OFK Beograd is the clear favourite to win this match, with the Pythia prediction model giving them a 67% chance of victory at home. This is largely due to their strong home form against weaker opponents, scoring an average of 0.83 goals and conceding just 0.33 per match. Zemun, on the other hand, have struggled on the road, and their recent form has been poor, with 3 consecutive defeats.
The model predicts a 23% chance of a draw and a 10% chance of an away win. The expected total number of goals is 2.5, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-0, with a probability of 15.1%.
In terms of scoring and conceding, OFK Beograd have been strong at home, while Zemun have struggled on the road. The model's selection is the home win, with a predicted probability of 67%.
The Pythia model also suggests the following selections: Over 21.5 fouls (86.5%), Under 3.5 (76.8%), Over 3.5 cards (76.0%), and Over 1.5 (71.2%). The home win percentage is 67%, the draw percentage is 23%, and the away win percentage is 10%.
Results analysis
The latest Super Liga clash saw OFK Beograd extend their winning run, beating Zemun 1-0 as the model predicted a home win with a 67 % probability. The favourite was right, and the final score matched the expected 1-0 outcome. The model’s selections performed strongly: Away under 3.5 goals hit, as did Under 7.5, Away under 2.5 HT goals, Under 6.5, Away under 2.5 goals, Away under 2.5 2H goals, Home +2 handicap, and Under 5.5. Each hit came with a high probability - 99.7 %, 99.6 %, 99.2 %, 98.7 %, 97.8 %, 97.8 %, 97.4 %, and 96.1 % respectively. The predictions were largely accurate, confirming the model’s confidence in the home side’s performance.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
OFK Beograd win✓ Hit
67.1%
Avg Implied 66.3% · @ 1.37
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Dafabet
1.39
Betano
1.39
Draw✗ Miss
22.8%
Avg Implied 21.7% · @ 4.18
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.50
Superbet
4.40
Dafabet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
Zemun win✗ Miss
10.0%
Avg Implied 12.1% · @ 7.50
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
9.25
888Sport
9.00
1xBet
8.00
Betfair
8.00
William Hil
8.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
OFK Beograd
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.20
0.92
1.08
1.35
1.29
vs Stronger (4)
2.00
1.75
3.00
4.00
1.67
1.00
vs Similar (16)
1.19
1.31
1.00
1.00
1.38
1.62
vs Weaker (10)
0.80
0.80
0.25
0.50
1.17
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Zemun) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zemun
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.23
1.62
1.00
1.07
1.50
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.32
1.21
1.57
0.93
1.07
1.50
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Beograd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.4%
@ 1.27-0.9%
Under 1.5
28.6%
@ 3.31+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.32
888Sport
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Unibet
1.29
Betano
1.28
Under
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.65
Betfair
3.50
Betano
3.35
Superbet
3.35
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.6%
@ 1.86-5.3%
Under 2.5
55.4%
@ 1.84+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.94
Unibet
1.93
888Sport
1.91
SBO
1.90
Betfair
1.90
Under
Bet365
2.05
10Bet
1.95
Betano
1.90
SBO
1.88
Betfair
1.87
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.4%
@ 3.05-6.7%
Under 3.5
76.6%
@ 1.31+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
3.40
Betfair
3.40
Unibet
3.25
1xBet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.42
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.31
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.7%
@ 2.12-4.6%
No
61.3%
@ 1.62+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
888Sport
2.30
Betfair
2.20
William Hil
2.20
1xBet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.17
No
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.65
Betfair
1.65
Betano
1.65
William Hil
1.62
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 ✓
15.0%@ 5.69+7.2%
2-0
14.9%@ 5.80+7.2%
1-1
10.4%@ 8.06+4.8%
0-0
9.5%@ 9.34+4.7%
3-0
9.3%@ 8.37+4.0%
2-1
8.8%@ 7.91+3.2%
3-1
5.5%@ 11.68+1.7%
4-0
4.3%@ 15.23+1.4%
OFK Beograd goals ↓
Zemun goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.5%
4.1%
1.5%
0.3%
0.0%
1
15%
10%
2.8%
0.5%
0.1%
2
15%
8.8%
2.6%
0.5%
0.1%
3
9.3%
5.5%
1.6%
0.3%
0.0%
4
4.3%
2.6%
0.8%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = OFK Beograd goals (down), columns = Zemun goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.00
Vojvodina
2.14
IMT Novi Beograd
1.86
Radnicki 1923
1.67
Železničar Pančevo
1.60
Cukaricki
1.43
Mladost Lucani
1.43
Radnik Surdulica
1.33
FK Partizan
1.17
OFK Beograd
1.14
Novi Pazar
1.14
Macva
1.00
Radnicki NIS
0.83
Zemun
0.14
OFK Beograd is 1.00 points better than Zemun in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 0.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.20
Vojvodina
2.14
Železničar Pančevo
1.80
FK Partizan
1.67
IMT Novi Beograd
1.43
Cukaricki
1.29
Radnicki 1923
1.17
OFK Beograd
1.14
Radnik Surdulica
1.00
Mladost Lucani
1.00
Macva
0.71
Novi Pazar
0.71
Radnicki NIS
0.50
Zemun
0.29
OFK Beograd is 0.86 goals better than Zemun in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 0.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FK Crvena Zvezda
0.20
IMT Novi Beograd
0.57
Vojvodina
0.86
Mladost Lucani
0.86
Radnicki 1923
1.00
Železničar Pančevo
1.00
Radnicki NIS
1.00
Novi Pazar
1.14
Radnik Surdulica
1.50
FK Partizan
1.67
OFK Beograd
1.71
Cukaricki
1.71
Macva
1.86
Zemun
2.00
OFK Beograd is 0.29 goals better than Zemun in terms of goals conceded per game (1.71 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FK Partizan
63%
FK Crvena Zvezda
61%
Železničar Pančevo
61%
Radnicki 1923
58%
Radnicki NIS
55%
OFK Beograd
54%
IMT Novi Beograd
53%
Vojvodina
52%
Novi Pazar
49%
Radnik Surdulica
48%
Cukaricki
41%
Mladost Lucani
38%
Macva
38%
Zemun
37%
OFK Beograd is 17.1 percentage points better than Zemun in terms of average possession (54% vs 37%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
OFK Beograd
For 3.8 · Against 5.1 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 14.3 · Total 28.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zemun
For 3.4 · Against 6.2 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.8 · Total 6.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 15.8 · Total 25.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
OFK Beograd
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.8
9.1
4.6
5.4
3.8
29.0
30.3
27.8
vs Stronger (9)
11.0
11.0
11.0
2.3
2.0
2.4
24.0
20.0
25.1
vs Similar (26)
8.0
7.9
8.1
5.2
6.1
4.3
29.6
32.0
27.2
vs Weaker (15)
9.3
9.4
9.0
4.9
5.1
4.5
31.0
30.2
32.2
% over line
34%
38%
31%
62%
71%
54%
92%
96%
88%
% under line
66%
62%
69%
38%
29%
46%
8%
4%
12%
This opponent (Zemun) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zemun
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
8.3
11.5
0.6
0.8
0.5
25.8
28.7
21.5
vs Stronger (1)
5.0
5.0
-
6.0
6.0
-
25.0
25.0
-
vs Similar (47)
10.8
10.0
11.5
0.5
0.6
0.5
26.0
30.5
21.5
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
60%
33%
100%
8%
12%
4%
80%
100%
50%
% under line
40%
67%
0%
92%
88%
96%
20%
0%
50%
This opponent (OFK Beograd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
9.9
Mladost Lucani
9.6
Zemun
9.6
FK Partizan
9.1
Vojvodina
9.1
Radnicki 1923
9.0
Novi Pazar
8.9
OFK Beograd
8.9
Radnik Surdulica
8.8
Cukaricki
8.8
Železničar Pančevo
8.5
IMT Novi Beograd
8.5
Radnicki NIS
8.4
Macva
7.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Zemun
6.2
Macva
5.6
Radnicki 1923
5.5
Radnik Surdulica
5.3
Radnicki NIS
5.0
Vojvodina
4.9
OFK Beograd
4.9
Cukaricki
4.8
FK Partizan
4.8
Novi Pazar
4.6
IMT Novi Beograd
4.5
Železničar Pančevo
4.4
Mladost Lucani
4.3
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Radnik Surdulica
30.5
Macva
30.4
Radnicki 1923
30.2
IMT Novi Beograd
29.7
Radnicki NIS
29.3
OFK Beograd
29.0
Cukaricki
29.0
Železničar Pančevo
27.6
Novi Pazar
27.2
Vojvodina
26.9
FK Partizan
26.2
Mladost Lucani
25.8
Zemun
25.8
FK Crvena Zvezda
23.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
44.2%
@ 1.99-2.3%
Under 9.5
55.8%
@ 1.73+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.96
Under
1xBet
1.75
Superbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
75.7%
Under 3.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
86.6%
Under 21.5
13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
OFK Beograd or Draw✓ Hit
90.0%
Avg Implied 87.7% · @ 1.05
Edge
+2.3%
67%
23%
10%
covers OFK Beograd + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
Betfair
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.06
OFK Beograd or Zemun✓ Hit
77.2%
Avg Implied 79.6% · @ 1.16
Edge
-2.4%
67%
23%
10%
covers OFK Beograd + Zemun
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Draw or Zemun✗ Miss
32.9%
Avg Implied 32.7% · @ 2.82
Edge
+0.1%
67%
23%
10%
covers Draw + Zemun
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.25
888Sport
3.10
Betfair
3.00
Betano
2.92
William Hil
2.90
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
OFK Beograd over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.6%
@ 1.10+1.0%
Under
15.4%
@ 5.60-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
888Sport
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
Under
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.25
1xBet
6.10
888Sport
5.75
Superbet
5.70
OFK Beograd over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
55.7%
@ 1.55-3.5%
Under
44.3%
@ 2.25+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
888Sport
1.60
Marathonbet
1.58
Superbet
1.58
Under
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.40
Betano
2.30
Pinnacle
2.26
Superbet
2.25
OFK Beograd over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
28.8%
@ 2.63-6.2%
Under
71.2%
@ 1.41+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.83
888Sport
2.80
Superbet
2.80
Betano
2.67
1xBet
2.65
Under
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.42
OFK Beograd over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.0%
@ 5.28-5.6%
Under
88.0%
@ 1.13+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
5.75
Superbet
5.55
1xBet
5.50
Betano
5.10
Bet365
4.50
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Zemun over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
44.6%
@ 1.89-3.8%
Under
55.4%
@ 1.77+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.10
Pinnacle
1.92
Marathonbet
1.91
10Bet
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Under
Betano
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Superbet
1.83
10Bet
1.80
Zemun over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
11.9%
@ 5.35-5.3%
Under
88.1%
@ 1.11+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
7.00
Marathonbet
6.00
10Bet
5.50
Superbet
5.45
1xBet
5.10
Under
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Zemun over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 15.74-3.8%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.01+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
29.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.00
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
9.70
Under
Bet365
1.02
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Zemun over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.3%
@ 40.50-99.7%
Under
99.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
60.00
Bet365
21.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to OFK Beograd, so a minus line means OFK Beograd give that many goals of a start and Zemun receive them. At -1, OFK Beograd must win by two or more to land; a one-goal OFK Beograd win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (OFK Beograd)Actual: Zemun
OFK Beograd -2
20.3%
@ 3.78-3.4%
Draw -2
21.2%
@ 4.07-0.7%
Zemun +2
58.5%
@ 1.64+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.88
Superbet
3.85
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.65
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.10
Superbet
4.00
10Bet
3.85
Away
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.64
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
Handicap -1 (OFK Beograd)Actual: Draw
OFK Beograd -1
41.5%
@ 2.09-1.0%
Draw -1
25.6%
@ 3.40-0.5%
Zemun +1
32.9%
@ 2.84+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.13
Superbet
2.12
Bet365
2.10
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.00
Draw
Bet365
3.60
Superbet
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Betfair
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
Away
10Bet
3.10
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.82
Marathonbet
2.79
Bet365
2.62
Handicap +1 (OFK Beograd)Actual: OFK Beograd
OFK Beograd +1
90.0%
@ 1.10+7.4%
Draw +1
7.5%
@ 8.00-3.9%
Zemun -1
2.6%
@ 15.00-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Away
Bet365
15.00
Handicap +2 (OFK Beograd)Actual: OFK Beograd
OFK Beograd +2
97.4%
@ 1.02+4.3%
Draw +2
2.1%
@ 21.00-2.4%
Zemun -2
0.4%
@ 41.00-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.02
Draw
Bet365
21.00
Away
Bet365
41.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
OFK Beograd
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.53
0.46
0.62
0.65
0.47
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
1.00
2.00
2.00
1.00
0.67
vs Similar (16)
0.50
0.62
0.38
0.50
0.62
0.75
vs Weaker (10)
0.40
0.20
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Zemun) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zemun
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.57
0.88
0.38
0.57
0.79
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.75
0.54
0.93
0.29
0.57
0.79
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Beograd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.8%
@ 1.35+5.2%
Under 0.5
27.2%
@ 2.82-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Pinnacle
1.37
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
William Hil
1.35
Under
10Bet
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Superbet
2.95
William Hil
2.90
Pinnacle
2.86
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
36.7%
@ 2.65+2.2%
Under 1.5
63.3%
@ 1.40-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.78
Marathonbet
2.78
Pinnacle
2.76
Betfair
2.75
Betano
2.72
Under
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Betfair
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.8%
@ 6.27+0.3%
Under 2.5
85.2%
@ 1.06-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
6.85
Marathonbet
6.85
William Hil
6.50
Superbet
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
OFK Beograd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
64.2%
@ 1.58+5.6%
Under
35.8%
@ 2.25-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.58
Superbet
1.56
Under
10Bet
2.38
Superbet
2.30
Pinnacle
2.29
Betano
2.18
1xBet
2.18
OFK Beograd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
21.3%
@ 3.74-3.3%
Under
78.7%
@ 1.22+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Betano
3.70
Superbet
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Under
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
OFK Beograd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.9%
@ 9.06-2.3%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.03+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
9.80
1xBet
9.70
10Bet
8.50
Betano
8.25
Under
10Bet
1.04
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Zemun over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
27.6%
@ 3.39+0.3%
Under
72.4%
@ 1.27-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.48
Superbet
3.45
10Bet
3.40
Betano
3.30
1xBet
3.30
Under
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.24
Zemun over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.1%
@ 12.69-2.4%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.01+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
10Bet
15.00
Marathonbet
10.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
Zemun over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.8%
@ 70.00-99.2%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
70.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
OFK Beograd
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.46
0.46
0.71
0.82
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.75
1.00
2.00
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.69
0.62
0.50
0.75
0.88
vs Weaker (10)
0.40
0.60
0.00
0.00
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Zemun) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zemun
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.75
0.62
0.50
0.71
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.57
0.68
0.64
0.64
0.50
0.71
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Beograd) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
82.8%
Under 0.5
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
52.1%
Under 1.5
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
24.7%
Under 2.5
75.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
OFK Beograd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
71.5%
Under
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Beograd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
33.4%
Under
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Beograd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.6%
Under
83.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zemun over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
37.9%
Under
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zemun over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.4%
Under
88.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zemun over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
97.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.02
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
97.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.1%
1.03
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.02
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.9%
1.01
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
92.1%
1.03
10Bet
1.04
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
90.0%
1.05
Betano
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
Betfair
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.06
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
90.0%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
89.7%
1.09
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.13
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.10
888Sport
1.10
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
88.1%
1.11
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
88.0%
1.13
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.2%
1.06
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
84.6%
1.10
Betano
1.13
888Sport
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
78.7%
1.22
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.1%
1.25
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-
-
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
77.2%
1.16
William Hil
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
-2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
76.6%
1.31
Pinnacle
1.42
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.31
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.8%
1.35
Betano
1.40
Pinnacle
1.37
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
William Hil
1.35
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 0.5 HT goals
72.4%
1.27
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.24
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 2H goals
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
71.4%
1.27
Pinnacle
1.32
888Sport
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Unibet
1.29
Betano
1.28
-0.9%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
71.2%
1.41
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.42
+6.2%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
OFK Beograd
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yacouba Silue50%
Jovan Šljivić33%
Đorđe Ranković20%
Sergio Peña17%
Tjay De Barr17%
Marko Gobeljić0%
Milan Rodić0%
Uroš Stojanović0%
Edmund Addo0%
Stefan Despotovski0%
Miljan Momčilović0%
Aleksej Vukičević0%
Vuk Draškić0%
Ethan Hoard0%
Andrej Pavlovic0%
Aderoju Hameed Ayinde0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edmund Addo67%
Andrej Pavlovic50%
Aleksej Vukičević25%
Marko Gobeljić20%
Tjay De Barr17%
Yacouba Silue17%
Miljan Momčilović17%
Aderoju Hameed Ayinde17%
Milan Rodić0%
Sergio Peña0%
Uroš Stojanović0%
Stefan Despotovski0%
Jovan Šljivić0%
Vuk Draškić0%
Ethan Hoard0%
Đorđe Ranković0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aderoju Hameed Ayinde33%
Marko Gobeljić20%
Sergio Peña17%
Uroš Stojanović17%
Milan Rodić0%
Tjay De Barr0%
Edmund Addo0%
Stefan Despotovski0%
Yacouba Silue0%
Miljan Momčilović0%
Aleksej Vukičević0%
Jovan Šljivić0%
Vuk Draškić0%
Ethan Hoard0%
Andrej Pavlovic0%
Đorđe Ranković0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yacouba Silue50%
Jovan Šljivić33%
Ethan Hoard17%
Aderoju Hameed Ayinde17%
Marko Gobeljić0%
Milan Rodić0%
Sergio Peña0%
Uroš Stojanović0%
Tjay De Barr0%
Edmund Addo0%
Stefan Despotovski0%
Miljan Momčilović0%
Aleksej Vukičević0%
Vuk Draškić0%
Andrej Pavlovic0%
Đorđe Ranković0%
Zemun
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Novak Petrušić20%
Đorđe Petrović14%
Ognjen Ilić0%
Milan Jokić0%
Vasilije Bakić0%
Marko Šarić0%
Mladen Živković0%
Dejan Parađina0%
Milan Spremo0%
Ivan Ostojić0%
Nemanja Belaković0%
Uroš Ljubomirac0%
Godswill Vadze0%
Aleksandar Kadijević0%
Nemanja Kalat0%
Dimitrije Tabakovic0%
Saša Knežević0%
Žarko Bogdanović0%
Andrej Milošević0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vasilije Bakić80%
Milan Jokić50%
Milan Spremo40%
Nemanja Belaković33%
Uroš Ljubomirac33%
Dejan Parađina20%
Aleksandar Kadijević20%
Novak Petrušić20%
Ognjen Ilić14%
Ivan Ostojić14%
Nemanja Kalat14%
Dimitrije Tabakovic14%
Marko Šarić0%
Mladen Živković0%
Godswill Vadze0%
Đorđe Petrović0%
Saša Knežević0%
Žarko Bogdanović0%
Andrej Milošević0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nemanja Belaković17%
Ognjen Ilić0%
Milan Jokić0%
Vasilije Bakić0%
Marko Šarić0%
Mladen Živković0%
Dejan Parađina0%
Milan Spremo0%
Ivan Ostojić0%
Uroš Ljubomirac0%
Godswill Vadze0%
Aleksandar Kadijević0%
Nemanja Kalat0%
Đorđe Petrović0%
Dimitrije Tabakovic0%
Saša Knežević0%
Žarko Bogdanović0%
Novak Petrušić0%
Andrej Milošević0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Saša Knežević17%
Đorđe Petrović14%
Dimitrije Tabakovic14%
Ognjen Ilić0%
Milan Jokić0%
Vasilije Bakić0%
Marko Šarić0%
Mladen Živković0%
Dejan Parađina0%
Milan Spremo0%
Ivan Ostojić0%
Nemanja Belaković0%
Uroš Ljubomirac0%
Godswill Vadze0%
Aleksandar Kadijević0%
Nemanja Kalat0%
Žarko Bogdanović0%
Novak Petrušić0%
Andrej Milošević0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (32)
€115m
FP (30)
€48m
VOJ (29)
€30m
OB (28)
€18m
ŽP (24)
€13m
INB (23)
€12m
RN (26)
€11m
NP (21)
€10m
CUK (23)
€10m
R1 (26)
€9m
RS (26)
€9m
ML (28)
€8m
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
OFK Beograd's squad is €14m more valuable than Zemun's (€18m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€62m
FP (15)
€24m
VOJ (15)
€13m
ŽP (9)
€7m
OB (10)
€6m
RN (11)
€4m
ML (10)
€4m
R1 (10)
€4m
CUK (8)
€4m
INB (8)
€4m
NP (9)
€3m
RS (10)
€3m
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
OFK Beograd's attack is €4m more valuable than Zemun's (€6m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (6)
€21m
FP (2)
€11m
VOJ (4)
€7m
OB (8)
€4m
INB (3)
€4m
R1 (6)
€3m
NP (3)
€2m
CUK (5)
€2m
RS (5)
€2m
ZEM (5)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
ŽP (4)
€1m
RN (3)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
OFK Beograd's midfield is €3m more valuable than Zemun's (€4m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€33m
FP (13)
€14m
VOJ (10)
€9m
OB (10)
€8m
ŽP (11)
€6m
RN (12)
€5m
NP (9)
€5m
RS (11)
€4m
INB (12)
€4m
CUK (10)
€3m
R1 (10)
€3m
ML (12)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
ZEM (8)
€1m
OFK Beograd's defence is €7m more valuable than Zemun's (€8m vs €1m).
Serbia: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Super Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FK Crvena Zvezda
Vojvodina
IMT Novi Beograd
Mladost Lucani
Radnicki 1923
Cukaricki
Železničar Pančevo
Radnik Surdulica
Novi Pazar
FK Partizan
Macva
Radnicki NIS