The contest between OFK Beograd and IMT Novi Beograd is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win but the odds close enough that a draw or an away victory remains plausible. The expected total is 2.3 goals, centring on a 2-goal outcome that carries a 28% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.6% probability, reflecting the evenly matched attacking and defensive figures: OFK Beograd averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded at home against similar opposition, while IMT Novi Beograd averages 1.08 scored and 1.17 conceded on the road. Home win probability sits at 39%, draw at 31%, and away win at 30%. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.2%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.5% with a 7% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.2% with a 7% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.9% with a 7% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.3% with a 7% edge), Under 5.5 (97.2% with a 6% edge), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.2% with a 7% edge). Both teams are coming off wins, adding a touch of momentum to an evenly poised fixture.
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šÆ 1. Model Analysis
OFK Beograd win
39.1%
Avg Implied 38.8% · @ 2.36
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.45
1xBet
2.44
Pinnacle
2.35
Marathonbet
2.31
Draw
31.2%
Avg Implied 29.7% · @ 3.07
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.25
1xBet
3.18
Unibet
3.10
10Bet
3.05
IMT Novi Beograd win
29.7%
Avg Implied 31.5% · @ 2.90
Edge
-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.05
10Bet
3.05
1xBet
3.04
Betfair
2.90
William Hil
2.90
ā½ 2. Goal Analysis
OFK Beograd
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.23
1.00
1.00
1.35
1.41
vs Stronger (5)
1.80
2.00
3.00
4.00
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (15)
1.20
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.43
1.71
vs Weaker (10)
0.90
0.70
0.50
0.25
1.17
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (IMT Novi Beograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IMT Novi Beograd
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.87
1.19
0.69
1.14
1.07
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
1.09
0.86
1.10
0.50
1.08
1.17
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
0.80
1.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Beograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
67.1%
@ 1.33-2.5%
Under 1.5
32.9%
@ 3.04+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Unibet
3.20
Pinnacle
3.01
10Bet
3.00
1xBet
2.97
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
39.2%
@ 2.05-6.5%
Under 2.5
60.8%
@ 1.72+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.18
Bet365
2.10
1xBet
2.07
10Bet
2.05
Betano
2.05
Under
Unibet
1.78
1xBet
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
19.1%
@ 3.50-7.4%
Under 3.5
80.9%
@ 1.26+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.81
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.65
Betano
3.40
Marathonbet
3.34
Under
Unibet
1.29
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Both teams to score
Yes
46.7%
@ 1.77-5.1%
No
53.3%
@ 1.91+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
10Bet
1.75
No
Unibet
2.00
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.92
10Bet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.89
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%@ 5.81+7.0%
0-0
11.8%@ 7.77+6.1%
1-0
11.5%@ 7.11+5.3%
0-1
9.5%@ 8.06+4.0%
2-1
8.1%@ 8.98+3.2%
2-0
7.8%@ 10.86+3.8%
1-2
6.8%@ 10.02+2.4%
0-2
5.6%@ 13.79+2.4%
OFK Beograd goals ↓
IMT Novi Beograd goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
9.5%
5.6%
1.9%
0.5%
1
12%
15%
6.8%
2.4%
0.6%
2
7.8%
8.1%
4.2%
1.4%
0.4%
3
3.2%
3.3%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
4
1.0%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = OFK Beograd goals (down), columns = IMT Novi Beograd goals (across).
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šŖ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
š Total PPG
Points / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.00
Vojvodina
2.14
IMT Novi Beograd
1.86
Radnicki 1923
1.67
ŽelezniÄar PanÄevo
1.60
Cukaricki
1.43
Mladost Lucani
1.43
Radnik Surdulica
1.33
FK Partizan
1.17
OFK Beograd
1.14
Novi Pazar
1.14
Macva
1.00
Radnicki NIS
0.83
Zemun
0.14
OFK Beograd is 0.71 points worse than IMT Novi Beograd in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.86).
āļø Attack
Goals scored / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.20
Vojvodina
2.14
ŽelezniÄar PanÄevo
1.80
FK Partizan
1.67
IMT Novi Beograd
1.43
Cukaricki
1.29
Radnicki 1923
1.17
OFK Beograd
1.14
Radnik Surdulica
1.00
Mladost Lucani
1.00
Macva
0.71
Novi Pazar
0.71
Radnicki NIS
0.50
Zemun
0.29
OFK Beograd is 0.29 goals worse than IMT Novi Beograd in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.43).
š”ļø Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FK Crvena Zvezda
0.20
IMT Novi Beograd
0.57
Vojvodina
0.86
Mladost Lucani
0.86
Radnicki 1923
1.00
ŽelezniÄar PanÄevo
1.00
Radnicki NIS
1.00
Novi Pazar
1.14
Radnik Surdulica
1.50
FK Partizan
1.67
OFK Beograd
1.71
Cukaricki
1.71
Macva
1.86
Zemun
2.00
OFK Beograd is 1.14 goals worse than IMT Novi Beograd in terms of goals conceded per game (1.71 vs 0.57).
ā±ļø Possession
Avg possession %
FK Partizan
63%
FK Crvena Zvezda
61%
ŽelezniÄar PanÄevo
61%
Radnicki 1923
58%
Radnicki NIS
55%
OFK Beograd
54%
IMT Novi Beograd
53%
Vojvodina
52%
Novi Pazar
49%
Radnik Surdulica
48%
Cukaricki
41%
Mladost Lucani
38%
Macva
38%
Zemun
37%
OFK Beograd is 1.9 percentage points better than IMT Novi Beograd in terms of average possession (54% vs 53%).
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
OFK Beograd or Draw
70.3%
Avg Implied 68.2% · @ 1.36
Edge
+2.1%
39%
31%
30%
covers OFK Beograd + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.37
William Hil
1.36
Betfair
1.36
OFK Beograd or IMT Novi Beograd
68.8%
Avg Implied 70.8% · @ 1.31
Edge
-2.0%
39%
31%
30%
covers OFK Beograd + IMT Novi Beograd
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.36
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Draw or IMT Novi Beograd
60.9%
Avg Implied 61.0% · @ 1.52
Edge
-0.1%
39%
31%
30%
covers Draw + IMT Novi Beograd
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.57
Betfair
1.57
William Hil
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Betano
1.53
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š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
OFK Beograd over/under 0.5
Over
70.5%
@ 1.29-1.1%
Under
29.5%
@ 3.26+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Under
10Bet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.28
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.25
OFK Beograd over/under 1.5
Over
34.5%
@ 2.44-3.7%
Under
65.5%
@ 1.50+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
Betfair
2.50
Pinnacle
2.48
Betano
2.42
10Bet
2.35
Under
10Bet
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Betano
1.52
Marathonbet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.51
OFK Beograd over/under 2.5
Over
12.5%
@ 5.58-4.1%
Under
87.5%
@ 1.11+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.80
Betano
5.30
10Bet
5.25
Under
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
OFK Beograd over/under 3.5
Over
3.6%
@ 10.38-5.4%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.02+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.50
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 0.5
Over
64.4%
@ 1.38-3.1%
Under
35.6%
@ 2.85+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.41
1xBet
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Betano
1.37
Betfair
1.36
Under
Bet365
3.00
Betano
2.95
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.81
10Bet
2.80
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 1.5
Over
27.6%
@ 2.75-6.0%
Under
72.4%
@ 1.39+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.85
1xBet
2.76
Marathonbet
2.76
Pinnacle
2.73
Under
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
1xBet
1.37
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 2.5
Over
8.6%
@ 6.69-5.2%
Under
91.4%
@ 1.07+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.70
Betfair
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.45
Bet365
6.00
Under
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 3.5
Over
2.1%
@ 11.00-6.4%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.02+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.00
Bet365
11.00
Under
Bet365
1.02
Betano
1.02
āļø 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to OFK Beograd, so a minus line means OFK Beograd give that many goals of a start and IMT Novi Beograd receive them. At -1, OFK Beograd must win by two or more to land; a one-goal OFK Beograd win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (OFK Beograd)
OFK Beograd -2
5.9%
@ 10.15-2.8%
Draw -2
11.7%
@ 6.80-1.3%
IMT Novi Beograd +2
82.4%
@ 1.12+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
9.30
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.60
Away
Marathonbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Handicap -1 (OFK Beograd)
OFK Beograd -1
17.6%
@ 4.75-1.1%
Draw -1
21.5%
@ 3.86-1.5%
IMT Novi Beograd +1
60.9%
@ 1.52+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.88
10Bet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Away
10Bet
1.57
Betfair
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.48
Handicap +1 (OFK Beograd)
OFK Beograd +1
70.3%
@ 1.39+5.9%
Draw +1
18.0%
@ 4.36-2.5%
IMT Novi Beograd -1
11.8%
@ 5.86-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.31
Draw
10Bet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Away
10Bet
6.50
Marathonbet
5.95
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Handicap +2 (OFK Beograd)
OFK Beograd +2
88.2%
@ 1.10+11.2%
Draw +2
8.4%
@ 6.15-5.5%
IMT Novi Beograd -2
3.4%
@ 9.32-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Bet365
12.00
Marathonbet
6.65
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
OFK Beograd
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.50
0.54
0.54
0.59
0.47
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
0.75
0.75
vs Similar (15)
0.47
0.60
0.38
0.50
0.57
0.71
vs Weaker (10)
0.50
0.10
0.50
0.25
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (IMT Novi Beograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IMT Novi Beograd
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.43
0.31
0.31
0.21
0.57
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.27
0.45
0.30
0.20
0.25
0.67
vs Weaker (5)
0.20
0.20
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Beograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
66.1%
@ 1.43+1.6%
Under 0.5
33.9%
@ 2.61-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
1xBet
1.43
Under
Betfair
2.75
William Hil
2.70
10Bet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.61
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
29.1%
@ 3.03-1.5%
Under 1.5
70.9%
@ 1.34+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.06
Betano
3.00
William Hil
3.00
Under
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.36
William Hil
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
9.9%
@ 7.45-2.6%
Under 2.5
90.1%
@ 1.06+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
8.50
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
7.10
1xBet
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
OFK Beograd over/under 0.5 HT
Over
45.2%
@ 2.08+0.7%
Under
54.8%
@ 1.67-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.10
Marathonbet
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Under
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
1xBet
1.67
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
OFK Beograd over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.7%
@ 6.34-1.8%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.08+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.50
1xBet
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Betano
6.10
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
OFK Beograd over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.9%
@ 17.00-3.7%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
11.00
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 0.5 HT
Over
37.4%
@ 2.27-3.3%
Under
62.6%
@ 1.56+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.39
Marathonbet
2.28
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.25
10Bet
2.20
Under
10Bet
1.60
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.2%
@ 7.47-3.2%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.06+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.50
Marathonbet
7.80
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.5%
@ 18.62-3.7%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
OFK Beograd
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
0.46
0.46
0.76
0.94
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.75
0.75
vs Similar (15)
0.73
0.73
0.62
0.50
0.86
1.00
vs Weaker (10)
0.40
0.60
0.00
0.00
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (IMT Novi Beograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IMT Novi Beograd
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.43
0.88
0.38
0.93
0.50
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.33
0.50
0.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.82
0.41
0.80
0.30
0.83
0.50
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.60
1.25
0.75
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Beograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.8%
@ 1.26+0.7%
Under 0.5
26.2%
@ 3.43-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
Under
10Bet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Betano
3.45
Marathonbet
3.42
1xBet
3.42
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
39.8%
@ 2.21-2.0%
Under 1.5
60.2%
@ 1.59+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.30
Bet365
2.25
10Bet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.18
1xBet
2.18
Under
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
1xBet
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.0%
@ 4.83-5.0%
Under 2.5
86.0%
@ 1.14+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
William Hil
5.00
1xBet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.65
Betano
4.35
Under
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.12
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
OFK Beograd over/under 0.5 2H
Over
49.1%
@ 1.74-4.0%
Under
50.9%
@ 1.97+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
10Bet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Under
10Bet
2.00
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
OFK Beograd over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.3%
@ 4.55-4.9%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.16+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.65
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.40
Under
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
OFK Beograd over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.6%
@ 11.12-5.8%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.02+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 0.5 2H
Over
46.2%
@ 1.89-2.5%
Under
53.8%
@ 1.79+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.88
Betano
1.85
Under
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
10Bet
1.77
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 1.5 2H
Over
14.8%
@ 5.42-2.2%
Under
85.2%
@ 1.11+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.75
1xBet
5.55
Marathonbet
5.55
Betano
4.85
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.8%
@ 15.50-3.3%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.01+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
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š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.2%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.0%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.7%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.7%
Away under 3.5 goals
97.9%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
+6.4%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.8%
Under 5.5
97.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+5.4%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.3%
Over 19.5 fouls
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
96.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+5.4%
Over 21.5 fouls
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
92.2%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
-
+5.2%
Away under 2.5 goals
91.4%
1.07
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
+5.2%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.8%
1.06
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
-
+3.2%
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.1%
1.06
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
+2.6%
Over 2.5 cards
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
88.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-
+11.2%
Home under 2.5 goals
87.5%
1.11
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
+4.1%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.3%
1.08
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
-
+1.8%
Over 23.5 fouls
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
86.0%
1.14
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.12
+5.0%
Under 11.5 corners
85.2%
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
-
-0.4%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.2%
1.11
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+2.2%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.7%
1.16
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
-
+4.9%
Away +2 handicap
82.4%
1.12
Marathonbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
+4.0%
Under 3.5
80.9%
1.26
Unibet
1.29
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+7.4%
Under 10.5 corners
76.8%
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-
-
-
-
-3.9%
Over 25.5 fouls
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
73.8%
1.26
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
+0.7%
Away under 1.5 goals
72.4%
1.39
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
1xBet
1.37
+6.0%
Under 1.5 HT goals
70.9%
1.34
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.36
William Hil
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
+1.5%
Home over 0.5 goals
70.5%
1.29
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
-1.1%
Home or Draw
70.3%
1.36
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.37
William Hil
1.36
Betfair
1.36
+2.1%
Home +1 handicap
70.3%
1.39
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.31
-
+5.9%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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š° 14. Squad value
š° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (32)
€115m
FP (30)
€48m
VOJ (29)
€30m
OB (28)
€18m
ŽP (24)
€13m
INB (23)
€12m
RN (26)
€11m
NP (21)
€10m
CUK (23)
€10m
R1 (26)
€9m
RS (26)
€9m
ML (28)
€8m
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
OFK Beograd's squad is €6m more valuable than IMT Novi Beograd's (€18m vs €12m).
āļø Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€62m
FP (15)
€24m
VOJ (15)
€13m
ŽP (9)
€7m
OB (10)
€6m
RN (11)
€4m
ML (10)
€4m
R1 (10)
€4m
CUK (8)
€4m
INB (8)
€4m
NP (9)
€3m
RS (10)
€3m
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
OFK Beograd's attack is €2m more valuable than IMT Novi Beograd's (€6m vs €4m).
š§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (6)
€21m
FP (2)
€11m
VOJ (4)
€7m
OB (8)
€4m
INB (3)
€4m
R1 (6)
€3m
NP (3)
€2m
CUK (5)
€2m
RS (5)
€2m
ZEM (5)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
ŽP (4)
€1m
RN (3)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
OFK Beograd and IMT Novi Beograd have a similar midfield value (both €4m).
š”ļø Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€33m
FP (13)
€14m
VOJ (10)
€9m
OB (10)
€8m
ŽP (11)
€6m
RN (12)
€5m
NP (9)
€5m
RS (11)
€4m
INB (12)
€4m
CUK (10)
€3m
R1 (10)
€3m
ML (12)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
ZEM (8)
€1m
OFK Beograd's defence is €4m more valuable than IMT Novi Beograd's (€8m vs €4m).
Serbia: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Super Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FK Crvena Zvezda
Vojvodina
Mladost Lucani
Radnicki 1923
Cukaricki
ŽelezniÄar PanÄevo
Radnik Surdulica
Novi Pazar
FK Partizan
Macva
Radnicki NIS
Zemun