This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos Piraeus
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.40
0.77
2.83
0.78
1.75
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.44
0.89
1.75
1.25
1.20
0.60
vs Weaker (21)
2.81
0.71
3.14
0.64
2.14
0.86
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.4%
Under 1.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.9%
@ 1.78-6.9%
Under 2.5
54.1%
@ 1.99+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.4%
Under 3.5
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
41.1%
No
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
14.2%
0-2 ✓
14.2%
1-1
10.7%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
0-3
8.8%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
4.3%
OFI Crete goals ↓
Olympiakos Piraeus goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.1%
14%
14%
8.8%
4.1%
1
4.3%
11%
9.1%
5.7%
2.6%
2
1.7%
3.1%
2.9%
1.8%
0.8%
3
0.4%
0.7%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
4
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = OFI Crete goals (down), columns = Olympiakos Piraeus goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
PAOK
2.18
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.13
AEK Athens FC
2.13
Panathinaikos
1.95
Aris Thessalonikis
1.53
Asteras Tripolis
1.25
Panserraikos
1.17
Panetolikos
1.11
OFI Crete
1.06
OFI
1.06
Volos NFC
1.03
Atromitos
1.03
Lamia
0.97
Kifisia
0.92
PAS Giannina
0.69
OFI Crete is 1.07 points worse than Olympiakos Piraeus in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 2.13).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PAOK
2.39
Panathinaikos
2.26
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.24
AEK Athens FC
2.18
Aris Thessalonikis
1.42
Asteras Tripolis
1.28
Lamia
1.21
Volos NFC
1.14
Panserraikos
1.14
Kifisia
1.11
OFI Crete
1.09
OFI
1.09
Panetolikos
1.08
Atromitos
1.06
PAS Giannina
1.00
OFI Crete is 1.15 goals worse than Olympiakos Piraeus in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 2.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.89
PAOK
0.92
AEK Athens FC
0.97
Panathinaikos
1.05
Aris Thessalonikis
1.24
Panetolikos
1.44
OFI Crete
1.52
OFI
1.52
Atromitos
1.53
Asteras Tripolis
1.56
Panserraikos
1.67
Volos NFC
1.72
Kifisia
1.92
PAS Giannina
1.92
Lamia
2.16
OFI Crete is 0.62 goals worse than Olympiakos Piraeus in terms of goals conceded per game (1.52 vs 0.89).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
AEK Athens FC
62%
Panathinaikos
61%
Olympiakos Piraeus
58%
PAOK
57%
OFI
52%
Aris Thessalonikis
51%
Atromitos
50%
Asteras Tripolis
48%
Panserraikos
45%
Panetolikos
44%
Volos NFC
44%
Kifisia
42%
PAS Giannina
42%
Lamia
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
OC
OFI Crete
For 4.3 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.7 · Total 6.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 13.6 · Total 28.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Olympiakos Piraeus
For 5.6 · Against 2.7 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 11.6 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
OC
OFI Crete
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.6
8.8
5.1
5.6
4.5
30.6
31.3
29.8
vs Stronger (15)
9.1
7.8
10.7
5.2
5.2
5.1
29.1
30.0
28.0
vs Similar (35)
8.5
8.9
7.9
5.0
5.7
4.3
31.2
31.8
30.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
36%
38%
33%
76%
85%
67%
96%
100%
92%
% under line
64%
62%
67%
24%
15%
33%
4%
0%
8%
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos Piraeus
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.9
8.2
7.4
2.0
2.1
1.9
24.6
25.4
23.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
7.2
7.0
7.5
2.6
2.3
2.8
29.0
26.0
32.0
vs Weaker (38)
8.1
8.5
7.3
1.8
2.0
1.6
23.6
25.3
20.7
% over line
25%
25%
25%
26%
27%
25%
65%
67%
62%
% under line
75%
75%
75%
74%
73%
75%
35%
33%
38%
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AEK Athens FC
10.5
Kifisia
9.9
PAS Giannina
9.4
Volos NFC
9.2
PAOK
9.0
Panathinaikos
8.8
OFI
8.8
Panserraikos
8.8
OFI Crete
8.7
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.6
Panetolikos
8.6
Lamia
8.4
Aris Thessalonikis
8.4
Atromitos
7.8
Asteras Tripolis
7.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Kifisia
7.9
Panserraikos
6.6
OFI
6.5
Aris Thessalonikis
5.6
AEK Athens FC
5.3
Panathinaikos
5.3
PAOK
5.2
OFI Crete
5.1
Volos NFC
4.9
Asteras Tripolis
4.8
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.6
Atromitos
4.6
Lamia
4.4
PAS Giannina
4.4
Panetolikos
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lamia
33.1
Panetolikos
32.4
Volos NFC
32.1
Aris Thessalonikis
32.0
Panserraikos
31.6
OFI Crete
30.6
Atromitos
30.5
Panathinaikos
30.3
PAS Giannina
30.3
Asteras Tripolis
30.1
AEK Athens FC
29.9
OFI
29.8
Kifisia
29.2
PAOK
28.1
Olympiakos Piraeus
26.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
29.4%
Under 9.5
70.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
85.0%
Under 3.5
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
92.1%
Under 21.5
7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
OC
OFI Crete
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.53
0.60
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.70
0.60
0.80
0.20
0.60
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.60
0.50
0.50
0.80
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos Piraeus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.30
1.29
0.24
0.77
0.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.50
0.40
0.75
0.50
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (20)
1.35
0.25
1.46
0.15
1.14
0.43
Clean sheet %
77% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
OC
OFI Crete
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.47
0.67
0.47
0.80
0.47
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.70
0.60
0.80
0.20
0.60
vs Similar (20)
0.90
0.35
0.70
0.30
1.10
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos Piraeus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.43
1.65
0.53
0.85
0.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.80
0.40
1.00
0.75
0.67
0.17
vs Weaker (20)
1.55
0.45
1.85
0.46
1.00
0.43
Clean sheet %
67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 9.5 corners
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Olympiakos Piraeus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ayoub El Kaabi50%
Fran Navarro31%
Youssef El Arabi29%
Daniel Podence27%
Stevan Jovetić25%
Kostas Fortounis19%
Giorgos Masouras15%
Mady Camara9%
Chiquinho9%
Gelson Martins7%
Quini7%
Rodinei7%
Pep Biel6%
André Horta5%
João Carvalho4%
Andreas Ndoj4%
Sotiris Alexandropoulos4%
Vicente Iborra4%
Santiago Hezze2%
Panagiotis Retsos0%
Jovane Cabral0%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Alexandros Paschalakis0%
Jackson Porozo0%
Francisco Ortega0%
Gustavo Scarpa0%
Ivan Brnić0%
Nicolás Freire0%
Omar Richards0%
Ola Solbakken0%
David Carmo0%
Rúben Vezo0%
Giulian Biancone0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Nelson Abbey0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nelson Abbey50%
Jackson Porozo43%
Panagiotis Retsos32%
Mady Camara30%
Giulian Biancone27%
Daniel Podence27%
David Carmo25%
Quini24%
Sotiris Alexandropoulos24%
Kostas Fortounis23%
Rúben Vezo20%
Fran Navarro19%
Konstantinos Tzolakis19%
Chiquinho17%
Santiago Hezze17%
Andreas Ndoj17%
Gelson Martins14%
Pep Biel12%
Alexandros Paschalakis11%
Gustavo Scarpa11%
Rodinei11%
Giorgos Masouras9%
Vicente Iborra8%
Ayoub El Kaabi7%
Stevan Jovetić6%
Francisco Ortega6%
Youssef El Arabi5%
João Carvalho4%
Jovane Cabral0%
Ivan Brnić0%
Nicolás Freire0%
Omar Richards0%
Ola Solbakken0%
André Horta0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kostas Fortounis26%
Gelson Martins21%
Daniel Podence20%
Pep Biel19%
André Horta14%
Stevan Jovetić12%
Francisco Ortega11%
Giorgos Masouras11%
Rodinei9%
Chiquinho9%
João Carvalho8%
Omar Richards8%
Ayoub El Kaabi7%
Santiago Hezze7%
Konstantinos Tzolakis6%
Youssef El Arabi5%
Quini3%
Panagiotis Retsos2%
Fran Navarro0%
Jovane Cabral0%
Mady Camara0%
Vicente Iborra0%
Alexandros Paschalakis0%
Jackson Porozo0%
Gustavo Scarpa0%
Ivan Brnić0%
Nicolás Freire0%
Ola Solbakken0%
David Carmo0%
Rúben Vezo0%
Giulian Biancone0%
Sotiris Alexandropoulos0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Andreas Ndoj0%
Nelson Abbey0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ayoub El Kaabi33%
Daniel Podence22%
Gustavo Scarpa22%
Gelson Martins21%
Kostas Fortounis21%
Nicolás Freire20%
Pep Biel19%
Stevan Jovetić12%
Fran Navarro12%
David Carmo10%
Youssef El Arabi10%
Giorgos Masouras9%
André Horta5%
Sotiris Alexandropoulos4%
Vicente Iborra4%
Panagiotis Retsos0%
Jovane Cabral0%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Mady Camara0%
Alexandros Paschalakis0%
Jackson Porozo0%
Francisco Ortega0%
Rodinei0%
Ivan Brnić0%
João Carvalho0%
Omar Richards0%
Ola Solbakken0%
Chiquinho0%
Quini0%
Rúben Vezo0%
Giulian Biancone0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Santiago Hezze0%
Andreas Ndoj0%
Nelson Abbey0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Greece: Super League 1 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
Aris Thessalonikis
Asteras Tripolis
Panserraikos
Panetolikos
Atromitos
Volos NFC
Lamia
OFI
Kifisia
PAS Giannina