This opponent (Radnik Surdulica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Radnik Surdulica
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.71
1.54
0.71
1.14
0.71
1.93
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
2.00
0.50
1.50
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (20)
0.70
1.35
0.80
1.00
0.60
1.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
25% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
61.7%
Under 1.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
33.5%
Under 2.5
66.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.0%
Under 3.5
85.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
36.8%
No
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 ✓
17.0%
0-0
14.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
12.7%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
Novi Pazar goals ↓
Radnik Surdulica goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
7.2%
2.7%
0.6%
0.1%
1
17%
13%
3.7%
0.8%
0.1%
2
13%
8.2%
2.6%
0.6%
0.1%
3
5.9%
3.8%
1.2%
0.3%
0.0%
4
2.1%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Novi Pazar goals (down), columns = Radnik Surdulica goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
2.62
Cukaricki
2.03
TSC Backa Topola
2.03
FK Partizan
1.92
Vojvodina
1.70
Indjija
1.50
Novi Pazar
1.38
FK Vozdovac
1.24
Radnicki 1923
1.14
Kolubara
1.11
Napredak
1.05
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.05
Mladost Lucani
1.03
Javor
1.00
Radnik Surdulica
1.00
Radnicki NIS
0.97
Mladost Novi Sad
0.81
Grafičar
0.50
Novi Pazar is 0.38 points better than Radnik Surdulica in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
2.59
FK Partizan
1.84
TSC Backa Topola
1.78
Cukaricki
1.76
Vojvodina
1.59
Indjija
1.50
Novi Pazar
1.08
Mladost Lucani
1.08
Radnicki NIS
1.05
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.03
Radnicki 1923
1.00
Javor
0.95
Radnik Surdulica
0.79
FK Vozdovac
0.78
Kolubara
0.76
Napredak
0.73
Mladost Novi Sad
0.68
Grafičar
0.50
Novi Pazar is 0.29 goals better than Radnik Surdulica in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 0.79).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FK Crvena Zvezda
0.51
TSC Backa Topola
0.86
FK Partizan
0.92
Vojvodina
0.95
Napredak
1.00
Cukaricki
1.03
Radnicki 1923
1.16
Radnik Surdulica
1.31
Novi Pazar
1.32
Mladost Novi Sad
1.32
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.32
FK Vozdovac
1.41
Grafičar
1.50
Javor
1.51
Kolubara
1.54
Mladost Lucani
1.54
Radnicki NIS
1.64
Indjija
2.00
Novi Pazar is 0.02 goals worse than Radnik Surdulica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.31).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FK Crvena Zvezda
61%
TSC Backa Topola
56%
Radnicki 1923
56%
Napredak
54%
Radnicki NIS
52%
Mladost Lucani
51%
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
50%
Vojvodina
49%
Cukaricki
49%
Kolubara
45%
Novi Pazar
43%
FK Partizan
43%
Radnik Surdulica
39%
Mladost Novi Sad
38%
Javor
36%
Novi Pazar is 4.0 percentage points better than Radnik Surdulica in terms of average possession (43% vs 39%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Novi Pazar
For 4.0 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 10.8 · Total 20.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Radnik Surdulica
For 4.7 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 8.2 · Total 17.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Novi Pazar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (28)
8.9
7.6
10.0
2.0
2.1
1.8
20.2
16.0
23.0
vs Stronger (4)
13.0
-
13.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
6.0
-
6.0
vs Similar (24)
8.5
7.6
9.4
2.0
2.2
1.8
23.8
16.0
31.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
55%
40%
67%
32%
36%
29%
60%
50%
67%
% under line
45%
60%
33%
68%
64%
71%
40%
50%
33%
This opponent (Radnik Surdulica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Radnik Surdulica
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (28)
9.8
8.8
10.7
1.8
1.8
1.9
17.5
17.5
17.5
vs Stronger (8)
12.2
9.0
15.5
2.4
2.5
2.2
34.0
34.0
-
vs Similar (20)
8.8
8.8
8.8
1.6
1.5
1.7
12.0
1.0
17.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
54%
50%
57%
25%
29%
21%
50%
50%
50%
% under line
46%
50%
43%
75%
71%
79%
50%
50%
50%
This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
10.2
FK Partizan
10.1
Radnicki NIS
10.0
Radnik Surdulica
9.8
Napredak
9.2
Mladost Novi Sad
9.2
FK Vozdovac
9.1
Kolubara
9.1
Cukaricki
8.9
Novi Pazar
8.9
Radnicki 1923
8.6
Vojvodina
8.6
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
8.4
Mladost Lucani
8.0
TSC Backa Topola
7.8
Javor
6.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
TSC Backa Topola
7.0
Radnicki NIS
6.1
FK Vozdovac
5.8
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
5.2
Javor
5.2
FK Partizan
5.2
Mladost Novi Sad
4.9
Kolubara
4.9
Mladost Lucani
4.9
Radnicki 1923
4.8
FK Crvena Zvezda
4.7
Novi Pazar
4.6
Vojvodina
4.4
Napredak
4.4
Radnik Surdulica
3.9
Cukaricki
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Mladost Novi Sad
27.5
Napredak
27.2
TSC Backa Topola
24.2
Radnicki NIS
24.0
FK Crvena Zvezda
22.5
FK Partizan
21.8
Novi Pazar
20.2
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
18.5
Cukaricki
18.0
Radnik Surdulica
17.5
Radnicki 1923
17.5
Javor
17.2
Vojvodina
14.7
FK Vozdovac
14.6
Mladost Lucani
11.0
Kolubara
11.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.5%
Under 9.5
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
59.7%
Under 3.5
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
25.3%
Under 21.5
74.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Novi Pazar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.61
0.54
0.57
0.29
0.64
0.79
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.50
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.58
0.50
0.50
0.25
0.67
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
54% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Surdulica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Radnik Surdulica
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.32
0.57
0.14
0.57
0.50
0.57
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
0.62
0.25
0.50
1.00
0.75
vs Similar (20)
0.20
0.55
0.10
0.60
0.30
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Novi Pazar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Novi Pazar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.68
0.50
0.71
0.43
0.64
0.57
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.25
0.00
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
0.79
0.38
0.83
0.42
0.75
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Surdulica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Radnik Surdulica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.39
0.96
0.57
0.57
0.21
1.36
vs Stronger (8)
0.12
1.38
0.25
1.00
0.00
1.75
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.80
0.70
0.40
0.30
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
39% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Novi Pazar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 21.5 fouls
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Novi Pazar · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vieiri Kotzebue25%
Fejsal Mulić20%
Kaheim Dixon20%
Ivan Davidović14%
Dominic Sadi14%
Tomislav Dadić0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Jovan Marinković0%
Jonny0%
Bojan Adžić0%
Dimitrije Janković0%
Papa Amady Gadio0%
Mihajlo Petrović0%
Nikola Skrobonja0%
Bogdan Matijašević0%
Skima Togbe0%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic0%
Miloje Preković0%
Veljko Mirosavić0%
Dauda Agwom0%
Nikola Stanković0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Papa Amady Gadio40%
Nikola Skrobonja33%
Jovan Marinković29%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic29%
Dauda Agwom29%
Skima Togbe25%
Tomislav Dadić20%
Fejsal Mulić20%
Kaheim Dixon20%
Nikola Stanković20%
Jonny17%
Aleksandar Miljković14%
Ivan Davidović14%
Vieiri Kotzebue0%
Dominic Sadi0%
Bojan Adžić0%
Dimitrije Janković0%
Mihajlo Petrović0%
Bogdan Matijašević0%
Miloje Preković0%
Veljko Mirosavić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fejsal Mulić20%
Kaheim Dixon20%
Dominic Sadi14%
Dauda Agwom14%
Tomislav Dadić0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Jovan Marinković0%
Jonny0%
Vieiri Kotzebue0%
Ivan Davidović0%
Bojan Adžić0%
Dimitrije Janković0%
Papa Amady Gadio0%
Mihajlo Petrović0%
Nikola Skrobonja0%
Bogdan Matijašević0%
Skima Togbe0%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic0%
Miloje Preković0%
Veljko Mirosavić0%
Nikola Stanković0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fejsal Mulić60%
Dominic Sadi29%
Jonny17%
Tomislav Dadić0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Jovan Marinković0%
Vieiri Kotzebue0%
Ivan Davidović0%
Bojan Adžić0%
Dimitrije Janković0%
Kaheim Dixon0%
Papa Amady Gadio0%
Mihajlo Petrović0%
Nikola Skrobonja0%
Bogdan Matijašević0%
Skima Togbe0%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic0%
Miloje Preković0%
Veljko Mirosavić0%
Dauda Agwom0%
Nikola Stanković0%
Radnik Surdulica · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luka Zorić25%
Vukašin Bogdanović25%
Darko Stojanović20%
Luka Jovanović20%
Stefan Ranđelović0%
Martin Novaković0%
Tom Kljun0%
Sadick Abubakar0%
Emmanuel Quarshie0%
Uroš Lazić0%
Đorđe Jovanović0%
Ayouba Kosiah0%
David Stojanović0%
Miloš Popović0%
Tijan Sohna0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Martin Novaković50%
Sadick Abubakar40%
Ayouba Kosiah33%
Luka Zorić25%
Đorđe Jovanović25%
Stefan Ranđelović20%
Emmanuel Quarshie20%
Uroš Lazić20%
David Stojanović20%
Miloš Popović20%
Darko Stojanović20%
Tijan Sohna20%
Tom Kljun0%
Vukašin Bogdanović0%
Luka Jovanović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ayouba Kosiah33%
David Stojanović20%
Stefan Ranđelović0%
Luka Zorić0%
Martin Novaković0%
Tom Kljun0%
Sadick Abubakar0%
Vukašin Bogdanović0%
Emmanuel Quarshie0%
Uroš Lazić0%
Đorđe Jovanović0%
Miloš Popović0%
Darko Stojanović0%
Tijan Sohna0%
Luka Jovanović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Darko Stojanović40%
Luka Zorić25%
Martin Novaković25%
Đorđe Jovanović25%
Miloš Popović20%
Stefan Ranđelović0%
Tom Kljun0%
Sadick Abubakar0%
Vukašin Bogdanović0%
Emmanuel Quarshie0%
Uroš Lazić0%
Ayouba Kosiah0%
David Stojanović0%
Tijan Sohna0%
Luka Jovanović0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (32)
€115m
FP (30)
€48m
VOJ (29)
€30m
RN (26)
€11m
TBT (24)
€10m
NP (21)
€10m
CUK (23)
€10m
R1 (26)
€9m
RS (26)
€9m
ML (28)
€8m
NAP (24)
€7m
JAV (21)
€5m
FSZ (21)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
FV (20)
€3m
Novi Pazar's squad is €2m more valuable than Radnik Surdulica's (€10m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€62m
FP (15)
€24m
VOJ (15)
€13m
TBT (9)
€5m
RN (11)
€4m
ML (10)
€4m
R1 (10)
€4m
CUK (8)
€4m
NP (9)
€3m
RS (10)
€3m
JAV (9)
€2m
NAP (9)
€2m
FSZ (8)
€2m
GRA (8)
€1m
FV (9)
€1m
Novi Pazar and Radnik Surdulica have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (6)
€21m
FP (2)
€11m
VOJ (4)
€7m
R1 (6)
€3m
NP (3)
€2m
CUK (5)
€2m
RS (5)
€2m
TBT (4)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
RN (3)
€1m
JAV (2)
€1m
FSZ (4)
€1m
NAP (3)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
Novi Pazar and Radnik Surdulica have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€33m
FP (13)
€14m
VOJ (10)
€9m
RN (12)
€5m
NP (9)
€5m
NAP (12)
€5m
RS (11)
€4m
TBT (11)
€4m
CUK (10)
€3m
JAV (10)
€3m
R1 (10)
€3m
ML (12)
€2m
FSZ (9)
€2m
GRA (8)
€2m
FV (8)
€1m
Novi Pazar and Radnik Surdulica have a similar defence value (both €5m).
Serbia: Super Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Super Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FK Crvena Zvezda
TSC Backa Topola
Cukaricki
FK Partizan
Vojvodina
FK Vozdovac
Radnicki 1923
Kolubara
Napredak
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
Mladost Lucani
Radnicki NIS
Javor
Mladost Novi Sad
Indjija
Grafičar