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Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool Result & Analysis

Date: 22/02/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 0-1
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Vs
25%
27%
48%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Liverpool
Liverpool
England: Premier League
Referee: A Taylor

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nottingham Forest win✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied 24.6% · @ 3.83
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.0%
Avg Implied 24.9% · @ 3.78
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Liverpool win✓ Hit
47.9%
Avg Implied 50.4% · @ 1.87
Edge
-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W33D00D01L20W40W11D13L00D30WA·WES06/01A·WRE09/01H·ARS17/01A·SC 22/01A·BRE25/01H·FER29/01H·CRY01/02A·LEE06/02H·WOL11/02A·FEN19/02
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.231.401.131.201.33
vs Stronger (5)1.201.000.751.253.000.00
vs Similar (25)1.321.281.641.091.071.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D41W11D30W23L60W41W12L10W30WA·ARS08/01H·BAR12/01H·BUR17/01A·MAR21/01A·BOU24/01H·QAR28/01H·NEW31/01H·MAN08/02A·SUN11/02H·BRI14/02
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.271.811.191.711.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.081.251.201.601.001.00
vs Weaker (18)2.221.282.091.002.431.71
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.0%
Under 1.5
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.5%
@ 1.64-5.7%
Under 2.5
48.5%
@ 2.20+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.4%
Under 3.5
70.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.1%
No
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
0-1 ✓
9.3%
0-2
8.5%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
6.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.3%
Nottingham Forest goals ↓
Liverpool goals →
01234
07.6%9.3%8.5%4.6%1.9%
16.1%13%9.5%5.1%2.1%
24.0%6.5%5.3%2.9%1.2%
31.5%2.4%2.0%1.1%0.4%
40.4%0.7%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nottingham Forest goals (down), columns = Liverpool goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Chelsea
1.37
Fulham
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Nottingham Forest is 0.42 points worse than Liverpool in terms of average points per game (1.16 vs 1.58).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Everton
1.24
Fulham
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Nottingham Forest is 0.39 goals worse than Liverpool in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.66).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Nottingham Forest is 0.05 goals better than Liverpool in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 1.39).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Nottingham Forest is 12.7 percentage points worse than Liverpool in terms of average possession (46% vs 59%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

For 6.1 · Against 5.3 · Total 11.4

🚩 Corners

15010382105576456134978561310151210114131511A·FENH·WOLA·LEEH·CRYH·FERA·BREA·SC H·ARSA·WREA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

7052111311143114135224217253A·FENH·WOLA·LEEH·CRYH·FERA·BREA·SC H·ARSA·WREA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 11.8 · Total 22.7

⚠️ Fouls

28014101213129412101410111810814121091524252116242128222224A·FENH·WOLA·LEEH·CRYH·FERA·BREA·SC H·ARSA·WREA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LiverpoolLiverpool

For 7.7 · Against 4.4 · Total 12.1

🚩 Corners

180561135471114111347911153111491815141110163H·BRIA·SUNH·MANH·NEWH·QARA·BOUA·MARH·BURH·BARA·ARS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.9 · Against 1.9 · Total 2.8

🟨 Cards

704134131111121224174121314H·BRIA·SUNH·MANH·NEWH·QARA·BOUA·MARH·BURH·BARA·ARS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 9.5 · Total 19.9

⚠️ Fouls

34015191081316117133771288106791034182918161420181319H·BRIA·SUNH·MANH·NEWH·QARA·BOUA·MARH·BURH·BARA·ARS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.39.84.03.64.422.821.424.2
vs Stronger (9)10.19.313.03.64.02.021.121.719.0
vs Similar (41)10.010.89.54.13.54.623.221.224.6
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line57%67%48%58%54%62%61%50%72%
% under line43%33%52%42%46%38%39%50%28%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.611.010.03.33.03.720.320.520.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (18)9.810.49.14.13.54.821.922.121.6
vs Weaker (32)11.011.410.52.82.73.019.519.719.2
% over line59%71%43%40%34%48%33%36%29%
% under line41%29%57%60%66%52%67%64%71%
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.6
Liverpool
10.7
Bournemouth
10.5
Nottingham Forest
10.1
Brentford
10.0
West Ham
10.0
Fulham
10.0
Manchester United
9.8
Tottenham
9.8
Aston Villa
9.7
Everton
9.6
Chelsea
9.6
Leeds
9.6
Brighton
9.4
Manchester City
9.2
Burnley
9.1
Wolves
9.1
Arsenal
9.0
Sunderland
8.8
Crystal Palace
8.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.7
Bournemouth
4.7
Manchester United
4.2
Brighton
4.2
Newcastle
4.2
Sunderland
4.2
Tottenham
4.2
Nottingham Forest
4.1
Aston Villa
4.0
Crystal Palace
4.0
Brentford
3.8
Manchester City
3.8
Wolves
3.7
Everton
3.7
West Ham
3.5
Fulham
3.5
Liverpool
3.3
Burnley
3.3
Arsenal
3.3
Leeds
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Wolves
24.2
Bournemouth
24.1
Aston Villa
23.3
Chelsea
23.0
Nottingham Forest
22.9
West Ham
22.7
Everton
22.6
Brighton
22.5
Tottenham
22.4
Sunderland
22.0
Manchester United
21.7
Arsenal
21.6
Leeds
21.5
Newcastle
21.2
Burnley
20.9
Liverpool
20.1
Manchester City
20.1
Crystal Palace
20.1
Fulham
19.7
Brentford
19.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.2%
Under 9.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.8%
Under 3.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
28.3%
Under 21.5
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L00D00D10W20W11D02L00D20WA·WES06/01A·WRE09/01H·ARS17/01A·SC 22/01A·BRE25/01H·FER29/01H·CRY01/02A·LEE06/02H·WOL11/02A·FEN19/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.630.600.530.270.73
vs Stronger (5)0.400.000.250.001.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.440.760.730.730.210.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W10W10W12L20W21W00D00D10WA·ARS08/01H·BAR12/01H·BUR17/01A·MAR21/01A·BOU24/01H·QAR28/01H·NEW31/01H·MAN08/02A·SUN11/02H·BRI14/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.570.810.440.430.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.250.500.400.400.140.57
vs Weaker (18)0.890.611.000.450.710.86
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W31W00D01L10W20W00D11D00D10WA·WES06/01A·WRE09/01H·ARS17/01A·SC 22/01A·BRE25/01H·FER29/01H·CRY01/02A·LEE06/02H·WOL11/02A·FEN19/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.600.800.600.930.60
vs Stronger (5)0.801.000.501.252.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.880.520.910.360.860.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D20W01L20W11D40W20W12L10W20WA·ARS08/01H·BAR12/01H·BUR17/01A·MAR21/01A·BOU24/01H·QAR28/01H·NEW31/01H·MAN08/02A·SUN11/02H·BRI14/02
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.701.000.751.290.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.830.750.801.200.860.43
vs Weaker (18)1.330.671.090.551.710.86
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls92.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards86.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls84.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.577.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards73.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls71.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.570.6%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Nottingham Forest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Morgan Gibbs-White30%
Igor Jesus25%
Chris Wood20%
Taiwo Awoniyi17%
Arnaud Kalimuendo14%
Lorenzo Lucca11%
Nicolò Savona10%
Callum Hudson-Odoi9%
Elliot Anderson8%
Ryan Yates6%
Dan Ndoye5%
Murillo5%
Nicolás Domínguez5%
Ibrahim Sangaré5%
James McAtee4%
Neco Williams4%
Morato3%
Omari Hutchinson2%
Nikola Milenković2%
Oleksandr Zinchenko0%
Ola Aina0%
Matz Sels0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Douglas Luiz0%
John Victor0%
Dilane Bakwa0%
Luca Netz0%
Zach Abbott0%
Jair0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Morato24%
Elliot Anderson22%
Douglas Luiz21%
Murillo18%
Nicolò Savona15%
Ryan Yates14%
Ibrahim Sangaré14%
Neco Williams13%
Nicolás Domínguez12%
Ola Aina12%
Igor Jesus12%
Nikola Milenković11%
Taiwo Awoniyi11%
John Victor11%
Lorenzo Lucca11%
Zach Abbott10%
Morgan Gibbs-White8%
Omari Hutchinson7%
Jair7%
Dan Ndoye5%
Matz Sels5%
Dilane Bakwa4%
James McAtee4%
Oleksandr Zinchenko0%
Callum Hudson-Odoi0%
Chris Wood0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Arnaud Kalimuendo0%
Luca Netz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Omari Hutchinson15%
Morgan Gibbs-White13%
Igor Jesus10%
Callum Hudson-Odoi9%
Ryan Yates9%
Dilane Bakwa8%
Elliot Anderson8%
James McAtee8%
Douglas Luiz7%
Neco Williams6%
Taiwo Awoniyi6%
Nicolò Savona5%
Ibrahim Sangaré5%
Ola Aina4%
Dan Ndoye3%
Nicolás Domínguez2%
Nikola Milenković2%
Oleksandr Zinchenko0%
Matz Sels0%
Chris Wood0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Morato0%
John Victor0%
Arnaud Kalimuendo0%
Luca Netz0%
Lorenzo Lucca0%
Zach Abbott0%
Jair0%
Murillo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Morgan Gibbs-White19%
Callum Hudson-Odoi16%
Igor Jesus12%
Dan Ndoye11%
Oleksandr Zinchenko10%
Chris Wood10%
Nicolás Domínguez10%
Ryan Yates9%
Elliot Anderson8%
Arnaud Kalimuendo7%
Neco Williams6%
James McAtee4%
Nikola Milenković2%
Ola Aina0%
Matz Sels0%
Taiwo Awoniyi0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Douglas Luiz0%
Morato0%
John Victor0%
Dilane Bakwa0%
Luca Netz0%
Nicolò Savona0%
Lorenzo Lucca0%
Omari Hutchinson0%
Zach Abbott0%
Jair0%
Murillo0%
Liverpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah30%
Hugo Ekitiké30%
Dominik Szoboszlai25%
Alexander Isak18%
Cody Gakpo18%
Florian Wirtz15%
Virgil van Dijk13%
Ryan Gravenberch12%
Andy Robertson9%
Federico Chiesa8%
Alexis Mac Allister7%
Rio Ngumoha7%
Curtis Jones6%
Miloš Kerkez4%
Ibrahima Konaté4%
Jeremie Frimpong3%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Wataru Endo0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Conor Bradley0%
Trey Nyoni0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Conor Bradley33%
Dominik Szoboszlai19%
Joe Gomez18%
Ibrahima Konaté18%
Alexis Mac Allister17%
Ryan Gravenberch16%
Virgil van Dijk11%
Federico Chiesa11%
Miloš Kerkez11%
Wataru Endo9%
Curtis Jones8%
Cody Gakpo6%
Hugo Ekitiké5%
Alisson3%
Jeremie Frimpong3%
Andy Robertson3%
Mohamed Salah2%
Florian Wirtz2%
Alexander Isak0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Rio Ngumoha0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Salah25%
Dominik Szoboszlai19%
Florian Wirtz12%
Ryan Gravenberch12%
Hugo Ekitiké11%
Cody Gakpo10%
Alexis Mac Allister9%
Wataru Endo9%
Curtis Jones6%
Joe Gomez6%
Andy Robertson6%
Federico Chiesa6%
Conor Bradley5%
Alexander Isak5%
Miloš Kerkez4%
Rio Ngumoha3%
Jeremie Frimpong3%
Virgil van Dijk2%
Alisson0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah28%
Hugo Ekitiké23%
Dominik Szoboszlai21%
Cody Gakpo18%
Alexis Mac Allister9%
Alexander Isak9%
Florian Wirtz8%
Virgil van Dijk4%
Rio Ngumoha3%
Federico Chiesa3%
Miloš Kerkez2%
Ryan Gravenberch2%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andy Robertson0%
Curtis Jones0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Wataru Endo0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Jeremie Frimpong0%
Conor Bradley0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Nottingham Forest's squad is €429m less valuable than Liverpool's (€551m vs €980m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Nottingham Forest's attack is €255m less valuable than Liverpool's (€263m vs €518m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Nottingham Forest's midfield is €149m less valuable than Liverpool's (€52m vs €201m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Nottingham Forest's defence is €25m less valuable than Liverpool's (€236m vs €260m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
3
NFO wins
1
Draws
3
LIV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool · H/A from NFO
DateH/AGameScore
22/11/25ALiverpool Vs NFO0-3
14/01/25HNFO Vs Liverpool1-1
14/09/24ALiverpool Vs NFO0-1
02/03/24HNFO Vs Liverpool0-1
29/10/23ALiverpool Vs NFO3-0
22/04/23ALiverpool Vs NFO3-2
22/10/22HNFO Vs Liverpool1-0

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/02/26AFenerbahçe Vs NFO0-3
11/02/26HNFO Vs Wolves0-0
06/02/26ALeeds Vs NFO3-1
01/02/26HNFO Vs Crystal Palace1-1
29/01/26HNFO Vs Ferencvarosi TC4-0
25/01/26ABrentford Vs NFO0-2
22/01/26ASC Braga Vs NFO1-0
17/01/26HNFO Vs Arsenal0-0
09/01/26AWrexham Vs NFO3-3
06/01/26AWest Ham Vs NFO1-2

LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/02/26HLIV Vs Brighton3-0
11/02/26ASunderland Vs LIV0-1
08/02/26HLIV Vs Manchester City1-2
31/01/26HLIV Vs Newcastle4-1
28/01/26HLIV Vs Qarabag6-0
24/01/26ABournemouth Vs LIV3-2
21/01/26AMarseille Vs LIV0-3
17/01/26HLIV Vs Burnley1-1
12/01/26HLIV Vs Barnsley4-1
08/01/26AArsenal Vs LIV0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDW1.26
HomeLDWDD1.21
AwayDLWLW1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%33%35%
AVG goals2.562.382.73
Over 1.5 %76%71%81%
Over 2.5 %52%46%58%
Over 3.5 %24%25%23%
Scored1.241.171.31
Conceded1.321.211.42
BTTS42%29%54%
Clean Sheet28%33%23%
Corners10.0410.339.76
Cards4.103.624.56
Liverpool
Liverpool
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.72
HomeDWWLW1.93
AwayDDWLW1.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%59%43%
AVG goals3.143.103.19
Over 1.5 %78%83%71%
Over 2.5 %66%66%67%
Over 3.5 %36%31%43%
Scored1.821.931.67
Conceded1.321.171.52
BTTS60%62%57%
Clean Sheet30%28%33%
Corners10.5711.049.95
Cards3.353.113.67

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArsenalArsenal3885
68%
2.2
7127+44
2.6
71%
53%
24%
9.1
42%
3.2
47%
21.3
47%
1406
6082905081.90.7
56%
2Manchester CityManchester City3878
61%
2.1
7735+42
2.9
87%
63%
21%
10.3
58%
3.9
63%
20.9
42%
1326
6351605312.00.9
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3871
53%
1.9
6950+19
3.1
84%
63%
37%
9.7
53%
3.8
58%
21.2
47%
929
4322362611.81.3
52%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3865
50%
1.7
5649+7
2.8
74%
53%
29%
10.2
68%
3.9
61%
23.0
63%
536
2201601561.51.3
53%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3860
45%
1.6
6353+10
3.1
84%
61%
29%
10.5
55%
3.6
50%
20.7
37%
980
5182012601.71.4
59%
6BournemouthBournemouth3857
34%
1.5
5854+4
2.9
76%
55%
42%
10.9
63%
4.3
63%
22.5
53%
573
2851061821.51.4
50%
7SunderlandSunderland3854
37%
1.4
4248-6
2.4
71%
45%
18%
9.0
45%
4.1
55%
22.1
58%
392
1571101251.11.3
45%
8BrightonBrighton3853
37%
1.4
5246+6
2.6
82%
50%
18%
9.7
58%
4.3
63%
22.0
55%
620
1901802491.41.2
53%
9BrentfordBrentford3853
37%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
82%
53%
37%
10.2
63%
3.7
53%
19.6
34%
565
2281282091.41.4
47%
10ChelseaChelsea3852
37%
1.4
5852+6
2.9
87%
66%
32%
10.4
68%
4.7
71%
23.4
68%
1407
6142785141.51.4
57%
11FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
4751-4
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.8
58%
20.8
39%
329
178281231.21.3
51%
12NewcastleNewcastle3849
37%
1.3
5355-2
2.8
76%
63%
34%
11.0
61%
4.2
61%
22.1
53%
568
2341242101.41.4
52%
13EvertonEverton3849
34%
1.3
4750-3
2.6
76%
45%
21%
9.4
42%
3.7
47%
21.7
58%
459
1741621231.21.3
44%
14LeedsLeeds3847
29%
1.2
4956-7
2.8
74%
55%
37%
9.5
53%
3.4
42%
21.7
47%
427
166981631.31.5
46%
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4151-10
2.4
71%
55%
21%
9.4
47%
3.7
63%
20.2
37%
505
229931821.11.3
45%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3844
29%
1.2
4851-3
2.6
82%
53%
26%
10.1
58%
3.3
42%
22.2
53%
551
263522361.31.3
46%
17TottenhamTottenham3841
26%
1.1
4857-9
2.8
82%
63%
26%
10.2
50%
4.7
71%
22.3
58%
920
2502823881.31.5
50%
18West HamWest Ham3839
26%
1.0
4665-19
2.9
87%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.8
55%
21.7
47%
274
84481411.21.7
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3822
11%
0.6
3875-37
3.0
84%
50%
39%
9.6
53%
2.9
39%
19.5
37%
115
708371.02.0
42%
20WolvesWolves3820
8%
0.5
2768-41
2.5
79%
45%
24%
9.4
58%
3.8
58%
23.8
66%
273
79791160.71.8
-
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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