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Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool Result & Analysis

Date: 22/10/2022
Time: 12:30
Final 1-0
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Vs
13%
25%
61%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Liverpool
Liverpool
England: Premier League
Referee: P Tierney

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nottingham Forest win✓ Hit
13.2%
Avg Implied 10.8% · @ 8.89
Edge
+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied 17.7% · @ 5.44
Edge
+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Liverpool win✗ Miss
61.4%
Avg Implied 71.4% · @ 1.35
Edge
-10.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-610W11D02L06L23L23L04L11D01L00DH·WES14/08A·EVE20/08H·TOT28/08A·MAN31/08H·BOU03/09H·FUL16/09A·LEI03/10H·AST10/10A·WOL15/10A·BRI18/10
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.132.360.930.751.31
vs Stronger (1)0.006.00--0.006.00
vs Similar (17)1.121.241.881.250.441.22
vs Weaker (12)2.170.583.000.501.330.67
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-721W00D14L21W33D20W23L71W10W10WH·NEW31/08A·EVE03/09A·NAP07/09H·AJA13/09H·BRI01/10H·RAN04/10A·ARS09/10A·RAN12/10H·MAN16/10H·WES19/10
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.330.832.650.531.921.23
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.801.402.000.501.672.00
vs Weaker (20)2.600.552.850.542.140.57
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%020%127%221%312%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
70.1%
Under 1.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.8%
@ 1.59-17.0%
Under 2.5
57.2%
@ 2.37+17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.0%
Under 3.5
78.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
41.4%
No
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
14.6%
0-2
13.5%
1-1
11.7%
0-0
10.2%
1-2
9.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-3
5.2%
1-0 ✓
5.1%
Nottingham Forest goals ↓
Liverpool goals →
01234
010%15%13%7.7%3.3%
15.1%12%9.1%5.2%2.2%
22.1%3.6%3.1%1.8%0.8%
30.5%0.8%0.7%0.4%0.2%
40.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nottingham Forest goals (down), columns = Liverpool goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
2.34
Arsenal
2.21
Manchester United
1.97
Newcastle
1.87
Liverpool
1.76
Brighton
1.63
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.58
Brentford
1.55
Fulham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.18
Chelsea
1.16
Wolves
1.08
West Ham
1.05
Bournemouth
1.03
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Everton
0.95
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.82
Southampton
0.66
Nottingham Forest is 0.76 points worse than Liverpool in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.76).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.47
Arsenal
2.32
Liverpool
1.97
Brighton
1.89
Tottenham
1.84
Newcastle
1.79
Brentford
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.45
Leicester
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Leeds
1.26
West Ham
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.05
Chelsea
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Bournemouth
0.97
Southampton
0.95
Everton
0.89
Wolves
0.82
Nottingham Forest is 0.97 goals worse than Liverpool in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.87
Manchester City
0.87
Arsenal
1.13
Manchester United
1.13
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.21
Liverpool
1.24
Chelsea
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.29
Fulham
1.39
Brighton
1.39
West Ham
1.45
Everton
1.50
Wolves
1.53
Tottenham
1.66
Leicester
1.79
Nottingham Forest
1.79
Bournemouth
1.87
Southampton
1.92
Leeds
2.05
Nottingham Forest is 0.55 goals worse than Liverpool in terms of goals conceded per game (1.79 vs 1.24).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
60%
Chelsea
59%
Manchester United
54%
Newcastle
52%
Tottenham
50%
Fulham
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Leicester
48%
Leeds
48%
Crystal Palace
46%
Southampton
44%
Brentford
43%
Everton
42%
West Ham
42%
Bournemouth
41%
Nottingham Forest
37%
Nottingham Forest is 23.8 percentage points worse than Liverpool in terms of average possession (37% vs 61%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

For 3.4 · Against 6.3 · Total 9.7

🚩 Corners

13019541466210461106126671095121210117813A·BRIA·WOLH·ASTA·LEIH·FULH·BOUA·MANH·TOTA·EVEH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

7013223342242116123414466631755A·BRIA·WOLH·ASTA·LEIH·FULH·BOUA·MANH·TOTA·EVEH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 11.8 · Total 23.1

⚠️ Fouls

32014101317131912131110131079111396101124303225212316241521A·BRIA·WOLH·ASTA·LEIH·FULH·BOUA·MANH·TOTA·EVEH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LiverpoolLiverpool

For 8.5 · Against 2.9 · Total 11.4

🚩 Corners

1608356333413192101239713111167141110151613H·WESH·MANA·RANA·ARSH·RANH·BRIH·AJAA·NAPA·EVEH·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.4

🟨 Cards

4031121111112212220413223342H·WESH·MANA·RANA·ARSH·RANH·BRIH·AJAA·NAPA·EVEH·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 9.5 · Total 19.2

⚠️ Fouls

3109810767111176913121913711791017171322132231201819H·WESH·MANA·RANA·ARSH·RANH·BRIH·AJAA·NAPA·EVEH·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.510.64.75.44.123.424.322.5
vs Stronger (1)11.0-11.01.0-1.016.0-16.0
vs Similar (25)10.49.810.84.85.54.223.023.022.9
vs Weaker (24)9.79.210.24.85.24.224.125.722.6
% over line58%50%65%70%83%58%60%67%54%
% under line42%50%35%30%17%42%40%33%46%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.511.010.13.12.93.217.817.318.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (17)10.411.59.43.83.63.920.120.219.9
vs Weaker (33)10.610.710.52.72.62.916.616.117.3
% over line64%69%58%38%31%46%24%19%29%
% under line36%31%42%62%69%54%76%81%71%
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Southampton
11.0
Everton
10.7
Brighton
10.6
Aston Villa
10.6
Manchester City
10.6
Liverpool
10.5
Leicester
10.5
Fulham
10.3
Brentford
10.2
Bournemouth
10.2
West Ham
10.1
Manchester United
10.1
Nottingham Forest
10.1
Chelsea
10.0
Tottenham
9.9
Newcastle
9.8
Wolves
9.8
Arsenal
9.6
Crystal Palace
9.5
Leeds
9.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Nottingham Forest
4.7
Leeds
4.4
Aston Villa
4.3
Everton
4.1
Tottenham
4.1
Newcastle
4.0
Bournemouth
4.0
Fulham
3.9
Brighton
3.9
Wolves
3.9
Chelsea
3.7
Crystal Palace
3.7
Arsenal
3.5
Southampton
3.4
Manchester United
3.4
Liverpool
3.1
Leicester
3.0
Brentford
3.0
West Ham
3.0
Manchester City
2.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.3
Aston Villa
24.2
Nottingham Forest
23.4
Leeds
23.1
Chelsea
21.9
Bournemouth
21.2
Tottenham
20.9
Fulham
20.7
Newcastle
20.6
Leicester
20.3
Southampton
20.3
Brighton
20.2
Everton
20.0
Arsenal
19.9
Brentford
19.6
Wolves
19.5
Manchester United
19.2
Liverpool
17.8
Manchester City
16.9
West Ham
16.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
37.9%
Under 9.5
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.1%
Under 3.5
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
46.8%
Under 21.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D01L03L20W10W03L11D00D00DH·WES14/08A·EVE20/08H·TOT28/08A·MAN31/08H·BOU03/09H·FUL16/09A·LEI03/10H·AST10/10A·WOL15/10A·BRI18/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.401.070.290.380.50
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (17)0.530.351.000.380.110.33
vs Weaker (12)1.000.251.170.170.830.33
Clean sheet %73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D03L11D12L10W12L11D00D10WH·NEW31/08A·EVE03/09A·NAP07/09H·AJA13/09H·BRI01/10H·RAN04/10A·ARS09/10A·RAN12/10H·MAN16/10H·WES19/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.601.060.350.620.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.601.000.750.250.501.50
vs Weaker (20)1.000.401.150.380.710.43
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D01L03L03L13L01L00D01L00DH·WES14/08A·EVE20/08H·TOT28/08A·MAN31/08H·BOU03/09H·FUL16/09A·LEI03/10H·AST10/10A·WOL15/10A·BRI18/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.731.290.640.380.81
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (17)0.590.880.880.880.330.89
vs Weaker (12)1.170.331.830.330.500.33
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W00D11D10W21W10W11D60W10W00DH·NEW31/08A·EVE03/09A·NAP07/09H·AJA13/09H·BRI01/10H·RAN04/10A·ARS09/10A·RAN12/10H·MAN16/10H·WES19/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.470.231.590.181.310.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.200.401.250.251.170.50
vs Weaker (20)1.600.151.690.151.430.14
Clean sheet %77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards92.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards83.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners82.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls82.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.578.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners73.6%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.570.1%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Nottingham Forest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Taiwo Awoniyi30%
Danilo23%
Brennan Johnson16%
Morgan Gibbs-White14%
Chris Wood14%
Emmanuel Dennis11%
Lewis O'Brien8%
Sam Surridge5%
Cheikhou Kouyaté5%
Serge Aurier4%
Orel Mangala4%
Joe Worrall3%
Neco Williams3%
Felipe0%
Keylor Navas0%
Jesse Lingard0%
André Ayew0%
Remo Freuler0%
Gustavo Scarpa0%
Renan Lodi0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Wayne Hennessey0%
Steve Cook0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Dean Henderson0%
Jack Colback0%
Ryan Yates0%
Moussa Niakhaté0%
Scott McKenna0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Steve Cook33%
Felipe25%
Renan Lodi25%
Jonjo Shelvey25%
Neco Williams23%
Joe Worrall20%
Scott McKenna20%
Ryan Yates19%
Willy Boly18%
Gustavo Scarpa17%
Emmanuel Dennis16%
Brennan Johnson16%
Lewis O'Brien15%
Remo Freuler14%
Cheikhou Kouyaté14%
Morgan Gibbs-White14%
Keylor Navas12%
Dean Henderson11%
Orel Mangala11%
Harry Toffolo11%
Sam Surridge10%
Serge Aurier8%
André Ayew8%
Danilo8%
Taiwo Awoniyi7%
Moussa Niakhaté7%
Jesse Lingard6%
Wayne Hennessey0%
Chris Wood0%
Jack Colback0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Morgan Gibbs-White20%
Danilo15%
Emmanuel Dennis11%
Willy Boly9%
Brennan Johnson8%
Ryan Yates8%
Felipe6%
Taiwo Awoniyi4%
Orel Mangala4%
Renan Lodi4%
Serge Aurier0%
Keylor Navas0%
Jesse Lingard0%
André Ayew0%
Joe Worrall0%
Remo Freuler0%
Cheikhou Kouyaté0%
Gustavo Scarpa0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Wayne Hennessey0%
Steve Cook0%
Sam Surridge0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Chris Wood0%
Dean Henderson0%
Jack Colback0%
Lewis O'Brien0%
Moussa Niakhaté0%
Scott McKenna0%
Neco Williams0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Taiwo Awoniyi11%
Brennan Johnson11%
Morgan Gibbs-White9%
Danilo8%
Moussa Niakhaté7%
Neco Williams6%
Emmanuel Dennis5%
Ryan Yates4%
Renan Lodi4%
Serge Aurier0%
Felipe0%
Keylor Navas0%
Jesse Lingard0%
André Ayew0%
Joe Worrall0%
Remo Freuler0%
Cheikhou Kouyaté0%
Gustavo Scarpa0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Wayne Hennessey0%
Steve Cook0%
Sam Surridge0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Chris Wood0%
Dean Henderson0%
Jack Colback0%
Lewis O'Brien0%
Orel Mangala0%
Scott McKenna0%
Liverpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah48%
Roberto Firmino30%
Darwin Núñez30%
Cody Gakpo26%
Luis Díaz20%
Diogo Jota14%
Fabio Carvalho12%
Joël Matip11%
Curtis Jones10%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain10%
Virgil van Dijk8%
Harvey Elliott8%
Trent Alexander-Arnold7%
Stefan Bajčetić7%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Jordan Henderson0%
Naby Keïta0%
James Milner0%
Fabinho0%
Thiago Alcântara0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ibrahima Konaté29%
Fabinho25%
Joël Matip22%
Trent Alexander-Arnold16%
Joe Gomez15%
Konstantinos Tsimikas15%
Stefan Bajčetić13%
Naby Keïta12%
Virgil van Dijk10%
Curtis Jones10%
Luis Díaz10%
Thiago Alcântara9%
Andrew Robertson8%
James Milner8%
Harvey Elliott8%
Diogo Jota7%
Darwin Núñez5%
Jordan Henderson5%
Mohamed Salah4%
Alisson2%
Cody Gakpo0%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain0%
Roberto Firmino0%
Fabio Carvalho0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrew Robertson23%
Mohamed Salah22%
Diogo Jota21%
Konstantinos Tsimikas19%
Trent Alexander-Arnold18%
Luis Díaz10%
Roberto Firmino9%
Cody Gakpo9%
Darwin Núñez8%
Jordan Henderson8%
Curtis Jones5%
Harvey Elliott5%
Fabinho5%
Joe Gomez4%
James Milner3%
Virgil van Dijk2%
Alisson2%
Joël Matip0%
Naby Keïta0%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain0%
Thiago Alcântara0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Fabio Carvalho0%
Stefan Bajčetić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah50%
Darwin Núñez41%
Luis Díaz20%
Roberto Firmino18%
Diogo Jota18%
Joël Matip11%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain10%
Cody Gakpo9%
Virgil van Dijk8%
Harvey Elliott8%
Fabio Carvalho6%
Jordan Henderson3%
Trent Alexander-Arnold2%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Curtis Jones0%
Naby Keïta0%
James Milner0%
Fabinho0%
Thiago Alcântara0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
Stefan Bajčetić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Nottingham Forest's squad is €429m less valuable than Liverpool's (€551m vs €980m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Nottingham Forest's attack is €255m less valuable than Liverpool's (€263m vs €518m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Nottingham Forest's midfield is €149m less valuable than Liverpool's (€52m vs €201m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Nottingham Forest's defence is €25m less valuable than Liverpool's (€236m vs €260m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
NFO wins
0
Draws
0
LIV wins

Head-to-head

Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool · H/A from NFO
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/10/22ABrighton Vs NFO0-0
15/10/22AWolves Vs NFO1-0
10/10/22HNFO Vs Aston Villa1-1
03/10/22ALeicester Vs NFO4-0
16/09/22HNFO Vs Fulham2-3
03/09/22HNFO Vs Bournemouth2-3
31/08/22AManchester City Vs NFO6-0
28/08/22HNFO Vs Tottenham0-2
20/08/22AEverton Vs NFO1-1
14/08/22HNFO Vs West Ham1-0

LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/10/22HLIV Vs West Ham1-0
16/10/22HLIV Vs Manchester City1-0
12/10/22ARangers Vs LIV1-7
09/10/22AArsenal Vs LIV3-2
04/10/22HLIV Vs Rangers2-0
01/10/22HLIV Vs Brighton3-3
13/09/22HLIV Vs Ajax2-1
07/09/22ANapoli Vs LIV4-1
03/09/22AEverton Vs LIV0-0
31/08/22HLIV Vs Newcastle2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
England: Premier League
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLD1.70
HomeWLLLD1.96
AwayDLLLD1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%58%38%
AVG goals2.522.882.19
Over 1.5 %76%88%65%
Over 2.5 %42%54%31%
Over 3.5 %26%33%19%
Scored1.501.921.12
Conceded1.020.961.08
BTTS42%46%38%
Clean Sheet38%42%35%
Corners10.069.5010.58
Cards4.705.384.08
Liverpool
Liverpool
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW2.22
HomeWDWWW2.54
AwayLDLLW1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%77%54%
AVG goals3.343.193.50
Over 1.5 %82%85%79%
Over 2.5 %64%58%71%
Over 3.5 %48%42%54%
Scored2.462.622.29
Conceded0.880.581.21
BTTS50%42%58%
Clean Sheet48%58%38%
Corners10.5410.9610.08
Cards3.062.883.25

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City3889
74%
2.3
9433+61
3.3
82%
66%
42%
8.9
50%
3.3
42%
19.7
29%
1326
6351605312.50.9
66%
2ArsenalArsenal3884
68%
2.2
8843+45
3.4
84%
68%
53%
9.6
45%
3.5
39%
21.8
50%
1406
6082905082.31.1
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3875
61%
2.0
5843+15
2.7
71%
50%
24%
10.6
61%
3.4
47%
19.3
26%
929
4322362611.51.1
54%
4NewcastleNewcastle3871
50%
1.9
6833+35
2.7
74%
47%
29%
11.4
76%
3.7
45%
21.7
42%
568
2341242101.80.9
52%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3867
50%
1.8
7547+28
3.2
74%
61%
37%
9.8
45%
3.1
42%
19.7
39%
980
5182012602.01.2
61%
6BrightonBrighton3862
47%
1.6
7253+19
3.3
79%
66%
45%
9.7
55%
4.0
53%
22.4
58%
620
1901802491.91.4
60%
7Aston VillaAston Villa3861
47%
1.6
5146+5
2.6
79%
47%
21%
9.9
55%
4.3
55%
24.1
68%
536
2201601561.31.2
49%
8TottenhamTottenham3860
47%
1.6
7063+7
3.5
84%
61%
47%
10.5
63%
4.1
53%
21.1
39%
920
2502823881.81.7
50%
9BrentfordBrentford3859
39%
1.6
5846+12
2.7
82%
45%
32%
9.9
55%
3.1
45%
20.2
29%
565
2281282091.51.2
43%
10FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
5553+2
2.8
74%
66%
29%
10.2
47%
3.7
47%
21.8
42%
329
178281231.41.4
49%
11Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4049-9
2.3
68%
39%
18%
9.6
37%
4.3
58%
24.6
66%
505
229931821.11.3
46%
12ChelseaChelsea3844
29%
1.2
3847-9
2.2
66%
42%
21%
10.3
55%
3.9
58%
22.7
50%
1407
6142785141.01.2
59%
13WolvesWolves3841
29%
1.1
3158-27
2.3
71%
39%
13%
10.3
50%
4.3
61%
23.1
61%
273
79791160.81.5
-
14West HamWest Ham3840
29%
1.1
4255-13
2.6
76%
39%
26%
10.6
53%
2.6
26%
18.1
21%
274
84481411.11.4
42%
15BournemouthBournemouth3839
29%
1.0
3771-34
2.8
74%
47%
32%
10.9
66%
3.1
34%
20.2
32%
573
2851061821.01.9
41%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3838
24%
1.0
3868-30
2.8
79%
45%
34%
9.7
50%
3.9
61%
22.6
61%
551
263522361.01.8
37%
17EvertonEverton3836
21%
0.9
3457-23
2.4
74%
42%
21%
10.9
61%
4.2
66%
21.0
42%
459
1741621230.91.5
42%
18LeicesterLeicester3834
24%
0.9
5168-17
3.1
79%
63%
34%
9.8
50%
3.2
39%
21.6
58%
69
2013361.31.8
48%
19LeedsLeeds3831
18%
0.8
4878-30
3.3
76%
66%
45%
10.1
55%
4.0
61%
23.1
58%
427
166981631.32.1
48%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3825
16%
0.7
3673-37
2.9
66%
53%
34%
9.6
50%
3.6
42%
21.8
45%
205
7253790.91.9
44%
England: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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