This opponent (Aris Thessalonikis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aris Thessalonikis
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.90
1.27
0.80
1.20
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (7)
1.29
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (20)
1.35
0.90
1.44
0.89
1.27
0.91
Clean sheet %
47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.0%
Under 1.5
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.0%
@ 1.89+4.1%
Under 2.5
47.0%
@ 1.81-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.8%
Under 3.5
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.9%
No
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.6%
0-2
7.8%
0-0
7.3%
2-1
7.0%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
OFI Crete goals ↓
Aris Thessalonikis goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.3%
8.6%
7.8%
4.1%
1.7%
1
6.1%
13%
9.3%
5.0%
2.0%
2
4.4%
7.0%
5.6%
3.0%
1.2%
3
1.8%
2.8%
2.2%
1.2%
0.5%
4
0.5%
0.8%
0.7%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = OFI Crete goals (down), columns = Aris Thessalonikis goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.29
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.12
PAOK
2.06
Panathinaikos
1.71
Levadiakos
1.61
Aris Thessalonikis
1.44
Atromitos
1.29
OFI Crete
1.22
OFI
1.22
Kifisia
1.18
Volos NFC
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Larisa
0.79
Panserraikos
0.76
OFI Crete is 0.23 points worse than Aris Thessalonikis in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.44).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Levadiakos
2.00
PAOK
1.88
AEK Athens FC
1.76
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.68
Panathinaikos
1.56
Atromitos
1.39
OFI Crete
1.34
OFI
1.34
Kifisia
1.18
Aris Thessalonikis
1.08
Volos NFC
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Larisa
0.92
Panserraikos
0.66
OFI Crete is 0.26 goals better than Aris Thessalonikis in terms of goals scored per game (1.34 vs 1.08).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.50
AEK Athens FC
0.62
PAOK
0.76
Panathinaikos
1.00
Aris Thessalonikis
1.06
Atromitos
1.18
Asteras Tripolis
1.39
Kifisia
1.42
Panetolikos
1.42
Levadiakos
1.50
Larisa
1.61
Volos NFC
1.67
OFI Crete
1.72
OFI
1.72
Panserraikos
2.03
OFI Crete is 0.66 goals worse than Aris Thessalonikis in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 1.06).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Olympiakos Piraeus
60%
PAOK
60%
AEK Athens FC
57%
Levadiakos
56%
Atromitos
53%
Panathinaikos
53%
Aris Thessalonikis
51%
Kifisia
48%
Volos NFC
46%
Larisa
46%
Panetolikos
46%
OFI
45%
Asteras Tripolis
45%
Panserraikos
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
OC
OFI Crete
For 4.8 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 15.2 · Total 28.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aris Thessalonikis
For 4.9 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.7 · Against 12.5 · Total 27.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
OC
OFI Crete
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
8.7
9.8
5.9
6.8
5.0
29.4
29.2
29.7
vs Stronger (19)
10.2
9.2
11.3
5.6
6.7
4.3
28.8
31.4
25.9
vs Similar (31)
8.6
8.3
8.9
6.1
6.8
5.4
29.8
27.7
31.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
34%
20%
48%
78%
84%
72%
88%
88%
88%
% under line
66%
80%
52%
22%
16%
28%
12%
12%
12%
This opponent (Aris Thessalonikis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aris Thessalonikis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
8.8
9.3
4.5
4.7
4.4
27.9
28.1
27.6
vs Stronger (8)
7.7
7.7
7.7
3.8
3.5
4.0
23.8
27.0
20.7
vs Similar (10)
10.3
12.3
8.8
3.6
3.8
3.5
28.0
25.7
29.8
vs Weaker (32)
9.0
8.3
9.8
5.0
5.2
4.9
28.6
28.8
28.5
% over line
47%
45%
48%
72%
68%
76%
88%
95%
81%
% under line
53%
55%
52%
28%
32%
24%
12%
5%
19%
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Panathinaikos
10.3
Kifisia
9.8
Panserraikos
9.4
OFI Crete
9.2
OFI
9.2
PAOK
9.1
Aris Thessalonikis
8.9
AEK Athens FC
8.8
Asteras Tripolis
8.7
Levadiakos
8.7
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.6
Volos NFC
8.4
Larisa
8.3
Panetolikos
8.3
Atromitos
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Kifisia
6.9
Panserraikos
6.4
Atromitos
6.3
Levadiakos
6.3
Larisa
6.1
Volos NFC
6.1
AEK Athens FC
5.9
OFI
5.9
OFI Crete
5.9
Asteras Tripolis
5.9
Panathinaikos
5.6
Aris Thessalonikis
5.5
Panetolikos
5.5
PAOK
5.3
Olympiakos Piraeus
5.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Larisa
35.6
Volos NFC
32.0
Kifisia
31.3
Atromitos
30.6
Levadiakos
30.5
OFI Crete
29.4
OFI
28.8
Panathinaikos
28.7
Aris Thessalonikis
28.3
Panserraikos
28.1
AEK Athens FC
27.7
Asteras Tripolis
26.4
Panetolikos
26.0
PAOK
25.4
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
40.4%
Under 9.5
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
83.8%
Under 3.5
16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
90.9%
Under 21.5
9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
OC
OFI Crete
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
0.67
0.67
0.60
0.53
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
0.83
0.29
1.14
0.40
0.40
vs Similar (18)
0.83
0.44
1.00
0.25
0.70
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Aris Thessalonikis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aris Thessalonikis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.20
0.47
0.13
0.53
0.27
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (7)
0.14
0.43
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.33
vs Weaker (20)
0.65
0.15
0.67
0.00
0.64
0.27
Clean sheet %
83% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
OC
OFI Crete
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.93
0.60
1.00
0.40
0.87
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
1.08
0.29
1.14
0.80
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.83
0.88
0.88
0.20
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Aris Thessalonikis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aris Thessalonikis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.70
0.80
0.67
0.67
0.73
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (7)
1.14
0.57
1.25
0.50
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (20)
0.70
0.75
0.78
0.89
0.64
0.64
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Aris Thessalonikis
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Benjamín Garré25%
Loren Morón16%
Martin Hongla15%
Dudu15%
Tino Kadewere12%
Fredrik Jensen11%
Gabriel Misehouy11%
Uroš Račić10%
Fabiano10%
Anastasios Donis8%
Christian Kouamé8%
Pedro Álvaro7%
Monchu6%
Giannis Gianniotas4%
Carles Pérez4%
Noah Fadiga0%
Hamza Mendyl0%
Kostas Galanopoulos0%
Migouel Alfarela0%
Sokratis Dioudis0%
Giorgos Athanasiadis0%
Othmane Boussaid0%
Olimpiu Moruțan0%
Álvaro Tejero0%
Pione Sisto0%
Noah Sonko Sundberg0%
Martin Frýdek0%
Lindsay Rose0%
Michalis Panagidis0%
Mamadou Gning0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Hamza Mendyl55%
Monchu33%
Tino Kadewere31%
Martin Hongla31%
Michalis Panagidis25%
Giorgos Athanasiadis21%
Lindsay Rose21%
Uroš Račić21%
Noah Fadiga17%
Giannis Gianniotas17%
Carles Pérez17%
Álvaro Tejero17%
Mamadou Gning17%
Loren Morón16%
Martin Frýdek16%
Fabiano14%
Noah Sonko Sundberg14%
Kostas Galanopoulos13%
Pedro Álvaro13%
Othmane Boussaid11%
Anastasios Donis8%
Christian Kouamé8%
Benjamín Garré8%
Fredrik Jensen6%
Dudu5%
Migouel Alfarela0%
Sokratis Dioudis0%
Olimpiu Moruțan0%
Pione Sisto0%
Gabriel Misehouy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tino Kadewere19%
Christian Kouamé17%
Giannis Gianniotas13%
Álvaro Tejero10%
Dudu10%
Hamza Mendyl9%
Carles Pérez9%
Uroš Račić7%
Monchu6%
Martin Frýdek5%
Loren Morón4%
Noah Fadiga0%
Kostas Galanopoulos0%
Fabiano0%
Migouel Alfarela0%
Fredrik Jensen0%
Anastasios Donis0%
Sokratis Dioudis0%
Giorgos Athanasiadis0%
Othmane Boussaid0%
Pedro Álvaro0%
Olimpiu Moruțan0%
Pione Sisto0%
Noah Sonko Sundberg0%
Martin Hongla0%
Lindsay Rose0%
Benjamín Garré0%
Gabriel Misehouy0%
Michalis Panagidis0%
Mamadou Gning0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tino Kadewere25%
Loren Morón24%
Migouel Alfarela20%
Christian Kouamé17%
Carles Pérez13%
Monchu11%
Dudu5%
Fabiano5%
Uroš Račić3%
Álvaro Tejero3%
Noah Fadiga0%
Hamza Mendyl0%
Kostas Galanopoulos0%
Giannis Gianniotas0%
Fredrik Jensen0%
Anastasios Donis0%
Sokratis Dioudis0%
Giorgos Athanasiadis0%
Othmane Boussaid0%
Pedro Álvaro0%
Olimpiu Moruțan0%
Pione Sisto0%
Noah Sonko Sundberg0%
Martin Frýdek0%
Martin Hongla0%
Lindsay Rose0%
Benjamín Garré0%
Gabriel Misehouy0%
Michalis Panagidis0%
Mamadou Gning0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Greece: Super League 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Aris Thessalonikis
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
Panathinaikos
Levadiakos
Atromitos
Kifisia
OFI
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
Volos NFC
Larisa
Panserraikos