This opponent (Aris Thessalonikis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aris Thessalonikis
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.10
2.00
0.86
1.44
1.31
vs Stronger (9)
1.00
2.00
1.33
1.67
0.83
2.17
vs Similar (8)
1.12
0.88
0.75
0.75
1.50
1.00
vs Weaker (13)
2.54
0.62
3.00
0.57
2.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
33% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.2%
Under 1.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.5%
@ 2.02+3.9%
Under 2.5
49.5%
@ 1.76-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.4%
Under 3.5
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.2%
No
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.7%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
6.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
OFI Crete goals ↓
Aris Thessalonikis goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.0%
9.6%
8.7%
4.6%
1.8%
1
6.2%
13%
9.5%
5.1%
2.0%
2
4.0%
6.5%
5.2%
2.8%
1.1%
3
1.5%
2.4%
1.9%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.4%
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = OFI Crete goals (down), columns = Aris Thessalonikis goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
PAOK
2.18
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.13
AEK Athens FC
2.13
Panathinaikos
1.95
Aris Thessalonikis
1.53
Asteras Tripolis
1.25
Panserraikos
1.17
Panetolikos
1.11
OFI Crete
1.06
OFI
1.06
Volos NFC
1.03
Atromitos
1.03
Lamia
0.97
Kifisia
0.92
PAS Giannina
0.69
OFI Crete is 0.47 points worse than Aris Thessalonikis in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.53).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PAOK
2.39
Panathinaikos
2.26
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.24
AEK Athens FC
2.18
Aris Thessalonikis
1.42
Asteras Tripolis
1.28
Lamia
1.21
Volos NFC
1.14
Panserraikos
1.14
Kifisia
1.11
OFI Crete
1.09
OFI
1.09
Panetolikos
1.08
Atromitos
1.06
PAS Giannina
1.00
OFI Crete is 0.33 goals worse than Aris Thessalonikis in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.42).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.89
PAOK
0.92
AEK Athens FC
0.97
Panathinaikos
1.05
Aris Thessalonikis
1.24
Panetolikos
1.44
OFI Crete
1.52
OFI
1.52
Atromitos
1.53
Asteras Tripolis
1.56
Panserraikos
1.67
Volos NFC
1.72
Kifisia
1.92
PAS Giannina
1.92
Lamia
2.16
OFI Crete is 0.28 goals worse than Aris Thessalonikis in terms of goals conceded per game (1.52 vs 1.24).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
AEK Athens FC
62%
Panathinaikos
61%
Olympiakos Piraeus
58%
PAOK
57%
OFI
52%
Aris Thessalonikis
51%
Atromitos
50%
Asteras Tripolis
48%
Panserraikos
45%
Panetolikos
44%
Volos NFC
44%
Kifisia
42%
PAS Giannina
42%
Lamia
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
OC
OFI Crete
For 3.8 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.2 · Against 16.5 · Total 32.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aris Thessalonikis
For 5.8 · Against 3.0 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 14.8 · Total 27.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
OC
OFI Crete
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.8
8.8
5.0
5.5
4.6
31.2
31.7
30.8
vs Stronger (13)
9.8
9.3
10.3
4.7
4.5
4.9
29.2
29.7
28.7
vs Similar (37)
8.4
8.6
8.2
5.1
5.8
4.4
32.0
32.4
31.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
40%
36%
74%
84%
64%
98%
100%
96%
% under line
62%
60%
64%
26%
16%
36%
2%
0%
4%
This opponent (Aris Thessalonikis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aris Thessalonikis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.4
9.4
1.2
1.4
1.0
27.8
27.8
27.8
vs Stronger (15)
12.3
12.5
12.0
0.9
0.9
1.0
30.7
27.5
37.0
vs Similar (12)
8.7
9.0
8.3
3.3
3.7
3.0
27.8
28.0
27.5
vs Weaker (23)
8.6
7.0
9.7
0.3
0.5
0.1
25.0
28.0
23.5
% over line
43%
43%
43%
18%
20%
16%
90%
100%
80%
% under line
57%
57%
57%
82%
80%
84%
10%
0%
20%
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AEK Athens FC
10.2
PAOK
9.2
PAS Giannina
9.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
9.0
Volos NFC
8.9
OFI Crete
8.8
Panathinaikos
8.7
Aris Thessalonikis
8.6
Panetolikos
8.6
Lamia
8.3
Atromitos
7.9
Asteras Tripolis
7.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Panathinaikos
5.7
Aris Thessalonikis
5.4
PAOK
5.3
AEK Athens FC
5.2
OFI Crete
5.0
Volos NFC
4.8
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.5
Asteras Tripolis
4.4
Atromitos
4.3
Panetolikos
4.2
PAS Giannina
4.1
Lamia
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Panetolikos
34.8
Lamia
34.5
Volos NFC
32.7
PAS Giannina
32.4
Panathinaikos
31.9
Aris Thessalonikis
31.9
Atromitos
31.3
OFI Crete
31.2
AEK Athens FC
31.0
Asteras Tripolis
30.8
PAOK
29.5
Olympiakos Piraeus
27.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
34.0%
Under 9.5
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
76.9%
Under 3.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
97.5%
Under 21.5
2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
OC
OFI Crete
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.67
0.38
0.62
0.50
0.71
vs Stronger (9)
0.22
0.78
0.25
1.00
0.20
0.60
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.62
0.42
0.50
0.67
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Aris Thessalonikis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aris Thessalonikis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.47
1.07
0.29
0.69
0.62
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.67
1.00
0.67
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (8)
0.75
0.50
0.25
0.25
1.25
0.75
vs Weaker (13)
1.15
0.31
1.57
0.14
0.67
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
OC
OFI Crete
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
0.50
0.62
1.00
0.43
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
1.00
0.25
1.25
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (21)
0.90
0.33
0.58
0.42
1.33
0.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Aris Thessalonikis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aris Thessalonikis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.63
0.93
0.57
0.75
0.69
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (8)
0.38
0.38
0.50
0.50
0.25
0.25
vs Weaker (13)
1.38
0.31
1.43
0.43
1.33
0.17
Clean sheet %
57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Aris Thessalonikis
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Loren Morón49%
Lazaros Christodoulopoulos17%
Giannis Fetfatzidis17%
Magomed Shapi Suleymanov16%
Kike Saverio15%
Fabiano15%
Valentino Fattore14%
Álvaro Zamora12%
Vladimír Darida9%
Karim Ansarifard8%
Rubén Pardo7%
Manu García6%
Jonathan Menéndez6%
Neven Đurasek5%
Jakub Brabec3%
Lukas Rupp0%
Lefteris Choutesiotis0%
Franco Ferrari0%
Birger Verstraete0%
Martín Montoya0%
Moses Odubajo0%
Cheick Doukouré0%
David Moberg Karlsson0%
Julián Cuesta0%
Lindsay Rose0%
Fran Vélez0%
Jean Jules Mvondo0%
Michalis Panagidis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Karim Ansarifard33%
Birger Verstraete33%
Cheick Doukouré30%
Lefteris Choutesiotis29%
Valentino Fattore29%
Lindsay Rose24%
Franco Ferrari23%
Jean Jules Mvondo23%
Martín Montoya23%
Fabiano22%
Moses Odubajo21%
Fran Vélez20%
Kike Saverio20%
Jakub Brabec19%
Manu García19%
Álvaro Zamora19%
Vladimír Darida18%
David Moberg Karlsson14%
Michalis Panagidis14%
Loren Morón11%
Julián Cuesta10%
Rubén Pardo7%
Magomed Shapi Suleymanov6%
Jonathan Menéndez6%
Neven Đurasek5%
Lukas Rupp0%
Lazaros Christodoulopoulos0%
Giannis Fetfatzidis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Valentino Fattore29%
Vladimír Darida18%
Magomed Shapi Suleymanov13%
Manu García12%
Jonathan Menéndez12%
Kike Saverio10%
Loren Morón9%
Karim Ansarifard8%
Martín Montoya6%
Giannis Fetfatzidis6%
Franco Ferrari5%
Birger Verstraete4%
Moses Odubajo4%
Álvaro Zamora3%
Lukas Rupp0%
Jakub Brabec0%
Lefteris Choutesiotis0%
Lazaros Christodoulopoulos0%
Fabiano0%
Neven Đurasek0%
Rubén Pardo0%
Cheick Doukouré0%
David Moberg Karlsson0%
Julián Cuesta0%
Lindsay Rose0%
Fran Vélez0%
Jean Jules Mvondo0%
Michalis Panagidis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Loren Morón40%
Magomed Shapi Suleymanov26%
Álvaro Zamora12%
Karim Ansarifard8%
Fabiano7%
David Moberg Karlsson7%
Manu García6%
Vladimír Darida6%
Kike Saverio5%
Lukas Rupp0%
Jakub Brabec0%
Lefteris Choutesiotis0%
Lazaros Christodoulopoulos0%
Franco Ferrari0%
Jonathan Menéndez0%
Birger Verstraete0%
Neven Đurasek0%
Martín Montoya0%
Moses Odubajo0%
Rubén Pardo0%
Cheick Doukouré0%
Julián Cuesta0%
Lindsay Rose0%
Fran Vélez0%
Giannis Fetfatzidis0%
Jean Jules Mvondo0%
Valentino Fattore0%
Michalis Panagidis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Greece: Super League 1 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Aris Thessalonikis
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
Asteras Tripolis
Panserraikos
Panetolikos
Atromitos
Volos NFC
Lamia
OFI
Kifisia
PAS Giannina