
Over 1.5 %84%79%88%
Over 2.5 %68%58%77%
Over 3.5 %42%29%54%
Scored1.821.711.92
Conceded1.481.291.65
BTTS60%46%73%
Clean Sheet24%33%15%
Corners10.0410.799.35
Cards4.434.574.31

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City26
100%
3.0
62+4
4.0
100%
100%
50%
9.5
50%
3.0
0%
20.0
50%
1326
6351605313.01.0
60%
2ArsenalArsenal26
100%
3.0
40+4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
8.0
50%
3.0
50%
23.0
100%
1406
6082905082.00.0
56%
3HullHull26
100%
3.0
30+3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
7.5
0%
4.0
50%
19.0
0%
105
2231521.50.0
-
4ChelseaChelsea26
100%
3.0
75+2
6.0
100%
100%
100%
10.5
100%
4.5
100%
18.5
0%
1407
6142785143.52.5
57%
5BrentfordBrentford24
50%
2.0
41+3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
10.5
100%
3.0
50%
24.5
50%
565
2281282092.00.5
47%
6NewcastleNewcastle24
50%
2.0
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
12.0
50%
5.5
50%
27.5
100%
568
2341242102.01.0
52%
7EvertonEverton24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
10.5
50%
3.0
50%
22.5
50%
459
1741621231.50.5
44%
8LeedsLeeds24
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
8.0
50%
3.5
50%
23.5
50%
427
166981631.00.5
46%
9BrightonBrighton23
50%
1.5
74+3
5.5
100%
100%
100%
9.0
50%
5.0
100%
19.5
0%
620
1901802493.52.0
53%
10Manchester UnitedManchester United23
50%
1.5
54+1
4.5
100%
50%
50%
9.5
50%
3.5
50%
19.0
0%
929
4322362612.52.0
52%
11SunderlandSunderland23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
7.5
0%
2.5
0%
25.5
100%
392
1571101251.01.0
45%
12IpswichIpswich23
50%
1.5
46-2
5.0
100%
100%
50%
10.0
50%
3.5
50%
22.5
50%
280
13066852.03.0
-
13LiverpoolLiverpool22
0%
1.0
44+0
4.0
100%
100%
100%
8.0
0%
7.0
100%
27.0
100%
980
5182012602.02.0
59%
14Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
6.5
0%
4.5
50%
26.0
100%
551
263522361.01.5
46%
15BournemouthBournemouth21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
14.0
100%
4.0
50%
23.5
100%
573
2851061821.01.5
50%
16FulhamFulham20
0%
0.0
24-2
3.0
50%
50%
50%
8.5
50%
3.5
50%
22.0
50%
329
178281231.02.0
51%
17CoventryCoventry20
0%
0.0
04-4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
9.0
50%
3.5
50%
21.0
50%
237
8552990.02.0
-
18Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace20
0%
0.0
16-5
3.5
100%
50%
50%
6.0
0%
2.0
0%
19.0
0%
505
229931820.53.0
45%
19Aston VillaAston Villa20
0%
0.0
05-5
2.5
50%
50%
50%
6.5
0%
5.0
100%
22.0
50%
536
2201601560.02.5
53%
20TottenhamTottenham20
0%
0.0
05-5
2.5
100%
50%
0%
13.0
100%
2.5
0%
27.5
100%
920
2502823880.02.5
50%
England: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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