Nottingham Forest, riding a recent draw against Liverpool, are favoured to win at home against Leeds, who also came off a draw, this time with Brentford. The model predicts a 50% chance of a home win, 28% for a draw and 22% for an away win, making the home victory the most likely outcome. With an expected total of 2.4 goals, the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.4% probability. Forest’s home form shows they average 1.82 goals scored and 1.09 conceded against similarly strong opponents, while Leeds’ away record against such teams yields 1.27 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 25.5 fouls at 82.4%, Over 8.5 corners at 81.9%, Under 5.5 cards at 81.7%, Under 3.5 goals at 76.8%, Over 2.5 cards at 72.9%, Over 9.5 corners at 72.4% and Over 1.5 goals at 71.4%. These picks reflect the expected flow of the match.
Results analysis
The match, coming off a draw, saw Nottingham Forest edge Leeds 1-0, a result that confirms the model’s Home win pick at 50%. The win extends the Forest side’s recent form, while Leeds, also coming off a draw, remain unsettled. The model’s favourite was right, but the day proved tough for selections: Under 25.5 fouls at 82.4% missed, Over 8.5 corners at 81.9% missed, Under 5.5 cards at 81.7% missed, Over 9.5 corners at 72.4% missed, and Over 1.5 at 71.4% missed. In contrast, Under 3.5 at 76.8% hit and Over 2.5 cards at 72.9% hit. The predicted 2-goal total was not reached, with the most likely scoreline of 1-1 proving the closest.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Nottingham Forest win✓ Hit
49.6%
Avg Implied 34.5% · @ 2.79
Edge
+15.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied 28.3% · @ 3.40
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Leeds win✗ Miss
22.1%
Avg Implied 37.2% · @ 2.59
Edge
-15.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Nottingham Forest
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.33
1.86
0.93
0.62
1.69
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
3.00
1.00
0.50
0.00
5.50
vs Similar (22)
1.14
1.18
1.82
1.09
0.45
1.27
vs Weaker (4)
2.25
0.50
4.00
0.00
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leeds
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.70
1.19
1.69
1.43
1.71
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
2.00
0.80
2.20
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (22)
1.32
1.68
1.36
1.45
1.27
1.91
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.4%
Under 1.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.3%
@ 1.90-6.1%
Under 2.5
55.7%
@ 1.93+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.2%
Under 3.5
76.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.6%
No
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-0 ✓
11.9%
2-0
9.9%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.0%
Nottingham Forest goals ↓
Leeds goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.9%
6.8%
3.8%
1.2%
0.3%
1
12%
13%
5.7%
1.8%
0.4%
2
9.9%
9.3%
4.3%
1.3%
0.3%
3
5.0%
4.7%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.9%
1.8%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nottingham Forest goals (down), columns = Leeds goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.34
Arsenal
2.21
Manchester United
1.97
Newcastle
1.87
Liverpool
1.76
Brighton
1.63
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.58
Brentford
1.55
Fulham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.18
Chelsea
1.16
Wolves
1.08
West Ham
1.05
Bournemouth
1.03
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Everton
0.95
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.82
Southampton
0.66
Nottingham Forest is 0.18 points better than Leeds in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.82).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.47
Arsenal
2.32
Liverpool
1.97
Brighton
1.89
Tottenham
1.84
Newcastle
1.79
Brentford
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.45
Leicester
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Leeds
1.26
West Ham
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.05
Chelsea
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Bournemouth
0.97
Southampton
0.95
Everton
0.89
Wolves
0.82
Nottingham Forest is 0.26 goals worse than Leeds in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.26).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.87
Manchester City
0.87
Arsenal
1.13
Manchester United
1.13
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.21
Liverpool
1.24
Chelsea
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.29
Fulham
1.39
Brighton
1.39
West Ham
1.45
Everton
1.50
Wolves
1.53
Tottenham
1.66
Leicester
1.79
Nottingham Forest
1.79
Bournemouth
1.87
Southampton
1.92
Leeds
2.05
Nottingham Forest is 0.26 goals better than Leeds in terms of goals conceded per game (1.79 vs 2.05).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
60%
Chelsea
59%
Manchester United
54%
Newcastle
52%
Tottenham
50%
Fulham
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Leicester
48%
Leeds
48%
Crystal Palace
46%
Southampton
44%
Brentford
43%
Everton
42%
West Ham
42%
Bournemouth
41%
Nottingham Forest
37%
Nottingham Forest is 10.1 percentage points worse than Leeds in terms of average possession (37% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Nottingham Forest
For 3.2 · Against 6.3 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 11.4 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Leeds
For 5.9 · Against 5.2 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 12.5 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nottingham Forest
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.4
10.9
4.6
5.0
4.2
23.6
24.5
22.7
vs Stronger (4)
10.0
8.0
12.0
2.2
3.5
1.0
21.2
26.0
16.5
vs Similar (27)
10.4
9.6
11.1
4.4
4.8
4.1
22.5
22.5
22.5
vs Weaker (19)
9.7
9.4
10.1
5.5
5.5
5.4
25.6
26.4
24.6
% over line
56%
48%
64%
72%
80%
64%
60%
68%
52%
% under line
44%
52%
36%
28%
20%
36%
40%
32%
48%
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leeds
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.4
9.4
4.4
4.5
4.2
23.5
24.2
22.8
vs Stronger (11)
8.6
7.8
9.6
3.4
3.2
3.6
20.8
22.5
18.8
vs Similar (38)
9.6
9.9
9.3
4.7
4.9
4.5
24.4
24.7
24.1
vs Weaker (1)
11.0
-
11.0
2.0
-
2.0
20.0
-
20.0
% over line
40%
40%
40%
66%
64%
68%
58%
60%
56%
% under line
60%
60%
60%
34%
36%
32%
42%
40%
44%
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Southampton
10.7
Fulham
10.6
Brighton
10.5
Aston Villa
10.5
Leicester
10.4
Brentford
10.4
Everton
10.4
Liverpool
10.3
Bournemouth
10.2
Tottenham
10.2
Nottingham Forest
10.1
Newcastle
10.1
Wolves
9.9
Manchester United
9.9
Manchester City
9.9
West Ham
9.9
Chelsea
9.8
Arsenal
9.8
Crystal Palace
9.6
Leeds
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nottingham Forest
4.6
Leeds
4.4
Everton
4.2
Aston Villa
4.1
Newcastle
4.0
Tottenham
4.0
Fulham
4.0
Crystal Palace
4.0
Brighton
3.9
Bournemouth
3.9
Arsenal
3.8
Wolves
3.8
Chelsea
3.8
Manchester United
3.4
Southampton
3.2
Manchester City
3.0
Brentford
3.0
West Ham
2.9
Leicester
2.8
Liverpool
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.7
Aston Villa
23.7
Nottingham Forest
23.6
Leeds
23.5
Chelsea
22.6
Bournemouth
21.4
Newcastle
21.2
Fulham
21.0
Everton
20.9
Brighton
20.8
Arsenal
20.6
Leicester
20.4
Southampton
20.4
Tottenham
20.4
Wolves
19.6
Brentford
19.2
Manchester United
19.0
Liverpool
17.7
Manchester City
17.5
West Ham
17.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
72.4%
Under 9.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
52.4%
Under 3.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
46.3%
Under 21.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Nottingham Forest
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.53
0.86
0.36
0.38
0.69
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.25
0.00
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.45
0.82
0.36
0.18
0.55
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
0.25
3.00
0.00
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leeds
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.80
0.50
0.75
0.43
0.86
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.00
0.40
0.80
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.45
0.77
0.55
0.73
0.36
0.82
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Nottingham Forest
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.80
1.00
0.57
0.25
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.75
1.00
0.00
0.00
3.50
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.73
1.00
0.73
0.27
0.73
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leeds
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.90
0.69
0.94
1.00
0.86
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.00
0.40
1.40
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.86
0.91
0.82
0.73
0.91
1.09
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Nottingham Forest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Taiwo Awoniyi30%
Danilo23%
Brennan Johnson16%
Morgan Gibbs-White14%
Chris Wood14%
Emmanuel Dennis11%
Lewis O'Brien8%
Sam Surridge5%
Cheikhou Kouyaté5%
Serge Aurier4%
Orel Mangala4%
Joe Worrall3%
Neco Williams3%
Felipe0%
Keylor Navas0%
Jesse Lingard0%
André Ayew0%
Remo Freuler0%
Gustavo Scarpa0%
Renan Lodi0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Wayne Hennessey0%
Steve Cook0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Dean Henderson0%
Jack Colback0%
Ryan Yates0%
Moussa Niakhaté0%
Scott McKenna0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Steve Cook33%
Felipe25%
Renan Lodi25%
Jonjo Shelvey25%
Neco Williams23%
Joe Worrall20%
Scott McKenna20%
Ryan Yates19%
Willy Boly18%
Gustavo Scarpa17%
Emmanuel Dennis16%
Brennan Johnson16%
Lewis O'Brien15%
Remo Freuler14%
Cheikhou Kouyaté14%
Morgan Gibbs-White14%
Keylor Navas12%
Dean Henderson11%
Orel Mangala11%
Harry Toffolo11%
Sam Surridge10%
Serge Aurier8%
André Ayew8%
Danilo8%
Taiwo Awoniyi7%
Moussa Niakhaté7%
Jesse Lingard6%
Wayne Hennessey0%
Chris Wood0%
Jack Colback0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Morgan Gibbs-White20%
Danilo15%
Emmanuel Dennis11%
Willy Boly9%
Brennan Johnson8%
Ryan Yates8%
Felipe6%
Taiwo Awoniyi4%
Orel Mangala4%
Renan Lodi4%
Serge Aurier0%
Keylor Navas0%
Jesse Lingard0%
André Ayew0%
Joe Worrall0%
Remo Freuler0%
Cheikhou Kouyaté0%
Gustavo Scarpa0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Wayne Hennessey0%
Steve Cook0%
Sam Surridge0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Chris Wood0%
Dean Henderson0%
Jack Colback0%
Lewis O'Brien0%
Moussa Niakhaté0%
Scott McKenna0%
Neco Williams0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Taiwo Awoniyi11%
Brennan Johnson11%
Morgan Gibbs-White9%
Danilo8%
Moussa Niakhaté7%
Neco Williams6%
Emmanuel Dennis5%
Ryan Yates4%
Renan Lodi4%
Serge Aurier0%
Felipe0%
Keylor Navas0%
Jesse Lingard0%
André Ayew0%
Joe Worrall0%
Remo Freuler0%
Cheikhou Kouyaté0%
Gustavo Scarpa0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Wayne Hennessey0%
Steve Cook0%
Sam Surridge0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Chris Wood0%
Dean Henderson0%
Jack Colback0%
Lewis O'Brien0%
Orel Mangala0%
Scott McKenna0%
Leeds
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rodrigo35%
Luis Sinisterra26%
Patrick Bamford14%
Crysencio Summerville14%
Jack Harrison14%
Rasmus Kristensen12%
Wilfried Gnonto8%
Luke Ayling7%
Pascal Struijk7%
Liam Cooper6%
Sam Greenwood6%
Junior Firpo5%
Marc Roca3%
Brenden Aaronson3%
Weston McKennie0%
Tyler Adams0%
Joel Robles0%
Maximilian Wöber0%
Mateusz Klich0%
Adam Forshaw0%
Daniel James0%
Joe Gelhardt0%
Illan Meslier0%
Robin Koch0%
Diego Llorente0%
Georginio Rutter0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Weston McKennie37%
Junior Firpo32%
Wilfried Gnonto29%
Liam Cooper28%
Joel Robles25%
Marc Roca22%
Tyler Adams21%
Robin Koch19%
Rodrigo19%
Maximilian Wöber19%
Pascal Struijk17%
Rasmus Kristensen15%
Mateusz Klich14%
Crysencio Summerville14%
Diego Llorente12%
Patrick Bamford11%
Luis Sinisterra11%
Luke Ayling10%
Illan Meslier9%
Joe Gelhardt7%
Jack Harrison6%
Brenden Aaronson6%
Sam Greenwood6%
Adam Forshaw0%
Daniel James0%
Georginio Rutter0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jack Harrison19%
Wilfried Gnonto17%
Joe Gelhardt13%
Sam Greenwood11%
Georginio Rutter9%
Brenden Aaronson8%
Patrick Bamford7%
Crysencio Summerville7%
Marc Roca6%
Weston McKennie5%
Junior Firpo5%
Rasmus Kristensen4%
Luke Ayling3%
Pascal Struijk3%
Rodrigo3%
Tyler Adams0%
Joel Robles0%
Maximilian Wöber0%
Mateusz Klich0%
Liam Cooper0%
Adam Forshaw0%
Daniel James0%
Illan Meslier0%
Robin Koch0%
Luis Sinisterra0%
Diego Llorente0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luis Sinisterra21%
Rodrigo19%
Marc Roca9%
Patrick Bamford7%
Liam Cooper6%
Wilfried Gnonto4%
Rasmus Kristensen4%
Crysencio Summerville4%
Jack Harrison3%
Robin Koch3%
Weston McKennie0%
Tyler Adams0%
Joel Robles0%
Junior Firpo0%
Maximilian Wöber0%
Mateusz Klich0%
Luke Ayling0%
Adam Forshaw0%
Daniel James0%
Joe Gelhardt0%
Illan Meslier0%
Diego Llorente0%
Brenden Aaronson0%
Pascal Struijk0%
Georginio Rutter0%
Sam Greenwood0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Nottingham Forest's squad is €124m more valuable than Leeds's (€551m vs €427m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Nottingham Forest's attack is €98m more valuable than Leeds's (€263m vs €166m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Nottingham Forest's midfield is €46m less valuable than Leeds's (€52m vs €98m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Nottingham Forest's defence is €72m more valuable than Leeds's (€236m vs €163m).
England: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Manchester United
Newcastle
Liverpool
Brighton
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Chelsea
Wolves
West Ham
Bournemouth
Everton
Leicester
Southampton