This opponent (Apollon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Apollon
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.87
0.73
1.80
0.47
1.93
vs Stronger (22)
0.55
1.95
0.60
1.90
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (8)
0.75
1.62
1.00
1.60
0.33
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.3%
Under 1.5
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.0%
@ 2.01-11.7%
Under 2.5
65.0%
@ 1.76+11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.1%
Under 3.5
83.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
41.7%
No
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.4%
1-1
14.2%
0-0
13.5%
2-0
10.0%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.2%
OFI Crete goals ↓
Apollon goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
8.8%
4.2%
1.1%
0.2%
1
14%
14%
5.3%
1.5%
0.3%
2
10.0%
8.2%
3.4%
0.9%
0.2%
3
4.2%
3.5%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
4
1.4%
1.1%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = OFI Crete goals (down), columns = Apollon goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.50
PAOK
1.78
Aris Thessalonikis
1.69
AEK Athens FC
1.67
Panathinaikos
1.47
Asteras Tripolis
1.42
Volos NFC
1.30
Atromitos
1.12
Lamia
1.06
PAS Giannina
1.06
Apollon
1.03
OFI Crete
0.97
Panetolikos
0.85
Larisa
0.82
OFI Crete is 0.06 points worse than Apollon in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.03).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.28
PAOK
1.67
AEK Athens FC
1.47
Aris Thessalonikis
1.14
Panathinaikos
1.14
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.00
OFI Crete
0.91
Atromitos
0.91
Apollon
0.88
PAS Giannina
0.82
Larisa
0.76
Lamia
0.64
Panetolikos
0.61
OFI Crete is 0.03 goals better than Apollon in terms of goals scored per game (0.91 vs 0.88).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.53
Aris Thessalonikis
0.72
PAOK
0.94
Panathinaikos
0.94
Asteras Tripolis
1.06
PAS Giannina
1.09
Volos NFC
1.12
Apollon
1.21
Atromitos
1.21
AEK Athens FC
1.25
Lamia
1.27
Panetolikos
1.33
OFI Crete
1.42
Larisa
1.42
OFI Crete is 0.21 goals worse than Apollon in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.21).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
OC
OFI Crete
For 3.8 · Against 5.1 · Total 8.9
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.6
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.0 · Against 19.5 · Total 37.5
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
A
Apollon
For 4.6 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.3
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.8
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.1 · Against 20.1 · Total 37.2
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
OC
OFI Crete
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
8.4
8.0
6.1
6.7
5.6
34.6
36.0
33.1
vs Stronger (25)
7.6
8.8
6.6
5.8
7.1
4.6
35.0
36.8
33.1
vs Similar (25)
8.7
8.0
9.5
6.5
6.4
6.6
34.2
35.2
33.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
36%
40%
86%
88%
84%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
62%
64%
60%
14%
12%
16%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Apollon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Apollon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
8.7
10.1
5.4
5.6
5.2
37.2
35.8
38.4
vs Stronger (35)
9.7
8.9
10.6
5.2
5.2
5.3
36.0
30.0
38.4
vs Similar (15)
8.7
8.2
9.0
5.7
6.8
4.9
41.5
41.5
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
46%
54%
82%
83%
81%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
54%
46%
18%
17%
19%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Apollon
9.4
PAOK
9.1
Volos NFC
9.1
Larisa
9.1
Olympiakos Piraeus
9.1
Aris Thessalonikis
8.9
Atromitos
8.7
AEK Athens FC
8.6
Panetolikos
8.4
Asteras Tripolis
8.2
OFI Crete
8.2
Lamia
8.1
PAS Giannina
7.9
Panathinaikos
7.8
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Asteras Tripolis
6.3
OFI Crete
6.1
Larisa
6.0
Volos NFC
5.9
PAS Giannina
5.8
Panathinaikos
5.8
Aris Thessalonikis
5.6
Lamia
5.5
Atromitos
5.5
PAOK
5.4
Panetolikos
5.4
Apollon
5.4
AEK Athens FC
5.0
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.2
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
PAS Giannina
39.7
Apollon
37.2
Larisa
34.8
OFI Crete
34.6
Lamia
34.5
Panetolikos
34.1
AEK Athens FC
34.0
PAOK
34.0
Atromitos
34.0
Aris Thessalonikis
33.4
Panathinaikos
32.9
Asteras Tripolis
32.6
Volos NFC
31.8
Olympiakos Piraeus
30.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.1%
Under 9.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
85.8%
Under 3.5
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
99.8%
Under 21.5
0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
OC
OFI Crete
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.77
0.47
0.67
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (17)
0.47
1.06
0.38
0.75
0.56
1.33
vs Similar (13)
0.62
0.38
0.57
0.57
0.67
0.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Apollon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.20
0.90
0.20
0.80
0.20
1.00
vs Stronger (22)
0.18
0.95
0.20
1.00
0.17
0.92
vs Similar (8)
0.25
0.75
0.20
0.40
0.33
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
OC
OFI Crete
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.97
0.53
0.60
0.47
1.33
vs Stronger (17)
0.18
1.18
0.25
0.88
0.11
1.44
vs Similar (13)
0.92
0.69
0.86
0.29
1.00
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Apollon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.97
0.53
1.00
0.27
0.93
vs Stronger (22)
0.36
1.00
0.40
0.90
0.33
1.08
vs Similar (8)
0.50
0.88
0.80
1.20
0.00
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 2.5 cards
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 3.5 cards
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 4.5 cards
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Greece: Super League 1 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →