This highly anticipated match between Oddevold and Helsingborg in the Sweden: Superettan league is finely balanced, with both teams coming off draws in their last fixtures. Oddevold drew 1-1 against Landskrona BoIS, while Helsingborg drew 1-1 against GIF Sundsvall. The model predicts a home win for Oddevold, with a 37% chance of a home victory, 26% chance of a draw, and 37% chance of an away win.
The expected total goals in this match is 3.1, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 11.9%. Oddevold has averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.42 goals conceded at home, while Helsingborg has averaged 1.64 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded away from home against similar opponents.
The model's selections include Over 1.5, with an 82.6% chance of occurrence, and Over 21.5 fouls, with a 70.3% chance of occurrence. The home win percentage is 37%, the draw percentage is 26%, and the away win percentage is 37%.
Results analysis
Oddevold extended their unbeaten run with a 3-1 win over Helsingborg, confirming the model’s home-win pick. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was selected with a 37 % probability and proved correct. The model’s under-goals selections all hit: Under 7.5 (98.6 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.4 %), Under 6.5 (96.1 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.4 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.1 %), Home under 3.5 goals (92.8 %), and Away under 3.5 goals (92.8 %). With the final score of 3-1, the model’s predictions largely aligned with reality, underscoring its accuracy in this fixture.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Oddevold win✓ Hit
36.9%
Avg Implied 47.9% · @ 1.92
Edge
-10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.98
Dafabet
1.96
1xBet
1.95
Betano
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Draw✗ Miss
26.0%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.51
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.70
10Bet
3.65
Pinnacle
3.63
Dafabet
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
Helsingborg win✗ Miss
37.1%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.55
Edge
+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.71
10Bet
3.70
Unibet
3.70
Betfair
3.70
BetVictor
3.60
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Oddevold
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.57
1.14
1.50
1.75
1.62
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.50
0.00
3.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
1.54
1.50
1.23
1.38
1.80
1.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Helsingborg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.87
1.80
1.53
1.47
2.20
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
4.00
-
-
0.50
4.00
vs Similar (28)
1.71
1.71
1.80
1.53
1.62
1.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Oddevold) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.6%
@ 1.21+6.0%
Under 1.5
17.4%
@ 3.97-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
Betano
1.23
888Sport
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.33
Pinnacle
4.19
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
4.00
BetVictor
4.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.9%
@ 1.72+5.4%
Under 2.5
40.1%
@ 2.06-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.77
Pinnacle
1.75
10Bet
1.75
888Sport
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
Under
Betfair
2.15
Pinnacle
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Bet365
2.08
Unibet
2.08
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.6%
@ 2.74+3.7%
Under 3.5
62.4%
@ 1.40-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
2.88
888Sport
2.88
10Bet
2.85
Pinnacle
2.82
Bet365
2.75
Under
Betfair
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Superbet
1.42
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.2%
@ 1.61+5.8%
No
36.8%
@ 2.17-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.62
Betfair
1.62
888Sport
1.62
Betano
1.62
No
Betfair
2.25
888Sport
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Betano
2.18
1xBet
2.18
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%@ 6.56+5.1%
1-2
8.4%@ 11.08+4.4%
2-1
8.4%@ 7.78+2.7%
2-2
6.5%@ 11.80+2.7%
0-1
5.9%@ 11.38+2.0%
1-0
5.9%@ 8.02+0.4%
0-0
5.6%@ 11.40+1.7%
0-2
5.4%@ 18.72+3.0%
Oddevold goals ↓
Helsingborg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.6%
5.9%
5.4%
2.8%
1.1%
1
5.9%
12%
8.4%
4.3%
1.7%
2
5.4%
8.4%
6.5%
3.4%
1.3%
3
2.8%
4.3%
3.4%
1.7%
0.7%
4
1.1%
1.7%
1.3%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Oddevold goals (down), columns = Helsingborg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.24
Falkenbergs FF
1.81
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.76
Ostersunds FK
1.67
Osters IF
1.57
United Nordic
1.52
Landskrona BoIS
1.48
Oddevold
1.38
Sandviken
1.29
Helsingborg
1.24
Ljungskile SK
1.14
Norrby IF
1.10
IFK Varnamo
1.05
IK brage
1.00
Orebro SK
0.95
GIF Sundsvall
0.62
Oddevold is 0.14 points better than Helsingborg in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Falkenbergs FF
1.95
IFK Norrkoping
1.95
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.81
IK brage
1.67
Sandviken
1.62
Oddevold
1.62
Helsingborg
1.62
United Nordic
1.52
Osters IF
1.52
Ostersunds FK
1.43
Ljungskile SK
1.29
Landskrona BoIS
1.29
Norrby IF
1.19
IFK Varnamo
1.19
Orebro SK
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.71
Oddevold and Helsingborg are level in goals scored per game (both 1.62).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.62
Landskrona BoIS
1.05
Ostersunds FK
1.10
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.29
Norrby IF
1.33
Ljungskile SK
1.33
United Nordic
1.43
Osters IF
1.43
Falkenbergs FF
1.43
Sandviken
1.48
Oddevold
1.48
Orebro SK
1.57
IFK Varnamo
1.81
Helsingborg
1.95
IK brage
2.00
GIF Sundsvall
2.10
Oddevold is 0.48 goals better than Helsingborg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.48 vs 1.95).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
57%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ostersunds FK
53%
Osters IF
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Ljungskile SK
50%
Oddevold
50%
Orebro SK
50%
United Nordic
49%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
45%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
Oddevold is 4.9 percentage points better than Helsingborg in terms of average possession (50% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Oddevold
For 5.7 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.9 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 12.6 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Helsingborg
For 4.8 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 11.7 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Oddevold
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.9
8.3
1.0
1.3
0.7
21.9
21.3
23.4
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
9.4
9.9
8.3
1.0
1.4
0.7
21.9
21.3
23.4
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
40%
50%
17%
8%
9%
7%
47%
42%
60%
% under line
60%
50%
83%
92%
91%
93%
53%
58%
40%
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Helsingborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.2
9.2
1.4
1.2
1.5
24.8
22.5
25.9
vs Stronger (6)
8.0
8.0
-
1.7
5.0
0.0
23.0
23.0
-
vs Similar (43)
9.4
9.8
9.2
1.4
0.9
1.9
25.1
22.0
25.9
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
53%
33%
67%
22%
16%
28%
58%
50%
62%
% under line
47%
67%
33%
78%
84%
72%
42%
50%
38%
This opponent (Oddevold) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Osters IF
11.8
IFK Norrkoping
11.5
IFK Varnamo
11.0
Helsingborg
10.4
Landskrona BoIS
10.3
IK brage
10.3
Ljungskile SK
10.2
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.1
GIF Sundsvall
10.0
Sandviken
9.9
Oddevold
9.5
Ostersunds FK
9.4
Orebro SK
9.4
United Nordic
9.1
Norrby IF
9.0
Falkenbergs FF
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
IFK Norrkoping
4.2
Helsingborg
4.1
Landskrona BoIS
4.0
Osters IF
3.9
Ljungskile SK
3.8
Norrby IF
3.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.7
Orebro SK
3.7
IK brage
3.6
Ostersunds FK
3.4
IFK Varnamo
3.3
Sandviken
3.3
GIF Sundsvall
3.0
Oddevold
2.9
United Nordic
2.7
Falkenbergs FF
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
United Nordic
29.8
IFK Norrkoping
27.0
Ljungskile SK
26.6
Varbergs BoIS FC
26.6
Osters IF
25.2
Ostersunds FK
25.1
Norrby IF
24.3
Helsingborg
24.2
IK brage
24.1
Landskrona BoIS
23.9
Orebro SK
23.7
Sandviken
23.5
Falkenbergs FF
23.3
IFK Varnamo
22.8
Oddevold
21.4
GIF Sundsvall
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.4%
@ 2.15+5.4%
Under 9.5
51.6%
@ 1.62-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.27
Marathonbet
2.26
1xBet
2.17
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.07
Under
Unibet
1.67
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.67
1xBet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.57
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
36.6%
Under 3.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
70.3%
Under 21.5
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Oddevold or Draw✓ Hit
62.9%
Avg Implied 74.1% · @ 1.26
Edge
-11.1%
37%
26%
37%
covers Oddevold + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
888Sport
1.29
Superbet
1.26
Oddevold or Helsingborg✓ Hit
74.0%
Avg Implied 74.3% · @ 1.26
Edge
-0.3%
37%
26%
37%
covers Oddevold + Helsingborg
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Draw or Helsingborg✗ Miss
63.1%
Avg Implied 51.6% · @ 1.81
Edge
+11.5%
37%
26%
37%
covers Draw + Helsingborg
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.91
SBO
1.86
10Bet
1.85
Unibet
1.84
Betano
1.83
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Oddevold over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.8%
@ 1.16-1.5%
Under
21.2%
@ 4.71+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
888Sport
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Under
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
4.75
Unibet
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Oddevold over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
45.9%
@ 1.82-5.1%
Under
54.1%
@ 1.89+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Betfair
2.00
Unibet
1.97
Pinnacle
1.92
10Bet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
Oddevold over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
20.4%
@ 3.62-5.2%
Under
79.6%
@ 1.25+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
3.80
Pinnacle
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.64
Under
Unibet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Oddevold over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.2%
@ 8.20-4.2%
Under
92.8%
@ 1.06+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
888Sport
9.00
1xBet
8.50
Betfair
7.50
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
888Sport
1.06
1xBet
1.03
Helsingborg over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.8%
@ 1.35+10.3%
Under
21.2%
@ 2.94-10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
888Sport
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.08
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Betano
2.95
Superbet
2.95
Helsingborg over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
46.0%
@ 2.73+11.9%
Under
54.0%
@ 1.41-11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.85
BetVictor
2.75
Bet365
2.75
888Sport
2.75
10Bet
2.75
Under
Betano
1.44
Pinnacle
1.42
Superbet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Helsingborg over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.4%
@ 6.82+6.8%
Under
79.6%
@ 1.08-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
888Sport
7.00
10Bet
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
1xBet
6.80
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
888Sport
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Helsingborg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.2%
@ 18.33+2.0%
Under
92.8%
@ 1.01-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
23.00
Bet365
21.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Oddevold, so a minus line means Oddevold give that many goals of a start and Helsingborg receive them. At -1, Oddevold must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Oddevold win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Oddevold)Actual: Draw
Oddevold -2
7.3%
@ 6.65-6.1%
Draw -2
11.3%
@ 5.39-5.3%
Helsingborg +2
81.4%
@ 1.27+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.75
10Bet
6.50
Unibet
6.00
Draw
Marathonbet
5.70
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.00
Away
Unibet
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Handicap -1 (Oddevold)Actual: Oddevold
Oddevold -1
18.6%
@ 3.28-8.7%
Draw -1
18.4%
@ 3.73-5.6%
Helsingborg +1
63.1%
@ 1.83+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.34
10Bet
3.30
Betfair
3.30
Unibet
3.05
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.60
Unibet
3.55
Away
Unibet
1.88
10Bet
1.85
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
Handicap +1 (Oddevold)Actual: Oddevold
Oddevold +1
62.9%
@ 1.25-8.6%
Draw +1
18.4%
@ 5.34+1.7%
Helsingborg -1
18.6%
@ 7.60+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.30
10Bet
5.25
Away
Bet365
8.00
10Bet
7.50
Unibet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.40
Handicap +2 (Oddevold)Actual: Oddevold
Oddevold +2
81.4%
@ 1.07-5.7%
Draw +2
11.3%
@ 11.00+2.8%
Helsingborg -2
7.3%
@ 21.00+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Away
Bet365
21.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Oddevold
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
0.71
0.43
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.71
0.50
0.77
0.38
0.67
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Helsingborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.83
0.60
0.67
0.80
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
0.75
0.75
0.60
0.67
0.92
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Oddevold) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
70.4%
@ 1.32+0.1%
Under 0.5
29.6%
@ 3.12-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
BetVictor
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Under
Betfair
3.30
William Hil
3.25
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
34.8%
@ 2.46-2.8%
Under 1.5
65.2%
@ 1.48+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.59
Betano
2.55
Marathonbet
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Under
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
12.3%
@ 5.93-3.4%
Under 2.5
87.7%
@ 1.10+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
Under
Betano
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Oddevold over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
50.4%
@ 1.73-3.2%
Under
49.6%
@ 2.00+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
Pinnacle
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
Superbet
1.74
10Bet
1.73
Under
1xBet
2.10
Unibet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.04
10Bet
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Oddevold over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
16.3%
@ 4.79-3.1%
Under
83.7%
@ 1.15+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.05
1xBet
5.00
Betano
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Under
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Oddevold over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.6%
@ 10.75-5.1%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.02+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
12.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Helsingborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
39.3%
@ 2.24-1.9%
Under
60.7%
@ 1.58+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.34
1xBet
2.25
Betano
2.25
Marathonbet
2.24
Superbet
2.22
Under
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.58
1xBet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Helsingborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.4%
@ 7.47-3.0%
Under
90.6%
@ 1.06+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.30
1xBet
8.00
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
Helsingborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Oddevold
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.03
0.43
1.07
1.12
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.82
1.00
0.46
1.00
1.13
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Helsingborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.03
1.20
0.87
0.67
1.20
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
-
-
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (28)
0.96
0.96
1.20
0.87
0.69
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Oddevold) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.3%
@ 1.19+1.4%
Under 0.5
20.7%
@ 4.19-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.16
Under
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.25
Superbet
4.20
Betano
4.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
46.7%
@ 1.91-1.9%
Under 1.5
53.3%
@ 1.80+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.95
1xBet
1.92
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
Bet365
1.91
Under
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.81
Unibet
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.8%
@ 3.83-4.3%
Under 2.5
80.2%
@ 1.22+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.82
1xBet
3.82
Superbet
3.80
Under
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Oddevold over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
56.6%
@ 1.53-4.0%
Under
43.4%
@ 2.34+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Under
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.34
Superbet
2.32
Oddevold over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.9%
@ 3.45-6.9%
Under
80.1%
@ 1.26+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.55
1xBet
3.50
Betano
3.30
Under
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Oddevold over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.9%
@ 8.55-4.9%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.03+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.80
Betano
7.30
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.01
Helsingborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
50.0%
@ 1.87+0.6%
Under
50.0%
@ 1.83-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.88
Superbet
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Betano
1.85
Under
Betano
1.87
Superbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.80
Helsingborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.1%
@ 5.32-0.3%
Under
82.9%
@ 1.12+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.75
1xBet
5.40
Betano
4.80
Under
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Helsingborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.6%
@ 10.00-4.7%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.02+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.4%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.1%
1.03
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.8%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
888Sport
1.06
1xBet
1.03
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
92.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
-
-
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.6%
1.06
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.5%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.04
BetVictor
1.02
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.7%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
+3.4%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.7%
1.15
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
-
+3.1%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
82.9%
1.12
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.6%
1.21
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
Betano
1.23
888Sport
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
81.4%
1.27
Unibet
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
+11.4%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
81.4%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-5.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.2%
1.22
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.1%
1.26
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
-
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
79.8%
1.14
10Bet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.16
Superbet
1.15
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
79.6%
1.25
Unibet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.25
+5.2%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
79.6%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
888Sport
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
-6.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.3%
1.19
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.16
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
78.8%
1.35
Betano
1.37
888Sport
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
+10.3%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
78.8%
1.16
Betano
1.19
888Sport
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
-1.5%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.7%
1.19
Unibet
1.26
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
-
-
-1.2%
-
Home or Away
74.0%
1.26
888Sport
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.4%
1.32
Betano
1.37
BetVictor
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Oddevold
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Shahin Leonardo Farah50%
Vincent Sundberg33%
Gabriel Sandberg25%
Olle Kjellman Olblad25%
Gustav Forssell25%
Morten Saetra0%
Hugo Engstrom0%
Erik Hedenquist0%
Adam Engelbrektsson0%
Alexander Almqvist0%
Jesper Merbom Adolfsson0%
Djoro Awaka0%
Emmanuel Gono0%
Elias Forsberg0%
Esim Mehmed0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Emmanuel Gono67%
Morten Saetra0%
Gabriel Sandberg0%
Hugo Engstrom0%
Erik Hedenquist0%
Adam Engelbrektsson0%
Alexander Almqvist0%
Jesper Merbom Adolfsson0%
Shahin Leonardo Farah0%
Olle Kjellman Olblad0%
Djoro Awaka0%
Elias Forsberg0%
Vincent Sundberg0%
Gustav Forssell0%
Esim Mehmed0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexander Almqvist33%
Djoro Awaka33%
Vincent Sundberg33%
Gustav Forssell25%
Morten Saetra0%
Gabriel Sandberg0%
Hugo Engstrom0%
Erik Hedenquist0%
Adam Engelbrektsson0%
Jesper Merbom Adolfsson0%
Shahin Leonardo Farah0%
Olle Kjellman Olblad0%
Emmanuel Gono0%
Elias Forsberg0%
Esim Mehmed0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Olle Kjellman Olblad50%
Morten Saetra0%
Gabriel Sandberg0%
Hugo Engstrom0%
Erik Hedenquist0%
Adam Engelbrektsson0%
Alexander Almqvist0%
Jesper Merbom Adolfsson0%
Shahin Leonardo Farah0%
Djoro Awaka0%
Emmanuel Gono0%
Elias Forsberg0%
Vincent Sundberg0%
Gustav Forssell0%
Esim Mehmed0%
Helsingborg · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrian Svanback36%
Wilhelm Loeper29%
Oscar Aga21%
Marcus Gudmann20%
Ervin Gigović9%
Max Svensson7%
Jon Birkfeldt0%
Johan Brattberg0%
Samuel Asoma0%
Wilhelm Nilsson0%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen0%
Simon Bengtsson0%
Lukas Kjellnas0%
William Westerlund0%
Benjamin Orn0%
Adam Akimey0%
Casper Ljung Hofvendahl0%
Alvin Nordin0%
Ture Görefält0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Wilhelm Nilsson42%
Adrian Svanback27%
Simon Bengtsson25%
Ture Görefält25%
Johan Brattberg15%
Samuel Asoma14%
Jon Birkfeldt11%
Marcus Gudmann10%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen8%
Adam Akimey8%
Lukas Kjellnas8%
Benjamin Orn8%
Max Svensson7%
Oscar Aga0%
Wilhelm Loeper0%
Ervin Gigović0%
William Westerlund0%
Casper Ljung Hofvendahl0%
Alvin Nordin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Wilhelm Loeper21%
Lukas Kjellnas15%
Jon Birkfeldt11%
Marcus Gudmann10%
Ervin Gigović9%
Adam Akimey8%
Oscar Aga0%
Max Svensson0%
Johan Brattberg0%
Samuel Asoma0%
Wilhelm Nilsson0%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen0%
Simon Bengtsson0%
William Westerlund0%
Adrian Svanback0%
Benjamin Orn0%
Casper Ljung Hofvendahl0%
Alvin Nordin0%
Ture Görefält0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Wilhelm Loeper29%
Adrian Svanback18%
Oscar Aga14%
Marcus Gudmann0%
Jon Birkfeldt0%
Max Svensson0%
Johan Brattberg0%
Samuel Asoma0%
Wilhelm Nilsson0%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen0%
Ervin Gigović0%
Simon Bengtsson0%
Lukas Kjellnas0%
William Westerlund0%
Benjamin Orn0%
Adam Akimey0%
Casper Ljung Hofvendahl0%
Alvin Nordin0%
Ture Görefält0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
Oddevold's squad is €2m less valuable than Helsingborg's (€5m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
Oddevold and Helsingborg have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
Oddevold's midfield is €1m less valuable than Helsingborg's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
Oddevold and Helsingborg have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Sweden: Superettan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
IFK Norrkoping
Falkenbergs FF
Varbergs BoIS FC
Ostersunds FK
Osters IF
United Nordic
Landskrona BoIS
Sandviken
Ljungskile SK
Norrby IF
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
Orebro SK
GIF Sundsvall