Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Novi Pazar or Draw
71.9%
Avg Implied -
45%
27%
28%
covers Novi Pazar + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar or Radnik Surdulica
73.0%
Avg Implied -
45%
27%
28%
covers Novi Pazar + Radnik Surdulica
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Radnik Surdulica
55.1%
Avg Implied -
45%
27%
28%
covers Draw + Radnik Surdulica
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Novi Pazar over/under 0.5
Over
79.8%
Under
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 1.5
Over
47.4%
Under
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 2.5
Over
21.6%
Under
78.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 3.5
Over
7.8%
Under
92.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 0.5
Over
70.6%
Under
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 1.5
Over
34.7%
Under
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 2.5
Over
12.6%
Under
87.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 3.5
Over
3.6%
Under
96.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
āļø 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Novi Pazar, so a minus line means Novi Pazar give that many goals of a start and Radnik Surdulica receive them. At -1, Novi Pazar must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Novi Pazar win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Novi Pazar)
Novi Pazar -2
9.7%
Draw -2
13.9%
Radnik Surdulica +2
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Novi Pazar)
Novi Pazar -1
23.7%
Draw -1
21.2%
Radnik Surdulica +1
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Novi Pazar)
Novi Pazar +1
71.9%
Draw +1
16.0%
Radnik Surdulica -1
12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Novi Pazar)
Novi Pazar +2
87.9%
Draw +2
8.2%
Radnik Surdulica -2
4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Novi Pazar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
1.00
0.64
0.31
0.56
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.62
0.45
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Surdulica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Radnik Surdulica
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.43
0.47
0.60
0.40
0.27
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
0.69
0.83
1.00
0.29
0.43
vs Similar (17)
0.35
0.24
0.22
0.33
0.50
0.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Novi Pazar over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Novi Pazar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.90
0.57
0.93
0.38
0.88
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.60
1.40
vs Similar (24)
0.42
0.75
0.54
0.85
0.27
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Surdulica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Radnik Surdulica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.77
0.87
0.47
0.47
1.07
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
0.77
0.50
0.67
0.43
0.86
vs Similar (17)
0.82
0.76
1.11
0.33
0.50
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Novi Pazar over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novi Pazar over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
š½ 13. Player market rates
Novi Pazar
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vieiri Kotzebue25%
Fejsal MuliÄ20%
Kaheim Dixon20%
Ivan DavidoviÄ14%
Dominic Sadi14%
Tomislav DadiÄ0%
Aleksandar MiljkoviÄ0%
Jovan MarinkoviÄ0%
Jonny0%
Bojan AdžiÄ0%
Dimitrije JankoviÄ0%
Papa Amady Gadio0%
Mihajlo PetroviÄ0%
Nikola Skrobonja0%
Bogdan MatijaÅ”eviÄ0%
Skima Togbe0%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic0%
Miloje PrekoviÄ0%
Veljko MirosaviÄ0%
Dauda Agwom0%
Nikola StankoviÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Papa Amady Gadio40%
Nikola Skrobonja33%
Jovan MarinkoviÄ29%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic29%
Dauda Agwom29%
Skima Togbe25%
Tomislav DadiÄ20%
Fejsal MuliÄ20%
Kaheim Dixon20%
Nikola StankoviÄ20%
Jonny17%
Aleksandar MiljkoviÄ14%
Ivan DavidoviÄ14%
Vieiri Kotzebue0%
Dominic Sadi0%
Bojan AdžiÄ0%
Dimitrije JankoviÄ0%
Mihajlo PetroviÄ0%
Bogdan MatijaÅ”eviÄ0%
Miloje PrekoviÄ0%
Veljko MirosaviÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fejsal MuliÄ20%
Kaheim Dixon20%
Dominic Sadi14%
Dauda Agwom14%
Tomislav DadiÄ0%
Aleksandar MiljkoviÄ0%
Jovan MarinkoviÄ0%
Jonny0%
Vieiri Kotzebue0%
Ivan DavidoviÄ0%
Bojan AdžiÄ0%
Dimitrije JankoviÄ0%
Papa Amady Gadio0%
Mihajlo PetroviÄ0%
Nikola Skrobonja0%
Bogdan MatijaÅ”eviÄ0%
Skima Togbe0%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic0%
Miloje PrekoviÄ0%
Veljko MirosaviÄ0%
Nikola StankoviÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fejsal MuliÄ60%
Dominic Sadi29%
Jonny17%
Tomislav DadiÄ0%
Aleksandar MiljkoviÄ0%
Jovan MarinkoviÄ0%
Vieiri Kotzebue0%
Ivan DavidoviÄ0%
Bojan AdžiÄ0%
Dimitrije JankoviÄ0%
Kaheim Dixon0%
Papa Amady Gadio0%
Mihajlo PetroviÄ0%
Nikola Skrobonja0%
Bogdan MatijaÅ”eviÄ0%
Skima Togbe0%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic0%
Miloje PrekoviÄ0%
Veljko MirosaviÄ0%
Dauda Agwom0%
Nikola StankoviÄ0%
Radnik Surdulica
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luka ZoriÄ25%
VukaÅ”in BogdanoviÄ25%
Darko StojanoviÄ20%
Luka JovanoviÄ20%
Stefan RanÄeloviÄ0%
Martin NovakoviÄ0%
Tom Kljun0%
Sadick Abubakar0%
Emmanuel Quarshie0%
UroÅ” LaziÄ0%
ÄorÄe JovanoviÄ0%
Ayouba Kosiah0%
David StojanoviÄ0%
MiloÅ” PopoviÄ0%
Tijan Sohna0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Martin NovakoviÄ50%
Sadick Abubakar40%
Ayouba Kosiah33%
Luka ZoriÄ25%
ÄorÄe JovanoviÄ25%
Stefan RanÄeloviÄ20%
Emmanuel Quarshie20%
UroÅ” LaziÄ20%
David StojanoviÄ20%
MiloÅ” PopoviÄ20%
Darko StojanoviÄ20%
Tijan Sohna20%
Tom Kljun0%
VukaÅ”in BogdanoviÄ0%
Luka JovanoviÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ayouba Kosiah33%
David StojanoviÄ20%
Stefan RanÄeloviÄ0%
Luka ZoriÄ0%
Martin NovakoviÄ0%
Tom Kljun0%
Sadick Abubakar0%
VukaÅ”in BogdanoviÄ0%
Emmanuel Quarshie0%
UroÅ” LaziÄ0%
ÄorÄe JovanoviÄ0%
MiloÅ” PopoviÄ0%
Darko StojanoviÄ0%
Tijan Sohna0%
Luka JovanoviÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Darko StojanoviÄ40%
Luka ZoriÄ25%
Martin NovakoviÄ25%
ÄorÄe JovanoviÄ25%
MiloÅ” PopoviÄ20%
Stefan RanÄeloviÄ0%
Tom Kljun0%
Sadick Abubakar0%
VukaÅ”in BogdanoviÄ0%
Emmanuel Quarshie0%
UroÅ” LaziÄ0%
Ayouba Kosiah0%
David StojanoviÄ0%
Tijan Sohna0%
Luka JovanoviÄ0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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š° 14. Squad value
š° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (32)
€115m
FP (30)
€48m
VOJ (29)
€30m
OB (28)
€18m
ŽP (24)
€13m
INB (23)
€12m
RN (26)
€11m
NP (21)
€10m
CUK (23)
€10m
R1 (26)
€9m
RS (26)
€9m
ML (28)
€8m
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
Novi Pazar's squad is €2m more valuable than Radnik Surdulica's (€10m vs €9m).
āļø Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€62m
FP (15)
€24m
VOJ (15)
€13m
ŽP (9)
€7m
OB (10)
€6m
RN (11)
€4m
ML (10)
€4m
R1 (10)
€4m
CUK (8)
€4m
INB (8)
€4m
NP (9)
€3m
RS (10)
€3m
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
Novi Pazar and Radnik Surdulica have a similar attack value (both €3m).
š§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (6)
€21m
FP (2)
€11m
VOJ (4)
€7m
OB (8)
€4m
INB (3)
€4m
R1 (6)
€3m
NP (3)
€2m
CUK (5)
€2m
RS (5)
€2m
ZEM (5)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
ŽP (4)
€1m
RN (3)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
Novi Pazar and Radnik Surdulica have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
š”ļø Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€33m
FP (13)
€14m
VOJ (10)
€9m
OB (10)
€8m
ŽP (11)
€6m
RN (12)
€5m
NP (9)
€5m
RS (11)
€4m
INB (12)
€4m
CUK (10)
€3m
R1 (10)
€3m
ML (12)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
ZEM (8)
€1m
Novi Pazar and Radnik Surdulica have a similar defence value (both €5m).
Serbia: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Super Liga stats & trends →