NSI Runavik are favoured to win at home, with a 47 % chance of victory, 26 % for a draw and 27 % for Vikingur Gota to win. The model expects 2.9 goals overall, with the most likely total being 2 goals at a 24 % probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a 12.4 % chance. Runavik, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, average 2.33 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per match. Vikingur Gota, on the road, average 1.4 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.0 %), Under 6.5 (97.1 %), Away under 3.5 goals (96.4 %), Under 5.5 (92.6 %), Home under 3.5 goals (91.0 %), Home +2 handicap (88.6 %), Away under 2.5 goals (87.5 %) and Under 4.5 (83.2 %). The recent form shows Runavik coming off a 2-2 draw and Vikingur Gota a 0-0 draw, both against similar-strength opponents.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
NSI Runavik win
47.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vikingur Gota win
26.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
NSI Runavik
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.33
1.57
2.33
1.07
2.33
2.07
vs Stronger (8)
1.50
2.12
2.00
1.50
1.00
2.75
vs Similar (9)
1.67
2.22
1.33
2.00
1.83
2.33
vs Weaker (13)
3.31
0.77
2.88
0.50
4.00
1.20
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Vikingur Gota) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vikingur Gota
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.27
1.75
1.50
1.50
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.18
1.53
1.50
1.90
0.71
1.00
vs Weaker (13)
2.23
0.92
2.17
0.83
2.29
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (NSI Runavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.5%
Under 1.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55.2%
Under 2.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
32.8%
Under 3.5
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
58.2%
No
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
NSI Runavik goals ↓
Vikingur Gota goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.7%
5.6%
4.1%
1.6%
0.5%
1
8.2%
12%
6.8%
2.8%
0.8%
2
7.8%
9.5%
5.7%
2.3%
0.7%
3
4.4%
5.3%
3.2%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.8%
2.2%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = NSI Runavik goals (down), columns = Vikingur Gota goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
HB Torshavn
2.75
NSI Runavik
1.88
Vikingur Gota
1.57
KI Klaksvik
1.57
07 Vestur
1.38
Skála
1.38
B36 Torshavn
1.12
EB / Streymur
1.00
AB
0.75
B68
0.50
NSI Runavik is 0.30 points better than Vikingur Gota in terms of average points per game (1.88 vs 1.57).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
HB Torshavn
2.62
NSI Runavik
2.25
Vikingur Gota
1.57
KI Klaksvik
1.57
EB / Streymur
1.50
07 Vestur
1.25
Skála
1.12
AB
1.12
B36 Torshavn
0.75
B68
0.50
NSI Runavik is 0.68 goals better than Vikingur Gota in terms of goals scored per game (2.25 vs 1.57).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
HB Torshavn
0.50
KI Klaksvik
1.14
B68
1.25
NSI Runavik
1.38
07 Vestur
1.38
B36 Torshavn
1.38
Vikingur Gota
1.43
Skála
1.75
EB / Streymur
2.00
AB
2.00
NSI Runavik is 0.05 goals better than Vikingur Gota in terms of goals conceded per game (1.38 vs 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
NSI Runavik or Draw
73.6%
Avg Implied -
47%
26%
26%
covers NSI Runavik + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik or Vikingur Gota
73.7%
Avg Implied -
47%
26%
26%
covers NSI Runavik + Vikingur Gota
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Vikingur Gota
52.8%
Avg Implied -
47%
26%
26%
covers Draw + Vikingur Gota
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
NSI Runavik over/under 0.5
Over
81.4%
Under
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 1.5
Over
50.0%
Under
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 2.5
Over
23.7%
Under
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 3.5
Over
9.0%
Under
91.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vikingur Gota over/under 0.5
Over
70.2%
Under
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vikingur Gota over/under 1.5
Over
34.1%
Under
65.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vikingur Gota over/under 2.5
Over
12.3%
Under
87.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vikingur Gota over/under 3.5
Over
3.5%
Under
96.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to NSI Runavik, so a minus line means NSI Runavik give that many goals of a start and Vikingur Gota receive them. At -1, NSI Runavik must win by two or more to land; a one-goal NSI Runavik win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (NSI Runavik)
NSI Runavik -2
11.0%
Draw -2
14.7%
Vikingur Gota +2
74.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (NSI Runavik)
NSI Runavik -1
25.7%
Draw -1
21.5%
Vikingur Gota +1
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (NSI Runavik)
NSI Runavik +1
73.6%
Draw +1
15.2%
Vikingur Gota -1
11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (NSI Runavik)
NSI Runavik +2
88.8%
Draw +2
7.6%
Vikingur Gota -2
3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
NSI Runavik
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.60
0.93
0.47
1.20
0.73
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
0.88
1.00
0.75
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (13)
1.77
0.38
1.12
0.25
2.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Vikingur Gota) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vikingur Gota
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.57
0.88
0.50
0.79
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.53
0.71
0.80
0.70
0.14
0.71
vs Weaker (13)
1.23
0.38
1.00
0.17
1.43
0.57
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (NSI Runavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.1%
Under 0.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
33.0%
Under 1.5
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.2%
Under 2.5
87.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
NSI Runavik over/under 0.5 HT
Over
49.7%
Under
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.9%
Under
87.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vikingur Gota over/under 0.5 HT
Over
39.0%
Under
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vikingur Gota over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.5%
Under
91.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vikingur Gota over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
NSI Runavik
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.97
1.40
0.60
1.13
1.33
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
1.25
1.00
0.75
0.75
1.75
vs Similar (9)
1.22
1.56
1.00
1.33
1.33
1.67
vs Weaker (13)
1.54
0.38
1.75
0.25
1.20
0.60
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Vikingur Gota) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vikingur Gota
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.70
0.88
1.00
0.71
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.82
0.70
1.20
0.57
0.29
vs Weaker (13)
1.00
0.54
1.17
0.67
0.86
0.43
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (NSI Runavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.5%
Under 0.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
44.3%
Under 1.5
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.4%
Under 2.5
80.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
NSI Runavik over/under 0.5 2H
Over
50.5%
Under
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 1.5 2H
Over
21.4%
Under
78.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.7%
Under
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vikingur Gota over/under 0.5 2H
Over
47.1%
Under
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vikingur Gota over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.7%
Under
84.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vikingur Gota over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.9%
Under
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (28)
€3m
NR (29)
€3m
HT (24)
€2m
BT (27)
€2m
VG (21)
€2m
B68 (28)
€1m
E/S (30)
€1m
0V (30)
€1m
AB (18)
€1m
SKÁ (20)
€0m
NSI Runavik's squad is €1m more valuable than Vikingur Gota's (€3m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (9)
€1m
HT (7)
€1m
NR (6)
€1m
VG (7)
€1m
BT (9)
€1m
B68 (8)
€0m
E/S (6)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
0V (4)
€0m
AB (3)
€0m
NSI Runavik and Vikingur Gota have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NR (10)
€1m
KK (8)
€1m
HT (8)
€1m
BT (6)
€0m
B68 (12)
€0m
AB (8)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
VG (4)
€0m
0V (10)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
NSI Runavik's midfield is €1m more valuable than Vikingur Gota's (€1m vs €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (11)
€1m
NR (13)
€1m
VG (10)
€1m
BT (12)
€1m
HT (9)
€1m
0V (16)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
SKÁ (10)
€0m
AB (7)
€0m
B68 (8)
€0m
NSI Runavik and Vikingur Gota have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin stats & trends →