This opponent (FK Crvena Zvezda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Crvena Zvezda
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.92
0.77
3.44
0.56
1.75
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Weaker (12)
3.17
0.75
3.88
0.50
1.75
1.25
Clean sheet %
46% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.2%
Under 1.5
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.9%
Under 2.5
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.8%
Under 3.5
77.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.1%
No
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
8.1%
1-2 ✓
6.8%
0-2
5.0%
Novi Pazar goals ↓
FK Crvena Zvezda goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
8.1%
5.0%
1.8%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
6.8%
2.4%
0.6%
2
8.2%
8.8%
4.7%
1.7%
0.4%
3
3.8%
4.0%
2.1%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.3%
1.4%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Novi Pazar goals (down), columns = FK Crvena Zvezda goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
2.62
Cukaricki
2.03
TSC Backa Topola
2.03
FK Partizan
1.92
Vojvodina
1.70
Indjija
1.50
Novi Pazar
1.38
FK Vozdovac
1.24
Radnicki 1923
1.14
Kolubara
1.11
Napredak
1.05
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.05
Mladost Lucani
1.03
Javor
1.00
Radnik Surdulica
1.00
Radnicki NIS
0.97
Mladost Novi Sad
0.81
Grafičar
0.50
Novi Pazar is 1.24 points worse than FK Crvena Zvezda in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 2.62).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
2.59
FK Partizan
1.84
TSC Backa Topola
1.78
Cukaricki
1.76
Vojvodina
1.59
Indjija
1.50
Novi Pazar
1.08
Mladost Lucani
1.08
Radnicki NIS
1.05
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.03
Radnicki 1923
1.00
Javor
0.95
Radnik Surdulica
0.79
FK Vozdovac
0.78
Kolubara
0.76
Napredak
0.73
Mladost Novi Sad
0.68
Grafičar
0.50
Novi Pazar is 1.51 goals worse than FK Crvena Zvezda in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 2.59).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FK Crvena Zvezda
0.51
TSC Backa Topola
0.86
FK Partizan
0.92
Vojvodina
0.95
Napredak
1.00
Cukaricki
1.03
Radnicki 1923
1.16
Radnik Surdulica
1.31
Novi Pazar
1.32
Mladost Novi Sad
1.32
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.32
FK Vozdovac
1.41
Grafičar
1.50
Javor
1.51
Kolubara
1.54
Mladost Lucani
1.54
Radnicki NIS
1.64
Indjija
2.00
Novi Pazar is 0.81 goals worse than FK Crvena Zvezda in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 0.51).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FK Crvena Zvezda
61%
TSC Backa Topola
56%
Radnicki 1923
56%
Napredak
54%
Radnicki NIS
52%
Mladost Lucani
51%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
50%
Vojvodina
49%
Cukaricki
49%
Kolubara
45%
Novi Pazar
43%
FK Partizan
43%
Radnik Surdulica
39%
Mladost Novi Sad
38%
Javor
36%
Novi Pazar is 17.8 percentage points worse than FK Crvena Zvezda in terms of average possession (43% vs 61%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Novi Pazar
For 3.3 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
FK Crvena Zvezda
For 6.2 · Against 5.1 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 15.3 · Total 29.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Novi Pazar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (10)
8.0
10.0
7.0
1.7
2.0
1.5
-
-
-
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
4.0
4.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
8.0
10.0
7.0
1.4
1.3
1.5
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
67%
100%
50%
30%
50%
17%
-
-
-
% under line
33%
0%
50%
70%
50%
83%
-
-
-
This opponent (FK Crvena Zvezda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Crvena Zvezda
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (13)
11.3
11.3
11.3
2.5
2.1
3.2
29.7
31.0
27.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
13.0
13.0
-
6.0
6.0
-
30.0
30.0
-
vs Weaker (12)
11.1
11.0
11.3
2.2
1.6
3.2
29.5
32.0
27.0
% over line
67%
67%
67%
38%
33%
50%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
33%
33%
33%
62%
67%
50%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
11.3
Kolubara
11.2
FK Partizan
11.2
Radnicki NIS
10.8
Vojvodina
10.5
Mladost Lucani
9.6
Radnik Surdulica
9.6
FK Vozdovac
9.2
Cukaricki
8.7
Radnicki 1923
8.4
Napredak
8.2
Novi Pazar
8.0
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
8.0
Mladost Novi Sad
7.5
TSC Backa Topola
7.2
Javor
6.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Radnicki NIS
9.6
TSC Backa Topola
8.2
FK Partizan
6.6
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
6.2
Vojvodina
6.0
Mladost Lucani
6.0
Novi Pazar
5.7
Mladost Novi Sad
5.5
FK Vozdovac
5.2
Javor
5.0
FK Crvena Zvezda
4.6
Napredak
4.5
Kolubara
4.3
Cukaricki
4.1
Radnik Surdulica
3.8
Radnicki 1923
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
29.7
Cukaricki
24.5
FK Partizan
17.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.7%
Under 9.5
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
74.9%
Under 3.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Novi Pazar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.50
1.00
0.25
0.83
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.89
0.56
1.00
0.33
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Crvena Zvezda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Crvena Zvezda
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
0.31
2.00
0.33
1.25
0.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (12)
1.92
0.33
2.25
0.38
1.25
0.25
Clean sheet %
69% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Novi Pazar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Novi Pazar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.40
0.50
0.50
0.83
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.78
0.44
0.67
0.67
0.83
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Crvena Zvezda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Crvena Zvezda
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.15
0.46
1.44
0.22
0.50
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Weaker (12)
1.25
0.42
1.62
0.12
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
62% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Novi Pazar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Novi Pazar · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vieiri Kotzebue25%
Fejsal Mulić20%
Kaheim Dixon20%
Ivan Davidović14%
Dominic Sadi14%
Tomislav Dadić0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Jovan Marinković0%
Jonny0%
Bojan Adžić0%
Dimitrije Janković0%
Papa Amady Gadio0%
Mihajlo Petrović0%
Nikola Skrobonja0%
Bogdan Matijašević0%
Skima Togbe0%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic0%
Miloje Preković0%
Veljko Mirosavić0%
Dauda Agwom0%
Nikola Stanković0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Papa Amady Gadio40%
Nikola Skrobonja33%
Jovan Marinković29%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic29%
Dauda Agwom29%
Skima Togbe25%
Tomislav Dadić20%
Fejsal Mulić20%
Kaheim Dixon20%
Nikola Stanković20%
Jonny17%
Aleksandar Miljković14%
Ivan Davidović14%
Vieiri Kotzebue0%
Dominic Sadi0%
Bojan Adžić0%
Dimitrije Janković0%
Mihajlo Petrović0%
Bogdan Matijašević0%
Miloje Preković0%
Veljko Mirosavić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fejsal Mulić20%
Kaheim Dixon20%
Dominic Sadi14%
Dauda Agwom14%
Tomislav Dadić0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Jovan Marinković0%
Jonny0%
Vieiri Kotzebue0%
Ivan Davidović0%
Bojan Adžić0%
Dimitrije Janković0%
Papa Amady Gadio0%
Mihajlo Petrović0%
Nikola Skrobonja0%
Bogdan Matijašević0%
Skima Togbe0%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic0%
Miloje Preković0%
Veljko Mirosavić0%
Nikola Stanković0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fejsal Mulić60%
Dominic Sadi29%
Jonny17%
Tomislav Dadić0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Jovan Marinković0%
Vieiri Kotzebue0%
Ivan Davidović0%
Bojan Adžić0%
Dimitrije Janković0%
Kaheim Dixon0%
Papa Amady Gadio0%
Mihajlo Petrović0%
Nikola Skrobonja0%
Bogdan Matijašević0%
Skima Togbe0%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic0%
Miloje Preković0%
Veljko Mirosavić0%
Dauda Agwom0%
Nikola Stanković0%
FK Crvena Zvezda
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aleksandar Pešić33%
Aleksandar Katai33%
Guélor Kanga33%
Veljko Nikolić33%
Stefan Mitrović29%
Mirko Ivanić14%
Osman Bukari12%
Milan Borjan0%
Marko Gobeljić0%
Nemanja Milunović0%
Milan Rodić0%
El Fardou Ben0%
Aleksandar Dragović0%
Sékou Sanogo0%
Slavoljub Srnić0%
Kings Kangwa0%
Strahinja Eraković0%
Ibrahim Mustapha0%
Jovan Mijatović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksandar Dragović50%
Milan Rodić33%
Sékou Sanogo33%
Aleksandar Pešić22%
Aleksandar Katai22%
Guélor Kanga22%
Nemanja Milunović14%
Mirko Ivanić14%
Slavoljub Srnić14%
Kings Kangwa14%
Osman Bukari12%
Strahinja Eraković11%
Milan Borjan0%
Marko Gobeljić0%
El Fardou Ben0%
Veljko Nikolić0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Ibrahim Mustapha0%
Jovan Mijatović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marko Gobeljić33%
Aleksandar Pešić33%
Osman Bukari25%
Guélor Kanga22%
Ibrahim Mustapha20%
Mirko Ivanić14%
Milan Rodić11%
Aleksandar Katai11%
Milan Borjan0%
Nemanja Milunović0%
El Fardou Ben0%
Aleksandar Dragović0%
Sékou Sanogo0%
Slavoljub Srnić0%
Veljko Nikolić0%
Kings Kangwa0%
Strahinja Eraković0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Jovan Mijatović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aleksandar Pešić44%
Aleksandar Katai33%
Mirko Ivanić14%
Stefan Mitrović14%
Osman Bukari12%
Guélor Kanga11%
Milan Borjan0%
Marko Gobeljić0%
Nemanja Milunović0%
Milan Rodić0%
El Fardou Ben0%
Aleksandar Dragović0%
Sékou Sanogo0%
Slavoljub Srnić0%
Veljko Nikolić0%
Kings Kangwa0%
Strahinja Eraković0%
Ibrahim Mustapha0%
Jovan Mijatović0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (32)
€115m
FP (30)
€48m
VOJ (29)
€30m
RN (26)
€11m
TBT (24)
€10m
NP (21)
€10m
CUK (23)
€10m
R1 (26)
€9m
RS (26)
€9m
ML (28)
€8m
NAP (24)
€7m
JAV (21)
€5m
FSZ (21)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
FV (20)
€3m
Novi Pazar's squad is €105m less valuable than FK Crvena Zvezda's (€10m vs €115m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€62m
FP (15)
€24m
VOJ (15)
€13m
TBT (9)
€5m
RN (11)
€4m
ML (10)
€4m
R1 (10)
€4m
CUK (8)
€4m
NP (9)
€3m
RS (10)
€3m
JAV (9)
€2m
NAP (9)
€2m
FSZ (8)
€2m
GRA (8)
€1m
FV (9)
€1m
Novi Pazar's attack is €59m less valuable than FK Crvena Zvezda's (€3m vs €62m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (6)
€21m
FP (2)
€11m
VOJ (4)
€7m
R1 (6)
€3m
NP (3)
€2m
CUK (5)
€2m
RS (5)
€2m
TBT (4)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
RN (3)
€1m
JAV (2)
€1m
FSZ (4)
€1m
NAP (3)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
Novi Pazar's midfield is €18m less valuable than FK Crvena Zvezda's (€2m vs €21m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€33m
FP (13)
€14m
VOJ (10)
€9m
RN (12)
€5m
NP (9)
€5m
NAP (12)
€5m
RS (11)
€4m
TBT (11)
€4m
CUK (10)
€3m
JAV (10)
€3m
R1 (10)
€3m
ML (12)
€2m
FSZ (9)
€2m
GRA (8)
€2m
FV (8)
€1m
Novi Pazar's defence is €28m less valuable than FK Crvena Zvezda's (€5m vs €33m).
Serbia: Super Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Super Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
TSC Backa Topola
Cukaricki
FK Partizan
Vojvodina
FK Vozdovac
Radnicki 1923
Kolubara
Napredak
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
Radnik Surdulica
Mladost Lucani
Radnicki NIS
Javor
Mladost Novi Sad
Indjija
Grafičar