This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panathinaikos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.03
1.82
0.94
0.77
1.15
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.75
0.50
2.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (11)
0.91
0.91
1.50
1.17
0.20
0.60
vs Weaker (15)
1.93
0.93
2.33
0.56
1.33
1.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.5%
Under 1.5
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.6%
@ 2.39+6.3%
Under 2.5
54.4%
@ 1.55-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.2%
Under 3.5
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.6%
No
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
0-1
11.5%
0-2
9.8%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.0%
OFI Crete goals ↓
Panathinaikos goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.4%
11%
9.8%
5.0%
1.9%
1
6.6%
13%
9.4%
4.8%
1.9%
2
3.8%
5.8%
4.5%
2.3%
0.9%
3
1.2%
1.8%
1.4%
0.7%
0.3%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = OFI Crete goals (down), columns = Panathinaikos goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.31
PAOK
1.78
Aris Thessalonikis
1.72
Panathinaikos
1.69
AEK Athens FC
1.56
Ionikos
1.36
OFI Crete
1.33
PAS Giannina
1.28
Asteras Tripolis
1.24
Volos NFC
1.21
Panetolikos
1.12
Atromitos
1.00
Lamia
0.79
Apollon
0.67
OFI Crete is 0.36 points worse than Panathinaikos in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.69).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.72
PAOK
1.61
AEK Athens FC
1.56
Panathinaikos
1.44
Volos NFC
1.42
Ionikos
1.33
OFI Crete
1.21
Aris Thessalonikis
1.08
Asteras Tripolis
1.00
Atromitos
1.00
Panetolikos
0.97
PAS Giannina
0.94
Lamia
0.73
Apollon
0.48
OFI Crete is 0.23 goals worse than Panathinaikos in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.44).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.72
Panathinaikos
0.72
Aris Thessalonikis
0.78
PAOK
0.92
Asteras Tripolis
1.12
AEK Athens FC
1.17
PAS Giannina
1.17
Ionikos
1.27
Lamia
1.33
OFI Crete
1.36
Volos NFC
1.45
Panetolikos
1.45
Atromitos
1.58
Apollon
1.73
OFI Crete is 0.64 goals worse than Panathinaikos in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 0.72).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
OC
OFI Crete
For 4.4 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.4 · Against 14.3 · Total 30.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Panathinaikos
For 5.1 · Against 2.5 · Total 7.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 3.1 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 18.5 · Total 33.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
OC
OFI Crete
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
7.6
9.0
4.9
4.5
5.2
35.5
38.0
33.3
vs Stronger (18)
8.9
9.2
8.7
4.4
4.1
4.8
33.7
35.0
32.4
vs Similar (32)
8.0
6.6
9.2
5.1
4.8
5.4
36.6
39.7
33.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
36%
29%
42%
74%
79%
69%
98%
100%
96%
% under line
64%
71%
58%
26%
21%
31%
2%
0%
4%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panathinaikos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.0
7.4
8.7
6.1
6.1
6.0
34.5
34.6
34.3
vs Stronger (6)
7.0
7.3
6.7
7.0
7.0
7.0
33.2
32.3
34.0
vs Similar (15)
8.9
8.6
9.1
7.2
7.7
6.8
32.7
33.0
32.5
vs Weaker (29)
7.8
6.9
9.0
5.3
5.4
5.2
35.7
35.7
35.6
% over line
28%
19%
39%
84%
81%
87%
96%
100%
91%
% under line
72%
81%
61%
16%
19%
13%
4%
0%
9%
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AEK Athens FC
9.1
PAOK
8.9
Volos NFC
8.8
PAS Giannina
8.5
Aris Thessalonikis
8.5
Panetolikos
8.5
Lamia
8.4
Apollon
8.4
OFI Crete
8.3
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.3
Panathinaikos
8.0
Atromitos
7.9
Ionikos
7.5
Asteras Tripolis
7.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Panathinaikos
6.1
Volos NFC
5.4
PAOK
5.4
AEK Athens FC
5.3
Aris Thessalonikis
5.3
Apollon
5.2
PAS Giannina
5.1
Ionikos
5.1
Asteras Tripolis
4.9
OFI Crete
4.9
Panetolikos
4.8
Atromitos
4.8
Lamia
4.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Apollon
37.4
Lamia
36.3
Aris Thessalonikis
36.3
Panetolikos
36.1
OFI Crete
35.5
Volos NFC
34.8
PAS Giannina
34.7
Panathinaikos
34.5
AEK Athens FC
34.4
Ionikos
34.2
Atromitos
34.1
Asteras Tripolis
32.6
PAOK
31.5
Olympiakos Piraeus
30.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
27.7%
Under 9.5
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
74.1%
Under 3.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
98.9%
Under 21.5
1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
OC
OFI Crete
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.47
0.57
0.57
0.62
0.38
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
0.67
0.50
1.00
0.20
0.40
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.38
0.60
0.40
0.82
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panathinaikos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.50
0.82
0.41
0.31
0.62
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (11)
0.45
0.27
0.67
0.17
0.20
0.40
vs Weaker (15)
0.80
0.53
1.11
0.33
0.33
0.83
Clean sheet %
63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
OC
OFI Crete
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.86
1.07
0.31
0.38
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
1.00
1.00
1.50
0.20
0.60
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.57
0.80
0.90
0.36
0.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panathinaikos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.53
1.00
0.53
0.46
0.54
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.45
0.64
0.83
1.00
0.00
0.20
vs Weaker (15)
1.13
0.40
1.22
0.22
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 9.5 corners
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Panathinaikos · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cyriel Dessers100%
Adriano Jagušić50%
Levi García33%
Elmin Rastoder25%
Iñaki Peña0%
Stefan de Vrij0%
Rick Van Drongelen0%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Anass Zaroury0%
Etienne Camara0%
Vicente Taborda0%
Andreas Tetteh0%
Georgios Katris0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
Santino Andino0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Georgios Katris67%
Santino Andino40%
Levi García33%
Andreas Tetteh33%
Elmin Rastoder25%
Sotiris Kontouris25%
Etienne Camara20%
Vicente Taborda20%
Iñaki Peña0%
Stefan de Vrij0%
Rick Van Drongelen0%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos0%
Cyriel Dessers0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Anass Zaroury0%
Adriano Jagušić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vicente Taborda40%
Stefan de Vrij20%
Santino Andino20%
Iñaki Peña0%
Rick Van Drongelen0%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos0%
Cyriel Dessers0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Levi García0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Anass Zaroury0%
Elmin Rastoder0%
Etienne Camara0%
Andreas Tetteh0%
Georgios Katris0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
Adriano Jagušić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cyriel Dessers100%
Levi García67%
Anass Zaroury33%
Adriano Jagušić25%
Santino Andino20%
Iñaki Peña0%
Stefan de Vrij0%
Rick Van Drongelen0%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Elmin Rastoder0%
Etienne Camara0%
Vicente Taborda0%
Andreas Tetteh0%
Georgios Katris0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Greece: Super League 1 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →