PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland Result & Analysis

Date: 27/09/2025
Time: 17:30
Final 0-1
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Vs
41%
31%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sunderland
Sunderland
England: Premier League
Referee: T Harrington

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nottingham Forest win✗ Miss
40.6%
Avg Implied 54.2% · @ 1.75
Edge
-13.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.7%
Avg Implied 25.7% · @ 3.69
Edge
+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sunderland win✓ Hit
28.7%
Avg Implied 20.1% · @ 4.73
Edge
+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D21W01L31W11D03L03L23L11D22DH·LEI11/05A·WES18/05H·CHE25/05H·BRE17/08A·CRY24/08H·WES31/08A·ARS13/09A·SWA17/09A·BUR20/09A·REA24/09
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.531.401.071.472.00
vs Stronger (6)0.331.170.400.800.003.00
vs Similar (22)1.681.681.891.331.541.92
vs Weaker (2)2.001.002.000.002.002.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Sunderland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SunderlandSunderland

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L02L01L30W02L11D21W00D11DA·BRI18/04H·BLA21/04A·OXF26/04H·QPR03/05H·WES16/08A·BUR23/08H·HUD26/08H·BRE30/08A·CRY13/09H·AST21/09← ChampionshipPremier League →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.001.240.880.691.15
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.081.001.800.600.571.29
vs Weaker (18)0.941.001.001.000.831.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.2%
Under 1.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.3%
@ 1.95-8.1%
Under 2.5
59.7%
@ 1.83+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.0%
Under 3.5
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.5%
No
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
11.4%
0-1 ✓
9.0%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.3%
Nottingham Forest goals ↓
Sunderland goals →
01234
011%9.0%5.3%1.8%0.5%
111%14%6.7%2.3%0.6%
28.1%8.3%4.3%1.5%0.4%
33.4%3.5%1.8%0.6%0.2%
41.1%1.1%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nottingham Forest goals (down), columns = Sunderland goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Chelsea
1.37
Fulham
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Nottingham Forest is 0.26 points worse than Sunderland in terms of average points per game (1.16 vs 1.42).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Everton
1.24
Fulham
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Nottingham Forest is 0.16 goals better than Sunderland in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.11).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Nottingham Forest is 0.08 goals worse than Sunderland in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 1.26).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Nottingham Forest is 1.1 percentage points better than Sunderland in terms of average possession (46% vs 45%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

For 5.3 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

16033546348973155747844699121641011158A·REAA·BURA·SWAA·ARSH·WESA·CRYH·BREH·CHEA·WESH·LEI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

902311241133122236335262063496A·REAA·BURA·SWAA·ARSH·WESA·CRYH·BREH·CHEA·WESH·LEI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 11.7 · Total 22.5

⚠️ Fouls

32016161112101311814611117151011714111132232319202222212122A·REAA·BURA·SWAA·ARSH·WESA·CRYH·BREH·CHEA·WESH·LEI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SunderlandSunderland

For 6.0 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

13065353411234571116310225118713712129127H·ASTA·CRYH·BREH·HUDA·BURH·WESH·QPRA·OXFH·BLAA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

503111322111231312414253115435H·ASTA·CRYH·BREH·HUDA·BURH·WESH·QPRA·OXFH·BLAA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 10.0 · Total 19.5

⚠️ Fouls

250148810111210559810131110157159522182315141824252214H·ASTA·CRYH·BREH·HUDA·BURH·WESH·QPRA·OXFH·BLAA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.510.24.33.64.921.721.222.2
vs Stronger (10)10.19.410.84.93.86.019.519.819.2
vs Similar (38)10.510.910.14.33.74.922.421.722.9
vs Weaker (2)---0.00.00.0---
% over line53%57%50%64%58%69%56%43%67%
% under line47%43%50%36%42%31%44%57%33%
This opponent (Sunderland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SunderlandSunderland

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.89.94.34.14.522.922.523.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (18)9.29.29.25.15.44.722.823.921.7
vs Weaker (32)10.210.110.33.83.44.323.021.724.4
% over line47%48%46%64%65%62%63%60%67%
% under line53%52%54%36%35%38%37%40%33%
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
11.0
Newcastle
10.9
Bournemouth
10.8
Brentford
10.7
Liverpool
10.6
Aston Villa
10.4
Nottingham Forest
10.2
West Ham
10.1
Crystal Palace
10.0
Everton
10.0
Fulham
10.0
Manchester City
9.7
Leeds
9.7
Sunderland
9.7
Brighton
9.7
Wolves
9.6
Manchester United
9.6
Chelsea
9.4
Arsenal
9.3
Burnley
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
5.1
Nottingham Forest
4.5
Chelsea
4.4
Brighton
4.4
Sunderland
4.4
Newcastle
4.4
Crystal Palace
4.3
Aston Villa
4.2
Manchester United
4.2
Wolves
4.2
Brentford
3.9
Tottenham
3.9
Liverpool
3.9
Fulham
3.8
Arsenal
3.7
Burnley
3.6
West Ham
3.5
Everton
3.5
Manchester City
3.5
Leeds
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Wolves
24.4
Bournemouth
24.3
Tottenham
23.5
Brighton
23.2
Sunderland
23.1
Aston Villa
23.0
Newcastle
22.6
Burnley
22.6
Chelsea
22.4
Leeds
22.1
West Ham
22.0
Manchester United
21.8
Fulham
21.5
Everton
21.5
Nottingham Forest
21.4
Arsenal
21.4
Crystal Palace
21.2
Liverpool
20.7
Brentford
19.0
Manchester City
17.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.0%
Under 9.5
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
61.9%
Under 3.5
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
54.1%
Under 21.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W00D30W01L00D01L20W11D21WH·LEI11/05A·WES18/05H·CHE25/05H·BRE17/08A·CRY24/08H·WES31/08A·ARS13/09A·SWA17/09A·BUR20/09A·REA24/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.530.870.201.000.87
vs Stronger (6)0.170.330.200.200.001.00
vs Similar (22)1.090.591.220.221.000.85
vs Weaker (2)1.500.501.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Sunderland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SunderlandSunderland

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W01L01L01L00D00D01L00D00D00DA·BRI18/04H·BLA21/04A·OXF26/04H·QPR03/05H·WES16/08A·BUR23/08H·HUD26/08H·BRE30/08A·CRY13/09H·AST21/09← ChampionshipPremier League →
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.400.410.470.460.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.420.330.600.200.290.43
vs Weaker (18)0.440.440.330.580.670.17
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sunderland over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sunderland over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sunderland over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D01L01L10W03L02L03L00D01LH·LEI11/05A·WES18/05H·CHE25/05H·BRE17/08A·CRY24/08H·WES31/08A·ARS13/09A·SWA17/09A·BUR20/09A·REA24/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.000.530.870.471.13
vs Stronger (6)0.170.830.200.600.002.00
vs Similar (22)0.591.090.671.110.541.08
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Sunderland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SunderlandSunderland

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D01L00D30W02L10W21W00D11DA·BRI18/04H·BLA21/04A·OXF26/04H·QPR03/05H·WES16/08A·BUR23/08H·HUD26/08H·BRE30/08A·CRY13/09H·AST21/09← ChampionshipPremier League →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.600.820.410.230.85
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.670.671.200.400.290.86
vs Weaker (18)0.500.560.670.420.170.83
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sunderland over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sunderland over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sunderland over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards80.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.580.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls76.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards74.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners70.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls70.5%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Nottingham Forest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Morgan Gibbs-White30%
Igor Jesus25%
Chris Wood20%
Taiwo Awoniyi17%
Arnaud Kalimuendo14%
Lorenzo Lucca11%
Nicolò Savona10%
Callum Hudson-Odoi9%
Elliot Anderson8%
Ryan Yates6%
Dan Ndoye5%
Murillo5%
Nicolás Domínguez5%
Ibrahim Sangaré5%
James McAtee4%
Neco Williams4%
Morato3%
Omari Hutchinson2%
Nikola Milenković2%
Oleksandr Zinchenko0%
Ola Aina0%
Matz Sels0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Douglas Luiz0%
John Victor0%
Dilane Bakwa0%
Luca Netz0%
Zach Abbott0%
Jair0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Morato24%
Elliot Anderson22%
Douglas Luiz21%
Murillo18%
Nicolò Savona15%
Ryan Yates14%
Ibrahim Sangaré14%
Neco Williams13%
Nicolás Domínguez12%
Ola Aina12%
Igor Jesus12%
Nikola Milenković11%
Taiwo Awoniyi11%
John Victor11%
Lorenzo Lucca11%
Zach Abbott10%
Morgan Gibbs-White8%
Omari Hutchinson7%
Jair7%
Dan Ndoye5%
Matz Sels5%
Dilane Bakwa4%
James McAtee4%
Oleksandr Zinchenko0%
Callum Hudson-Odoi0%
Chris Wood0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Arnaud Kalimuendo0%
Luca Netz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Omari Hutchinson15%
Morgan Gibbs-White13%
Igor Jesus10%
Callum Hudson-Odoi9%
Ryan Yates9%
Dilane Bakwa8%
Elliot Anderson8%
James McAtee8%
Douglas Luiz7%
Neco Williams6%
Taiwo Awoniyi6%
Nicolò Savona5%
Ibrahim Sangaré5%
Ola Aina4%
Dan Ndoye3%
Nicolás Domínguez2%
Nikola Milenković2%
Oleksandr Zinchenko0%
Matz Sels0%
Chris Wood0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Morato0%
John Victor0%
Arnaud Kalimuendo0%
Luca Netz0%
Lorenzo Lucca0%
Zach Abbott0%
Jair0%
Murillo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Morgan Gibbs-White19%
Callum Hudson-Odoi16%
Igor Jesus12%
Dan Ndoye11%
Oleksandr Zinchenko10%
Chris Wood10%
Nicolás Domínguez10%
Ryan Yates9%
Elliot Anderson8%
Arnaud Kalimuendo7%
Neco Williams6%
James McAtee4%
Nikola Milenković2%
Ola Aina0%
Matz Sels0%
Taiwo Awoniyi0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Douglas Luiz0%
Morato0%
John Victor0%
Dilane Bakwa0%
Luca Netz0%
Nicolò Savona0%
Lorenzo Lucca0%
Omari Hutchinson0%
Zach Abbott0%
Jair0%
Murillo0%
Sunderland
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marc Guiu33%
Brian Brobbey22%
Wilson Isidor17%
Enzo Le Fée15%
Habib Diarra14%
Chemsdine Talbi13%
Eliezer Mayenda9%
Nordi Mukiele9%
Bertrand Traoré8%
Simon Adingra7%
Daniel Ballard6%
Trai Hume5%
Chris Rigg5%
Omar Alderete3%
Granit Xhaka3%
Arthur Masuaku0%
Dan Neil0%
Luke O'Nien0%
Reinildo Mandava0%
Lutsharel Geertruida0%
Dennis Cirkin0%
Robin Roefs0%
Melker Ellborg0%
Romaine Mundle0%
Jenson Seelt0%
Nilson Angulo0%
Noah Sadiki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Arthur Masuaku50%
Noah Sadiki31%
Reinildo Mandava28%
Trai Hume28%
Habib Diarra27%
Granit Xhaka25%
Dan Neil25%
Melker Ellborg25%
Dennis Cirkin20%
Brian Brobbey19%
Omar Alderete18%
Nordi Mukiele17%
Daniel Ballard16%
Enzo Le Fée15%
Luke O'Nien13%
Simon Adingra13%
Nilson Angulo11%
Robin Roefs11%
Bertrand Traoré8%
Lutsharel Geertruida7%
Romaine Mundle6%
Wilson Isidor6%
Chris Rigg5%
Jenson Seelt0%
Chemsdine Talbi0%
Eliezer Mayenda0%
Marc Guiu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Granit Xhaka17%
Enzo Le Fée15%
Habib Diarra9%
Nordi Mukiele9%
Luke O'Nien7%
Chris Rigg5%
Eliezer Mayenda4%
Reinildo Mandava4%
Chemsdine Talbi3%
Brian Brobbey3%
Omar Alderete3%
Noah Sadiki3%
Trai Hume2%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Arthur Masuaku0%
Dan Neil0%
Lutsharel Geertruida0%
Daniel Ballard0%
Wilson Isidor0%
Dennis Cirkin0%
Robin Roefs0%
Melker Ellborg0%
Romaine Mundle0%
Jenson Seelt0%
Simon Adingra0%
Nilson Angulo0%
Marc Guiu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marc Guiu33%
Habib Diarra14%
Romaine Mundle12%
Nilson Angulo11%
Daniel Ballard6%
Brian Brobbey6%
Omar Alderete6%
Wilson Isidor6%
Eliezer Mayenda4%
Chemsdine Talbi3%
Trai Hume2%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Nordi Mukiele0%
Granit Xhaka0%
Arthur Masuaku0%
Dan Neil0%
Luke O'Nien0%
Enzo Le Fée0%
Reinildo Mandava0%
Lutsharel Geertruida0%
Dennis Cirkin0%
Robin Roefs0%
Melker Ellborg0%
Jenson Seelt0%
Simon Adingra0%
Chris Rigg0%
Noah Sadiki0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Nottingham Forest's squad is €159m more valuable than Sunderland's (€551m vs €392m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Nottingham Forest's attack is €106m more valuable than Sunderland's (€263m vs €157m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Nottingham Forest's midfield is €58m less valuable than Sunderland's (€52m vs €110m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Nottingham Forest's defence is €110m more valuable than Sunderland's (€236m vs €125m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
NFO wins
0
Draws
0
SUN wins

Head-to-head

Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland · H/A from NFO
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/09/25AReal Betis Vs NFO2-2
20/09/25ABurnley Vs NFO1-1
17/09/25ASwansea Vs NFO3-2
13/09/25AArsenal Vs NFO3-0
31/08/25HNFO Vs West Ham0-3
24/08/25ACrystal Palace Vs NFO1-1
17/08/25HNFO Vs Brentford3-1
25/05/25HNFO Vs Chelsea0-1
18/05/25AWest Ham Vs NFO1-2
11/05/25HNFO Vs Leicester2-2

SunderlandSunderland

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/25HSUN Vs Aston Villa1-1
13/09/25ACrystal Palace Vs SUN0-0
30/08/25HSUN Vs Brentford2-1
26/08/25HSUN Vs Huddersfield1-1
23/08/25ABurnley Vs SUN2-0
16/08/25HSUN Vs West Ham3-0
03/05/25HSUN Vs QPR0-1
26/04/25AOxford Vs SUN2-0
21/04/25HSUN Vs Blackburn0-1
18/04/25ABristol City Vs SUN2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
England: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDD1.54
HomeLDLWL1.62
AwayDLLDD1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%46%38%
AVG goals2.742.293.15
Over 1.5 %76%62%88%
Over 2.5 %50%33%65%
Over 3.5 %28%21%35%
Scored1.441.331.54
Conceded1.300.961.62
BTTS50%38%62%
Clean Sheet30%38%23%
Corners10.3810.5210.25
Cards4.764.105.33
Sunderland
Sunderland
England: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWDD1.54
HomeLWDWD1.77
AwayDLLLD1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%46%33%
AVG goals2.182.192.17
Over 1.5 %64%69%58%
Over 2.5 %42%38%46%
Over 3.5 %18%15%21%
Scored1.181.351.00
Conceded1.000.851.17
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet32%31%33%
Corners9.829.769.88
Cards4.374.284.46

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArsenalArsenal3885
68%
2.2
7127+44
2.6
71%
53%
24%
9.1
42%
3.2
47%
21.3
47%
1406
6082905081.90.7
56%
2Manchester CityManchester City3878
61%
2.1
7735+42
2.9
87%
63%
21%
10.3
58%
3.9
63%
20.9
42%
1326
6351605312.00.9
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3871
53%
1.9
6950+19
3.1
84%
63%
37%
9.7
53%
3.8
58%
21.2
47%
929
4322362611.81.3
52%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3865
50%
1.7
5649+7
2.8
74%
53%
29%
10.2
68%
3.9
61%
23.0
63%
536
2201601561.51.3
53%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3860
45%
1.6
6353+10
3.1
84%
61%
29%
10.5
55%
3.6
50%
20.7
37%
980
5182012601.71.4
59%
6BournemouthBournemouth3857
34%
1.5
5854+4
2.9
76%
55%
42%
10.9
63%
4.3
63%
22.5
53%
573
2851061821.51.4
50%
7SunderlandSunderland3854
37%
1.4
4248-6
2.4
71%
45%
18%
9.0
45%
4.1
55%
22.1
58%
392
1571101251.11.3
45%
8BrightonBrighton3853
37%
1.4
5246+6
2.6
82%
50%
18%
9.7
58%
4.3
63%
22.0
55%
620
1901802491.41.2
53%
9BrentfordBrentford3853
37%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
82%
53%
37%
10.2
63%
3.7
53%
19.6
34%
565
2281282091.41.4
47%
10ChelseaChelsea3852
37%
1.4
5852+6
2.9
87%
66%
32%
10.4
68%
4.7
71%
23.4
68%
1407
6142785141.51.4
57%
11FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
4751-4
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.8
58%
20.8
39%
329
178281231.21.3
51%
12NewcastleNewcastle3849
37%
1.3
5355-2
2.8
76%
63%
34%
11.0
61%
4.2
61%
22.1
53%
568
2341242101.41.4
52%
13EvertonEverton3849
34%
1.3
4750-3
2.6
76%
45%
21%
9.4
42%
3.7
47%
21.7
58%
459
1741621231.21.3
44%
14LeedsLeeds3847
29%
1.2
4956-7
2.8
74%
55%
37%
9.5
53%
3.4
42%
21.7
47%
427
166981631.31.5
46%
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4151-10
2.4
71%
55%
21%
9.4
47%
3.7
63%
20.2
37%
505
229931821.11.3
45%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3844
29%
1.2
4851-3
2.6
82%
53%
26%
10.1
58%
3.3
42%
22.2
53%
551
263522361.31.3
46%
17TottenhamTottenham3841
26%
1.1
4857-9
2.8
82%
63%
26%
10.2
50%
4.7
71%
22.3
58%
920
2502823881.31.5
50%
18West HamWest Ham3839
26%
1.0
4665-19
2.9
87%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.8
55%
21.7
47%
274
84481411.21.7
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3822
11%
0.6
3875-37
3.0
84%
50%
39%
9.6
53%
2.9
39%
19.5
37%
115
708371.02.0
42%
20WolvesWolves3820
8%
0.5
2768-41
2.5
79%
45%
24%
9.4
58%
3.8
58%
23.8
66%
273
79791160.71.8
-
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches