This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panathinaikos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.67
1.60
0.27
1.00
1.07
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.33
0.50
0.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.92
0.83
1.67
0.50
0.17
1.17
vs Weaker (15)
1.67
0.60
1.86
0.14
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.8%
Under 1.5
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.5%
@ 2.16+0.1%
Under 2.5
56.5%
@ 1.66-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.5%
Under 3.5
77.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.9%
No
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.6%
0-2 ✓
10.7%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
6.5%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
5.2%
OFI Crete goals ↓
Panathinaikos goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
13%
11%
5.5%
2.1%
1
6.5%
13%
9.3%
4.8%
1.9%
2
3.4%
5.2%
4.0%
2.1%
0.8%
3
1.0%
1.5%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = OFI Crete goals (down), columns = Panathinaikos goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.34
Panathinaikos
2.16
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.08
PAOK
1.82
Aris Thessalonikis
1.45
OFI Crete
1.24
OFI
1.24
Atromitos
1.22
Volos NFC
1.08
PAS Giannina
1.00
Asteras Tripolis
0.97
Panetolikos
0.92
Ionikos
0.86
Lamia
0.83
Levadiakos
0.83
OFI Crete is 0.92 points worse than Panathinaikos in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 2.16).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
AEK Athens FC
1.97
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.95
Aris Thessalonikis
1.55
PAOK
1.53
Panathinaikos
1.32
OFI Crete
1.12
OFI
1.12
Atromitos
1.11
PAS Giannina
0.97
Panetolikos
0.94
Volos NFC
0.92
Levadiakos
0.81
Ionikos
0.78
Asteras Tripolis
0.72
Lamia
0.69
OFI Crete is 0.19 goals worse than Panathinaikos in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 1.32).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Panathinaikos
0.45
AEK Athens FC
0.45
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.68
PAOK
0.87
Asteras Tripolis
1.06
Aris Thessalonikis
1.11
Atromitos
1.11
OFI Crete
1.24
OFI
1.24
Levadiakos
1.42
PAS Giannina
1.47
Ionikos
1.53
Panetolikos
1.67
Lamia
1.69
Volos NFC
1.76
OFI Crete is 0.80 goals worse than Panathinaikos in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 0.45).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
OC
OFI Crete
For 5.1 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.4 · Against 16.5 · Total 31.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Panathinaikos
For 6.1 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 2.7 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 16.5 · Total 30.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
OC
OFI Crete
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
7.8
9.1
4.8
4.9
4.7
34.5
37.2
32.0
vs Stronger (14)
9.6
9.5
9.8
4.8
4.7
4.9
34.0
37.2
31.6
vs Similar (36)
8.0
7.2
8.8
4.8
4.9
4.6
34.7
37.3
32.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
34%
33%
35%
74%
83%
65%
96%
100%
92%
% under line
66%
67%
65%
26%
17%
35%
4%
0%
8%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panathinaikos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.5
8.8
5.9
5.6
6.2
32.2
32.9
31.4
vs Stronger (6)
8.2
9.3
7.0
6.7
5.7
7.7
31.8
31.7
32.0
vs Similar (21)
8.9
9.2
8.6
6.9
7.0
6.8
31.1
32.6
29.3
vs Weaker (23)
8.5
7.5
9.5
4.7
4.2
5.2
33.2
33.5
33.0
% over line
33%
33%
33%
82%
73%
92%
96%
100%
91%
% under line
67%
67%
67%
18%
27%
8%
4%
0%
9%
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AEK Athens FC
9.8
PAOK
9.2
PAS Giannina
9.1
Volos NFC
9.0
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.9
Aris Thessalonikis
8.8
Levadiakos
8.7
Panetolikos
8.6
Panathinaikos
8.6
OFI Crete
8.5
Lamia
8.3
Ionikos
8.2
Atromitos
7.9
Asteras Tripolis
7.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Panathinaikos
6.0
Aris Thessalonikis
5.5
PAOK
5.3
AEK Athens FC
5.3
Levadiakos
5.1
Volos NFC
4.9
Ionikos
4.8
OFI Crete
4.8
Panetolikos
4.4
Atromitos
4.3
Asteras Tripolis
4.3
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.1
PAS Giannina
4.1
Lamia
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Panetolikos
35.5
Lamia
35.1
OFI Crete
34.5
Volos NFC
33.0
Aris Thessalonikis
32.8
Ionikos
32.7
Panathinaikos
32.4
PAS Giannina
32.1
Atromitos
31.8
Asteras Tripolis
31.3
AEK Athens FC
31.1
PAOK
30.3
Olympiakos Piraeus
28.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
39.0%
Under 9.5
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
75.3%
Under 3.5
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
98.0%
Under 21.5
2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
OC
OFI Crete
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.67
0.67
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.73
0.64
0.55
0.64
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panathinaikos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.27
0.80
0.07
0.47
0.47
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.42
1.17
0.17
0.17
0.67
vs Weaker (15)
0.60
0.20
0.57
0.00
0.62
0.38
Clean sheet %
77% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
OC
OFI Crete
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
0.73
0.80
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
1.12
0.75
1.25
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.59
0.73
0.64
0.64
0.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panathinaikos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.40
0.80
0.20
0.53
0.60
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.25
0.42
0.50
0.33
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (15)
1.07
0.40
1.29
0.14
0.88
0.62
Clean sheet %
70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Panathinaikos
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aitor Cantalapiedra56%
Andraž Šporar34%
Daniel Mancini18%
Fotis Ioannidis17%
Sebastián Palacios15%
László Kleinheisler13%
Benjamin Verbič8%
Facundo Sánchez7%
Bernard6%
Hörður Magnússon4%
Dimitrios Kourbelis3%
Adam Gnezda Čerin3%
Enis Çokaj0%
Bart Schenkeveld0%
Zvonimir Šarlija0%
Achilleas Poungouras0%
Giannis Kotsiras0%
Alberto Brignoli0%
Tymoteusz Puchacz0%
Juankar0%
Cristian Ganea0%
Rubén Pérez0%
Giorgos Vagiannidis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dimitrios Kourbelis30%
Zvonimir Šarlija29%
Rubén Pérez23%
Bart Schenkeveld22%
Hörður Magnússon21%
Daniel Mancini18%
Juankar15%
Facundo Sánchez14%
Bernard13%
Alberto Brignoli12%
Adam Gnezda Čerin12%
Andraž Šporar9%
Benjamin Verbič8%
Tymoteusz Puchacz8%
László Kleinheisler7%
Sebastián Palacios6%
Fotis Ioannidis6%
Giannis Kotsiras4%
Enis Çokaj0%
Achilleas Poungouras0%
Aitor Cantalapiedra0%
Cristian Ganea0%
Giorgos Vagiannidis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aitor Cantalapiedra22%
Bernard13%
Andraž Šporar12%
Zvonimir Šarlija10%
Daniel Mancini6%
Rubén Pérez6%
Fotis Ioannidis6%
Benjamin Verbič4%
Dimitrios Kourbelis3%
Sebastián Palacios3%
Alberto Brignoli3%
Adam Gnezda Čerin3%
Hörður Magnússon0%
Enis Çokaj0%
Facundo Sánchez0%
Bart Schenkeveld0%
László Kleinheisler0%
Achilleas Poungouras0%
Giannis Kotsiras0%
Tymoteusz Puchacz0%
Juankar0%
Cristian Ganea0%
Giorgos Vagiannidis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aitor Cantalapiedra33%
Andraž Šporar31%
Fotis Ioannidis19%
Daniel Mancini18%
László Kleinheisler13%
Sebastián Palacios9%
Benjamin Verbič8%
Tymoteusz Puchacz8%
Dimitrios Kourbelis7%
Zvonimir Šarlija5%
Bernard3%
Hörður Magnússon0%
Enis Çokaj0%
Facundo Sánchez0%
Bart Schenkeveld0%
Achilleas Poungouras0%
Giannis Kotsiras0%
Alberto Brignoli0%
Juankar0%
Cristian Ganea0%
Rubén Pérez0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Giorgos Vagiannidis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Greece: Super League 1 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Panathinaikos
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
Aris Thessalonikis
Atromitos
OFI
Volos NFC
PAS Giannina
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
Ionikos
Levadiakos
Lamia