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OFI Crete vs Apollon Result & Analysis

Date: 04/11/2018
Time: 00:00
Final 0-0
OC
OFI Crete
Vs
46%
33%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
A
Apollon
Greece: Super League 1
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

OFI Crete win✗ Miss
46.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
33.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Apollon win✗ Miss
20.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

OC
OFI Crete

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D12L13L03L03L11D10W00DA·PAN26/08A·PAN03/09H·PAO15/09A·XAN23/09H·AEK29/09A·LAM07/10H·OLY21/10A·LAR27/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.751.750.672.000.801.60
vs Stronger (3)0.672.000.672.00--
vs Similar (5)0.801.60--0.801.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

A
Apollon

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L01L01L01L12L02L02L02L02L01LA·AST29/04H·AEK05/05H·LAR25/08A·LEV03/09H·PAS15/09A·AST22/09H·PAN30/09A·PAO07/10H·AEK20/10A·OLY29/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.401.001.400.331.40
vs Stronger (22)0.551.410.751.250.301.60
vs Similar (8)1.001.382.002.000.401.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%16%026%128%217%38%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
58.2%
Under 1.5
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
29.9%
Under 2.5
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.7%
Under 3.5
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
36.9%
No
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.4%
0-0 ✓
16.1%
1-1
13.9%
2-0
10.6%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
OFI Crete goals ↓
Apollon goals →
01234
016%9.3%3.8%0.9%0.2%
116%14%4.5%1.1%0.2%
211%7.6%2.7%0.6%0.1%
34.2%3.0%1.1%0.3%0.0%
41.3%0.9%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = OFI Crete goals (down), columns = Apollon goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
PAOK
2.73
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.48
AEK Athens FC
2.00
Atromitos
1.73
Aris Thessalonikis
1.63
Panathinaikos
1.62
Panionios
1.27
Lamia
1.23
Panetolikos
1.20
Larisa
1.13
Asteras Tripolis
1.10
OFI Crete
1.07
Xanthi FC
1.07
PAS Giannina
0.90
Levadiakos
0.70
Apollon
0.33
OFI Crete is 0.73 points better than Apollon in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 0.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.34
PAOK
2.20
AEK Athens FC
1.67
Aris Thessalonikis
1.53
Atromitos
1.37
Panathinaikos
1.31
Panetolikos
1.13
OFI Crete
1.00
Lamia
0.93
Panionios
0.90
Larisa
0.87
Asteras Tripolis
0.83
Xanthi FC
0.73
PAS Giannina
0.63
Levadiakos
0.50
Apollon
0.37
OFI Crete is 0.63 goals better than Apollon in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.37).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
PAOK
0.47
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.59
AEK Athens FC
0.63
Panathinaikos
0.93
Atromitos
0.93
Asteras Tripolis
1.00
Aris Thessalonikis
1.10
Xanthi FC
1.13
Larisa
1.13
Lamia
1.23
PAS Giannina
1.27
OFI Crete
1.40
Panionios
1.50
Levadiakos
1.50
Panetolikos
1.60
Apollon
1.83
OFI Crete is 0.43 goals better than Apollon in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.83).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

OC
OFI Crete

For 2.9 · Against 5.2 · Total 8.1

🚩 Corners

120473429253313523911711764712A·LARH·OLYA·LAMH·AEKA·XANH·PAOA·PANA·PAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.6 · Against 3.4 · Total 7.0

🟨 Cards

1302343433323438524577657136A·LARH·OLYA·LAMH·AEKA·XANH·PAOA·PANA·PAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

A
Apollon

For 2.5 · Against 6.4 · Total 8.9

🚩 Corners

140212312857291615521539144101211767612A·OLYH·AEKA·PAOH·PANA·ASTH·PASA·LEVH·LARH·AEKA·AST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.6

🟨 Cards

80221333233235242442154465586666A·OLYH·AEKA·PAOH·PANA·ASTH·PASA·LEVH·LARH·AEKA·AST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

OC
OFI Crete

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (8)8.16.09.47.06.77.2---
vs Stronger (3)6.06.0-6.76.7----
vs Similar (5)9.4-9.47.2-7.2---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line38%0%60%100%100%100%---
% under line62%100%40%0%0%0%---
This opponent (Apollon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

A
Apollon

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (38)8.27.49.16.16.75.5---
vs Stronger (27)8.47.39.55.96.35.6---
vs Similar (11)7.67.57.86.57.75.2---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line32%16%47%95%100%89%---
% under line68%84%53%5%0%11%---
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
9.2
Panionios
9.2
Lamia
9.1
Xanthi FC
9.0
Asteras Tripolis
8.9
PAOK
8.7
AEK Athens FC
8.6
Larisa
8.6
Atromitos
8.4
PAS Giannina
8.2
Apollon
8.2
OFI Crete
8.1
Levadiakos
8.1
Panetolikos
8.0
Panathinaikos
7.8
Aris Thessalonikis
7.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
OFI Crete
7.0
Panetolikos
6.8
Larisa
6.6
Lamia
6.3
Apollon
6.1
AEK Athens FC
6.1
Xanthi FC
6.0
Atromitos
6.0
Aris Thessalonikis
5.9
Olympiakos Piraeus
5.9
Panathinaikos
5.8
PAS Giannina
5.4
Levadiakos
5.3
Asteras Tripolis
5.3
Panionios
5.2
PAOK
5.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
29.2%
Under 9.5
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
82.5%
Under 3.5
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OC
OFI Crete

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D01L12L02L02L00D10W00DA·PAN26/08A·PAN03/09H·PAO15/09A·XAN23/09H·AEK29/09A·LAM07/10H·OLY21/10A·LAR27/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.120.671.330.401.00
vs Stronger (3)0.671.330.671.33--
vs Similar (5)0.401.00--0.401.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %38% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

A
Apollon

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L01L00D01L02L01L01L01L00DA·AST29/04H·AEK05/05H·LAR25/08A·LEV03/09H·PAS15/09A·AST22/09H·PAN30/09A·PAO07/10H·AEK20/10A·OLY29/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.600.400.670.130.53
vs Stronger (22)0.230.640.330.580.100.70
vs Similar (8)0.380.500.671.000.200.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OC
OFI Crete

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D11D01L01L01L11D00D00DA·PAN26/08A·PAN03/09H·PAO15/09A·XAN23/09H·AEK29/09A·LAM07/10H·OLY21/10A·LAR27/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.250.620.000.670.400.60
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.000.67--
vs Similar (5)0.400.60--0.400.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %38% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

A
Apollon

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D00D01L11D00D01L01L01L01LA·AST29/04H·AEK05/05H·LAR25/08A·LEV03/09H·PAS15/09A·AST22/09H·PAN30/09A·PAO07/10H·AEK20/10A·OLY29/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.800.600.730.200.87
vs Stronger (22)0.320.770.420.670.200.90
vs Similar (8)0.620.881.331.000.200.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards92.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners88.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.587.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards82.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners80.9%-------✗ Miss
Under 9.5 corners70.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 2.570.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
PG (36)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
ATR (7)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
LAR (7)
€2m
PG (12)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
LAR (3)
€1m
PG (7)
€1m
PAN (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
LEV (9)
€5m
PAN (11)
€3m
LAR (13)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
PG (17)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
OC wins
0
Draws
0
APO wins

Head-to-head

OFI Crete vs Apollon · H/A from OC
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

OC
OFI Crete

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/10/18ALarisa Vs OC0-0
21/10/18HOC Vs Olympiakos Piraeus1-0
07/10/18ALamia Vs OC1-1
29/09/18HOC Vs AEK Athens FC0-3
23/09/18AXanthi FC Vs OC3-0
15/09/18HOC Vs PAOK1-3
03/09/18APanetolikos Vs OC2-1
26/08/18APanionios Vs OC2-2

A
Apollon

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/18AOlympiakos Piraeus Vs APO1-0
20/10/18HAPO Vs AEK Athens FC0-2
07/10/18APAOK Vs APO2-0
30/09/18HAPO Vs Panionios0-2
22/09/18AAsteras Tripolis Vs APO2-0
15/09/18HAPO Vs PAS Giannina1-2
03/09/18ALevadiakos Vs APO1-0
25/08/18HAPO Vs Larisa0-1
05/05/18HAPO Vs AEK Athens FC0-1
29/04/18AAsteras Tripolis Vs APO2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

OC
OFI Crete
Greece: Super League 1
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWD0.75
HomeLLW1.00
AwayDLLDD0.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %12%33%0%
AVG goals2.502.672.40
Over 1.5 %75%67%80%
Over 2.5 %62%67%60%
Over 3.5 %25%33%20%
Scored0.750.670.80
Conceded1.752.001.60
BTTS50%33%60%
Clean Sheet25%33%20%
Corners8.126.009.40
Cards7.006.677.20
A
Apollon
Greece: Super League 1
Recent: 0 Wins / 0 Draws / 10 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.76
HomeLLLLL1.11
AwayLLLLL0.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%26%5%
AVG goals1.922.051.79
Over 1.5 %63%63%63%
Over 2.5 %26%32%21%
Over 3.5 %8%11%5%
Scored0.630.890.37
Conceded1.291.161.42
BTTS34%37%32%
Clean Sheet24%32%16%
Corners8.217.379.05
Cards6.116.745.47

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PAOKPAOK3082
87%
2.7
6614+52
2.7
87%
53%
17%
8.0
30%
5.2
73%
-
0%
82
3028242.20.5
-
2Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus2972
79%
2.5
6817+51
2.9
79%
59%
34%
8.6
41%
4.9
76%
-
0%
175
8447442.30.6
-
3AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC3060
60%
2.0
5019+31
2.3
73%
40%
23%
7.4
27%
4.9
77%
-
0%
85
4416261.70.6
-
4AtromitosAtromitos3052
50%
1.7
4128+13
2.3
73%
37%
13%
8.1
23%
5.6
77%
-
0%
12
3261.40.9
-
5Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis3049
50%
1.6
4633+13
2.6
73%
43%
20%
7.6
23%
5.8
87%
-
0%
41
227121.51.1
-
6PanathinaikosPanathinaikos2947
45%
1.6
3827+11
2.2
66%
34%
28%
7.2
24%
5.3
76%
-
0%
109
4626381.30.9
-
7PanioniosPanionios3038
37%
1.3
2745-18
2.4
63%
43%
23%
9.8
53%
5.2
83%
-
0%
5
3020.91.5
-
8LamiaLamia3037
30%
1.2
2837-9
2.2
63%
47%
20%
8.6
30%
5.7
83%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
9PanetolikosPanetolikos3036
33%
1.2
3448-14
2.7
80%
67%
23%
7.3
27%
5.9
80%
-
0%
13
7231.11.6
-
10LarisaLarisa3034
27%
1.1
2634-8
2.0
63%
33%
13%
8.0
27%
6.2
90%
-
0%
5
2120.91.1
-
11Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis3033
27%
1.1
2530-5
1.8
63%
30%
3%
8.6
50%
5.7
80%
-
0%
13
5260.81.0
-
12
OC
OFI Crete
3032
23%
1.1
3042-12
2.4
73%
50%
27%
9.3
53%
6.5
100%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
13Xanthi FCXanthi FC3032
23%
1.1
2234-12
1.9
50%
30%
13%
7.5
23%
6.4
87%
-
0%
0
0000.71.1
-
14PAS GianninaPAS Giannina3027
23%
0.9
1938-19
1.9
60%
30%
10%
7.8
30%
5.7
80%
-
0%
4
1120.61.3
-
15LevadiakosLevadiakos3021
17%
0.7
1545-30
2.0
67%
30%
7%
8.9
40%
5.4
73%
-
0%
16
5550.51.5
-
16
A
Apollon
3010
7%
0.3
1155-44
2.2
63%
37%
13%
9.6
53%
5.0
77%
-
0%
0
0000.41.8
-
Greece: Super League 1 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →

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