This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos Piraeus
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
0.80
2.00
0.71
1.62
0.92
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
5.00
3.00
4.00
1.00
6.00
vs Similar (9)
0.89
0.78
0.83
0.83
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (19)
2.26
0.37
2.60
0.30
1.89
0.44
Clean sheet %
57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.0%
Under 1.5
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.2%
@ 1.68-10.0%
Under 2.5
54.8%
@ 2.07+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.9%
Under 3.5
76.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.8%
No
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
13.9%
0-2
13.4%
1-1
11.4%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
0-3 ✓
8.0%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
4.8%
OFI Crete goals ↓
Olympiakos Piraeus goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.4%
14%
13%
8.0%
3.6%
1
4.8%
11%
9.3%
5.5%
2.5%
2
2.0%
3.6%
3.2%
1.9%
0.9%
3
0.5%
0.8%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
4
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = OFI Crete goals (down), columns = Olympiakos Piraeus goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.29
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.12
PAOK
2.06
Panathinaikos
1.71
Levadiakos
1.61
Aris Thessalonikis
1.44
Atromitos
1.29
OFI Crete
1.22
OFI
1.22
Kifisia
1.18
Volos NFC
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Larisa
0.79
Panserraikos
0.76
OFI Crete is 0.90 points worse than Olympiakos Piraeus in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 2.12).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Levadiakos
2.00
PAOK
1.88
AEK Athens FC
1.76
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.68
Panathinaikos
1.56
Atromitos
1.39
OFI Crete
1.34
OFI
1.34
Kifisia
1.18
Aris Thessalonikis
1.08
Volos NFC
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Larisa
0.92
Panserraikos
0.66
OFI Crete is 0.33 goals worse than Olympiakos Piraeus in terms of goals scored per game (1.34 vs 1.68).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.50
AEK Athens FC
0.62
PAOK
0.76
Panathinaikos
1.00
Aris Thessalonikis
1.06
Atromitos
1.18
Asteras Tripolis
1.39
Kifisia
1.42
Panetolikos
1.42
Levadiakos
1.50
Larisa
1.61
Volos NFC
1.67
OFI Crete
1.72
OFI
1.72
Panserraikos
2.03
OFI Crete is 1.22 goals worse than Olympiakos Piraeus in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 0.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Olympiakos Piraeus
60%
PAOK
60%
AEK Athens FC
57%
Levadiakos
56%
Atromitos
53%
Panathinaikos
53%
Aris Thessalonikis
51%
Kifisia
48%
Volos NFC
46%
Larisa
46%
Panetolikos
46%
OFI
45%
Asteras Tripolis
45%
Panserraikos
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
OC
OFI Crete
For 2.3 · Against 6.3 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 15.2 · Total 28.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Olympiakos Piraeus
For 5.6 · Against 2.8 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 11.0 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
OC
OFI Crete
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.3
9.7
5.6
6.0
5.3
29.2
30.6
27.9
vs Stronger (20)
8.8
8.7
9.0
5.3
6.0
4.6
29.4
31.8
26.9
vs Similar (30)
9.9
9.7
10.2
5.9
6.0
5.7
29.2
29.8
28.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
42%
28%
56%
84%
88%
80%
92%
96%
88%
% under line
58%
72%
44%
16%
12%
20%
8%
4%
12%
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos Piraeus
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.9
8.3
3.7
3.4
4.0
25.1
23.8
26.6
vs Stronger (3)
8.3
8.0
8.5
4.3
3.0
5.0
22.3
19.0
24.0
vs Similar (16)
7.9
8.5
7.0
3.9
3.6
4.4
24.4
22.1
27.3
vs Weaker (31)
10.0
10.9
8.9
3.5
3.3
3.6
25.9
25.1
26.8
% over line
37%
48%
25%
48%
42%
54%
67%
65%
70%
% under line
63%
52%
75%
52%
58%
46%
33%
35%
30%
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kifisia
9.7
OFI
9.5
OFI Crete
9.5
Asteras Tripolis
9.3
Aris Thessalonikis
9.1
Olympiakos Piraeus
9.1
Levadiakos
9.0
Volos NFC
8.9
Panserraikos
8.8
Panetolikos
8.8
Atromitos
8.5
Panathinaikos
8.5
Larisa
8.5
PAOK
8.5
AEK Athens FC
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Kifisia
6.9
Panserraikos
6.1
Larisa
6.0
AEK Athens FC
5.8
Asteras Tripolis
5.8
Volos NFC
5.7
OFI
5.7
OFI Crete
5.6
Panathinaikos
5.5
Aris Thessalonikis
5.5
Levadiakos
5.4
Atromitos
5.3
Panetolikos
5.3
PAOK
4.7
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Larisa
34.5
Kifisia
32.2
Volos NFC
31.2
Atromitos
30.6
Panathinaikos
29.3
OFI Crete
29.2
Levadiakos
29.1
OFI
28.9
Aris Thessalonikis
28.6
AEK Athens FC
28.5
Asteras Tripolis
27.8
Panserraikos
27.1
Panetolikos
26.5
PAOK
25.4
Olympiakos Piraeus
24.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
35.5%
Under 9.5
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
76.0%
Under 3.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
92.7%
Under 21.5
7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
OC
OFI Crete
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.67
0.93
0.47
0.53
0.87
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
1.00
0.33
0.67
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (18)
0.89
0.44
1.33
0.33
0.44
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos Piraeus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.30
1.24
0.41
0.38
0.15
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.50
1.00
3.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.22
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (19)
1.11
0.11
1.60
0.20
0.56
0.00
Clean sheet %
83% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
OC
OFI Crete
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.03
0.53
0.80
0.33
1.27
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
1.08
0.67
0.83
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (18)
0.50
1.00
0.44
0.78
0.56
1.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos Piraeus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.50
0.76
0.29
1.23
0.77
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
2.50
2.00
1.00
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.56
0.17
0.50
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (19)
1.16
0.26
1.00
0.10
1.33
0.44
Clean sheet %
67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Olympiakos Piraeus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ayoub El Kaabi39%
Mehdi Taremi29%
Gelson Martins17%
Rodinei12%
Chiquinho10%
Yusuf Yazıcı10%
Daniel Podence7%
Gabriel Strefezza6%
Panagiotis Retsos6%
Diogo Nascimento5%
Dani García3%
Francisco Ortega3%
Costinha3%
Lorenzo Pirola3%
Santiago Hezze3%
Christos Mouzakitis3%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Roman Yaremchuk0%
Rémy Cabella0%
Giulian Biancone0%
Clayton0%
Onyemaechi Bruno0%
Alexios Kalogeropoulos0%
André Luiz0%
Lorenzo Scipioni0%
Stavros Pnevmonidis0%
Gustavo Mancha0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dani García21%
Daniel Podence17%
Santiago Hezze17%
Francisco Ortega17%
Lorenzo Scipioni17%
Costinha16%
Panagiotis Retsos14%
Rémy Cabella14%
Onyemaechi Bruno14%
Giulian Biancone13%
Lorenzo Pirola12%
Gabriel Strefezza12%
André Luiz10%
Rodinei9%
Roman Yaremchuk9%
Mehdi Taremi9%
Ayoub El Kaabi8%
Christos Mouzakitis6%
Gelson Martins3%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Chiquinho0%
Yusuf Yazıcı0%
Diogo Nascimento0%
Clayton0%
Alexios Kalogeropoulos0%
Stavros Pnevmonidis0%
Gustavo Mancha0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Podence21%
Chiquinho20%
Rémy Cabella14%
Rodinei12%
Gabriel Strefezza12%
Mehdi Taremi12%
Francisco Ortega10%
Yusuf Yazıcı10%
Diogo Nascimento10%
Roman Yaremchuk9%
Ayoub El Kaabi8%
Santiago Hezze6%
Christos Mouzakitis6%
Dani García3%
Lorenzo Pirola3%
Gelson Martins3%
Panagiotis Retsos0%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Giulian Biancone0%
Clayton0%
Costinha0%
Onyemaechi Bruno0%
Alexios Kalogeropoulos0%
André Luiz0%
Lorenzo Scipioni0%
Stavros Pnevmonidis0%
Gustavo Mancha0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ayoub El Kaabi50%
André Luiz30%
Chiquinho28%
Mehdi Taremi21%
Roman Yaremchuk18%
Clayton14%
Daniel Podence14%
Gabriel Strefezza12%
Gelson Martins6%
Yusuf Yazıcı5%
Rodinei3%
Panagiotis Retsos3%
Santiago Hezze3%
Christos Mouzakitis3%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Francisco Ortega0%
Rémy Cabella0%
Dani García0%
Giulian Biancone0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Diogo Nascimento0%
Costinha0%
Onyemaechi Bruno0%
Alexios Kalogeropoulos0%
Lorenzo Scipioni0%
Stavros Pnevmonidis0%
Gustavo Mancha0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Greece: Super League 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
PAOK
Panathinaikos
Levadiakos
Aris Thessalonikis
Atromitos
Kifisia
OFI
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
Volos NFC
Larisa
Panserraikos