The contest between Novi Pazar and Železničar Pančevo is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. Home victory sits at 33%, a draw at 27%, and the visitors lead at 39%. The match is expected to see about 2.9 goals, yet the most probable total is two, with a 25% chance of that exact figure. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, carrying a 12.9% probability.
Novi Pazar, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.54 goals scored and 1.46 conceded. Železničar Pančevo, on the road and facing a comparable side, averages only 0.8 goals scored but concedes 1.1. Recent form shows Novi Pazar coming off a 1-1 draw with Macva, while Železničar just secured a 5-1 win over Radnik Surdulica.
The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.1%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.5% with a 4% edge), Under 6.5 (97.3% with a 4% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.2% with a 3% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.6% with a 5% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.6% with a 4% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (95.1% with a 5% edge), and Away under 3.5 goals (93.5% with a 3% edge).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Novi Pazar win
33.3%
Avg Implied 32.8% · @ 2.77
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.90
Bet365
2.90
1xBet
2.89
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.82
Draw
27.3%
Avg Implied 27.6% · @ 3.29
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.48
10Bet
3.40
Dafabet
3.35
Železničar Pančevo win
39.4%
Avg Implied 39.6% · @ 2.30
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.75
1xBet
2.38
Pinnacle
2.37
Dafabet
2.29
Marathonbet
2.29
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Novi Pazar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.50
1.57
1.57
0.69
1.44
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
2.50
2.00
3.00
0.60
2.40
vs Similar (24)
1.17
1.25
1.54
1.46
0.73
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Železničar Pančevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Železničar Pančevo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
0.93
1.73
0.53
1.07
1.33
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
2.40
1.00
2.50
1.33
2.33
vs Similar (21)
1.29
0.67
1.73
0.27
0.80
1.10
vs Weaker (4)
2.25
0.50
2.50
0.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.0%
@ 1.23+4.3%
Under 1.5
21.0%
@ 3.63-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
Betfair
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.10
1xBet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.78
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
54.4%
@ 1.79+2.4%
Under 2.5
45.6%
@ 1.94-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.88
Pinnacle
1.86
Bet365
1.85
Betfair
1.80
SBO
1.78
Under
1xBet
2.03
Betfair
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Betano
1.98
SBO
1.98
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
32.1%
@ 2.92+0.6%
Under 3.5
67.9%
@ 1.34-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.15
1xBet
3.10
Betfair
3.10
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Under
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.37
Betfair
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Both teams to score
Yes
58.9%
@ 1.61+2.1%
No
41.1%
@ 2.12-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.65
William Hil
1.62
10Bet
1.60
No
Betano
2.20
Betfair
2.20
1xBet
2.19
William Hil
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%@ 6.23+5.7%
1-2
8.7%@ 8.51+3.5%
2-1
8.0%@ 9.70+3.3%
0-1
7.4%@ 8.41+2.1%
0-0
6.9%@ 9.88+2.4%
1-0
6.6%@ 9.44+1.9%
0-2
6.4%@ 11.29+2.5%
2-2
6.0%@ 11.89+2.2%
Novi Pazar goals ↓
Železničar Pančevo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
7.4%
6.4%
3.2%
1.2%
1
6.6%
13%
8.7%
4.4%
1.6%
2
5.3%
8.0%
6.0%
3.0%
1.1%
3
2.4%
3.6%
2.7%
1.3%
0.5%
4
0.8%
1.2%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Novi Pazar goals (down), columns = Železničar Pančevo goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.00
Vojvodina
2.14
IMT Novi Beograd
1.86
Radnicki 1923
1.67
Železničar Pančevo
1.60
Cukaricki
1.43
Mladost Lucani
1.43
Radnik Surdulica
1.33
FK Partizan
1.17
OFK Beograd
1.14
Novi Pazar
1.14
Macva
1.00
Radnicki NIS
0.83
Zemun
0.14
Novi Pazar is 0.46 points worse than Železničar Pančevo in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.20
Vojvodina
2.14
Železničar Pančevo
1.80
FK Partizan
1.67
IMT Novi Beograd
1.43
Cukaricki
1.29
Radnicki 1923
1.17
OFK Beograd
1.14
Radnik Surdulica
1.00
Mladost Lucani
1.00
Macva
0.71
Novi Pazar
0.71
Radnicki NIS
0.50
Zemun
0.29
Novi Pazar is 1.09 goals worse than Železničar Pančevo in terms of goals scored per game (0.71 vs 1.80).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FK Crvena Zvezda
0.20
IMT Novi Beograd
0.57
Vojvodina
0.86
Mladost Lucani
0.86
Radnicki 1923
1.00
Železničar Pančevo
1.00
Radnicki NIS
1.00
Novi Pazar
1.14
Radnik Surdulica
1.50
FK Partizan
1.67
OFK Beograd
1.71
Cukaricki
1.71
Macva
1.86
Zemun
2.00
Novi Pazar is 0.14 goals worse than Železničar Pančevo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FK Partizan
63%
FK Crvena Zvezda
61%
Železničar Pančevo
61%
Radnicki 1923
58%
Radnicki NIS
55%
OFK Beograd
54%
IMT Novi Beograd
53%
Vojvodina
52%
Novi Pazar
49%
Radnik Surdulica
48%
Cukaricki
41%
Mladost Lucani
38%
Macva
38%
Zemun
37%
Novi Pazar is 11.2 percentage points worse than Železničar Pančevo in terms of average possession (49% vs 61%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Novi Pazar
For 4.3 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 11.2 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Železničar Pančevo
For 4.9 · Against 3.0 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 15.6 · Total 27.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Novi Pazar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
8.9
9.1
4.3
4.4
4.2
26.5
26.3
26.7
vs Stronger (11)
7.7
7.2
8.0
3.7
3.6
3.8
26.1
25.2
26.8
vs Similar (39)
9.3
9.2
9.4
4.5
4.6
4.4
26.6
26.5
26.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
46%
33%
70%
76%
64%
83%
79%
88%
% under line
60%
54%
67%
30%
24%
36%
17%
21%
12%
This opponent (Železničar Pančevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Železničar Pančevo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
9.5
7.3
4.4
3.8
5.0
27.1
27.3
26.9
vs Stronger (8)
9.7
12.0
7.3
2.4
2.0
2.8
24.5
24.7
24.3
vs Similar (33)
8.0
9.3
6.8
4.8
4.3
5.2
27.0
27.6
26.4
vs Weaker (9)
9.2
8.8
10.0
4.7
3.8
6.3
29.2
27.8
32.0
% over line
32%
44%
18%
62%
58%
67%
89%
96%
82%
% under line
68%
56%
82%
38%
42%
33%
11%
4%
18%
This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
9.7
Vojvodina
9.4
Mladost Lucani
9.2
FK Partizan
9.2
Radnicki 1923
9.1
Radnik Surdulica
9.0
Cukaricki
9.0
Novi Pazar
9.0
OFK Beograd
8.8
Zemun
8.6
Železničar Pančevo
8.5
Radnicki NIS
8.4
IMT Novi Beograd
8.4
Macva
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Macva
5.9
Zemun
5.9
Radnicki 1923
5.6
Radnik Surdulica
5.3
Radnicki NIS
5.2
OFK Beograd
4.9
Cukaricki
4.8
Vojvodina
4.8
FK Partizan
4.7
Novi Pazar
4.7
Železničar Pančevo
4.5
IMT Novi Beograd
4.5
Mladost Lucani
4.2
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Radnicki 1923
30.4
Radnik Surdulica
30.4
IMT Novi Beograd
29.9
Radnicki NIS
29.3
Macva
28.9
OFK Beograd
28.7
Cukaricki
28.6
Železničar Pančevo
27.8
Vojvodina
26.9
Novi Pazar
26.7
Zemun
26.1
FK Partizan
25.9
Mladost Lucani
25.6
FK Crvena Zvezda
24.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
32.2%
@ 2.59-3.3%
Under 9.5
67.8%
@ 1.42+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.65
Marathonbet
2.59
1xBet
2.58
Superbet
2.55
Under
Superbet
1.46
1xBet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.39
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
73.6%
Under 3.5
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
83.9%
Under 21.5
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Novi Pazar or Draw
60.6%
Avg Implied 60.1% · @ 1.53
Edge
+0.5%
33%
27%
39%
covers Novi Pazar + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.62
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.57
10Bet
1.57
William Hil
1.57
Novi Pazar or Železničar Pančevo
72.7%
Avg Implied 73.3% · @ 1.26
Edge
-0.6%
33%
27%
39%
covers Novi Pazar + Železničar Pančevo
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Draw or Železničar Pančevo
66.7%
Avg Implied 66.6% · @ 1.38
Edge
+0.0%
33%
27%
39%
covers Draw + Železničar Pančevo
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Novi Pazar over/under 0.5
Over
74.4%
@ 1.28+2.7%
Under
25.6%
@ 3.23-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Superbet
1.27
Under
Marathonbet
3.42
Superbet
3.40
Betano
3.35
1xBet
3.34
Bet365
3.25
Novi Pazar over/under 1.5
Over
39.5%
@ 2.41+1.5%
Under
60.5%
@ 1.48-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.54
10Bet
2.40
Betano
2.40
Under
Superbet
1.55
Betano
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
1xBet
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Novi Pazar over/under 2.5
Over
15.7%
@ 5.31-1.5%
Under
84.3%
@ 1.11+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.65
Marathonbet
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Novi Pazar over/under 3.5
Over
4.9%
@ 10.92-3.6%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.02+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Bet365
10.50
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Železničar Pančevo over/under 0.5
Over
77.6%
@ 1.22+2.7%
Under
22.4%
@ 3.65-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.94
Marathonbet
3.88
10Bet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Železničar Pančevo over/under 1.5
Over
44.1%
@ 2.14+1.1%
Under
55.9%
@ 1.61-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.47
Pinnacle
2.23
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.12
1xBet
2.11
Under
Betano
1.70
Betfair
1.67
1xBet
1.65
10Bet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
Železničar Pančevo over/under 2.5
Over
19.0%
@ 4.51-1.3%
Under
81.0%
@ 1.15+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.65
Marathonbet
4.70
1xBet
4.60
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Under
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Železničar Pančevo over/under 3.5
Over
6.5%
@ 9.99-2.8%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.03+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.00
1xBet
8.70
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Novi Pazar, so a minus line means Novi Pazar give that many goals of a start and Železničar Pančevo receive them. At -1, Novi Pazar must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Novi Pazar win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Novi Pazar)
Novi Pazar -2
5.5%
@ 9.88-3.3%
Draw -2
10.0%
@ 6.45-3.5%
Železničar Pančevo +2
84.5%
@ 1.12+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
10.00
Marathonbet
6.65
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
6.60
Marathonbet
4.75
Away
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.11
Bet365
1.09
Handicap -1 (Novi Pazar)
Novi Pazar -1
15.5%
@ 5.33-1.3%
Draw -1
17.8%
@ 4.40-2.5%
Železničar Pančevo +1
66.7%
@ 1.42+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.70
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.70
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.60
10Bet
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Away
Superbet
1.51
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.36
Handicap +1 (Novi Pazar)
Novi Pazar +1
60.6%
@ 1.55+3.1%
Draw +1
19.7%
@ 4.03-2.4%
Železničar Pančevo -1
19.7%
@ 4.37-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.49
Draw
Marathonbet
4.20
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Away
Marathonbet
4.60
10Bet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Handicap +2 (Novi Pazar)
Novi Pazar +2
80.3%
@ 1.16+6.8%
Draw +2
12.1%
@ 5.58-3.2%
Železničar Pančevo -2
7.6%
@ 7.55-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.13
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
4.65
Away
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
6.10
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Novi Pazar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
1.00
0.64
0.31
0.56
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.62
0.45
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Železničar Pančevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Železničar Pančevo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.43
0.73
0.33
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.20
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.29
0.73
0.27
0.20
0.30
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.25
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
70.7%
@ 1.34+2.4%
Under 0.5
29.3%
@ 2.89-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Under
Betfair
3.20
Bet365
3.00
William Hil
3.00
1xBet
2.96
Marathonbet
2.96
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
34.8%
@ 2.59-0.5%
Under 1.5
65.2%
@ 1.42+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.75
Superbet
2.72
Pinnacle
2.70
10Bet
2.65
Betano
2.62
Under
Betano
1.45
Betfair
1.44
William Hil
1.44
10Bet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.7%
@ 6.12-2.3%
Under 2.5
87.3%
@ 1.08+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
William Hil
6.50
Superbet
6.50
1xBet
6.40
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Novi Pazar over/under 0.5 HT
Over
42.7%
@ 2.10-1.5%
Under
57.3%
@ 1.66+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.15
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.04
Under
Superbet
1.71
1xBet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Marathonbet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Novi Pazar over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.1%
@ 6.66-3.8%
Under
89.9%
@ 1.07+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.10
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
7.00
Superbet
6.10
Betano
6.10
Under
Superbet
1.09
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
Novi Pazar over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.6%
@ 19.00-3.4%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.00
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Železničar Pančevo over/under 0.5 HT
Over
50.1%
@ 1.97+3.1%
Under
49.9%
@ 1.75-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.12
Pinnacle
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Marathonbet
1.92
Under
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.75
Železničar Pančevo over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.7%
@ 5.98-1.8%
Under
86.3%
@ 1.10+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
6.70
Marathonbet
6.25
1xBet
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
Železničar Pančevo over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.6%
@ 17.42-2.9%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.01+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
23.00
10Bet
19.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Novi Pazar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.90
0.57
0.93
0.38
0.88
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.60
1.40
vs Similar (24)
0.42
0.75
0.54
0.85
0.27
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Železničar Pančevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Železničar Pančevo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.50
1.00
0.20
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.20
0.00
1.50
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.38
1.00
0.00
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.25
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Novi Pazar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.1%
@ 1.20-1.1%
Under 0.5
23.9%
@ 4.03+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
Under
10Bet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
1xBet
4.20
Bet365
4.00
Betano
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
43.0%
@ 1.97-3.9%
Under 1.5
57.0%
@ 1.74+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.10
Bet365
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Marathonbet
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Under
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.9%
@ 4.12-2.5%
Under 2.5
80.1%
@ 1.19+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.40
William Hil
4.33
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.00
Marathonbet
4.00
Under
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Novi Pazar over/under 0.5 2H
Over
47.3%
@ 1.75-5.6%
Under
52.7%
@ 1.96+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.81
Superbet
1.74
10Bet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Under
10Bet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.95
1xBet
1.90
Novi Pazar over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.4%
@ 4.67-3.4%
Under
83.6%
@ 1.15+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Superbet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.35
Under
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Novi Pazar over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.9%
@ 12.08-4.9%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.02+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Železničar Pančevo over/under 0.5 2H
Over
53.6%
@ 1.66-1.9%
Under
46.4%
@ 2.08+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.63
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Under
Betano
2.15
10Bet
2.15
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.09
Superbet
1.90
Železničar Pančevo over/under 1.5 2H
Over
20.9%
@ 4.25-0.8%
Under
79.1%
@ 1.18+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Betano
3.75
Under
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
Superbet
1.14
Železničar Pančevo over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.4%
@ 10.81-4.2%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.02+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
1xBet
10.00
10Bet
10.00
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.4%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.9%
Under 6.5
97.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+3.3%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.9%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.6%
1.02
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+4.2%
Home under 3.5 goals
95.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+3.6%
Away under 3.5 goals
93.5%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
+2.8%
Under 5.5
93.0%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
+3.0%
Over 19.5 fouls
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.9%
1.07
Superbet
1.09
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
+3.8%
Over 2.5 cards
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.3%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
+2.3%
Under 11.5 corners
86.5%
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-
-
+2.6%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.3%
1.10
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
+1.8%
Away +2 handicap
84.5%
1.12
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.11
Bet365
1.09
-
-
+6.7%
Home under 2.5 goals
84.3%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.11
+1.5%
Over 21.5 fouls
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
83.9%
1.11
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
+0.8%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.6%
1.15
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
+3.4%
Away under 2.5 goals
81.0%
1.15
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.13
+1.3%
Home +2 handicap
80.3%
1.16
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-
-
+6.8%
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.1%
1.19
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
+2.5%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
79.1%
1.18
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
Superbet
1.14
+0.8%
Over 1.5
79.0%
1.23
Superbet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
Betfair
1.22
+4.3%
Under 10.5 corners
78.5%
1.23
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
-
-
+4.4%
Away over 0.5 goals
77.6%
1.22
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
+2.7%
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.1%
1.20
Superbet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
-1.1%
Home over 0.5 goals
74.4%
1.28
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Superbet
1.27
+2.7%
Over 3.5 cards
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
72.7%
1.26
Superbet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.30
-0.6%
Over 23.5 fouls
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.7%
1.34
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
+2.4%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Novi Pazar
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vieiri Kotzebue25%
Fejsal Mulić20%
Kaheim Dixon20%
Ivan Davidović14%
Dominic Sadi14%
Tomislav Dadić0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Jovan Marinković0%
Jonny0%
Bojan Adžić0%
Dimitrije Janković0%
Papa Amady Gadio0%
Mihajlo Petrović0%
Nikola Skrobonja0%
Bogdan Matijašević0%
Skima Togbe0%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic0%
Miloje Preković0%
Veljko Mirosavić0%
Dauda Agwom0%
Nikola Stanković0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Papa Amady Gadio40%
Nikola Skrobonja33%
Jovan Marinković29%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic29%
Dauda Agwom29%
Skima Togbe25%
Tomislav Dadić20%
Fejsal Mulić20%
Kaheim Dixon20%
Nikola Stanković20%
Jonny17%
Aleksandar Miljković14%
Ivan Davidović14%
Vieiri Kotzebue0%
Dominic Sadi0%
Bojan Adžić0%
Dimitrije Janković0%
Mihajlo Petrović0%
Bogdan Matijašević0%
Miloje Preković0%
Veljko Mirosavić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fejsal Mulić20%
Kaheim Dixon20%
Dominic Sadi14%
Dauda Agwom14%
Tomislav Dadić0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Jovan Marinković0%
Jonny0%
Vieiri Kotzebue0%
Ivan Davidović0%
Bojan Adžić0%
Dimitrije Janković0%
Papa Amady Gadio0%
Mihajlo Petrović0%
Nikola Skrobonja0%
Bogdan Matijašević0%
Skima Togbe0%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic0%
Miloje Preković0%
Veljko Mirosavić0%
Nikola Stanković0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fejsal Mulić60%
Dominic Sadi29%
Jonny17%
Tomislav Dadić0%
Aleksandar Miljković0%
Jovan Marinković0%
Vieiri Kotzebue0%
Ivan Davidović0%
Bojan Adžić0%
Dimitrije Janković0%
Kaheim Dixon0%
Papa Amady Gadio0%
Mihajlo Petrović0%
Nikola Skrobonja0%
Bogdan Matijašević0%
Skima Togbe0%
Ahmed Hadzimujovic0%
Miloje Preković0%
Veljko Mirosavić0%
Dauda Agwom0%
Nikola Stanković0%
Železničar Pančevo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Janko Jevremović40%
Kwaku Karikari25%
Nikola Đuričić20%
Aleksa Kuljanin20%
Nikola Jovanović20%
Simão Pedro20%
Zoran Popović0%
Mirko Milikić0%
Mamane Amadou Sabo0%
David Ankeye0%
Kristian Šekularac0%
Nemanja Vidojević0%
Uroš Tegeltija0%
Davorin Tošić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mamane Amadou Sabo60%
Uroš Tegeltija50%
Nemanja Vidojević20%
Aleksa Kuljanin20%
Nikola Jovanović20%
Simão Pedro20%
Zoran Popović0%
Mirko Milikić0%
Nikola Đuričić0%
David Ankeye0%
Kristian Šekularac0%
Kwaku Karikari0%
Janko Jevremović0%
Davorin Tošić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Simão Pedro40%
Kwaku Karikari25%
Uroš Tegeltija25%
Janko Jevremović20%
Aleksa Kuljanin20%
Zoran Popović0%
Mirko Milikić0%
Nikola Đuričić0%
Mamane Amadou Sabo0%
David Ankeye0%
Kristian Šekularac0%
Nemanja Vidojević0%
Nikola Jovanović0%
Davorin Tošić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikola Jovanović40%
Kwaku Karikari25%
Simão Pedro20%
Zoran Popović0%
Mirko Milikić0%
Nikola Đuričić0%
Mamane Amadou Sabo0%
David Ankeye0%
Kristian Šekularac0%
Nemanja Vidojević0%
Uroš Tegeltija0%
Janko Jevremović0%
Aleksa Kuljanin0%
Davorin Tošić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (32)
€115m
FP (30)
€48m
VOJ (29)
€30m
OB (28)
€18m
ŽP (24)
€13m
INB (23)
€12m
RN (26)
€11m
NP (21)
€10m
CUK (23)
€10m
R1 (26)
€9m
RS (26)
€9m
ML (28)
€8m
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
Novi Pazar's squad is €3m less valuable than Železničar Pančevo's (€10m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€62m
FP (15)
€24m
VOJ (15)
€13m
ŽP (9)
€7m
OB (10)
€6m
RN (11)
€4m
ML (10)
€4m
R1 (10)
€4m
CUK (8)
€4m
INB (8)
€4m
NP (9)
€3m
RS (10)
€3m
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
Novi Pazar's attack is €4m less valuable than Železničar Pančevo's (€3m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (6)
€21m
FP (2)
€11m
VOJ (4)
€7m
OB (8)
€4m
INB (3)
€4m
R1 (6)
€3m
NP (3)
€2m
CUK (5)
€2m
RS (5)
€2m
ZEM (5)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
ŽP (4)
€1m
RN (3)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
Novi Pazar's midfield is €1m more valuable than Železničar Pančevo's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€33m
FP (13)
€14m
VOJ (10)
€9m
OB (10)
€8m
ŽP (11)
€6m
RN (12)
€5m
NP (9)
€5m
RS (11)
€4m
INB (12)
€4m
CUK (10)
€3m
R1 (10)
€3m
ML (12)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
ZEM (8)
€1m
Novi Pazar and Železničar Pančevo have a similar defence value (both €5m).
Serbia: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Super Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FK Crvena Zvezda
Vojvodina
IMT Novi Beograd
Mladost Lucani
Radnicki 1923
Cukaricki
Radnik Surdulica
OFK Beograd
FK Partizan
Macva
Radnicki NIS
Zemun