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OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica Result & Analysis

Date: 25/07/2026
Time: 18:00
Final 0-0
OFK Beograd
OFK Beograd
Vs
44%
30%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Radnik Surdulica
Radnik Surdulica
Serbia: Super Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives OFK Beograd a 44% win probability against Radnik Surdulica in the Serbia: Super Liga on 2026-07-25, with 30% for the draw and 26% for Radnik Surdulica. The model estimates around 2.3 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (28%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (14.2%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 21.5 fouls (91%), Under 3.5 (80%), Over 3.5 cards (73%).

Results analysis

OFK Beograd finished 0-0 against Radnik Surdulica (Draw). Pythia had modelled a 44% home win, 30% draw and 26% away win. Picks that landed: Over 21.5 fouls (91%), Under 3.5 (80%), Over 3.5 cards (73%).

šŸŽÆ 1. Model Analysis

OFK Beograd wināœ— Miss
43.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawāœ“ Hit
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Radnik Surdulica wināœ— Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

āš½ 2. Goal Analysis

OFK BeogradOFK Beograd

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W00D51W00D11D02L11D12L21W04LA·RAD03/04H·RAD09/04A·NOV18/04H·CUK22/04H·RAD26/04A·Å½EL02/05A·FK 09/05H·VOJ17/05A·FK 22/05A·VOJ19/07
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.131.081.081.411.18
vs Stronger (5)1.601.801.503.001.671.00
vs Similar (13)1.231.311.001.001.431.57
vs Weaker (12)1.170.671.000.401.290.86
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Surdulica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Radnik SurdulicaRadnik Surdulica

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L00D22D20W11D14L11D00D05L11DH·FK 05/04A·OFK09/04A·CUK18/04H·NOV22/04A·OFK26/04H·VOJ04/05A·Å½EL09/05H·FK 17/05A·FK 23/05H·MLA19/07
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.201.401.001.201.40
vs Stronger (17)1.061.291.431.430.801.20
vs Similar (13)1.621.081.380.622.001.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Beograd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%021%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.1%
Under 1.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.2%
Under 2.5
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.9%
Under 3.5
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.8%
No
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0
12.1%
0-0 āœ“
11.4%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.7%
OFK Beograd goals ↓
Radnik Surdulica goals →
01234
011%8.5%4.7%1.5%0.4%
112%14%6.3%2.0%0.5%
28.9%8.6%4.2%1.3%0.3%
33.9%3.8%1.8%0.6%0.1%
41.3%1.3%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = OFK Beograd goals (down), columns = Radnik Surdulica goals (across).

šŸ’Ŗ 3. Team Strengths Analysis

šŸ† Total PPG

Points / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
2.32
Vojvodina
2.05
FK Partizan
1.97
Železničar Pančevo
1.59
Novi Pazar
1.41
IMT Novi Beograd
1.35
OFK Beograd
1.32
Radnicki NIS
1.32
Mladost Lucani
1.24
Radnik Surdulica
1.24
Radnicki 1923
1.22
Cukaricki
1.22
Zemun
1.15
Macva
1.14
OFK Beograd is 0.08 points better than Radnik Surdulica in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 1.24).

āš”ļø Attack

Goals scored / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
2.70
FK Partizan
1.95
Vojvodina
1.78
Železničar Pančevo
1.35
OFK Beograd
1.32
Cukaricki
1.27
Radnicki NIS
1.24
Novi Pazar
1.24
Radnik Surdulica
1.19
Zemun
1.13
Macva
1.12
Radnicki 1923
1.11
IMT Novi Beograd
1.11
Mladost Lucani
0.89
OFK Beograd is 0.14 goals better than Radnik Surdulica in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 1.19).

šŸ›”ļø Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FK Crvena Zvezda
0.84
Vojvodina
0.95
Železničar Pančevo
1.00
Radnicki 1923
1.14
FK Partizan
1.22
OFK Beograd
1.27
Radnik Surdulica
1.30
Radnicki NIS
1.32
Cukaricki
1.35
IMT Novi Beograd
1.38
Mladost Lucani
1.41
Novi Pazar
1.46
Zemun
1.57
Macva
1.58
OFK Beograd is 0.03 goals better than Radnik Surdulica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.30).

ā±ļø Possession

Avg possession %
FK Crvena Zvezda
67%
FK Partizan
59%
Železničar Pančevo
54%
Radnicki 1923
52%
OFK Beograd
51%
Vojvodina
50%
Radnicki NIS
50%
IMT Novi Beograd
48%
Cukaricki
46%
Radnik Surdulica
46%
Novi Pazar
45%
Mladost Lucani
41%
OFK Beograd is 5.3 percentage points better than Radnik Surdulica in terms of average possession (51% vs 46%).

šŸŽ² 4. Props Analysis

OFK BeogradOFK Beograd

For 3.5 · Against 5.1 · Total 8.6

šŸš© Corners

12016111831945452432734371211109965107A·VOJA·FK H·VOJA·FK A·Å½ELH·RADH·CUKA·NOVH·RADA·RAD
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.8

šŸŸØ Cards

70214134212513321213433573745347A·VOJH·VOJA·FK A·Å½ELH·RADH·CUKA·NOVH·RADA·RADH·IMT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 13.9 · Total 27.7

āš ļø Fouls

32012191481612161211101319161512111217161631222828213231232932A·VOJA·FK H·VOJA·FK A·Å½ELH·RADH·CUKA·NOVH·RADA·RAD
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Radnik SurdulicaRadnik Surdulica

For 4.0 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.5

šŸš© Corners

120531514673547165375786561098111012H·MLAA·FK H·FK A·Å½ELH·VOJA·OFKH·NOVA·CUKA·OFKH·FK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.7

šŸŸØ Cards

8021241713252233221133258575534H·MLAA·FK H·FK A·Å½ELH·VOJA·OFKH·NOVA·CUKA·OFKH·FK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.1 · Against 13.3 · Total 28.4

āš ļø Fouls

3601511109181420711171913101517191712141626193227283225362930H·MLAA·FK H·FK A·Å½ELH·VOJA·OFKH·NOVA·CUKA·OFKH·FK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

OFK BeogradOFK Beograd

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.19.09.14.45.03.829.330.228.4
vs Stronger (9)11.011.011.02.32.02.424.020.025.1
vs Similar (22)8.69.18.05.15.94.129.230.727.5
vs Weaker (19)8.78.58.94.64.54.831.831.532.2
% over line34%36%32%60%68%52%92%96%88%
% under line66%64%68%40%32%48%8%4%12%
This opponent (Radnik Surdulica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Radnik SurdulicaRadnik Surdulica

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.78.58.94.14.04.330.230.330.2
vs Stronger (22)9.19.78.64.94.75.029.630.129.2
vs Similar (28)8.27.29.63.63.53.731.130.432.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line39%37%42%64%69%58%95%95%95%
% under line61%63%58%36%31%42%5%5%5%
This opponent (OFK Beograd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

šŸš© Total Corners

Match total corners / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
10.3
Mladost Lucani
9.5
Vojvodina
9.1
OFK Beograd
9.1
Macva
9.0
Novi Pazar
8.9
FK Partizan
8.9
Radnicki 1923
8.8
Radnik Surdulica
8.8
Cukaricki
8.6
IMT Novi Beograd
8.6
Železničar Pančevo
8.6
Radnicki NIS
8.5
Zemun
5.0

šŸŸØ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Zemun
6.0
Radnicki 1923
5.5
Radnik Surdulica
5.2
Cukaricki
5.0
Vojvodina
4.9
Radnicki NIS
4.9
OFK Beograd
4.7
FK Partizan
4.6
IMT Novi Beograd
4.5
Novi Pazar
4.4
Železničar Pančevo
4.4
Mladost Lucani
4.2
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.6
Macva
2.0

āš ļø Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Radnicki 1923
31.1
Radnik Surdulica
30.2
Cukaricki
29.7
Radnicki NIS
29.4
IMT Novi Beograd
29.4
OFK Beograd
29.3
Železničar Pančevo
27.8
Novi Pazar
27.6
Vojvodina
27.4
FK Partizan
26.5
Mladost Lucani
25.6
Zemun
25.0
FK Crvena Zvezda
24.0
Macva
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
36.3%
Under 9.5
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.4%
Under 3.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
90.6%
Under 21.5
9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ”€ 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

šŸ”¢ 6. Odd / Even

šŸ„… 7. Home & Away Over/Under

āš–ļø 8. Handicap

šŸ”„ 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 21.5 fouls90.6%-------āœ“ Hit
Under 3.580.1%-------āœ“ Hit
Over 3.5 cards73.4%-------āœ“ Hit

šŸ’° 10. Squad value

šŸ’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (31)
€60m
OB (36)
€29m
ŽP (36)
€24m
VOJ (27)
€23m
CUK (37)
€20m
INB (44)
€19m
NP (34)
€18m
RS (38)
€15m
RN (34)
€14m
R1 (32)
€13m
ML (33)
€8m
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
OFK Beograd's squad is €14m more valuable than Radnik Surdulica's (€29m vs €15m).

āš”ļø Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (12)
€26m
CUK (13)
€12m
OB (13)
€11m
ŽP (14)
€11m
VOJ (13)
€9m
RS (17)
€9m
INB (22)
€8m
NP (18)
€8m
R1 (12)
€7m
RN (17)
€7m
ML (13)
€5m
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
OFK Beograd's attack is €2m more valuable than Radnik Surdulica's (€11m vs €9m).

šŸ§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (4)
€19m
OB (8)
€8m
ŽP (9)
€6m
INB (4)
€5m
VOJ (4)
€5m
NP (4)
€3m
CUK (7)
€3m
R1 (6)
€2m
RS (7)
€2m
RN (5)
€1m
ZEM (5)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
OFK Beograd's midfield is €6m more valuable than Radnik Surdulica's (€8m vs €2m).

šŸ›”ļø Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (15)
€15m
OB (15)
€10m
VOJ (10)
€9m
NP (12)
€7m
ŽP (13)
€7m
RN (12)
€6m
INB (18)
€6m
CUK (17)
€5m
RS (14)
€4m
R1 (14)
€4m
ML (14)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
ZEM (8)
€1m
OFK Beograd's defence is €6m more valuable than Radnik Surdulica's (€10m vs €4m).

šŸ¤ 11. Games History

Head-to-head

OFK Beograd vs Radnik Surdulica · H/A from OB
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/26HOB Vs Radnik Surdulica1-1
09/04/26HOB Vs Radnik Surdulica0-0
08/11/25ARadnik Surdulica Vs OB1-0

OFK BeogradOFK Beograd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/07/26AVojvodina Vs OB4-0
22/05/26AFK Crvena Zvezda Vs OB1-2
17/05/26HOB Vs Vojvodina1-2
09/05/26AFK Partizan Vs OB1-1
02/05/26AŽelezničar Pančevo Vs OB2-0
26/04/26HOB Vs Radnik Surdulica1-1
22/04/26HOB Vs Cukaricki0-0
18/04/26ANovi Pazar Vs OB1-5
09/04/26HOB Vs Radnik Surdulica0-0
03/04/26ARadnicki NIS Vs OB1-2

Radnik SurdulicaRadnik Surdulica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/07/26HRS Vs Mladost Lucani1-1
23/05/26AFK Partizan Vs RS5-0
17/05/26HRS Vs FK Crvena Zvezda0-0
09/05/26AŽelezničar Pančevo Vs RS1-1
04/05/26HRS Vs Vojvodina1-4
26/04/26AOFK Beograd Vs RS1-1
22/04/26HRS Vs Novi Pazar2-0
18/04/26ACukaricki Vs RS2-2
09/04/26AOFK Beograd Vs RS0-0
05/04/26HRS Vs FK Crvena Zvezda1-2

šŸ“Š 12. Overall Statistics

OFK Beograd
OFK Beograd
Serbia: Super Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWL1.30
HomeDDDDL1.12
AwayWLDWL1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%28%40%
AVG goals2.862.483.24
Over 1.5 %74%68%80%
Over 2.5 %56%48%64%
Over 3.5 %36%24%48%
Scored1.421.281.56
Conceded1.441.201.68
BTTS56%44%68%
Clean Sheet30%40%20%
Corners9.069.009.12
Cards4.705.004.36
Radnik Surdulica
Radnik Surdulica
Serbia: Super Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 6 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLD1.56
HomeLWLDD1.96
AwayDDDDL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%58%25%
AVG goals2.602.582.62
Over 1.5 %80%81%79%
Over 2.5 %46%50%42%
Over 3.5 %28%27%29%
Scored1.461.691.21
Conceded1.140.881.42
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet38%50%25%
Corners8.748.538.95
Cards5.455.425.47

šŸ† 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ā‚¬mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CukarickiCukaricki510
60%
2.0
93+6
2.4
80%
40%
20%
9.6
60%
5.6
100%
28.0
80%
20
12351.80.6
46%
2IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd510
60%
2.0
72+5
1.8
40%
40%
20%
9.0
40%
4.0
40%
31.0
80%
19
8561.40.4
48%
3FK Crvena ZvezdaFK Crvena Zvezda39
100%
3.0
101+9
3.7
100%
67%
67%
8.3
0%
3.7
67%
20.3
33%
0
0003.30.3
67%
4VojvodinaVojvodina59
60%
1.8
96+3
3.0
100%
60%
40%
9.2
40%
4.8
60%
26.6
80%
23
9591.81.2
50%
5Mladost LucaniMladost Lucani57
20%
1.4
43+1
1.4
40%
20%
20%
10.2
40%
4.8
60%
28.2
100%
8
5120.80.6
41%
6Novi PazarNovi Pazar57
40%
1.4
46-2
2.0
60%
20%
20%
10.2
40%
4.6
80%
24.8
100%
18
8370.81.2
45%
7Radnicki 1923Radnicki 192346
50%
1.5
44+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
12.5
100%
5.5
100%
25.2
100%
13
7241.01.0
52%
8Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo35
33%
1.7
43+1
2.3
67%
67%
33%
7.7
33%
5.7
100%
28.7
100%
24
11671.31.0
54%
9Radnik SurdulicaRadnik Surdulica45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
75%
50%
0%
9.0
50%
3.8
25%
32.8
100%
15
9241.01.0
46%
10OFK BeogradOFK Beograd55
20%
1.0
69-3
3.0
80%
60%
60%
7.6
20%
5.8
80%
30.2
100%
29
118101.21.8
51%
11FK PartizanFK Partizan44
25%
1.0
66+0
3.0
75%
75%
50%
9.5
50%
6.8
100%
28.5
100%
60
2619151.51.5
59%
12Radnicki NISRadnicki NIS44
25%
1.0
24-2
1.5
50%
25%
0%
9.0
50%
4.2
75%
27.0
75%
14
7160.51.0
50%
13MacvaMacva53
20%
0.6
312-9
3.0
80%
60%
40%
7.4
0%
5.6
40%
30.4
80%
4
2120.62.4
-
14ZemunZemun51
0%
0.2
211-9
2.6
60%
60%
40%
9.6
60%
6.2
80%
25.8
80%
5
2110.42.2
-
Serbia: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Super Liga stats & trends →

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