This opponent (Apollon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Apollon
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
1.63
0.33
1.13
0.47
2.13
vs Stronger (18)
0.33
1.78
0.33
1.11
0.33
2.44
vs Similar (12)
0.50
1.42
0.33
1.17
0.67
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.5%
Under 1.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.5%
@ 2.13+8.5%
Under 2.5
47.5%
@ 1.67-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.3%
Under 3.5
69.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.5%
No
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
2-0
10.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
7.3%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
1-2 â
4.8%
OFI Crete goals ↓
Apollon goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.3%
4.6%
2.6%
0.8%
0.2%
1
11%
12%
4.8%
1.5%
0.3%
2
11%
9.9%
4.5%
1.4%
0.3%
3
6.8%
6.1%
2.8%
0.8%
0.2%
4
3.2%
2.9%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = OFI Crete goals (down), columns = Apollon goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.31
PAOK
1.78
Aris Thessalonikis
1.72
Panathinaikos
1.69
AEK Athens FC
1.56
Ionikos
1.36
OFI Crete
1.33
PAS Giannina
1.28
Asteras Tripolis
1.24
Volos NFC
1.21
Panetolikos
1.12
Atromitos
1.00
Lamia
0.79
Apollon
0.67
OFI Crete is 0.67 points better than Apollon in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 0.67).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.72
PAOK
1.61
AEK Athens FC
1.56
Panathinaikos
1.44
Volos NFC
1.42
Ionikos
1.33
OFI Crete
1.21
Aris Thessalonikis
1.08
Asteras Tripolis
1.00
Atromitos
1.00
Panetolikos
0.97
PAS Giannina
0.94
Lamia
0.73
Apollon
0.48
OFI Crete is 0.73 goals better than Apollon in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 0.48).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.72
Panathinaikos
0.72
Aris Thessalonikis
0.78
PAOK
0.92
Asteras Tripolis
1.12
AEK Athens FC
1.17
PAS Giannina
1.17
Ionikos
1.27
Lamia
1.33
OFI Crete
1.36
Volos NFC
1.45
Panetolikos
1.45
Atromitos
1.58
Apollon
1.73
OFI Crete is 0.36 goals better than Apollon in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 1.73).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
OC
OFI Crete
For 4.6 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.4
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.8
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.1 · Against 18.6 · Total 35.7
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
A
Apollon
For 3.7 · Against 6.1 · Total 9.8
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.1
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.6 · Against 16.8 · Total 33.4
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
OC
OFI Crete
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
7.6
9.1
5.0
4.8
5.1
35.6
38.0
33.5
vs Stronger (16)
9.4
9.1
9.8
4.8
4.6
4.9
33.8
35.9
31.6
vs Similar (34)
7.9
6.8
8.8
5.1
4.9
5.2
36.5
39.0
34.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
32%
25%
38%
76%
83%
69%
98%
100%
96%
% under line
68%
75%
62%
24%
17%
31%
2%
0%
4%
This opponent (Apollon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Apollon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
8.4
8.0
5.0
4.7
5.2
36.2
38.2
34.0
vs Stronger (31)
8.2
8.4
8.0
5.0
4.8
5.3
35.3
38.4
31.9
vs Similar (19)
8.2
8.3
8.1
4.8
4.6
5.1
37.7
37.8
37.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
26%
27%
25%
72%
65%
79%
98%
96%
100%
% under line
74%
73%
75%
28%
35%
21%
2%
4%
0%
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AEK Athens FC
9.6
PAOK
9.1
Volos NFC
9.0
PAS Giannina
8.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.5
Panathinaikos
8.4
OFI Crete
8.4
Aris Thessalonikis
8.3
Panetolikos
8.2
Apollon
8.2
Lamia
8.2
Atromitos
7.8
Ionikos
7.7
Asteras Tripolis
7.2
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Panathinaikos
5.6
Aris Thessalonikis
5.2
AEK Athens FC
5.2
Volos NFC
5.2
Apollon
5.0
OFI Crete
5.0
Ionikos
4.9
PAOK
4.8
Atromitos
4.6
Asteras Tripolis
4.6
Panetolikos
4.5
PAS Giannina
4.5
Lamia
4.3
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.0
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Panetolikos
36.2
Apollon
36.2
Lamia
36.2
OFI Crete
35.6
Aris Thessalonikis
35.0
Volos NFC
34.3
PAS Giannina
33.8
Panathinaikos
33.8
Ionikos
33.4
AEK Athens FC
33.2
Atromitos
32.6
Asteras Tripolis
32.0
Olympiakos Piraeus
29.8
PAOK
29.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
36.0%
Under 9.5
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.8%
Under 3.5
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
99.1%
Under 21.5
0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
OC
OFI Crete
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.60
0.73
0.73
0.60
0.47
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.80
0.60
1.20
0.20
0.40
vs Similar (20)
0.80
0.50
0.80
0.50
0.80
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Apollon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.20
0.63
0.13
0.53
0.27
0.73
vs Stronger (18)
0.22
0.56
0.22
0.44
0.22
0.67
vs Similar (12)
0.17
0.75
0.00
0.67
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
OC
OFI Crete
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.67
0.87
0.87
0.53
0.47
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
1.00
1.20
1.20
0.20
0.80
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.50
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Apollon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.20
1.00
0.20
0.60
0.20
1.40
vs Stronger (18)
0.11
1.22
0.11
0.67
0.11
1.78
vs Similar (12)
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.50
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 1.5
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 10.5 corners
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 3.5 cards
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Greece: Super League 1 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
Aris Thessalonikis
Panathinaikos
AEK Athens FC
PAS Giannina
Ionikos
Asteras Tripolis
Volos NFC
Panetolikos
Atromitos
Lamia