NSI Runavik is the clear favourite, backed by a home win probability of 70%. The model's confidence stems from the team's dominance at home, where they have a perfect defensive record, conceding zero goals on average. This is particularly relevant given EB / Streymur's struggles on the road, where they average 2.18 goals conceded. The away side's away form is somewhat of a concern, having scored just 1.18 goals on average.
The model predicts a home win as the most likely result, with a 70% probability. The expected total number of goals is 3.5, and the most likely score is 2-0, with a 9.7% probability. The home side's home scoring average is 2.5 goals, while the away side's away scoring average is 1.18 goals. The model's selection includes Over 1.5, with a 87.1% probability, and Home win, with a 70.1% probability.
The home win percentage is 70%, the draw percentage is 18%, and the away win percentage is 12%. The model's suggested picks are Over 1.5 (87.1%) and Home win (70.1%).
Results analysis
The win extends NSI Runavik's run, with the team now having come off a win. The final score was 4-2 in favour of the home side. The model's selection, a home win, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 70%. The model's call was also correct, as the home team was indeed the favourite. The model's selections largely came in, with "Over 1.5" goals also hitting, having a pre-match probability of 87.1%. The "Home win" selection was a model pick, and the "Over 1.5" selection was also suggested by the model.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
NSI Runavik win✓ Hit
70.1%
Avg Implied 74.2% · @ 1.22
Edge
-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.26
Dafabet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Draw✗ Miss
18.1%
Avg Implied 15.4% · @ 5.87
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
6.59
Dafabet
6.20
1xBet
6.15
Marathonbet
6.15
Betfair
6.00
EB / Streymur win✗ Miss
11.8%
Avg Implied 10.3% · @ 8.76
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
10.00
1xBet
9.75
BetVictor
9.50
Marathonbet
9.40
888Sport
9.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
NSI Runavik
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.53
1.53
2.07
1.07
2.94
1.94
vs Stronger (8)
1.38
2.12
1.80
1.60
0.67
3.00
vs Similar (10)
2.20
2.10
1.33
2.00
2.57
2.14
vs Weaker (12)
3.58
0.67
2.67
0.17
4.50
1.17
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (EB / Streymur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
EB / Streymur
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
2.17
0.87
2.20
1.40
2.13
vs Stronger (17)
0.82
2.76
0.67
3.00
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (13)
1.54
1.38
1.17
1.00
1.86
1.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (NSI Runavik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.1%
@ 1.07+0.5%
Under 1.5
12.9%
@ 6.88-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.08
888Sport
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Under
Betfair
7.50
BetVictor
7.00
Marathonbet
6.70
1xBet
6.70
888Sport
6.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.7%
@ 1.31-1.9%
Under 2.5
32.3%
@ 3.01+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.36
Unibet
1.34
BetVictor
1.30
Betfair
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Under
Betfair
3.20
BetVictor
3.13
Bet365
3.00
888Sport
3.00
1xBet
2.97
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.1%
@ 1.86-3.6%
Under 3.5
53.9%
@ 1.84+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.90
Pinnacle
1.90
Unibet
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
Under
Betfair
1.90
Pinnacle
1.87
Marathonbet
1.84
1xBet
1.84
BetVictor
1.84
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.0%
@ 1.66+2.6%
No
42.0%
@ 2.06-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.73
Unibet
1.71
1xBet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.66
BetVictor
1.65
No
888Sport
2.10
William Hil
2.10
BetVictor
2.10
1xBet
2.07
Betfair
2.05
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
9.7%@ 7.53+3.9%
2-1
9.4%@ 8.03+4.0%
1-1
8.2%@ 11.17+4.4%
3-0
8.1%@ 7.97+2.7%
3-1
7.9%@ 9.26+3.2%
1-0
6.9%@ 9.93+2.6%
4-0
5.1%@ 10.75+1.1%
4-1
5.0%@ 12.54+1.5%
NSI Runavik goals ↓
EB / Streymur goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.8%
2.2%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
1
6.9%
8.2%
3.6%
1.2%
0.3%
2
9.7%
9.4%
4.6%
1.5%
0.4%
3
8.1%
7.9%
3.8%
1.3%
0.3%
4
5.1%
5.0%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = NSI Runavik goals (down), columns = EB / Streymur goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
HB Torshavn
2.75
NSI Runavik
1.88
Vikingur Gota
1.57
KI Klaksvik
1.57
07 Vestur
1.38
Skála
1.38
B36 Torshavn
1.12
EB / Streymur
1.00
AB
0.75
B68
0.50
NSI Runavik is 0.88 points better than EB / Streymur in terms of average points per game (1.88 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
HB Torshavn
2.62
NSI Runavik
2.25
Vikingur Gota
1.57
KI Klaksvik
1.57
EB / Streymur
1.50
07 Vestur
1.25
Skála
1.12
AB
1.12
B36 Torshavn
0.75
B68
0.50
NSI Runavik is 0.75 goals better than EB / Streymur in terms of goals scored per game (2.25 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
HB Torshavn
0.50
KI Klaksvik
1.14
B68
1.25
NSI Runavik
1.38
07 Vestur
1.38
B36 Torshavn
1.38
Vikingur Gota
1.43
Skála
1.75
EB / Streymur
2.00
AB
2.00
NSI Runavik is 0.62 goals better than EB / Streymur in terms of goals conceded per game (1.38 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
NSI Runavik or Draw✓ Hit
88.2%
Avg Implied -
70%
18%
12%
covers NSI Runavik + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik or EB / Streymur✓ Hit
81.9%
Avg Implied -
70%
18%
12%
covers NSI Runavik + EB / Streymur
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or EB / Streymur✗ Miss
29.9%
Avg Implied -
70%
18%
12%
covers Draw + EB / Streymur
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
NSI Runavik
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.63
0.93
0.50
1.38
0.75
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.80
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (10)
0.60
0.60
0.33
0.67
0.71
0.57
vs Weaker (12)
1.92
0.42
1.17
0.17
2.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (EB / Streymur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
EB / Streymur
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.73
0.40
0.93
0.67
0.53
vs Stronger (17)
0.47
1.06
0.56
1.44
0.38
0.62
vs Similar (13)
0.62
0.31
0.17
0.17
1.00
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (NSI Runavik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
NSI Runavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
NSI Runavik
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.90
1.14
0.57
1.56
1.19
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.12
0.80
0.80
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (10)
1.60
1.50
1.00
1.33
1.86
1.57
vs Weaker (12)
1.67
0.25
1.50
0.00
1.83
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (EB / Streymur) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
EB / Streymur
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.43
0.47
1.27
0.73
1.60
vs Stronger (17)
0.35
1.71
0.11
1.56
0.62
1.88
vs Similar (13)
0.92
1.08
1.00
0.83
0.86
1.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (NSI Runavik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
NSI Runavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
EB / Streymur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home or Draw
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
87.1%
1.07
Betfair
1.08
888Sport
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
70.1%
1.22
Betano
1.26
Dafabet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
-4.1%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (28)
€3m
NR (29)
€3m
HT (24)
€2m
BT (27)
€2m
VG (21)
€2m
B68 (28)
€1m
E/S (30)
€1m
0V (30)
€1m
AB (18)
€1m
SKÁ (20)
€0m
NSI Runavik's squad is €2m more valuable than EB / Streymur's (€3m vs €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (9)
€1m
HT (7)
€1m
NR (6)
€1m
VG (7)
€1m
BT (9)
€1m
B68 (8)
€0m
E/S (6)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
0V (4)
€0m
AB (3)
€0m
NSI Runavik and EB / Streymur have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NR (10)
€1m
KK (8)
€1m
HT (8)
€1m
BT (6)
€0m
B68 (12)
€0m
AB (8)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
VG (4)
€0m
0V (10)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
NSI Runavik and EB / Streymur have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (11)
€1m
NR (13)
€1m
VG (10)
€1m
BT (12)
€1m
HT (9)
€1m
0V (16)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
SKÁ (10)
€0m
AB (7)
€0m
B68 (8)
€0m
NSI Runavik and EB / Streymur have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
HB Torshavn
KI Klaksvik
Vikingur Gota
07 Vestur
Skála
B36 Torshavn
AB
B68