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Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Result & Analysis

Date: 27/12/2025
Time: 12:30
Final 1-2
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Vs
18%
24%
58%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Manchester City
Manchester City
England: Premier League
Referee: R Jones

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nottingham Forest win✗ Miss
17.9%
Avg Implied 18.3% · @ 5.17
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied 22.8% · @ 4.16
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Manchester City win✓ Hit
58.4%
Avg Implied 58.9% · @ 1.61
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D31W30W30W02L10W03L21W30W01LA·STU06/11H·LEE09/11A·LIV22/11H·MAL27/11H·BRI30/11A·WOL03/12A·EVE06/12A·UTR11/12H·TOT14/12A·FUL22/12
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.471.331.531.001.40
vs Stronger (6)0.831.500.501.501.501.50
vs Similar (24)1.251.461.641.550.921.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W12L02L32W54W30W21W30W20W30WH·LIV09/11A·NEW22/11H·BAY25/11H·LEE29/11A·FUL02/12H·SUN06/12A·REA10/12A·CRY14/12H·BRE17/12H·WES20/12
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.170.832.570.711.810.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)2.000.673.000.001.501.00
vs Weaker (27)2.190.852.540.771.860.93
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.5%
Under 1.5
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.8%
@ 1.60-2.0%
Under 2.5
43.2%
@ 2.28+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.4%
Under 3.5
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.5%
No
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
1-2 ✓
10.0%
0-2
9.9%
0-1
9.1%
1-3
6.5%
0-3
6.4%
0-0
6.2%
2-1
5.1%
Nottingham Forest goals ↓
Manchester City goals →
01234
06.2%9.1%9.9%6.4%3.1%
14.2%11%10.0%6.5%3.2%
22.6%5.1%5.0%3.3%1.6%
30.9%1.7%1.7%1.1%0.5%
40.2%0.4%0.4%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nottingham Forest goals (down), columns = Manchester City goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Chelsea
1.37
Fulham
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Nottingham Forest is 0.89 points worse than Manchester City in terms of average points per game (1.16 vs 2.05).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Everton
1.24
Fulham
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Nottingham Forest is 0.76 goals worse than Manchester City in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 2.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Nottingham Forest is 0.42 goals worse than Manchester City in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 0.92).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Nottingham Forest is 14.4 percentage points worse than Manchester City in terms of average possession (46% vs 60%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

For 5.7 · Against 3.4 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

140513357369392768644661291211714104A·FULH·TOTA·UTRA·EVEA·WOLH·BRIH·MALA·LIVH·LEEA·STU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

904513223422141221119447415232A·FULH·TOTA·UTRA·EVEA·WOLH·BRIH·MALA·LIVH·LEEA·STU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 12.7 · Total 24.1

⚠️ Fouls

32095913141415171119111014108111011131714222832302124192130A·FULH·TOTA·UTRA·EVEA·WOLH·BRIH·MALA·LIVH·LEEA·STU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Manchester CityManchester City

For 5.7 · Against 3.4 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

140651223365278193957766461199121414H·WESH·BREA·CRYA·REAH·SUNA·FULH·LEEH·BAYA·NEWH·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

6011223311141231242226215246H·WESH·BREA·CRYA·REAH·SUNA·FULH·LEEH·BAYA·NEWH·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 10.4 · Total 21.0

⚠️ Fouls

31016108569171491079171148813141526131531191628122129H·WESH·BREA·CRYA·REAH·SUNA·FULH·LEEH·BAYA·NEWH·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.29.64.03.74.222.621.723.5
vs Stronger (9)10.19.313.03.64.02.021.622.319.0
vs Similar (39)9.810.69.34.33.84.622.921.524.0
vs Weaker (2)---0.00.00.0---
% over line50%57%43%62%60%64%59%52%65%
% under line50%43%57%38%40%36%41%48%35%
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.99.28.63.13.03.318.918.219.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (8)10.110.89.53.12.83.519.217.820.8
vs Weaker (42)8.78.98.43.13.03.218.818.319.4
% over line43%46%39%46%44%48%28%25%30%
% under line57%54%61%54%56%52%72%75%70%
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.3
Bournemouth
10.3
Tottenham
10.3
West Ham
10.2
Liverpool
10.1
Brentford
9.9
Fulham
9.9
Nottingham Forest
9.9
Manchester United
9.8
Everton
9.7
Brighton
9.7
Aston Villa
9.7
Sunderland
9.5
Burnley
9.4
Arsenal
9.2
Crystal Palace
9.1
Manchester City
9.1
Leeds
9.0
Wolves
9.0
Chelsea
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.8
Chelsea
4.5
Sunderland
4.4
Manchester United
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Brighton
4.1
Wolves
4.0
Tottenham
3.9
Aston Villa
3.8
Newcastle
3.8
Crystal Palace
3.8
Brentford
3.7
Everton
3.7
Liverpool
3.6
Fulham
3.5
Manchester City
3.4
West Ham
3.4
Burnley
3.3
Arsenal
3.3
Leeds
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.4
Wolves
24.4
Aston Villa
23.4
Brighton
22.8
Chelsea
22.6
Nottingham Forest
22.5
Tottenham
22.3
Sunderland
22.2
West Ham
22.2
Manchester United
22.1
Everton
21.9
Burnley
21.7
Leeds
21.6
Arsenal
21.5
Newcastle
21.3
Crystal Palace
21.0
Liverpool
20.6
Fulham
20.6
Brentford
19.0
Manchester City
18.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.6%
Under 9.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
55.9%
Under 3.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
39.0%
Under 21.5
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D10W20W01L00D02L00D10W01LA·STU06/11H·LEE09/11A·LIV22/11H·MAL27/11H·BRI30/11A·WOL03/12A·EVE06/12A·UTR11/12H·TOT14/12A·FUL22/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.600.670.600.470.60
vs Stronger (6)0.330.330.250.250.500.50
vs Similar (24)0.620.670.820.730.460.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D01L20W31W20W21W10W10W20WH·LIV09/11A·NEW22/11H·BAY25/11H·LEE29/11A·FUL02/12H·SUN06/12A·REA10/12A·CRY14/12H·BRE17/12H·WES20/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.371.210.361.120.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)1.670.332.000.001.500.50
vs Weaker (27)1.110.371.150.381.070.36
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W20W10W01L10W01L21W20W00DA·STU06/11H·LEE09/11A·LIV22/11H·MAL27/11H·BRI30/11A·WOL03/12A·EVE06/12A·UTR11/12H·TOT14/12A·FUL22/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.870.670.930.530.80
vs Stronger (6)0.501.170.251.251.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.620.790.820.820.460.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W12L01L12L23L10W00D20W10W10WH·LIV09/11A·NEW22/11H·BAY25/11H·LEE29/11A·FUL02/12H·SUN06/12A·REA10/12A·CRY14/12H·BRE17/12H·WES20/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.471.360.360.690.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.330.331.000.000.000.50
vs Weaker (27)1.070.481.380.380.790.57
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls86.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.580.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards79.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls76.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards75.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners71.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Nottingham Forest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Morgan Gibbs-White30%
Igor Jesus25%
Chris Wood20%
Taiwo Awoniyi17%
Arnaud Kalimuendo14%
Lorenzo Lucca11%
Nicolò Savona10%
Callum Hudson-Odoi9%
Elliot Anderson8%
Ryan Yates6%
Dan Ndoye5%
Murillo5%
Nicolás Domínguez5%
Ibrahim Sangaré5%
James McAtee4%
Neco Williams4%
Morato3%
Omari Hutchinson2%
Nikola Milenković2%
Oleksandr Zinchenko0%
Ola Aina0%
Matz Sels0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Douglas Luiz0%
John Victor0%
Dilane Bakwa0%
Luca Netz0%
Zach Abbott0%
Jair0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Morato24%
Elliot Anderson22%
Douglas Luiz21%
Murillo18%
Nicolò Savona15%
Ryan Yates14%
Ibrahim Sangaré14%
Neco Williams13%
Nicolás Domínguez12%
Ola Aina12%
Igor Jesus12%
Nikola Milenković11%
Taiwo Awoniyi11%
John Victor11%
Lorenzo Lucca11%
Zach Abbott10%
Morgan Gibbs-White8%
Omari Hutchinson7%
Jair7%
Dan Ndoye5%
Matz Sels5%
Dilane Bakwa4%
James McAtee4%
Oleksandr Zinchenko0%
Callum Hudson-Odoi0%
Chris Wood0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Arnaud Kalimuendo0%
Luca Netz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Omari Hutchinson15%
Morgan Gibbs-White13%
Igor Jesus10%
Callum Hudson-Odoi9%
Ryan Yates9%
Dilane Bakwa8%
Elliot Anderson8%
James McAtee8%
Douglas Luiz7%
Neco Williams6%
Taiwo Awoniyi6%
Nicolò Savona5%
Ibrahim Sangaré5%
Ola Aina4%
Dan Ndoye3%
Nicolás Domínguez2%
Nikola Milenković2%
Oleksandr Zinchenko0%
Matz Sels0%
Chris Wood0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Morato0%
John Victor0%
Arnaud Kalimuendo0%
Luca Netz0%
Lorenzo Lucca0%
Zach Abbott0%
Jair0%
Murillo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Morgan Gibbs-White19%
Callum Hudson-Odoi16%
Igor Jesus12%
Dan Ndoye11%
Oleksandr Zinchenko10%
Chris Wood10%
Nicolás Domínguez10%
Ryan Yates9%
Elliot Anderson8%
Arnaud Kalimuendo7%
Neco Williams6%
James McAtee4%
Nikola Milenković2%
Ola Aina0%
Matz Sels0%
Taiwo Awoniyi0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Douglas Luiz0%
Morato0%
John Victor0%
Dilane Bakwa0%
Luca Netz0%
Nicolò Savona0%
Lorenzo Lucca0%
Omari Hutchinson0%
Zach Abbott0%
Jair0%
Murillo0%
Manchester City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Erling Haaland55%
Antoine Semenyo42%
Rayan Cherki20%
Max Alleyne17%
Jérémy Doku15%
Phil Foden14%
Omar Marmoush14%
Nico O'Reilly13%
Tijjani Reijnders13%
Savinho11%
Marc Guéhi10%
Joško Gvardiol8%
Rodri6%
Rúben Dias6%
Bernardo Silva6%
Nico González5%
Rico Lewis5%
Matheus Nunes2%
John Stones0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
Nathan Aké0%
Rayan Aït-Nouri0%
James Trafford0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Divine Mukasa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bernardo Silva28%
Gianluigi Donnarumma23%
Nico González20%
Rodri19%
Abdukodir Khusanov17%
Nico O'Reilly15%
Rayan Aït-Nouri15%
Matheus Nunes15%
Rico Lewis14%
Rúben Dias12%
Savinho11%
Phil Foden10%
Marc Guéhi10%
Omar Marmoush9%
Joško Gvardiol8%
Oscar Bobb7%
Tijjani Reijnders4%
Erling Haaland4%
Rayan Cherki4%
Antoine Semenyo4%
Nathan Aké3%
John Stones0%
Jérémy Doku0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
James Trafford0%
Max Alleyne0%
Divine Mukasa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Divine Mukasa33%
Rayan Cherki24%
Jérémy Doku19%
Joško Gvardiol16%
Erling Haaland16%
Rayan Aït-Nouri15%
Matheus Nunes15%
Rico Lewis14%
Tijjani Reijnders13%
Phil Foden12%
Antoine Semenyo12%
Nico O'Reilly12%
Mateo Kovačić11%
Bernardo Silva9%
Omar Marmoush9%
Oscar Bobb7%
Savinho6%
Marc Guéhi5%
Rodri0%
Rúben Dias0%
John Stones0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Nathan Aké0%
Nico González0%
James Trafford0%
Max Alleyne0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erling Haaland53%
Antoine Semenyo19%
Omar Marmoush17%
Tijjani Reijnders15%
Rayan Cherki12%
Phil Foden10%
Savinho8%
Rodri6%
Marc Guéhi5%
Rico Lewis5%
Jérémy Doku4%
Joško Gvardiol4%
Nico O'Reilly4%
Rúben Dias0%
John Stones0%
Bernardo Silva0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
Nathan Aké0%
Rayan Aït-Nouri0%
Matheus Nunes0%
Nico González0%
James Trafford0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Max Alleyne0%
Abdukodir Khusanov0%
Divine Mukasa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Nottingham Forest's squad is €775m less valuable than Manchester City's (€551m vs €1326m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Nottingham Forest's attack is €372m less valuable than Manchester City's (€263m vs €635m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Nottingham Forest's midfield is €108m less valuable than Manchester City's (€52m vs €160m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Nottingham Forest's defence is €295m less valuable than Manchester City's (€236m vs €531m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
1
NFO wins
1
Draws
5
MC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City · H/A from NFO
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/25HNFO Vs Manchester City0-2
08/03/25HNFO Vs Manchester City1-0
04/12/24AManchester City Vs NFO3-0
28/04/24HNFO Vs Manchester City0-2
23/09/23AManchester City Vs NFO2-0
18/02/23HNFO Vs Manchester City1-1
31/08/22AManchester City Vs NFO6-0

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/12/25AFulham Vs NFO1-0
14/12/25HNFO Vs Tottenham3-0
11/12/25AUtrecht Vs NFO1-2
06/12/25AEverton Vs NFO3-0
03/12/25AWolves Vs NFO0-1
30/11/25HNFO Vs Brighton0-2
27/11/25HNFO Vs Malmo FF3-0
22/11/25ALiverpool Vs NFO0-3
09/11/25HNFO Vs Leeds3-1
06/11/25ASturm Graz Vs NFO0-0

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/12/25HMC Vs West Ham3-0
17/12/25HMC Vs Brentford2-0
14/12/25ACrystal Palace Vs MC0-3
10/12/25AReal Madrid Vs MC1-2
06/12/25HMC Vs Sunderland3-0
02/12/25AFulham Vs MC4-5
29/11/25HMC Vs Leeds3-2
25/11/25HMC Vs Bayer Leverkusen0-2
22/11/25ANewcastle Vs MC2-1
09/11/25HMC Vs Liverpool3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL1.38
HomeDWWLW1.52
AwayWWLWL1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%32%
AVG goals2.742.602.88
Over 1.5 %78%72%84%
Over 2.5 %52%44%60%
Over 3.5 %26%28%24%
Scored1.401.481.32
Conceded1.341.121.56
BTTS42%32%52%
Clean Sheet30%36%24%
Corners9.8910.179.61
Cards4.304.004.61
Manchester City
Manchester City
England: Premier League
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.14
HomeLWWWW2.44
AwayWLWWW1.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %68%80%56%
AVG goals3.043.442.64
Over 1.5 %84%96%72%
Over 2.5 %58%68%48%
Over 3.5 %36%48%24%
Scored2.062.521.60
Conceded0.980.921.04
BTTS46%48%44%
Clean Sheet42%40%44%
Corners8.919.258.57
Cards3.553.363.73

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArsenalArsenal3885
68%
2.2
7127+44
2.6
71%
53%
24%
9.1
42%
3.2
47%
21.3
47%
1406
6082905081.90.7
56%
2Manchester CityManchester City3878
61%
2.1
7735+42
2.9
87%
63%
21%
10.3
58%
3.9
63%
20.9
42%
1326
6351605312.00.9
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3871
53%
1.9
6950+19
3.1
84%
63%
37%
9.7
53%
3.8
58%
21.2
47%
929
4322362611.81.3
52%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3865
50%
1.7
5649+7
2.8
74%
53%
29%
10.2
68%
3.9
61%
23.0
63%
536
2201601561.51.3
53%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3860
45%
1.6
6353+10
3.1
84%
61%
29%
10.5
55%
3.6
50%
20.7
37%
980
5182012601.71.4
59%
6BournemouthBournemouth3857
34%
1.5
5854+4
2.9
76%
55%
42%
10.9
63%
4.3
63%
22.5
53%
573
2851061821.51.4
50%
7SunderlandSunderland3854
37%
1.4
4248-6
2.4
71%
45%
18%
9.0
45%
4.1
55%
22.1
58%
392
1571101251.11.3
45%
8BrightonBrighton3853
37%
1.4
5246+6
2.6
82%
50%
18%
9.7
58%
4.3
63%
22.0
55%
620
1901802491.41.2
53%
9BrentfordBrentford3853
37%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
82%
53%
37%
10.2
63%
3.7
53%
19.6
34%
565
2281282091.41.4
47%
10ChelseaChelsea3852
37%
1.4
5852+6
2.9
87%
66%
32%
10.4
68%
4.7
71%
23.4
68%
1407
6142785141.51.4
57%
11FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
4751-4
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.8
58%
20.8
39%
329
178281231.21.3
51%
12NewcastleNewcastle3849
37%
1.3
5355-2
2.8
76%
63%
34%
11.0
61%
4.2
61%
22.1
53%
568
2341242101.41.4
52%
13EvertonEverton3849
34%
1.3
4750-3
2.6
76%
45%
21%
9.4
42%
3.7
47%
21.7
58%
459
1741621231.21.3
44%
14LeedsLeeds3847
29%
1.2
4956-7
2.8
74%
55%
37%
9.5
53%
3.4
42%
21.7
47%
427
166981631.31.5
46%
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4151-10
2.4
71%
55%
21%
9.4
47%
3.7
63%
20.2
37%
505
229931821.11.3
45%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3844
29%
1.2
4851-3
2.6
82%
53%
26%
10.1
58%
3.3
42%
22.2
53%
551
263522361.31.3
46%
17TottenhamTottenham3841
26%
1.1
4857-9
2.8
82%
63%
26%
10.2
50%
4.7
71%
22.3
58%
920
2502823881.31.5
50%
18West HamWest Ham3839
26%
1.0
4665-19
2.9
87%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.8
55%
21.7
47%
274
84481411.21.7
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3822
11%
0.6
3875-37
3.0
84%
50%
39%
9.6
53%
2.9
39%
19.5
37%
115
708371.02.0
42%
20WolvesWolves3820
8%
0.5
2768-41
2.5
79%
45%
24%
9.4
58%
3.8
58%
23.8
66%
273
79791160.71.8
-
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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