This opponent (Leicester) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leicester
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.50
1.40
1.60
1.07
1.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.28
1.60
1.58
1.67
1.00
1.54
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
1.00
0.67
1.33
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Notts County) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leicester
2.34
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Oxford
1.58
Stevenage
1.56
Sheffield Weds
1.49
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Milton Keynes Dons
1.38
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.21
Burton
1.17
Notts County
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Bromley
1.08
Notts County is 1.17 points worse than Leicester in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 2.34).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Leicester
2.24
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Stockport
1.53
Oxford
1.51
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Sheffield Weds
1.42
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Milton Keynes Dons
1.32
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Cambridge
1.15
Notts County
1.12
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Bromley
1.03
Stevenage
1.02
Notts County is 1.12 goals worse than Leicester in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 2.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.77
Stevenage
1.02
Mansfield
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Oxford
1.14
Sheffield Weds
1.21
Luton
1.22
Wycombe
1.26
Wigan
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Milton Keynes Dons
1.30
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Cambridge
1.49
Doncaster
1.50
Notts County
1.54
Leyton Orient
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Bromley
1.67
Notts County is 0.77 goals worse than Leicester in terms of goals conceded per game (1.54 vs 0.77).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Notts County
For 3.5 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 13.4 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Leicester
For 7.2 · Against 5.7 · Total 12.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 11.0 · Total 20.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Notts County
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.0
9.7
4.4
4.3
4.4
24.4
24.6
24.2
vs Stronger (1)
7.0
-
7.0
3.0
-
3.0
24.0
-
24.0
vs Similar (27)
8.7
8.0
9.3
4.5
4.0
4.9
26.0
26.1
25.9
vs Weaker (22)
10.3
10.2
10.4
4.3
4.6
3.9
22.5
22.8
22.1
% over line
48%
46%
50%
66%
67%
65%
74%
75%
73%
% under line
52%
54%
50%
34%
33%
35%
26%
25%
27%
This opponent (Leicester) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leicester
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
11.7
10.6
3.6
3.7
3.5
21.9
21.6
22.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (41)
11.0
11.4
10.5
3.8
3.9
3.8
22.1
21.7
22.4
vs Weaker (9)
12.0
13.0
11.2
2.7
3.0
2.4
21.0
21.2
20.8
% over line
64%
67%
62%
42%
50%
35%
50%
54%
46%
% under line
36%
33%
38%
58%
50%
65%
50%
46%
54%
This opponent (Notts County) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Plymouth
11.4
Oxford
11.2
Leicester
11.1
Barnsley
10.7
Wigan
10.7
Burton
10.5
Huddersfield
10.5
Blackpool
10.4
Luton
10.4
Bromley
10.3
Wycombe
10.2
Peterboro
10.2
Sheffield Weds
10.1
Doncaster
10.0
Bradford
10.0
Stockport
9.9
AFC Wimbledon
9.8
Mansfield
9.7
Leyton Orient
9.6
Reading
9.4
Notts County
9.3
Cambridge
9.2
Milton Keynes Dons
8.8
Stevenage
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plymouth
5.0
Notts County
4.4
Peterboro
4.3
Bradford
4.2
Huddersfield
4.1
Leyton Orient
4.0
Doncaster
3.9
Stevenage
3.8
Bromley
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Wycombe
3.7
Mansfield
3.7
Blackpool
3.7
Luton
3.6
Leicester
3.6
Burton
3.6
Reading
3.6
Barnsley
3.4
Oxford
3.4
Stockport
3.3
Wigan
3.2
Cambridge
3.1
AFC Wimbledon
3.1
Sheffield Weds
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bradford
24.7
Huddersfield
24.5
Stevenage
24.4
Plymouth
24.4
Notts County
24.4
Luton
24.0
Peterboro
23.8
Blackpool
23.6
Milton Keynes Dons
23.5
Wigan
23.5
AFC Wimbledon
23.1
Leyton Orient
23.0
Doncaster
22.8
Cambridge
22.7
Reading
22.5
Mansfield
22.3
Bromley
22.1
Leicester
21.9
Oxford
21.9
Burton
21.8
Sheffield Weds
21.7
Wycombe
21.3
Stockport
21.1
Barnsley
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.8%
Under 9.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.2%
Under 3.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
63.2%
Under 21.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Notts County
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.43
1.00
0.47
0.47
0.40
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.53
0.89
0.44
0.25
0.62
vs Weaker (12)
0.92
0.33
1.17
0.50
0.67
0.17
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Leicester) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leicester
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.67
0.93
0.67
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.64
1.08
0.58
0.46
0.69
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.80
0.33
1.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Notts County) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Notts County over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Notts County over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Notts County over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leicester over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leicester over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leicester over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Notts County
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.60
0.73
0.40
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.47
0.65
0.22
0.44
0.75
0.88
vs Weaker (12)
1.17
0.50
1.50
0.33
0.83
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Leicester) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leicester
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.83
0.47
0.93
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.52
0.96
0.50
1.08
0.54
0.85
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.20
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Notts County) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Notts County over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Notts County over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Notts County over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leicester over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leicester over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leicester over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Notts County
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
C. Roberts50%
Oliver Cooper50%
Luka Smyth33%
J. Gibbons0%
J. Belshaw0%
Qamaruddin Kouhyar0%
J. Bedeau0%
Conor Grant0%
N. Tsaroulla0%
J. Evans0%
Lucas Ness0%
D. Lipsiuc0%
H. Mustapha0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
D. Lipsiuc50%
Luka Smyth33%
H. Mustapha33%
J. Gibbons25%
J. Bedeau25%
Oliver Cooper25%
J. Evans25%
C. Roberts0%
J. Belshaw0%
Qamaruddin Kouhyar0%
Conor Grant0%
N. Tsaroulla0%
Lucas Ness0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
N. Tsaroulla75%
C. Roberts25%
J. Gibbons0%
J. Belshaw0%
Qamaruddin Kouhyar0%
J. Bedeau0%
Conor Grant0%
Oliver Cooper0%
J. Evans0%
Lucas Ness0%
D. Lipsiuc0%
Luka Smyth0%
H. Mustapha0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luka Smyth67%
H. Mustapha33%
Conor Grant25%
C. Roberts0%
J. Gibbons0%
J. Belshaw0%
Qamaruddin Kouhyar0%
J. Bedeau0%
Oliver Cooper0%
N. Tsaroulla0%
J. Evans0%
Lucas Ness0%
D. Lipsiuc0%
Leicester
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
H. Howell25%
Olabade Aluko25%
Wes Burns20%
William Alves20%
Bobby De Cordova-Reid0%
Liam Cullen0%
H. Souttar0%
Luke Thomas0%
J. Stolarczyk0%
S. Braybrooke0%
T. Watson0%
Admir Bristrić0%
C. McFarlane0%
Jayden Joseph0%
L. Page0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
H. Souttar50%
Bobby De Cordova-Reid40%
S. Braybrooke40%
Jayden Joseph25%
Olabade Aluko25%
Liam Cullen20%
Wes Burns20%
Luke Thomas20%
T. Watson20%
L. Page20%
J. Stolarczyk0%
William Alves0%
Admir Bristrić0%
C. McFarlane0%
H. Howell0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bobby De Cordova-Reid20%
Luke Thomas20%
L. Page20%
Liam Cullen0%
H. Souttar0%
Wes Burns0%
J. Stolarczyk0%
S. Braybrooke0%
William Alves0%
T. Watson0%
Admir Bristrić0%
C. McFarlane0%
Jayden Joseph0%
H. Howell0%
Olabade Aluko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
T. Watson40%
C. McFarlane33%
Jayden Joseph25%
H. Howell25%
Bobby De Cordova-Reid20%
S. Braybrooke20%
Liam Cullen0%
H. Souttar0%
Wes Burns0%
Luke Thomas0%
J. Stolarczyk0%
William Alves0%
Admir Bristrić0%
Olabade Aluko0%
L. Page0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (22)
€69m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
BRO (19)
€4m
Notts County's squad is €63m less valuable than Leicester's (€6m vs €69m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (7)
€20m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
Notts County's attack is €18m less valuable than Leicester's (€2m vs €20m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (4)
€13m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
Notts County's midfield is €11m less valuable than Leicester's (€2m vs €13m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (11)
€36m
LUT (10)
€12m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
Notts County's defence is €34m less valuable than Leicester's (€2m vs €36m).
England: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Huddersfield
Sheffield Weds
Blackpool
Burton
Barnsley
Cambridge
Luton
Leyton Orient
Stockport
Bradford
Mansfield
Reading
Oxford
Plymouth
Peterboro
AFC Wimbledon
Bromley
Doncaster
Stevenage
Wigan
Milton Keynes Dons
Wycombe