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Odra Opole vs Pogoń Siedlce Result & Analysis

Date: 06/02/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 1-0
Odra Opole
Odra Opole
Vs
36%
30%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Pogoń Siedlce
Pogoń Siedlce
Poland: I Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Odra Opole and Pogoń Siedlce face a finely balanced clash, with the model favouring a home win. The odds are 36% for Odra, 30% for a draw and 34% for Pogoń. The expected goal tally sits at 2.4, with the most probable total being two goals at 27%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.4% probability. Odra’s home form shows an average of 1.23 goals scored and 1.15 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, while Pogoń’s away record is 1.75 goals scored and 1.5 conceded versus the same tier. Suggested selections include Under 3.5 with a 77.9% chance, and Over 1.5 at 70.5%. The match’s probabilities are 36% for a home win, 30% for a draw, and 34% for an away win.

Results analysis

Odra Opole’s win over Pogoń Siedlce, 1-0, extended their recent run, coming off a victory against Wisła Kraków. The model’s pre-match favourite was a home win with a 36% probability, and the call was correct. The predicted most likely score of 1-1 fell short, but the 1-0 result still matched the actual outcome. The model’s selection of Under 3.5 goals hit, with a 77.9% probability, while Over 1.5 missed, despite a 70.5% chance. The match’s total of two goals aligned with the expected 2.4, and the home side’s 1.23 average goals scored versus the away side’s 1.75 reflected the final scoreline.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Odra Opole win✓ Hit
35.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pogoń Siedlce win✗ Miss
34.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Odra OpoleOdra Opole

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W00D11D02L12L31W01L02L12LA·PUS27/09H·WIE05/10A·POL19/10H·RUC24/10H·PIA28/10A·POG03/11H·GÓR09/11A·POL23/11H·CHR29/11A·MIE06/12
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.231.251.120.791.36
vs Stronger (5)1.201.201.331.001.001.50
vs Similar (23)1.001.301.231.150.701.50
vs Weaker (2)1.000.50--1.000.50
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogoń Siedlce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L31W12L22D31W11D00D00D02L02LA·MIE24/09A·TYC27/09H·POG04/10A·MIE17/10H·ŁKS25/10A·STA02/11A·STA08/11H·WIS23/11A·POL29/11H·WIE06/12
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.131.291.001.311.25
vs Stronger (23)1.261.041.360.911.171.17
vs Similar (6)1.331.500.501.501.751.50
vs Weaker (1)2.001.002.001.00--
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Odra Opole) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
70.5%
Under 1.5
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.0%
Under 2.5
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.1%
Under 3.5
77.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.1%
No
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.4%
1-0 ✓
9.7%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.4%
Odra Opole goals ↓
Pogoń Siedlce goals →
01234
010%9.4%6.4%2.5%0.7%
19.7%14%7.7%3.1%0.9%
26.7%7.9%4.7%1.9%0.5%
32.7%3.2%1.9%0.8%0.2%
40.8%1.0%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Odra Opole goals (down), columns = Pogoń Siedlce goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Wisla Krakow
2.15
Slask Wroclaw
1.79
Wieczysta Kraków
1.75
ŁKS Łódź
1.57
Ruch Chorzów
1.56
Chrobry Głogów
1.56
Miedz Legnica
1.53
Polonia Warszawa
1.51
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.44
Polonia Bytom
1.38
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.32
Odra Opole
1.29
Stal Rzeszów
1.26
Pogoń Siedlce
1.06
Stal Mielec
1.06
Znicz Pruszków
0.82
Górnik Łęczna
0.79
Tychy 71
0.68
Odra Opole is 0.24 points better than Pogoń Siedlce in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.06).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Wisla Krakow
2.18
Wieczysta Kraków
2.08
Slask Wroclaw
2.00
Polonia Bytom
1.65
ŁKS Łódź
1.63
Ruch Chorzów
1.59
Polonia Warszawa
1.54
Miedz Legnica
1.53
Stal Mielec
1.50
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.50
Stal Rzeszów
1.44
Chrobry Głogów
1.39
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.32
Tychy 71
1.18
Znicz Pruszków
1.18
Górnik Łęczna
1.15
Odra Opole
1.00
Pogoń Siedlce
0.97
Odra Opole is 0.03 goals better than Pogoń Siedlce in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Wisla Krakow
0.88
Chrobry Głogów
1.08
Odra Opole
1.18
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.18
Pogoń Siedlce
1.26
Ruch Chorzów
1.35
Wieczysta Kraków
1.39
ŁKS Łódź
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.42
Polonia Bytom
1.47
Polonia Warszawa
1.49
Miedz Legnica
1.56
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.59
Stal Rzeszów
1.76
Górnik Łęczna
1.82
Stal Mielec
1.82
Znicz Pruszków
2.00
Tychy 71
2.18
Odra Opole is 0.09 goals better than Pogoń Siedlce in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 1.26).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Odra OpoleOdra Opole

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00D01L01L11D11D00D00D01LA·PUS27/09H·WIE05/10A·POL19/10H·RUC24/10H·PIA28/10A·POG03/11H·GÓR09/11A·POL23/11H·CHR29/11A·MIE06/12
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.570.500.500.430.64
vs Stronger (5)0.200.800.000.670.501.00
vs Similar (23)0.480.520.620.460.300.60
vs Weaker (2)1.000.50--1.000.50
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogoń Siedlce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W12L21W11D00D00D00D01L00DA·MIE24/09A·TYC27/09H·POG04/10A·MIE17/10H·ŁKS25/10A·STA02/11A·STA08/11H·WIS23/11A·POL29/11H·WIE06/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.500.570.360.560.62
vs Stronger (23)0.570.520.550.270.580.75
vs Similar (6)0.500.500.501.000.500.25
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Odra Opole) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Odra Opole over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogoń Siedlce over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogoń Siedlce over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogoń Siedlce over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Odra OpoleOdra Opole

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W00D10W01L01L20W01L02L11DA·PUS27/09H·WIE05/10A·POL19/10H·RUC24/10H·PIA28/10A·POG03/11H·GÓR09/11A·POL23/11H·CHR29/11A·MIE06/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.670.750.620.360.71
vs Stronger (5)1.000.401.330.330.500.50
vs Similar (23)0.520.780.620.690.400.90
vs Weaker (2)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogoń Siedlce) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W00D01L20W11D00D00D01L02LA·MIE24/09A·TYC27/09H·POG04/10A·MIE17/10H·ŁKS25/10A·STA02/11A·STA08/11H·WIS23/11A·POL29/11H·WIE06/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.630.710.640.750.62
vs Stronger (23)0.700.520.820.640.580.42
vs Similar (6)0.831.000.000.501.251.25
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Odra Opole) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Odra Opole over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Odra Opole over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogoń Siedlce over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogoń Siedlce over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pogoń Siedlce over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.570.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (24)
€13m
WK (22)
€12m
SW (22)
€7m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
ŁŁ (22)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
RC (20)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
PB (21)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
PN (16)
€3m
PGM (15)
€2m
SM (16)
€2m
PS (18)
€2m
Odra Opole's squad is €2m more valuable than Pogoń Siedlce's (€4m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (8)
€6m
WK (8)
€5m
PW (13)
€3m
OO (8)
€2m
SW (5)
€2m
ŁŁ (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SM (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
PS (8)
€1m
PGM (4)
€0m
Odra Opole and Pogoń Siedlce have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SW (9)
€3m
WK (4)
€2m
ML (10)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
PGM (6)
€1m
WK (3)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
ŁŁ (7)
€1m
RC (5)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PN (4)
€0m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
PS (3)
€0m
SM (2)
€0m
Odra Opole's midfield is €1m more valuable than Pogoń Siedlce's (€1m vs €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (12)
€5m
WK (11)
€5m
SW (8)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
ŁŁ (8)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
RC (8)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
PB (5)
€1m
PGM (5)
€1m
PS (7)
€1m
SM (6)
€1m
Odra Opole and Pogoń Siedlce have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
3
OO wins
0
Draws
0
PS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Odra Opole vs Pogoń Siedlce · H/A from OO
DateH/AGameScore
03/08/25APogoń Siedlce Vs OO0-1
08/12/24APogoń Siedlce Vs OO0-1
28/07/24HOO Vs Pogoń Siedlce4-1

Odra OpoleOdra Opole

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/12/25AMiedz Legnica Vs OO2-1
29/11/25HOO Vs Chrobry Głogów0-2
23/11/25APolonia Warszawa Vs OO1-0
09/11/25HOO Vs Górnik Łęczna3-1
03/11/25APogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Vs OO2-1
28/10/25HOO Vs Piast Gliwice0-2
24/10/25HOO Vs Ruch Chorzów1-1
19/10/25APolonia Bytom Vs OO0-0
05/10/25HOO Vs Wieczysta Kraków2-0
27/09/25APuszcza Niepołomice Vs OO1-1

Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/12/25HPS Vs Wieczysta Kraków0-2
29/11/25APolonia Warszawa Vs PS2-0
23/11/25HPS Vs Wisla Krakow0-0
08/11/25AStal Mielec Vs PS0-0
02/11/25AStal Rzeszów Vs PS1-1
25/10/25HPS Vs ŁKS Łódź3-1
17/10/25AMiedz Legnica Vs PS2-2
04/10/25HPS Vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki1-2
27/09/25ATychy 71 Vs PS1-3
24/09/25AMiedz Legnica Vs PS2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Odra Opole
Odra Opole
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.00
HomeWDLWL1.04
AwayDDLLL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%24%24%
AVG goals2.482.442.52
Over 1.5 %72%76%68%
Over 2.5 %46%36%56%
Over 3.5 %20%20%20%
Scored0.960.960.96
Conceded1.521.481.56
BTTS44%44%44%
Clean Sheet24%20%28%
Corners---
Cards---
Pogoń Siedlce
Pogoń Siedlce
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDLL1.02
HomeLLWDL1.12
AwayWDDDL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%25%23%
AVG goals2.442.382.50
Over 1.5 %76%75%77%
Over 2.5 %42%42%42%
Over 3.5 %22%21%23%
Scored1.101.121.08
Conceded1.341.251.42
BTTS60%62%58%
Clean Sheet16%21%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow3371
61%
2.2
7229+43
3.1
88%
55%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
6252.20.9
-
2Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków3663
50%
1.8
7550+25
3.5
89%
61%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
5152.11.4
-
3Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw3359
48%
1.8
6647+19
3.4
94%
76%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2322.01.4
-
4Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów3656
44%
1.6
5039+11
2.5
81%
50%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.1
-
5ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź3555
43%
1.6
5749+8
3.0
86%
66%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.61.4
-
6Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów3453
41%
1.6
5446+8
2.9
88%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.61.4
-
7Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa3553
43%
1.5
5452+2
3.0
83%
60%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3021.51.5
-
8Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica3452
44%
1.5
5253-1
3.1
88%
65%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.51.6
-
9Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice3449
35%
1.4
4540+5
2.5
82%
53%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.31.2
-
10Polonia BytomPolonia Bytom3447
38%
1.4
5650+6
3.1
85%
56%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.5
-
11Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki3445
32%
1.3
5154-3
3.1
88%
71%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.51.6
-
12Odra OpoleOdra Opole3444
32%
1.3
3440-6
2.2
76%
35%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.01.2
-
13Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów3443
35%
1.3
4960-11
3.2
85%
71%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.41.8
-
14Pogoń SiedlcePogoń Siedlce3436
26%
1.1
3343-10
2.2
74%
38%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.3
-
15Stal MielecStal Mielec3436
29%
1.1
5162-11
3.3
91%
71%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.8
-
16Znicz PruszkówZnicz Pruszków3428
21%
0.8
4068-28
3.2
76%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
17Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna3427
15%
0.8
3962-23
3.0
91%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
18Tychy 71Tychy 713423
15%
0.7
4074-34
3.4
79%
68%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
Poland: I Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →

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