This opponent (Aris Thessalonikis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aris Thessalonikis
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
0.93
2.13
0.80
0.93
1.07
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
1.25
1.25
1.25
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (5)
0.80
1.40
1.33
1.33
0.00
1.50
vs Weaker (17)
2.12
0.65
2.88
0.38
1.44
0.89
Clean sheet %
37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
58.2%
Under 1.5
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
29.9%
@ 2.29-11.2%
Under 2.5
70.1%
@ 1.60+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.7%
Under 3.5
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
37.7%
No
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.1%
0-1
15.7%
1-1
14.3%
1-0
10.0%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
4.9%
2-0
4.3%
OFI Crete goals ↓
Aris Thessalonikis goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
16%
9.7%
3.7%
1.1%
1
10%
14%
7.4%
2.8%
0.8%
2
4.3%
4.9%
2.8%
1.1%
0.3%
3
1.1%
1.3%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = OFI Crete goals (down), columns = Aris Thessalonikis goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.34
Panathinaikos
2.16
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.08
PAOK
1.82
Aris Thessalonikis
1.45
OFI Crete
1.24
OFI
1.24
Atromitos
1.22
Volos NFC
1.08
PAS Giannina
1.00
Asteras Tripolis
0.97
Panetolikos
0.92
Ionikos
0.86
Lamia
0.83
Levadiakos
0.83
OFI Crete is 0.20 points worse than Aris Thessalonikis in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.45).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
AEK Athens FC
1.97
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.95
Aris Thessalonikis
1.55
PAOK
1.53
Panathinaikos
1.32
OFI Crete
1.12
OFI
1.12
Atromitos
1.11
PAS Giannina
0.97
Panetolikos
0.94
Volos NFC
0.92
Levadiakos
0.81
Ionikos
0.78
Asteras Tripolis
0.72
Lamia
0.69
OFI Crete is 0.43 goals worse than Aris Thessalonikis in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 1.55).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Panathinaikos
0.45
AEK Athens FC
0.45
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.68
PAOK
0.87
Asteras Tripolis
1.06
Aris Thessalonikis
1.11
Atromitos
1.11
OFI Crete
1.24
OFI
1.24
Levadiakos
1.42
PAS Giannina
1.47
Ionikos
1.53
Panetolikos
1.67
Lamia
1.69
Volos NFC
1.76
OFI Crete is 0.14 goals worse than Aris Thessalonikis in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
OC
OFI Crete
For 4.7 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 1.8 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.3 · Against 14.0 · Total 31.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aris Thessalonikis
For 5.8 · Against 3.5 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 3.7 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 15.4 · Total 28.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
OC
OFI Crete
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.4
9.1
5.0
5.2
4.7
31.8
32.8
30.9
vs Stronger (15)
9.6
8.7
10.2
4.9
4.3
5.3
30.2
31.7
29.2
vs Similar (35)
8.3
8.3
8.4
5.0
5.5
4.3
32.5
33.2
31.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
42%
40%
44%
76%
84%
68%
98%
100%
96%
% under line
58%
60%
56%
24%
16%
32%
2%
0%
4%
This opponent (Aris Thessalonikis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aris Thessalonikis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
8.3
8.2
2.7
2.8
2.6
32.4
32.1
32.8
vs Stronger (15)
9.8
9.2
11.0
3.5
3.1
4.0
31.9
31.5
32.7
vs Similar (8)
7.0
7.0
7.0
4.4
4.8
4.0
29.0
32.0
28.0
vs Weaker (27)
7.6
7.9
7.4
1.8
2.0
1.6
33.9
32.7
35.2
% over line
32%
33%
31%
36%
35%
38%
96%
100%
92%
% under line
68%
67%
69%
64%
65%
62%
4%
0%
8%
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AEK Athens FC
9.9
PAOK
9.2
PAS Giannina
9.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
9.1
Volos NFC
9.0
OFI Crete
8.7
Panathinaikos
8.7
Aris Thessalonikis
8.6
Panetolikos
8.6
Levadiakos
8.5
Lamia
8.4
Ionikos
8.3
Atromitos
7.9
Asteras Tripolis
7.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Panathinaikos
5.9
Aris Thessalonikis
5.6
PAOK
5.3
AEK Athens FC
5.3
Levadiakos
5.2
OFI Crete
5.0
Ionikos
4.9
Volos NFC
4.8
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.4
Panetolikos
4.3
Atromitos
4.3
Asteras Tripolis
4.3
PAS Giannina
4.1
Lamia
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Panetolikos
35.1
Lamia
34.7
Ionikos
32.8
Volos NFC
32.8
Aris Thessalonikis
32.7
PAS Giannina
32.2
Panathinaikos
32.0
OFI Crete
31.8
Atromitos
31.6
AEK Athens FC
31.2
Asteras Tripolis
30.7
PAOK
30.2
Levadiakos
30.0
Olympiakos Piraeus
27.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
39.1%
Under 9.5
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
73.8%
Under 3.5
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
97.4%
Under 21.5
2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
OC
OFI Crete
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.73
0.19
0.62
0.50
0.86
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
0.75
0.33
1.00
0.20
0.60
vs Similar (22)
0.36
0.73
0.15
0.54
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Aris Thessalonikis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aris Thessalonikis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.40
0.73
0.33
0.33
0.47
vs Stronger (8)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (5)
0.20
0.40
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (17)
0.88
0.35
1.25
0.25
0.56
0.44
Clean sheet %
63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
OC
OFI Crete
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.57
0.56
0.44
0.79
0.71
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
0.75
0.33
0.67
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.50
0.62
0.38
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Aris Thessalonikis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aris Thessalonikis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.53
1.40
0.47
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
0.75
1.25
0.75
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (5)
0.60
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (17)
1.24
0.29
1.62
0.12
0.89
0.44
Clean sheet %
57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5
70.1%
1.60
-
-
-
-
-
+11.2%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Aris Thessalonikis
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luis Palma28%
Andre Gray25%
Vladimír Darida24%
Aboubakar Kamara21%
Lukas Rupp12%
Juan Iturbe12%
Daniel Mancini12%
Manu García12%
Fabiano9%
Gervinho9%
Mateo García9%
Rafael Camacho8%
Nicolas N'Koulou6%
Jakub Brabec4%
Salem M'Bakata4%
Moses Odubajo4%
Bryan Dabo4%
Pape Cheikh0%
Lazaros Christodoulopoulos0%
Marios Siampanis0%
Oghenekaro Etebo0%
Bradley Mazikou0%
Cheick Doukouré0%
Julián Cuesta0%
Marvin Peersman0%
Rafail Sgouros0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aboubakar Kamara43%
Fabiano28%
Moses Odubajo28%
Bryan Dabo26%
Cheick Doukouré25%
Oghenekaro Etebo24%
Lazaros Christodoulopoulos23%
Pape Cheikh20%
Vladimír Darida14%
Marvin Peersman14%
Andre Gray12%
Juan Iturbe12%
Rafael Camacho12%
Daniel Mancini12%
Bradley Mazikou11%
Mateo García9%
Jakub Brabec9%
Julián Cuesta6%
Manu García6%
Nicolas N'Koulou6%
Salem M'Bakata4%
Luis Palma3%
Lukas Rupp0%
Marios Siampanis0%
Gervinho0%
Rafail Sgouros0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Mancini35%
Vladimír Darida19%
Manu García18%
Luis Palma14%
Lukas Rupp12%
Marvin Peersman10%
Bryan Dabo7%
Andre Gray6%
Cheick Doukouré6%
Mateo García6%
Salem M'Bakata4%
Rafael Camacho4%
Moses Odubajo4%
Bradley Mazikou4%
Juan Iturbe3%
Pape Cheikh0%
Jakub Brabec0%
Lazaros Christodoulopoulos0%
Marios Siampanis0%
Oghenekaro Etebo0%
Fabiano0%
Nicolas N'Koulou0%
Gervinho0%
Aboubakar Kamara0%
Julián Cuesta0%
Rafail Sgouros0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aboubakar Kamara29%
Andre Gray19%
Vladimír Darida14%
Daniel Mancini12%
Manu García12%
Luis Palma10%
Fabiano6%
Bradley Mazikou4%
Rafael Camacho0%
Pape Cheikh0%
Lukas Rupp0%
Jakub Brabec0%
Lazaros Christodoulopoulos0%
Marios Siampanis0%
Oghenekaro Etebo0%
Moses Odubajo0%
Salem M'Bakata0%
Bryan Dabo0%
Nicolas N'Koulou0%
Gervinho0%
Juan Iturbe0%
Cheick Doukouré0%
Julián Cuesta0%
Mateo García0%
Marvin Peersman0%
Rafail Sgouros0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Greece: Super League 1 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Aris Thessalonikis
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
Atromitos
OFI
Volos NFC
PAS Giannina
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
Ionikos
Levadiakos
Lamia