The model projects a high-scoring encounter, with an expected total of 3.2 goals and the most likely total being three, a 22% probability. The favoured result is an away win, with a 43% chance, followed by a 31% home win and a 25% draw. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 11.6% probability. NSI Runavik, at home, averages 1.33 goals scored and 2.00 conceded against similar opposition, while HB Torshavn, away, averages 1.71 scored and only 0.43 conceded. Recent form shows both sides unbeaten in their last five, each winning 3-1 in their most recent match. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.4%), Under 6.5 (95.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (94.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (90.4%), Under 5.5 (90.0%), Away +2 handicap (85.3%), Over 1.5 (83.3%), and Home under 2.5 goals (82.6%). These selections reflect the model’s confidence in a modest scoring affair dominated by HB Torshavn’s defensive solidity.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
NSI Runavik win
32.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn win
41.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
NSI Runavik
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.33
1.57
2.33
1.07
2.33
2.07
vs Stronger (8)
1.50
2.12
2.00
1.50
1.00
2.75
vs Similar (9)
1.67
2.22
1.33
2.00
1.83
2.33
vs Weaker (13)
3.31
0.77
2.88
0.50
4.00
1.20
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Torshavn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HB Torshavn
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.50
0.97
2.33
1.20
2.67
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.77
1.08
1.83
1.83
1.71
0.43
vs Weaker (17)
3.06
0.88
2.67
0.78
3.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (NSI Runavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
82.3%
Under 1.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
59.4%
Under 2.5
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
37.0%
Under 3.5
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
62.5%
No
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
0-2
6.3%
0-0
5.7%
1-0
5.5%
NSI Runavik goals ↓
HB Torshavn goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.7%
6.5%
6.3%
3.4%
1.4%
1
5.5%
12%
9.0%
4.9%
2.0%
2
4.7%
7.7%
6.4%
3.5%
1.5%
3
2.2%
3.7%
3.0%
1.7%
0.7%
4
0.8%
1.3%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = NSI Runavik goals (down), columns = HB Torshavn goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
HB Torshavn
2.75
NSI Runavik
1.88
Vikingur Gota
1.57
KI Klaksvik
1.57
07 Vestur
1.38
Skála
1.38
B36 Torshavn
1.12
EB / Streymur
1.00
AB
0.75
B68
0.50
NSI Runavik is 0.88 points worse than HB Torshavn in terms of average points per game (1.88 vs 2.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
HB Torshavn
2.62
NSI Runavik
2.25
Vikingur Gota
1.57
KI Klaksvik
1.57
EB / Streymur
1.50
07 Vestur
1.25
Skála
1.12
AB
1.12
B36 Torshavn
0.75
B68
0.50
NSI Runavik is 0.38 goals worse than HB Torshavn in terms of goals scored per game (2.25 vs 2.62).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
HB Torshavn
0.50
KI Klaksvik
1.14
B68
1.25
NSI Runavik
1.38
07 Vestur
1.38
B36 Torshavn
1.38
Vikingur Gota
1.43
Skála
1.75
EB / Streymur
2.00
AB
2.00
NSI Runavik is 0.88 goals worse than HB Torshavn in terms of goals conceded per game (1.38 vs 0.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
NSI Runavik or Draw
58.2%
Avg Implied -
32%
26%
42%
covers NSI Runavik + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik or HB Torshavn
74.0%
Avg Implied -
32%
26%
42%
covers NSI Runavik + HB Torshavn
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or HB Torshavn
67.8%
Avg Implied -
32%
26%
42%
covers Draw + HB Torshavn
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
NSI Runavik over/under 0.5
Over
76.0%
Under
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 1.5
Over
41.8%
Under
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 2.5
Over
17.3%
Under
82.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 3.5
Over
5.7%
Under
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 0.5
Over
80.8%
Under
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 1.5
Over
49.1%
Under
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 2.5
Over
23.0%
Under
77.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 3.5
Over
8.6%
Under
91.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to NSI Runavik, so a minus line means NSI Runavik give that many goals of a start and HB Torshavn receive them. At -1, NSI Runavik must win by two or more to land; a one-goal NSI Runavik win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (NSI Runavik)
NSI Runavik -2
5.6%
Draw -2
9.7%
HB Torshavn +2
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (NSI Runavik)
NSI Runavik -1
15.3%
Draw -1
17.0%
HB Torshavn +1
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (NSI Runavik)
NSI Runavik +1
58.2%
Draw +1
19.8%
HB Torshavn -1
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (NSI Runavik)
NSI Runavik +2
77.9%
Draw +2
12.9%
HB Torshavn -2
9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
NSI Runavik
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.60
0.93
0.47
1.20
0.73
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
0.88
1.00
0.75
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (13)
1.77
0.38
1.12
0.25
2.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Torshavn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HB Torshavn
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.30
0.53
0.33
1.20
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.31
0.31
0.17
0.50
0.43
0.14
vs Weaker (17)
1.29
0.29
0.78
0.22
1.88
0.38
Clean sheet %
77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (NSI Runavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
NSI Runavik over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
NSI Runavik
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.97
1.40
0.60
1.13
1.33
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
1.25
1.00
0.75
0.75
1.75
vs Similar (9)
1.22
1.56
1.00
1.33
1.33
1.67
vs Weaker (13)
1.54
0.38
1.75
0.25
1.20
0.60
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Torshavn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HB Torshavn
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
0.67
1.80
0.87
1.47
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.46
0.77
1.67
1.33
1.29
0.29
vs Weaker (17)
1.76
0.59
1.89
0.56
1.62
0.62
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (NSI Runavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
NSI Runavik over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (28)
€3m
NR (29)
€3m
HT (24)
€2m
BT (27)
€2m
VG (21)
€2m
B68 (28)
€1m
E/S (30)
€1m
0V (30)
€1m
AB (18)
€1m
SKÁ (20)
€0m
NSI Runavik and HB Torshavn have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (9)
€1m
HT (7)
€1m
NR (6)
€1m
VG (7)
€1m
BT (9)
€1m
B68 (8)
€0m
E/S (6)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
0V (4)
€0m
AB (3)
€0m
NSI Runavik and HB Torshavn have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NR (10)
€1m
KK (8)
€1m
HT (8)
€1m
BT (6)
€0m
B68 (12)
€0m
AB (8)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
VG (4)
€0m
0V (10)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
NSI Runavik and HB Torshavn have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (11)
€1m
NR (13)
€1m
VG (10)
€1m
BT (12)
€1m
HT (9)
€1m
0V (16)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
SKÁ (10)
€0m
AB (7)
€0m
B68 (8)
€0m
NSI Runavik and HB Torshavn have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
KI Klaksvik
Vikingur Gota
07 Vestur
Skála
B36 Torshavn
EB / Streymur
AB
B68