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Nyiregyhaza vs Vasas Result & Analysis

Date: 20/04/2024
Time: 10:30
Final 3-1
Nyiregyhaza
Nyiregyhaza
Vs
41%
28%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Vasas
Vasas
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Nyiregyhaza and Vasas face a tightly balanced contest, with the model favouring a home win at 41%. The expected total of 2.7 goals points to a moderate scoring game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.4% chance. Nyiregyhaza, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.5 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded, while Vasas, on the road, scores 1.38 and concedes 1.38. The model’s selections include an 76.4% chance of Over 1.5 and a 71.3% chance of Under 3.5. Draw odds sit at 28%, and the away win probability is 31%. The final score of 3-1 confirms the home win prediction. The recent form shows Nyiregyhaza coming off a draw, whereas Vasas has just returned from two defeats. All figures are presented exactly as supplied.

Results analysis

Nyiregyhaza’s 3-1 victory over Vasas extends their recent form, coming off a draw to lift the win streak. The model had picked a home win with a 41% probability, and it proved correct. The most likely scoreline was 2-1 at 8.9%, yet the match finished 3-1, a higher-than-expected tally. The Over 1.5 selection hit, as the game saw more than 1.5 goals, while the Under 3.5 missed, reflecting the higher total. The model’s 76.4% chance for Over 1.5 was accurate, whereas its 71.3% chance for Under 3.5 proved wrong. Overall, the predictions were largely on target.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nyiregyhaza win✓ Hit
41.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vasas win✗ Miss
30.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D21W10W11D23L00D30W21W10WH·TIS04/02A·BUD11/02H·SZO18/02A·GYO26/02H·SOR04/03A·BUD10/03H·SZE17/03A·MTE30/03H·PÉC08/04A·KAZ14/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.930.731.800.472.071.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)1.640.761.500.501.771.00
vs Weaker (5)3.400.603.000.334.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VasasVasas

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W00D41W11D10W00D21W20W32W21WA·MTE11/02A·BUD14/02H·PÉC19/02A·KAZ25/02A·SIO03/03H·AJK10/03A·GYI17/03H·BVS31/03A·CSA07/04H·KOZ15/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.030.932.270.471.801.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.940.832.400.401.381.38
vs Weaker (12)2.171.082.000.602.291.43
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.4%
Under 1.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.7%
Under 2.5
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.7%
Under 3.5
71.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.8%
No
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.6%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-1
7.1%
2-2
5.5%
Nyiregyhaza goals ↓
Vasas goals →
01234
07.9%7.1%5.1%2.1%0.7%
18.6%13%7.5%3.1%1.0%
27.2%8.9%5.5%2.3%0.7%
33.5%4.4%2.7%1.1%0.3%
41.3%1.6%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nyiregyhaza goals (down), columns = Vasas goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nyiregyhaza
2.32
Gyori ETO FC
2.03
Vasas
1.97
Szeged 2011
1.76
Kozarmisleny FC
1.53
Gyirmot SE
1.44
Soroksar
1.32
Kazincbarcikai
1.29
Budafoki LC
1.29
Budapest Honved
1.29
Csakvar
1.26
Ajka
1.26
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.12
BVSC
1.12
Pécsi MFC
1.06
Tiszakecske FC
1.00
Siofok
0.91
MTE 1904
0.62
Nyiregyhaza is 0.35 points better than Vasas in terms of average points per game (2.32 vs 1.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vasas
2.12
Nyiregyhaza
2.03
Gyori ETO FC
1.91
Kozarmisleny FC
1.62
Gyirmot SE
1.44
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.24
Csakvar
1.15
Soroksar
1.15
Budapest Honved
1.15
Kazincbarcikai
1.09
Budafoki LC
1.09
Siofok
1.06
Szeged 2011
1.03
Tiszakecske FC
0.97
Ajka
0.88
MTE 1904
0.85
BVSC
0.79
Pécsi MFC
0.59
Nyiregyhaza is 0.09 goals worse than Vasas in terms of goals scored per game (2.03 vs 2.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Szeged 2011
0.68
Nyiregyhaza
0.79
Vasas
0.97
Ajka
0.97
Budapest Honved
1.06
Gyori ETO FC
1.09
Pécsi MFC
1.15
Tiszakecske FC
1.18
BVSC
1.18
Kazincbarcikai
1.21
Budafoki LC
1.29
Soroksar
1.29
Gyirmot SE
1.32
Csakvar
1.32
Kozarmisleny FC
1.32
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.53
Siofok
1.76
MTE 1904
2.03
Nyiregyhaza is 0.18 goals better than Vasas in terms of goals conceded per game (0.79 vs 0.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W11D10W00D22D00D30W20W10WH·TIS04/02A·BUD11/02H·SZO18/02A·GYO26/02H·SOR04/03A·BUD10/03H·SZE17/03A·MTE30/03H·PÉC08/04A·KAZ14/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.300.930.200.870.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.680.320.670.170.690.46
vs Weaker (5)2.000.202.000.332.000.00
Clean sheet %77% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VasasVasas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W10W10W00D10W10W22D11DA·MTE11/02A·BUD14/02H·PÉC19/02A·KAZ25/02A·SIO03/03H·AJK10/03A·GYI17/03H·BVS31/03A·CSA07/04H·KOZ15/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.430.800.200.870.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.670.390.700.200.620.62
vs Weaker (12)1.080.501.000.201.140.71
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L10W00D11D01L00D00D01L00DH·TIS04/02A·BUD11/02H·SZO18/02A·GYO26/02H·SOR04/03A·BUD10/03H·SZE17/03A·MTE30/03H·PÉC08/04A·KAZ14/04
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.430.870.271.200.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.960.440.830.331.080.54
vs Weaker (5)1.400.401.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VasasVasas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D31W01L00D00D11D10W10W10WA·MTE11/02A·BUD14/02H·PÉC19/02A·KAZ25/02A·SIO03/03H·AJK10/03A·GYI17/03H·BVS31/03A·CSA07/04H·KOZ15/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.501.470.270.930.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.280.441.700.200.750.75
vs Weaker (12)1.080.581.000.401.140.71
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (28)
€16m
NYI (29)
€7m
VAS (28)
€7m
BH (25)
€5m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
Nyiregyhaza and Vasas have a similar squad value (both €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (10)
€7m
NYI (13)
€3m
VAS (11)
€3m
BH (6)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
Nyiregyhaza and Vasas have a similar attack value (both €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (6)
€4m
VAS (7)
€2m
NYI (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
Nyiregyhaza's midfield is €1m less valuable than Vasas's (€1m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (12)
€5m
NYI (11)
€3m
BH (14)
€3m
VAS (10)
€2m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SOR (6)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
Nyiregyhaza's defence is €1m more valuable than Vasas's (€3m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
NYI wins
0
Draws
1
VAS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nyiregyhaza vs Vasas · H/A from NYI
DateH/AGameScore
22/10/23AVasas Vs NYI3-0

NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/04/24AKazincbarcikai Vs NYI0-1
08/04/24HNYI Vs Pécsi MFC2-1
30/03/24AMTE 1904 Vs NYI0-3
17/03/24HNYI Vs Szeged 20110-0
10/03/24ABudafoki LC Vs NYI3-2
04/03/24HNYI Vs Soroksar1-1
26/02/24AGyori ETO FC Vs NYI0-1
18/02/24HNYI Vs Szombathelyi Haladas2-1
11/02/24ABudapest Honved Vs NYI1-1
04/02/24HNYI Vs Tiszakecske FC2-0

VasasVasas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/04/24HVAS Vs Kozarmisleny FC2-1
07/04/24ACsakvar Vs VAS2-3
31/03/24HVAS Vs BVSC2-0
17/03/24AGyirmot SE Vs VAS1-2
10/03/24HVAS Vs Ajka0-0
03/03/24ASiofok Vs VAS0-1
25/02/24AKazincbarcikai Vs VAS1-1
19/02/24HVAS Vs Pécsi MFC4-1
14/02/24ABudafoki LC Vs VAS0-0
11/02/24AMTE 1904 Vs VAS1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nyiregyhaza
Nyiregyhaza
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWW1.70
HomeWWDDW1.80
AwayDWLWW1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%52%40%
AVG goals2.622.442.80
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %44%40%48%
Over 3.5 %22%16%28%
Scored1.581.481.68
Conceded1.040.961.12
BTTS60%56%64%
Clean Sheet34%36%32%
Corners---
Cards---
Vasas
Vasas
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW1.48
HomeDWDWW1.52
AwayDDWWW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%40%36%
AVG goals2.702.642.76
Over 1.5 %72%68%76%
Over 2.5 %50%52%48%
Over 3.5 %30%32%28%
Scored1.581.721.44
Conceded1.120.921.32
BTTS52%40%64%
Clean Sheet34%40%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza3479
71%
2.3
6927+42
2.8
82%
50%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.00.8
-
2Gyori ETO FCGyori ETO FC3469
65%
2.0
6537+28
3.0
71%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
7451.91.1
-
3VasasVasas3467
56%
2.0
7233+39
3.1
79%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3222.11.0
-
4Szeged 2011Szeged 20113460
44%
1.8
3523+12
1.7
53%
15%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.00.7
-
5Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC3452
44%
1.5
5545+10
2.9
85%
56%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.61.3
-
6Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE3449
35%
1.4
4945+4
2.8
74%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
7SoroksarSoroksar3445
35%
1.3
3944-5
2.4
74%
44%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.11.3
-
8Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved3444
32%
1.3
3936+3
2.2
65%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.11.1
-
9KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai3444
32%
1.3
3741-4
2.3
65%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.2
-
10Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3444
35%
1.3
3744-7
2.4
71%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
11AjkaAjka3443
38%
1.3
3033-3
1.9
53%
26%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.0
-
12CsakvarCsakvar3443
35%
1.3
3945-6
2.5
68%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
13Szombathelyi HaladasSzombathelyi Haladas3438
26%
1.1
4252-10
2.8
79%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
14BVSCBVSC3438
29%
1.1
2740-13
2.0
62%
29%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.81.2
-
15Pécsi MFCPécsi MFC3436
24%
1.1
2039-19
1.7
44%
29%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.1
-
16Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC3434
21%
1.0
3340-7
2.1
71%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.2
-
17SiofokSiofok3431
24%
0.9
3660-24
2.8
74%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
18MTE 1904MTE 19043421
15%
0.6
2969-40
2.9
74%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
Hungary: NB II 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

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