NSI Runavik is the clear favourite to win at home against Skála, thanks to their strong recent form and the away side's weakness when playing on the road. Skála has struggled to score when playing away, averaging just 0.44 goals conceded per match, which should provide little challenge for NSI Runavik's home defence.
The model predicts a 62% chance of a home win, with a 21% probability of a draw and a 17% chance of an away win. The model's selection is a home win, and the expected total number of goals is 3.3.
The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favour of NSI Runavik, with a probability of 9.8%. NSI Runavik has averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 goals conceded at home, while Skála averages 4.11 goals scored and 0.44 goals conceded when playing away.
The model's suggested picks include an over 1.5 goals selection, which has an 85.3% probability, and an edge of 3%. The home win percentage is 62%, the draw percentage is 21%, and the away win percentage is 17%.
Results analysis
NSI Runavik's recent form storyline continues to be one of a win extending their run, as they secured a convincing 4-0 victory over Skála. The actual result was a home win, in line with the Pythia prediction model's call, which was correct given its pre-match probability of 62%. The model's selection, a home win, was the clear favourite heading into the match.
The model's selection largely came in, with the suggested pick of 'Over 1.5' goals hitting, as the final score was 4-0. The probability of this pick was 85.3%, indicating a high degree of confidence in this outcome.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
NSI Runavik win✓ Hit
61.7%
Avg Implied 64.2% · @ 1.41
Edge
-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Dafabet
1.43
1xBet
1.43
Draw✗ Miss
21.3%
Avg Implied 20.7% · @ 4.36
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
4.70
Betfair
4.60
Dafabet
4.60
10Bet
4.60
BetVictor
4.40
Skála win✗ Miss
17.0%
Avg Implied 15.1% · @ 5.96
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
6.75
BetVictor
6.50
10Bet
6.40
1xBet
6.06
Dafabet
6.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
NSI Runavik
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.53
1.47
1.85
1.00
3.06
1.82
vs Stronger (7)
1.29
2.14
1.75
1.50
0.67
3.00
vs Similar (10)
2.20
2.10
1.33
2.00
2.57
2.14
vs Weaker (13)
3.46
0.62
2.17
0.17
4.57
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Skála) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Skála
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
3.23
0.73
3.27
0.27
3.20
1.20
vs Stronger (7)
2.86
1.71
3.50
0.50
2.00
3.33
vs Similar (13)
2.46
0.62
2.50
0.17
2.43
1.00
vs Weaker (10)
4.50
0.20
4.00
0.20
5.00
0.20
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (NSI Runavik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.3%
@ 1.14+4.3%
Under 1.5
14.7%
@ 4.85-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.17
888Sport
1.14
Betfair
1.14
BetVictor
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Under
Betfair
5.50
888Sport
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.65
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.5%
@ 1.50+3.1%
Under 2.5
35.5%
@ 2.38-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
10Bet
1.55
BetVictor
1.54
Pinnacle
1.54
Marathonbet
1.50
Under
Unibet
2.55
Betfair
2.55
888Sport
2.45
Superbet
2.40
Pinnacle
2.36
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.5%
@ 2.26+1.7%
Under 3.5
57.5%
@ 1.56-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.38
Pinnacle
2.37
1xBet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.32
Betfair
2.30
Under
Unibet
1.64
Betfair
1.60
888Sport
1.57
Superbet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.54
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.5%
@ 1.66+4.9%
No
39.5%
@ 2.08-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
10Bet
1.73
BetVictor
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
No
888Sport
2.15
William Hil
2.15
Betfair
2.15
Unibet
2.08
1xBet
2.08
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.8%@ 7.24+4.0%
1-1
9.7%@ 8.06+4.5%
2-0
8.9%@ 7.11+2.9%
3-1
7.2%@ 9.58+2.8%
1-0
7.1%@ 7.79+1.7%
3-0
6.6%@ 9.33+2.0%
2-2
5.4%@ 13.97+2.4%
1-2
4.9%@ 16.50+2.3%
NSI Runavik goals ↓
Skála goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.5%
3.1%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
1
7.1%
9.7%
4.9%
1.8%
0.5%
2
8.9%
9.8%
5.4%
2.0%
0.6%
3
6.6%
7.2%
4.0%
1.5%
0.4%
4
3.6%
4.0%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = NSI Runavik goals (down), columns = Skála goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
HB Torshavn
2.75
NSI Runavik
1.88
Vikingur Gota
1.57
07 Vestur
1.38
Skála
1.38
KI Klaksvik
1.33
EB / Streymur
1.14
B36 Torshavn
1.12
AB
0.75
B68
0.50
NSI Runavik is 0.50 points better than Skála in terms of average points per game (1.88 vs 1.38).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
HB Torshavn
2.62
NSI Runavik
2.25
EB / Streymur
1.71
Vikingur Gota
1.57
KI Klaksvik
1.33
07 Vestur
1.25
Skála
1.12
AB
1.12
B36 Torshavn
0.75
B68
0.50
NSI Runavik is 1.12 goals better than Skála in terms of goals scored per game (2.25 vs 1.12).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
HB Torshavn
0.50
B68
1.25
KI Klaksvik
1.33
NSI Runavik
1.38
07 Vestur
1.38
B36 Torshavn
1.38
Vikingur Gota
1.43
Skála
1.75
EB / Streymur
1.86
AB
2.00
NSI Runavik is 0.38 goals better than Skála in terms of goals conceded per game (1.38 vs 1.75).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
NSI Runavik
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.63
0.69
0.54
1.41
0.71
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.14
1.00
1.00
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (10)
0.60
0.60
0.33
0.67
0.71
0.57
vs Weaker (13)
1.69
0.38
0.67
0.17
2.57
0.57
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Skála) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Skála
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.40
1.33
0.07
1.27
0.73
vs Stronger (7)
1.14
0.71
1.25
0.00
1.00
1.67
vs Similar (13)
0.77
0.46
0.67
0.17
0.86
0.71
vs Weaker (10)
2.10
0.10
2.20
0.00
2.00
0.20
Clean sheet %
73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (NSI Runavik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
NSI Runavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
NSI Runavik
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.83
1.15
0.46
1.65
1.12
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.00
0.75
0.50
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (10)
1.60
1.50
1.00
1.33
1.86
1.57
vs Weaker (13)
1.77
0.23
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.43
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Skála) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Skála
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
0.33
1.93
0.20
1.93
0.47
vs Stronger (7)
1.71
1.00
2.25
0.50
1.00
1.67
vs Similar (13)
1.69
0.15
1.83
0.00
1.57
0.29
vs Weaker (10)
2.40
0.10
1.80
0.20
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (NSI Runavik) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
NSI Runavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
85.3%
1.14
10Bet
1.17
888Sport
1.14
Betfair
1.14
BetVictor
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
+4.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (28)
€3m
NR (29)
€3m
HT (24)
€2m
BT (27)
€2m
VG (21)
€2m
B68 (28)
€1m
E/S (30)
€1m
0V (30)
€1m
AB (18)
€1m
SKÁ (20)
€0m
NSI Runavik's squad is €2m more valuable than Skála's (€3m vs €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (9)
€1m
HT (7)
€1m
NR (6)
€1m
VG (7)
€1m
BT (9)
€1m
B68 (8)
€0m
E/S (6)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
0V (4)
€0m
AB (3)
€0m
NSI Runavik and Skála have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NR (10)
€1m
KK (8)
€1m
HT (8)
€1m
BT (6)
€0m
B68 (12)
€0m
AB (8)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
VG (4)
€0m
0V (10)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
NSI Runavik's midfield is €1m more valuable than Skála's (€1m vs €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (11)
€1m
NR (13)
€1m
VG (10)
€1m
BT (12)
€1m
HT (9)
€1m
0V (16)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
SKÁ (10)
€0m
AB (7)
€0m
B68 (8)
€0m
NSI Runavik and Skála have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
HB Torshavn
Vikingur Gota
07 Vestur
B36 Torshavn
KI Klaksvik
EB / Streymur
AB
B68