PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Result & Analysis

Date: 08/03/2025
Time: 12:30
Final 1-0
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Vs
25%
25%
50%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Manchester City
Manchester City
England: Premier League
Referee: C Kavanagh

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nottingham Forest win✓ Hit
25.2%
Avg Implied 25.3% · @ 3.80
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.79
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Manchester City win✗ Miss
49.8%
Avg Implied 49.3% · @ 1.95
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-720W11D32W05L70W22D12L34L00D11DH·LUT11/01H·LIV14/01H·SOU19/01A·BOU25/01H·BRI01/02A·EXE11/02A·FUL15/02A·NEW23/02H·ARS26/02H·IPS03/03
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.201.670.731.601.67
vs Stronger (6)0.501.330.500.500.501.75
vs Similar (22)1.911.181.830.832.001.60
vs Weaker (2)2.001.002.000.002.002.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W31W15L21W23L40W13L02L10W31WH·CHE25/01H·CLU29/01A·ARS02/02A·LEY08/02H·REA11/02H·NEW15/02A·REA19/02H·LIV23/02A·TOT26/02H·PLY01/03
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.732.571.361.502.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.112.891.672.000.833.33
vs Weaker (21)2.381.242.821.181.901.30
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.3%
Under 1.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.5%
@ 1.60-0.5%
Under 2.5
40.5%
@ 2.40+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.1%
Under 3.5
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.0%
No
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.7%
0-1
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
6.0%
1-3
5.9%
0-0
5.6%
Nottingham Forest goals ↓
Manchester City goals →
01234
05.6%7.3%7.7%4.7%2.1%
14.7%12%9.6%5.9%2.7%
23.6%6.6%6.0%3.7%1.7%
31.5%2.8%2.5%1.5%0.7%
40.5%0.9%0.8%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nottingham Forest goals (down), columns = Manchester City goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Nottingham Forest is 0.16 points worse than Manchester City in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 1.87).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Nottingham Forest is 0.37 goals worse than Manchester City in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.89).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Nottingham Forest is 0.05 goals worse than Manchester City in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.16).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Nottingham Forest is 20.4 percentage points worse than Manchester City in terms of average possession (41% vs 61%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

For 3.7 · Against 6.9 · Total 10.6

🚩 Corners

140311674846932893545271413121012109899H·ARSA·NEWA·FULH·BRIA·BOUH·SOUH·LIVA·WOLA·EVEH·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

60114113324212114332504543356H·ARSA·NEWA·FULH·BRIA·BOUH·SOUH·LIVA·WOLA·EVEH·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 12.7 · Total 21.9

⚠️ Fouls

270101713118138131294187108101013121327242121212217182325H·ARSA·NEWA·FULH·BRIA·BOUH·SOUH·LIVA·WOLA·EVEH·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Manchester CityManchester City

For 5.0 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.4

🚩 Corners

17038755774652551246117411121211117661711A·TOTH·LIVA·REAH·NEWH·REAA·ARSH·CLUH·CHEA·PARA·IPS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.9 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.0

🟨 Cards

503211232111213031252103A·TOTH·LIVA·REAH·NEWA·ARSH·CHEA·PARA·IPSA·BREH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.3 · Against 8.1 · Total 15.4

⚠️ Fouls

270151231099513967623681010742713181815135142011A·TOTH·LIVA·REAH·NEWH·REAA·ARSH·CLUH·CHEA·PARA·IPS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.810.711.04.03.34.722.021.422.5
vs Stronger (10)11.311.810.54.32.57.019.319.319.2
vs Similar (37)10.610.310.94.23.84.622.622.123.0
vs Weaker (3)13.0-13.01.00.01.527.0-27.0
% over line61%61%61%60%54%67%59%48%70%
% under line39%39%39%40%46%33%41%52%30%
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.810.810.82.82.73.016.917.016.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (13)10.710.810.63.23.23.117.517.717.4
vs Weaker (37)10.810.810.92.72.62.916.716.816.5
% over line64%73%57%36%40%32%16%14%17%
% under line36%27%43%64%60%68%84%86%83%
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.5
Bournemouth
11.7
Brentford
11.1
Manchester United
10.9
Everton
10.9
Newcastle
10.8
Nottingham Forest
10.8
Ipswich
10.8
Fulham
10.7
Southampton
10.7
Manchester City
10.6
Liverpool
10.5
Crystal Palace
10.3
Brighton
10.1
Wolves
10.1
Aston Villa
10.1
Leicester
9.8
Chelsea
9.7
West Ham
9.6
Arsenal
9.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.8
Aston Villa
4.8
Bournemouth
4.7
Brighton
4.5
Wolves
4.5
Newcastle
4.4
Southampton
4.4
Nottingham Forest
4.4
Tottenham
4.1
Fulham
4.1
Liverpool
4.1
Arsenal
4.1
Manchester United
4.0
Leicester
4.0
West Ham
3.9
Crystal Palace
3.9
Brentford
3.8
Ipswich
3.8
Everton
3.6
Manchester City
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aston Villa
24.1
Bournemouth
23.8
Tottenham
23.7
Wolves
23.5
Southampton
23.1
Brighton
23.0
Newcastle
22.9
Crystal Palace
22.8
Ipswich
22.6
Chelsea
22.2
Arsenal
22.2
Nottingham Forest
22.0
West Ham
21.6
Leicester
21.5
Everton
21.5
Manchester United
21.0
Liverpool
20.8
Fulham
20.8
Brentford
19.3
Manchester City
17.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
69.1%
Under 9.5
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.0%
Under 3.5
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
17.5%
Under 21.5
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W30W01L30W21W11D14L00D00DH·LUT11/01H·LIV14/01H·SOU19/01A·BOU25/01H·BRI01/02A·EXE11/02A·FUL15/02A·NEW23/02H·ARS26/02H·IPS03/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.530.800.130.730.93
vs Stronger (6)0.170.500.500.000.000.75
vs Similar (22)0.860.550.830.170.901.00
vs Weaker (2)1.500.501.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L01L01L10W30W02L02L10W11DH·CHE25/01H·CLU29/01A·ARS02/02A·LEY08/02H·REA11/02H·NEW15/02A·REA19/02H·LIV23/02A·TOT26/02H·PLY01/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.631.210.570.560.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.330.890.671.000.170.83
vs Weaker (21)1.100.521.360.450.800.60
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L02L04L40W01L01L20W00D11DH·LUT11/01H·LIV14/01H·SOU19/01A·BOU25/01H·BRI01/02A·EXE11/02A·FUL15/02A·NEW23/02H·ARS26/02H·IPS03/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.670.870.600.870.73
vs Stronger (6)0.330.830.000.500.501.00
vs Similar (22)1.050.641.000.671.100.60
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W30W14L20W13L10W11D00D00D20WH·CHE25/01H·CLU29/01A·ARS02/02A·LEY08/02H·REA11/02H·NEW15/02A·REA19/02H·LIV23/02A·TOT26/02H·PLY01/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.101.360.790.941.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.782.001.001.000.672.50
vs Weaker (21)1.290.711.450.731.100.70
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls96.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards94.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls91.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards86.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 21.5 fouls82.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.582.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners79.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.5 cards71.0%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Nottingham Forest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chris Wood42%
Morgan Gibbs-White18%
Callum Hudson-Odoi14%
Ramón Sosa13%
Nikola Milenković12%
Anthony Elanga12%
Jota Silva11%
Ryan Yates10%
Taiwo Awoniyi6%
Ola Aina5%
Murillo5%
Elliot Anderson5%
Neco Williams3%
Matz Sels0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Nicolás Domínguez0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Álex Moreno0%
Morato0%
Danilo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Morgan Gibbs-White32%
Ryan Yates31%
Nicolás Domínguez28%
Elliot Anderson26%
Ibrahim Sangaré24%
Neco Williams23%
Morato21%
Jota Silva16%
Álex Moreno16%
Murillo15%
Harry Toffolo14%
Ola Aina14%
Willy Boly11%
Nikola Milenković10%
James Ward-Prowse10%
Matz Sels10%
Ramón Sosa9%
Callum Hudson-Odoi6%
Chris Wood2%
Anthony Elanga2%
Taiwo Awoniyi0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Danilo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anthony Elanga23%
Morgan Gibbs-White21%
Elliot Anderson14%
Ibrahim Sangaré12%
James Ward-Prowse10%
Neco Williams8%
Chris Wood8%
Callum Hudson-Odoi6%
Jota Silva5%
Álex Moreno5%
Nikola Milenković5%
Ramón Sosa4%
Ola Aina3%
Nicolás Domínguez3%
Ryan Yates3%
Matz Sels0%
Taiwo Awoniyi0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Morato0%
Danilo0%
Murillo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Chris Wood25%
Morgan Gibbs-White24%
Elliot Anderson7%
Anthony Elanga7%
Ryan Yates5%
Neco Williams5%
Ramón Sosa4%
Taiwo Awoniyi3%
Callum Hudson-Odoi3%
Jota Silva3%
Nicolás Domínguez3%
Ola Aina0%
Nikola Milenković0%
Matz Sels0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Álex Moreno0%
Morato0%
Danilo0%
Murillo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Manchester City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Erling Haaland51%
Omar Marmoush27%
Nico O’Reilly22%
James McAtee19%
Phil Foden18%
Kevin De Bruyne15%
John Stones15%
Mateo Kovačić15%
Jérémy Doku14%
Nico González12%
Joško Gvardiol12%
Abdukodir Khusanov11%
Matheus Nunes11%
Jack Grealish9%
Bernardo Silva8%
İlkay Gündoğan6%
Rico Lewis5%
Savinho5%
Manuel Akanji0%
Rodri0%
Rúben Dias0%
Ederson0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey0%
Vitor Reis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nico González25%
Abdukodir Khusanov22%
Bernardo Silva19%
Rúben Dias18%
Kyle Walker17%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey17%
Matheus Nunes16%
Jack Grealish16%
James McAtee15%
Mateo Kovačić15%
Ederson11%
Nico O’Reilly11%
John Stones10%
Stefan Ortega10%
Rico Lewis10%
Savinho9%
Manuel Akanji8%
Kevin De Bruyne8%
Erling Haaland5%
Phil Foden4%
İlkay Gündoğan4%
Joško Gvardiol4%
Jérémy Doku3%
Rodri0%
Nathan Aké0%
Omar Marmoush0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Vitor Reis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matheus Nunes24%
Jérémy Doku22%
Savinho20%
Kevin De Bruyne18%
Jack Grealish12%
İlkay Gündoğan12%
Rico Lewis12%
Ederson11%
Phil Foden11%
Erling Haaland9%
Bernardo Silva8%
Mateo Kovačić7%
Nico O’Reilly6%
John Stones5%
Omar Marmoush5%
Manuel Akanji3%
Joško Gvardiol2%
Rodri0%
Rúben Dias0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Stefan Ortega0%
James McAtee0%
Nico González0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey0%
Vitor Reis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erling Haaland58%
Omar Marmoush36%
Phil Foden20%
Kevin De Bruyne18%
James McAtee12%
Savinho11%
Jérémy Doku11%
İlkay Gündoğan8%
Joško Gvardiol4%
Jack Grealish3%
Manuel Akanji3%
Matheus Nunes3%
Rúben Dias2%
Mateo Kovačić2%
Rico Lewis2%
Bernardo Silva2%
Rodri0%
Ederson0%
John Stones0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Nico González0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Nico O’Reilly0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey0%
Vitor Reis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Nottingham Forest's squad is €775m less valuable than Manchester City's (€551m vs €1326m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Nottingham Forest's attack is €372m less valuable than Manchester City's (€263m vs €635m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Nottingham Forest's midfield is €108m less valuable than Manchester City's (€52m vs €160m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Nottingham Forest's defence is €295m less valuable than Manchester City's (€236m vs €531m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
0
NFO wins
1
Draws
4
MC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City · H/A from NFO
DateH/AGameScore
04/12/24AManchester City Vs NFO3-0
28/04/24HNFO Vs Manchester City0-2
23/09/23AManchester City Vs NFO2-0
18/02/23HNFO Vs Manchester City1-1
31/08/22AManchester City Vs NFO6-0

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/03/25HNFO Vs Ipswich1-1
26/02/25HNFO Vs Arsenal0-0
23/02/25ANewcastle Vs NFO4-3
15/02/25AFulham Vs NFO2-1
11/02/25AExeter Vs NFO2-2
01/02/25HNFO Vs Brighton7-0
25/01/25ABournemouth Vs NFO5-0
19/01/25HNFO Vs Southampton3-2
14/01/25HNFO Vs Liverpool1-1
11/01/25HNFO Vs Luton2-0

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/25HMC Vs Plymouth3-1
26/02/25ATottenham Vs MC0-1
23/02/25HMC Vs Liverpool0-2
19/02/25AReal Madrid Vs MC3-1
15/02/25HMC Vs Newcastle4-0
11/02/25HMC Vs Real Madrid2-3
08/02/25ALeyton Orient Vs MC1-2
02/02/25AArsenal Vs MC5-1
29/01/25HMC Vs Club Brugge KV3-1
25/01/25HMC Vs Chelsea3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDD1.46
HomeDWWDD1.58
AwayWLDLL1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%42%38%
AVG goals2.942.653.25
Over 1.5 %82%77%88%
Over 2.5 %52%42%62%
Over 3.5 %34%27%42%
Scored1.541.581.50
Conceded1.401.081.75
BTTS58%58%58%
Clean Sheet26%31%21%
Corners10.8310.7010.96
Cards4.353.784.91
Manchester City
Manchester City
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWW1.84
HomeWLWLW2.12
AwayLLWLW1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%64%48%
AVG goals3.643.923.36
Over 1.5 %94%92%96%
Over 2.5 %74%80%68%
Over 3.5 %54%64%44%
Scored2.322.721.92
Conceded1.321.201.44
BTTS62%68%56%
Clean Sheet30%24%36%
Corners10.7810.7710.78
Cards3.383.403.36

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LiverpoolLiverpool3884
66%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
89%
63%
45%
10.4
58%
3.9
55%
21.1
47%
980
5182012602.31.1
58%
2ArsenalArsenal3874
53%
1.9
6934+35
2.7
76%
45%
32%
9.7
55%
4.0
58%
21.2
47%
1406
6082905081.80.9
57%
3Manchester CityManchester City3871
55%
1.9
7244+28
3.1
84%
61%
39%
9.9
55%
3.9
58%
17.7
18%
1326
6351605311.91.2
61%
4ChelseaChelsea3869
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
76%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
5.2
79%
23.5
68%
1407
6142785141.71.1
57%
5NewcastleNewcastle3866
53%
1.7
6847+21
3.0
82%
61%
34%
11.1
66%
4.4
61%
22.6
61%
568
2341242101.81.2
51%
6Aston VillaAston Villa3866
50%
1.7
5851+7
2.9
84%
63%
32%
10.6
61%
4.7
79%
24.1
66%
536
2201601561.51.3
50%
7Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3865
50%
1.7
5846+12
2.7
71%
50%
26%
10.6
55%
5.0
76%
21.7
55%
551
263522361.51.2
41%
8BrightonBrighton3861
42%
1.6
6659+7
3.3
89%
71%
45%
9.8
63%
4.3
66%
22.8
55%
620
1901802491.71.6
53%
9BournemouthBournemouth3856
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.7
76%
55%
32%
10.9
63%
5.1
74%
24.3
82%
573
2851061821.51.2
49%
10BrentfordBrentford3856
42%
1.5
6657+9
3.2
84%
61%
39%
11.1
68%
3.8
53%
18.0
18%
565
2281282091.71.5
48%
11FulhamFulham3854
39%
1.4
5454+0
2.8
84%
58%
32%
9.9
55%
3.9
61%
21.1
50%
329
178281231.41.4
53%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3853
34%
1.4
5151+0
2.7
79%
45%
29%
10.2
55%
4.2
61%
22.0
58%
505
229931821.31.3
43%
13EvertonEverton3848
29%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
66%
37%
29%
10.2
58%
3.4
42%
21.4
50%
459
1741621231.11.2
41%
14West HamWest Ham3843
29%
1.1
4662-16
2.8
84%
50%
29%
9.6
53%
3.6
50%
22.4
53%
274
84481411.21.6
48%
15Manchester UnitedManchester United3842
29%
1.1
4454-10
2.6
76%
50%
24%
10.0
53%
4.2
66%
21.0
50%
929
4322362611.21.4
54%
16WolvesWolves3842
32%
1.1
5469-15
3.2
87%
66%
32%
9.7
58%
4.2
61%
24.3
76%
273
79791161.41.8
-
17TottenhamTottenham3838
29%
1.0
6465-1
3.4
82%
63%
45%
11.8
76%
4.2
55%
24.7
82%
920
2502823881.71.7
55%
18LeicesterLeicester3825
16%
0.7
3380-47
3.0
92%
61%
34%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.7
47%
69
2013360.92.1
45%
19IpswichIpswich3822
11%
0.6
3682-46
3.1
84%
58%
39%
10.4
71%
4.1
55%
22.2
50%
280
13066850.92.2
40%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3812
5%
0.3
2686-60
2.9
79%
61%
42%
10.5
66%
3.9
53%
23.5
61%
205
7253790.72.3
48%
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches