This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panathinaikos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.17
1.00
2.38
0.75
1.93
1.29
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
0.50
2.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (12)
1.25
1.67
1.50
1.33
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (16)
2.94
0.56
3.00
0.44
2.86
0.71
Clean sheet %
47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.3%
Under 1.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.1%
@ 1.90-1.3%
Under 2.5
51.9%
@ 1.86+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.4%
Under 3.5
73.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.3%
No
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
12.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.5%
0-3
7.1%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
4.9%
OFI Crete goals ↓
Panathinaikos goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.5%
12%
12%
7.1%
3.2%
1
4.9%
12%
9.6%
5.7%
2.6%
2
2.4%
4.4%
3.9%
2.3%
1.0%
3
0.7%
1.2%
1.1%
0.6%
0.3%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = OFI Crete goals (down), columns = Panathinaikos goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
PAOK
2.18
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.13
AEK Athens FC
2.13
Panathinaikos
1.95
Aris Thessalonikis
1.53
Asteras Tripolis
1.25
Panserraikos
1.17
Panetolikos
1.11
OFI Crete
1.06
OFI
1.06
Volos NFC
1.03
Atromitos
1.03
Lamia
0.97
Kifisia
0.92
PAS Giannina
0.69
OFI Crete is 0.89 points worse than Panathinaikos in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.95).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PAOK
2.39
Panathinaikos
2.26
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.24
AEK Athens FC
2.18
Aris Thessalonikis
1.42
Asteras Tripolis
1.28
Lamia
1.21
Volos NFC
1.14
Panserraikos
1.14
Kifisia
1.11
OFI Crete
1.09
OFI
1.09
Panetolikos
1.08
Atromitos
1.06
PAS Giannina
1.00
OFI Crete is 1.17 goals worse than Panathinaikos in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 2.26).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.89
PAOK
0.92
AEK Athens FC
0.97
Panathinaikos
1.05
Aris Thessalonikis
1.24
Panetolikos
1.44
OFI Crete
1.52
OFI
1.52
Atromitos
1.53
Asteras Tripolis
1.56
Panserraikos
1.67
Volos NFC
1.72
Kifisia
1.92
PAS Giannina
1.92
Lamia
2.16
OFI Crete is 0.46 goals worse than Panathinaikos in terms of goals conceded per game (1.52 vs 1.05).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
AEK Athens FC
62%
Panathinaikos
61%
Olympiakos Piraeus
58%
PAOK
57%
OFI
52%
Aris Thessalonikis
51%
Atromitos
50%
Asteras Tripolis
48%
Panserraikos
45%
Panetolikos
44%
Volos NFC
44%
Kifisia
42%
PAS Giannina
42%
Lamia
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
OC
OFI Crete
For 3.8 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.1 · Against 15.3 · Total 32.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Panathinaikos
For 5.7 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 3.2 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.6 · Against 12.9 · Total 28.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
OC
OFI Crete
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.1
9.2
5.6
6.1
5.0
31.0
31.4
30.6
vs Stronger (18)
8.8
7.3
9.7
5.2
5.9
4.7
29.7
31.0
28.9
vs Similar (32)
8.6
8.4
8.7
5.8
6.2
5.2
31.7
31.6
31.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
34%
28%
40%
82%
92%
72%
98%
100%
96%
% under line
66%
72%
60%
18%
8%
28%
2%
0%
4%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panathinaikos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.7
8.0
4.1
4.4
3.7
28.6
29.2
27.9
vs Stronger (4)
7.0
10.0
4.0
1.5
2.0
1.0
20.5
23.0
18.0
vs Similar (22)
9.9
10.5
9.2
4.2
4.5
3.8
27.7
27.8
27.6
vs Weaker (24)
8.2
9.0
7.3
4.4
4.6
4.1
30.2
30.9
29.3
% over line
37%
50%
22%
60%
65%
54%
87%
90%
83%
% under line
63%
50%
78%
40%
35%
46%
13%
10%
17%
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AEK Athens FC
10.4
Kifisia
10.2
PAS Giannina
9.4
Volos NFC
9.2
Panathinaikos
9.1
PAOK
8.8
Panetolikos
8.8
Lamia
8.7
OFI Crete
8.6
Aris Thessalonikis
8.5
OFI
8.4
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.3
Atromitos
8.2
Asteras Tripolis
8.2
Panserraikos
7.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Panserraikos
6.7
Kifisia
6.5
OFI
5.8
Aris Thessalonikis
5.8
Volos NFC
5.7
OFI Crete
5.6
Panathinaikos
5.5
AEK Athens FC
5.3
Atromitos
5.1
PAOK
5.1
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.9
Lamia
4.9
PAS Giannina
4.9
Asteras Tripolis
4.8
Panetolikos
4.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Volos NFC
32.9
Lamia
32.3
Panserraikos
31.8
Panetolikos
31.6
OFI
31.4
OFI Crete
31.0
Aris Thessalonikis
30.5
Atromitos
30.4
PAS Giannina
29.9
Asteras Tripolis
29.8
Kifisia
29.6
Panathinaikos
28.5
AEK Athens FC
28.3
PAOK
25.9
Olympiakos Piraeus
24.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
31.0%
Under 9.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
83.6%
Under 3.5
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
95.2%
Under 21.5
4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
OC
OFI Crete
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.87
0.93
0.60
0.40
1.13
vs Stronger (11)
0.27
1.00
0.60
0.60
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (19)
0.89
0.79
1.10
0.60
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panathinaikos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.43
1.00
0.31
0.71
0.57
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.83
0.67
0.67
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (17)
1.12
0.18
1.22
0.11
1.00
0.25
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
OC
OFI Crete
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.73
0.60
0.47
0.47
1.00
vs Stronger (11)
0.36
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.58
0.50
0.40
0.78
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Panathinaikos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.53
1.38
0.44
1.21
0.64
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.83
0.83
0.67
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (17)
1.71
0.35
1.78
0.33
1.62
0.38
Clean sheet %
53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Panathinaikos
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexander Jeremejeff47%
Fotis Ioannidis44%
Anastasios Bakasetas40%
Andraž Šporar21%
Sebastián Palacios20%
Bernard17%
Benjamin Verbič16%
Aitor Cantalapiedra15%
Hörður Magnússon11%
Filip Đuričić10%
Adam Gnezda Čerin8%
Willian Arão8%
Daniel Mancini7%
Tin Jedvaj6%
Giorgos Vagiannidis3%
Tonny Vilhena3%
Filip Mladenović3%
Zeca0%
Yury Lodygin0%
Dimitris Limnios0%
Enis Çokaj0%
Bart Schenkeveld0%
László Kleinheisler0%
Giannis Kotsiras0%
Vitor Hugo0%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Alberto Brignoli0%
Erik Palmer-Brown0%
Juankar0%
Rubén Pérez0%
Samet Akaydin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Samet Akaydin33%
Filip Đuričić28%
Rubén Pérez27%
László Kleinheisler25%
Tin Jedvaj21%
Filip Mladenović21%
Anastasios Bakasetas20%
Aitor Cantalapiedra20%
Giorgos Vagiannidis19%
Willian Arão18%
Bernard17%
Benjamin Verbič16%
Juankar15%
Tonny Vilhena11%
Fotis Ioannidis10%
Alberto Brignoli10%
Daniel Mancini10%
Dimitris Limnios8%
Bart Schenkeveld8%
Andraž Šporar8%
Alexander Jeremejeff7%
Adam Gnezda Čerin6%
Sebastián Palacios3%
Giannis Kotsiras3%
Hörður Magnússon0%
Zeca0%
Yury Lodygin0%
Enis Çokaj0%
Vitor Hugo0%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Erik Palmer-Brown0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fotis Ioannidis23%
Juankar19%
Bernard19%
Sebastián Palacios14%
Filip Mladenović13%
Daniel Mancini12%
Giannis Kotsiras11%
Adam Gnezda Čerin8%
Samet Akaydin8%
Willian Arão8%
Filip Đuričić7%
Anastasios Bakasetas7%
Alexander Jeremejeff7%
Aitor Cantalapiedra5%
Rubén Pérez3%
Giorgos Vagiannidis3%
Tonny Vilhena3%
Andraž Šporar3%
Hörður Magnússon0%
Tin Jedvaj0%
Zeca0%
Yury Lodygin0%
Benjamin Verbič0%
Dimitris Limnios0%
Enis Çokaj0%
Bart Schenkeveld0%
László Kleinheisler0%
Vitor Hugo0%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Alberto Brignoli0%
Erik Palmer-Brown0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anastasios Bakasetas40%
Fotis Ioannidis36%
Andraž Šporar18%
Alexander Jeremejeff13%
Sebastián Palacios11%
Aitor Cantalapiedra10%
Bernard7%
Filip Đuričić7%
Adam Gnezda Čerin6%
Benjamin Verbič4%
Tin Jedvaj3%
Tonny Vilhena3%
Filip Mladenović3%
Willian Arão3%
Hörður Magnússon0%
Zeca0%
Yury Lodygin0%
Dimitris Limnios0%
Enis Çokaj0%
Bart Schenkeveld0%
László Kleinheisler0%
Daniel Mancini0%
Giannis Kotsiras0%
Vitor Hugo0%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Alberto Brignoli0%
Erik Palmer-Brown0%
Juankar0%
Rubén Pérez0%
Samet Akaydin0%
Giorgos Vagiannidis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Greece: Super League 1 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Panathinaikos
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
Aris Thessalonikis
Asteras Tripolis
Panserraikos
Panetolikos
Atromitos
Volos NFC
Lamia
OFI
Kifisia
PAS Giannina