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Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool Result & Analysis

Date: 14/01/2025
Time: 20:00
Final 1-1
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Vs
21%
25%
54%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Liverpool
Liverpool
England: Premier League
Referee: C Kavanagh

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nottingham Forest win✗ Miss
20.8%
Avg Implied 17.8% · @ 5.37
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.0%
Avg Implied 22.8% · @ 4.20
Edge
+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Liverpool win✗ Miss
54.2%
Avg Implied 59.4% · @ 1.61
Edge
-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L10W03L32W21W20W10W20W30W20WA·ARS23/11H·IPS30/11A·MAN04/12A·MAN07/12H·AST14/12A·BRE21/12H·TOT26/12A·EVE29/12A·WOL06/01H·LUT11/01
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.171.401.071.601.27
vs Stronger (6)0.672.001.002.500.501.75
vs Similar (23)1.701.001.420.922.001.09
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-633D10W22D21W63W31W50W22D01L40WA·NEW04/12A·GIR10/12H·FUL14/12A·SOU18/12A·TOT22/12H·LEI26/12A·WES29/12H·MAN05/01A·TOT08/01H·ACC11/01
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.470.832.470.602.471.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)2.420.832.330.502.501.17
vs Weaker (18)2.500.832.560.672.441.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.4%
Under 1.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.1%
@ 1.59-5.1%
Under 2.5
44.9%
@ 2.41+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.8%
Under 3.5
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.0%
No
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.9%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.3%
0-1
9.1%
0-0
6.6%
1-3
6.0%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.7%
Nottingham Forest goals ↓
Liverpool goals →
01234
06.6%9.1%9.3%5.7%2.6%
14.8%12%9.9%6.0%2.7%
23.1%5.7%5.2%3.2%1.5%
31.1%2.0%1.9%1.1%0.5%
40.3%0.5%0.5%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nottingham Forest goals (down), columns = Liverpool goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Nottingham Forest is 0.50 points worse than Liverpool in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 2.21).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Nottingham Forest is 0.74 goals worse than Liverpool in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 2.26).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Nottingham Forest is 0.13 goals worse than Liverpool in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.08).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Nottingham Forest is 17.5 percentage points worse than Liverpool in terms of average possession (41% vs 58%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

For 3.6 · Against 6.2 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

150354527594335288718458991478101599A·WOLA·EVEH·TOTA·BREH·ASTA·MANA·MANH·IPSA·ARSH·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

702114334312421323113567126452A·WOLA·EVEH·TOTA·BREH·ASTA·MANA·MANH·IPSA·ARSH·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 10.0 · Total 20.3

⚠️ Fouls

25081010131213149126131015751611013618232523182322211119A·WOLA·EVEH·TOTA·BREH·ASTA·MANA·MANH·IPSA·ARSH·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LiverpoolLiverpool

For 7.5 · Against 4.6 · Total 12.1

🚩 Corners

1506963141575485657485103159151291311111313H·MANA·WESH·LEIA·TOTH·FULA·GIRA·NEWH·MANH·REAA·SOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.2

🟨 Cards

802432214423521334436053857477H·MANA·WESH·LEIA·TOTH·FULA·GIRA·NEWH·MANH·REAA·SOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 8.8 · Total 19.7

⚠️ Fouls

26010131071759710781117998101091123172216171926172020H·MANA·WESH·LEIA·TOTH·FULA·GIRA·NEWH·MANH·REAA·SOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.510.64.23.74.821.821.522.1
vs Stronger (8)11.212.010.54.82.57.018.618.019.2
vs Similar (40)10.310.210.54.24.04.422.322.122.5
vs Weaker (2)13.0-13.01.50.03.027.0-27.0
% over line58%62%54%62%58%67%54%46%62%
% under line42%38%46%38%42%33%46%54%38%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.811.310.13.94.13.621.221.620.9
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (19)9.29.98.64.24.34.021.522.320.7
vs Weaker (31)11.812.311.23.74.03.421.121.121.1
% over line64%74%55%52%56%48%51%57%45%
% under line36%26%45%48%44%52%49%43%55%
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.8
Bournemouth
12.0
Manchester United
11.3
Manchester City
11.1
Southampton
11.0
Brentford
11.0
Everton
10.9
Newcastle
10.7
Liverpool
10.7
Fulham
10.6
Crystal Palace
10.5
Ipswich
10.5
Nottingham Forest
10.5
Wolves
10.3
Chelsea
10.3
Aston Villa
10.2
Brighton
10.0
West Ham
10.0
Leicester
9.9
Arsenal
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
4.9
Chelsea
4.9
Brighton
4.8
Wolves
4.7
Bournemouth
4.7
Southampton
4.6
Newcastle
4.6
Tottenham
4.5
Liverpool
4.4
Nottingham Forest
4.4
Leicester
4.2
Manchester United
4.2
Crystal Palace
4.1
Brentford
4.1
Fulham
4.0
West Ham
3.9
Arsenal
3.9
Ipswich
3.9
Everton
3.6
Manchester City
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.0
Aston Villa
23.6
Wolves
23.4
Crystal Palace
23.4
Bournemouth
23.1
Southampton
23.1
Newcastle
22.9
Chelsea
22.9
Ipswich
22.8
Brighton
22.7
Nottingham Forest
21.8
Arsenal
21.7
Everton
21.7
Liverpool
21.7
Leicester
21.6
West Ham
21.1
Fulham
20.8
Manchester United
20.3
Brentford
20.0
Manchester City
17.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
63.9%
Under 9.5
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
51.1%
Under 3.5
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
36.6%
Under 21.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D02L11D00D10W10W10W20W10WA·ARS23/11H·IPS30/11A·MAN04/12A·MAN07/12H·AST14/12A·BRE21/12H·TOT26/12A·EVE29/12A·WOL06/01H·LUT11/01
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.500.730.330.730.67
vs Stronger (6)0.170.830.501.000.000.75
vs Similar (23)0.870.430.750.251.000.64
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D01L20W31W11D30W00D00D20WA·NEW04/12A·GIR10/12H·FUL14/12A·SOU18/12A·TOT22/12H·LEI26/12A·WES29/12H·MAN05/01A·TOT08/01H·ACC11/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.330.800.271.130.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.000.330.500.001.500.67
vs Weaker (18)0.940.331.000.440.890.22
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W01L21W21W10W00D10W10W10WA·ARS23/11H·IPS30/11A·MAN04/12A·MAN07/12H·AST14/12A·BRE21/12H·TOT26/12A·EVE29/12A·WOL06/01H·LUT11/01
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.670.670.730.870.60
vs Stronger (6)0.501.170.501.500.501.00
vs Similar (23)0.830.570.670.671.000.45
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W10W21W01L32W20W20W22D01L20WA·NEW04/12A·GIR10/12H·FUL14/12A·SOU18/12A·TOT22/12H·LEI26/12A·WES29/12H·MAN05/01A·TOT08/01H·ACC11/01
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.500.501.670.331.330.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.420.501.830.501.000.50
vs Weaker (18)1.560.501.560.221.560.78
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls88.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards82.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls78.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners75.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards71.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Nottingham Forest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chris Wood42%
Morgan Gibbs-White18%
Callum Hudson-Odoi14%
Ramón Sosa13%
Nikola Milenković12%
Anthony Elanga12%
Jota Silva11%
Ryan Yates10%
Taiwo Awoniyi6%
Ola Aina5%
Murillo5%
Elliot Anderson5%
Neco Williams3%
Matz Sels0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Nicolás Domínguez0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Álex Moreno0%
Morato0%
Danilo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Morgan Gibbs-White32%
Ryan Yates31%
Nicolás Domínguez28%
Elliot Anderson26%
Ibrahim Sangaré24%
Neco Williams23%
Morato21%
Jota Silva16%
Álex Moreno16%
Murillo15%
Harry Toffolo14%
Ola Aina14%
Willy Boly11%
Nikola Milenković10%
James Ward-Prowse10%
Matz Sels10%
Ramón Sosa9%
Callum Hudson-Odoi6%
Chris Wood2%
Anthony Elanga2%
Taiwo Awoniyi0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Danilo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anthony Elanga23%
Morgan Gibbs-White21%
Elliot Anderson14%
Ibrahim Sangaré12%
James Ward-Prowse10%
Neco Williams8%
Chris Wood8%
Callum Hudson-Odoi6%
Jota Silva5%
Álex Moreno5%
Nikola Milenković5%
Ramón Sosa4%
Ola Aina3%
Nicolás Domínguez3%
Ryan Yates3%
Matz Sels0%
Taiwo Awoniyi0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Morato0%
Danilo0%
Murillo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Chris Wood25%
Morgan Gibbs-White24%
Elliot Anderson7%
Anthony Elanga7%
Ryan Yates5%
Neco Williams5%
Ramón Sosa4%
Taiwo Awoniyi3%
Callum Hudson-Odoi3%
Jota Silva3%
Nicolás Domínguez3%
Ola Aina0%
Nikola Milenković0%
Matz Sels0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Álex Moreno0%
Morato0%
Danilo0%
Murillo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Liverpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah56%
Cody Gakpo31%
Jayden Danns25%
Luis Díaz24%
Diogo Jota22%
Harvey Elliott18%
Dominik Szoboszlai16%
Alexis Mac Allister14%
Federico Chiesa14%
Darwin Núñez13%
Virgil van Dijk10%
Trent Alexander-Arnold9%
Curtis Jones7%
Ibrahima Konaté5%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Tyler Morton0%
Conor Bradley0%
James McConnell0%
Trey Nyoni0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James McConnell25%
Alexis Mac Allister22%
Tyler Morton20%
Trey Nyoni20%
Darwin Núñez19%
Ibrahima Konaté19%
Virgil van Dijk14%
Ryan Gravenberch14%
Harvey Elliott14%
Conor Bradley14%
Dominik Szoboszlai12%
Jarell Quansah12%
Joe Gomez12%
Trent Alexander-Arnold11%
Andrew Robertson11%
Konstantinos Tsimikas10%
Cody Gakpo10%
Federico Chiesa7%
Luis Díaz6%
Diogo Jota5%
Curtis Jones4%
Wataru Endo3%
Mohamed Salah2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Jayden Danns0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Salah37%
Tyler Morton20%
Trey Nyoni20%
Dominik Szoboszlai14%
Conor Bradley14%
Trent Alexander-Arnold14%
Curtis Jones13%
Cody Gakpo12%
Harvey Elliott11%
Darwin Núñez11%
Alexis Mac Allister10%
Luis Díaz10%
Ryan Gravenberch8%
Diogo Jota8%
Federico Chiesa7%
Konstantinos Tsimikas7%
Ibrahima Konaté5%
Andrew Robertson4%
Virgil van Dijk2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah52%
Cody Gakpo24%
Darwin Núñez21%
Luis Díaz18%
Diogo Jota16%
Harvey Elliott11%
Dominik Szoboszlai10%
Federico Chiesa7%
Curtis Jones4%
Virgil van Dijk4%
Alexis Mac Allister4%
Konstantinos Tsimikas3%
Ibrahima Konaté2%
Trent Alexander-Arnold2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Tyler Morton0%
Conor Bradley0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Nottingham Forest's squad is €429m less valuable than Liverpool's (€551m vs €980m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Nottingham Forest's attack is €255m less valuable than Liverpool's (€263m vs €518m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Nottingham Forest's midfield is €149m less valuable than Liverpool's (€52m vs €201m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Nottingham Forest's defence is €25m less valuable than Liverpool's (€236m vs €260m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
NFO wins
0
Draws
3
LIV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool · H/A from NFO
DateH/AGameScore
14/09/24ALiverpool Vs NFO0-1
02/03/24HNFO Vs Liverpool0-1
29/10/23ALiverpool Vs NFO3-0
22/04/23ALiverpool Vs NFO3-2
22/10/22HNFO Vs Liverpool1-0

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/01/25HNFO Vs Luton2-0
06/01/25AWolves Vs NFO0-3
29/12/24AEverton Vs NFO0-2
26/12/24HNFO Vs Tottenham1-0
21/12/24ABrentford Vs NFO0-2
14/12/24HNFO Vs Aston Villa2-1
07/12/24AManchester United Vs NFO2-3
04/12/24AManchester City Vs NFO3-0
30/11/24HNFO Vs Ipswich1-0
23/11/24AArsenal Vs NFO3-0

LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/01/25HLIV Vs Accrington4-0
08/01/25ATottenham Vs LIV1-0
05/01/25HLIV Vs Manchester United2-2
29/12/24AWest Ham Vs LIV0-5
26/12/24HLIV Vs Leicester3-1
22/12/24ATottenham Vs LIV3-6
18/12/24ASouthampton Vs LIV1-2
14/12/24HLIV Vs Fulham2-2
10/12/24AGirona Vs LIV0-1
04/12/24ANewcastle Vs LIV3-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
England: Premier League
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.40
HomeLWWWW1.35
AwayLWWWW1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%38%42%
AVG goals2.862.623.12
Over 1.5 %82%77%88%
Over 2.5 %50%42%58%
Over 3.5 %34%27%42%
Scored1.421.351.50
Conceded1.441.271.62
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet24%27%21%
Corners10.5410.5010.58
Cards4.383.964.79
Liverpool
Liverpool
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLW2.32
HomeWDWDW2.40
AwayWWWWL2.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %72%76%68%
AVG goals3.463.323.60
Over 1.5 %84%92%76%
Over 2.5 %66%64%68%
Over 3.5 %50%44%56%
Scored2.422.482.36
Conceded1.040.841.24
BTTS56%52%60%
Clean Sheet34%36%32%
Corners10.7611.3510.14
Cards4.314.484.14

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LiverpoolLiverpool3884
66%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
89%
63%
45%
10.4
58%
3.9
55%
21.1
47%
980
5182012602.31.1
58%
2ArsenalArsenal3874
53%
1.9
6934+35
2.7
76%
45%
32%
9.7
55%
4.0
58%
21.2
47%
1406
6082905081.80.9
57%
3Manchester CityManchester City3871
55%
1.9
7244+28
3.1
84%
61%
39%
9.9
55%
3.9
58%
17.7
18%
1326
6351605311.91.2
61%
4ChelseaChelsea3869
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
76%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
5.2
79%
23.5
68%
1407
6142785141.71.1
57%
5NewcastleNewcastle3866
53%
1.7
6847+21
3.0
82%
61%
34%
11.1
66%
4.4
61%
22.6
61%
568
2341242101.81.2
51%
6Aston VillaAston Villa3866
50%
1.7
5851+7
2.9
84%
63%
32%
10.6
61%
4.7
79%
24.1
66%
536
2201601561.51.3
50%
7Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3865
50%
1.7
5846+12
2.7
71%
50%
26%
10.6
55%
5.0
76%
21.7
55%
551
263522361.51.2
41%
8BrightonBrighton3861
42%
1.6
6659+7
3.3
89%
71%
45%
9.8
63%
4.3
66%
22.8
55%
620
1901802491.71.6
53%
9BournemouthBournemouth3856
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.7
76%
55%
32%
10.9
63%
5.1
74%
24.3
82%
573
2851061821.51.2
49%
10BrentfordBrentford3856
42%
1.5
6657+9
3.2
84%
61%
39%
11.1
68%
3.8
53%
18.0
18%
565
2281282091.71.5
48%
11FulhamFulham3854
39%
1.4
5454+0
2.8
84%
58%
32%
9.9
55%
3.9
61%
21.1
50%
329
178281231.41.4
53%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3853
34%
1.4
5151+0
2.7
79%
45%
29%
10.2
55%
4.2
61%
22.0
58%
505
229931821.31.3
43%
13EvertonEverton3848
29%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
66%
37%
29%
10.2
58%
3.4
42%
21.4
50%
459
1741621231.11.2
41%
14West HamWest Ham3843
29%
1.1
4662-16
2.8
84%
50%
29%
9.6
53%
3.6
50%
22.4
53%
274
84481411.21.6
48%
15Manchester UnitedManchester United3842
29%
1.1
4454-10
2.6
76%
50%
24%
10.0
53%
4.2
66%
21.0
50%
929
4322362611.21.4
54%
16WolvesWolves3842
32%
1.1
5469-15
3.2
87%
66%
32%
9.7
58%
4.2
61%
24.3
76%
273
79791161.41.8
-
17TottenhamTottenham3838
29%
1.0
6465-1
3.4
82%
63%
45%
11.8
76%
4.2
55%
24.7
82%
920
2502823881.71.7
55%
18LeicesterLeicester3825
16%
0.7
3380-47
3.0
92%
61%
34%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.7
47%
69
2013360.92.1
45%
19IpswichIpswich3822
11%
0.6
3682-46
3.1
84%
58%
39%
10.4
71%
4.1
55%
22.2
50%
280
13066850.92.2
40%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3812
5%
0.3
2686-60
2.9
79%
61%
42%
10.5
66%
3.9
53%
23.5
61%
205
7253790.72.3
48%
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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